// lecture 34 Flashcards

1
Q

america’s feelings about climate change

A
  • princeton NJ - 55% of americans worry a great deal about climate change
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2
Q

americans and climate change

A
  • worry follows ideological lines - Liberals more worried about climate change than conservatives.
  • most people do not consider it a serious threat in their lifetime, esp. older people
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3
Q

goals for fixing the problem

A
  • one goal: minimize temp increase
  • but recall that some warming is locked in even if we keep CO2 concentrations exactly at today’s levels
  • temps still increase by 0.5 C because the oceans take time to warm up
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4
Q

how to prevent higher CO2 concentrations

A
  • higher CO2 levels mean higher temps eventually; emissions are increasing rapidly.
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5
Q

is stabilizing emissions enough?

A
  • no! flattening out CO2 emissions still leads to large increases in CO2 concentrations.
  • a constant rate still adds more CO2 into the air.
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6
Q

how to stabilize concentrations

A
  • to stabilize at a certain concentration, it requires specific cuts in emissions
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7
Q

James Hansen

A
  • wants to bring CO2 emissions down to 350 ppm, but it’s really drastic from 400 ppm
  • NASA scientist and activist
  • part of 350.org, trying to reduce emissions
  • very drastic pathway to reduce to 350ppm, you would have to cut emissions so drastically you would have to TAKE CO2 out of the atmosphere and not add anymore.
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8
Q

Weighing the carbon blanket

A

the atmosphere contains about 3,000 Gtonnes of CO2 3 x 10^15 kilograms

  • the surface of the earth is about 5 x 10^14 square meters
  • so there’s about 6 kilograms of CO2 for every square meter of earth, or about 13.2 pounds
  • there were about 9.3 pounds before the industrial revolution, so industrial humans have added about 4 pounds so far
  • there are 10,000 kg of air per square meter
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9
Q

adding to the CO2 blanket

A
  • each yer we emit about 1% of the total CO2, or about 2 ounces per square meter, but only about half of that stays in the atmosphere, so we add one ounce per year to the atmosphere per square meter.
  • 5% increase per decade, 10 ounces added to the total 13.2 pounds
  • 2ppm/year out of 400 ppm total (0.5 % increase)
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10
Q

what happens to the CO2 emissions

A
  • not all of the emissions go into the atmosphere, a little less than 50% actually
  • 25% goes into the ocean, but leads to ocean acidification
  • 30% goes into land ecosystems
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11
Q

countries by CO2 emissions

A
  • china: 25%
  • US: 18%
  • india: 5.5%
  • russia: 5.2
  • japan: 3.6
  • all other less than 3% each
  • European union: 14%
  • north america: 21%
  • asia and oceania: 44%
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12
Q

our individual share: USA

A
  • per capita matters (how much per person?)
  • some of these countries are so large because they have large populations
  • USA per capita: 19 tonnes per year
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13
Q

individual share: world average

A
  • per capita: 4.6 tonnes per year
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14
Q

the developing world

A
  • half of the people in the world live on less than 2.50/day
  • 2.1 billion live without access to electricity
  • they should and will get more electricity
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15
Q

future of emissions for developing nations

A
  • in around 20 years, the developing world will surpass developed countries in CO2 emissions
  • developing nations will be a massive energy market in the future, what fuels will they use?
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16
Q

emissions numbers

A
  • world average per capita emissions is a little less than 5 tonnes
  • world population 7 bill so total emissions are a little more than 30 billion gigatonnes.
17
Q

countries per capita CO2 emissions

A
  • wold avg is 4.6 tonnes per year
  • highest are oil producing states
  • US is rather high (11th): 4x word average (19 tonnes per person)
  • australia and canada have similar emissions as US per capita (just smaller countries)
  • many EU countries, Russia, Japan: 10 tonnes
  • sweden, switzerland, china: 5 tonnes
  • india: 1.1 tonnes
18
Q

american per capita CO2 release

A
  • 19 metric tonnes per person per year
  • if you weight 115 lbs, you generate your weight in CO2 everyday.
  • but for a 115 lb person in China, sweden, or switzerland, it takes about 5 days to accomplish the same feat.
19
Q

unexpected changes in US CO2 release

A
  • per capita CO2 release in the USA has declined because of weak economy, but also a strong shift from coal to natural gas that became very cheap
  • natural gas releases less CO2 per unit of energy delivered than coal. also no sulfur dioxide, mercury produced etc.
20
Q

fracking and the cost of us methane

A
  • natural gas prices dropped by half in 2009 due to the increasing availability of shale gas (fracked).
21
Q

coal production declines a little

A
  • coal production in the east has been offset by increased domestic methane production in usa
22
Q

coal trains from powder river, WY to cherry point, WA

A
  • Plans are in place for 30 miles of coal trains to arrive

in Cherry Point, Washington terminal for shipment to China, each day.

23
Q

coal train arguments

A
  • for: jobs and local economy, cleaner coal for China (powder basin sulfur content less, but energy unit of CO2 also less)
  • against: means we will burn more coal worldwide (more warming), train traffic a nuisance and danger (30 long ones per day), coal dust and diesel fumes a health hazard
24
Q

clean power plan

A
  • US EPA currently seeks to limit use of coal for electricity generation
  • EPA clean power plan (CPP) rules would reduce CO2 emissions from coal plants to about 1550 MMT by 2030-40, reducing coal’s share of electricity generation from 33% in 2015 to 18% in 2040
  • Even without CPP it will be reduced to 1959 in 2040,
    because of low natural gas prices, renewable tax credits and reductions in the cost of photovoltaic electricity generation.
25
Q

how to prevent higher CO2 concentrations

A

CO2 emissions have actually sped up. 2000-2010

was the highest decadal rate of increase ever.

26
Q

alternative energy sources

A

we already have the tech at generating CO2 -free electricity

  • renewable energy: generated from natural sources such as solar, wind, tidal, geothermal, and hydroelectric
  • nuclear is not renewable, but it also doesn’t emit CO2

But Currently we’re not using much of it.

27
Q

energy sources in china - 2011

A
  • china, like much of the world, is a fossil fuel economy, mostly from coal
  • 91% fossil carbon fueled as of 2011
  • was 93% in 2011
28
Q

useful facts about CO2

A

CO2 per unit energy emitted:

  • Coal emits 67% more CO2 than natural gas
  • Coal emits 30% more CO2 than oil
  • Coal is a ‘dirty fuel’
29
Q

US production of greenhouse gases

A
  • CO2 is currently the largest and growing the most rapidly in comparison to other GHG’s.
30
Q

US energy sources

A
  • renewable: 9%
31
Q

why is US crude oil production going up?

A
  • super fracking, back to the peak of 1970, in just about 5 years or so.
32
Q

super fracking

A
  • oil forms from organic material trapped underground, makes oil. Pressure, heat and time make oil.
  • if the shale is sufficiently fractured, the oil will start to flow towards the pools - traditional oil wells can get this
  • typically only 20-30% of the oil in a shale field is available to traditional drilling. Most of it is still in porous rock.
33
Q

Hydraulic Fracturing

A

introduces low viscosity fluid (e.g. water with some additives) into the bore hole at very high pressure. This fractures the rock and sends the trapped oil heading toward a production well.

34
Q

more super fracking

A
  • Drill horizontally in shale layer
  • Make an explosion in the well casing
  • Inject large volumes of low viscosity water under high pressure.
  • Fractures occur.
  • Wait for oil to flow to extraction well
35
Q

Bakken Shale

A

is a tight shale, so oil only comes out if you use hydraulic fracturing More than 6000 wells were operating in July 2013, 300 million barrels a year. Most 80% of the extractable oil comes out in the first two years. 3.6Bbbl reservoir.

36
Q

Super Fracking Environmental Issues

A
  • Uses lots of water, ten times more than traditional
    fracking
  • Contaminated water Leakage of Methane gas into the atmosphere
  • Leakage of Methane gas into fresh water aquifers
  • Triggering of damaging earthquakes