Arctic and Russia Flashcards
Rantanen et al., 2022
High latitudes are warming ~4 times faster than the global average
Arctic sea ice is declining at 13% per decade
Permafrost stores more than twice as much C than the atmosphere
24% of land in the northern hemisphere is permafrost
52% of Inuit Nunavut live in crowded homes, compared to 9% of Canadians
Gordeev et al. (2022)
Increased drought will reduce agricultural production in Africa, the Middle East and South and Southeast Asia. On the contrary, it is expected that higher latitude regions such as Russia will benefit from climate change by extending the vegetation period
In some regions of Russia, agricultural production could double as the climate warms in the 21st century
Burke et al 2015
By 2100, the national per capita income in the United States might be a third less than it would be in a nonwarming world; India’s would be nearly 92 percent less; and China’s future growth would be cut short by nearly half. Canada will be two and a half times richer in per capita GDP than in a nonwarming world, and Russia will quadruple in GDP
Unmitigated warming is expected to reshape the global economy by reducing average global incomes roughly 23% by 2100 and widening global income inequality
2020 NY Times article
By 2080, Russia’s permafrost in the Asian part of the country will be reduced by more than half. If humans continue to emit carbon dioxide at high rates, roughly half of Siberia — more than two million square miles — could become available for farming by 2080
2020 NY Times article
Melting Arctic sea ice will open a new shipping lane that would cut transit times from Southeast Asia to Europe by up to 40 percent and also shorten travel time to the United States, positioning Russia to profit by controlling this route between China and the West
