01_Introduction Flashcards
segmentation of real estate market
on Demand Side
on Supply side
On Demand Side
- users require specific types of space
- require specific locations
on Supply Side
- buildings are built for specific uses and are fixed in location
- thus we often talk of geographic or property usage submarkets
Where does Kink in Demand and Supply Curve occur?
- occurs at price equal to marginal cost of adding new space to submarket
- in short run it takes longer to build new space and existing space lasts longer
What does Marginal Cost include
in context of Supply and Demand Curve
- site acquisition costs
- construction costs
- developer’s necessary profits
4 Quadrant Model
What happens in case of deman increase in space market
Long Run
- demand curve shifts to right
- price increase in property market
- increase in construction
- increase in equilibrium stock of space
initially price increase in asset market, then fall back a bit as market returns to long-run steady-state due to new constructions
4 Quadrant Model
What happens if demand increases in asset market (lower cap rate)
- flatter valuation curve (for same rent participant accept higher price)
- price increase in property market
- increase in construction
- increase in equilibrium stock of space
- decrease in equilibrium rent
Real estate cycle
- Recovery
- Expansion
- Hypersupply
- Recession
Expansion
Real Estate Cycle
- rent rise
- shorter time to sell property
- property prices rise
- yields fall
- more new starts
- hot topic in media
Recovery
Real estate cycle
- increased rents and cash flows
- time to sell reduces
- property prices begin to increase
- much confisuion in media reigns about whether recent property value growth is sustainable
- many potential property purchasers delay buying because the evidenced value falls or a slow market in the preceding slump
Recession
Real Estate Cycle
- increase vacancies of rental properties
-** reduced cash flow for investors** - property values fall
- time to sell increases
- doom and gloom about proeprty values
- completion increases