BEPP 250 Unit 1 Flashcards
Attachment rate vs EW-product price ratio
Attachment rate is the Percent of the buying population that buys extended warranties.
Ew-product price ratio is the ratio of the extended warranty to the price.
They should be equal in theory, but attachment rate is usually higher because consumers are willing to spend more because they think there’s a higher risk of product breaking than there actually is.
Risk averse
Averse to risk
Doesn’t like risk
Will pay slightly more to minimize the risk.
Suppose you think w% probability the tv needs repair and cost of repair is $L. Let $t be the price of the EW.
Get willingness to pay:
If you don’t buy the extended warranty, then w% of the time you lose $L. 100-w% if the time, you lose nothing
Let U be the function of the price.
wU(-L) + wU(0)is how much you pay if you don’t buy the warranty
If you do buy the warranty, then you just pay t. So U(-t)
Willingesss to pay is when prices are equal
Price t* such that
U(-t*) = wU(-L)+ wU(0)
So you’re willing to pay $w(L)
Willingness to pay is that price
Model for willingness to pay:
Willingness to pay is based on aversion to risk and belief about the likelihood of repair.
Someone’s Risk aversion relation to their estimated probability the tv needs repair
If they have higher aversion to risk, then they think there is a lower chance the tv needs repair.
Even if two people have same willingness to pay for a product, when you introduce a cheaper product, then the willingness to pay for the person with the lower r is lower than the other person.
Decrease in WTP is much steeper for the less risk averse person.
Risk aversion actual relation with buying ew or not
Risk aversion doesn’t explain why people are willing to buy EW at observed prices.
Base decision on expected value of the warranty. Buy EW if price of EW < probability of repair * cost of repair.
People overestimate likelihood of failure by a large amount (actual is 5 percent, estimated 13-15 percent) so retailers sell EW at very high prices
If you tell someone actual failure rate is lower, their WTP goes way down.
If told actual percent tv breaks, then what
Then consumers are way better of, sales and profits go way down. In real world, consumer welfare is negative. When told this, they are slightly positive.
What happens if EW decreases
Consumer welfare goes down, as consumers don’t get any real value from extended warranties. Making it cheaper makes it more likely consumers get scammed
Microeconomics
Body of knowledge that studies indifivudal level behavior and decision making in order to provide tools, results, and ideas to help us
Understand observed phenonomem and guide decisions
Main principles of micro
- Optimization (individual objectives + constraints —>shape decisions and observed behavior.
- Equilibrium (observed outcomes <— interaction across individuals’ decisions, no incentive to change further, system is at rest)
3 assumed properties of preferences (include on cheat sheet)
- Completeness. When facing a choice between 2 bundles, a consumer can rank them so that either: A>B, A<B, or A~B
- Transitivity. Consumers rankings are logically consistent in the sense that if A>B and B>C, then A>C
- Monotonicity. More of a good is better.
All else the same, more of a commodity/ characteristic is better than less.
A good is different from a bad.
We are never satisfied.
U can’t go down as x goes up. U must increase as x goes up. Marginal utility can go down but must remain positive.
Monotonicity
Think of it that we can freely dispose excess beverages in our bundle. Don’t want to drink, then throw it away, doesn’t cost anything
If you have a point C, then you draw vertical and horizontal lines. To the top right, you prefer the point, bottom left you strictly prefer C
Rest you can’t tell, so get indifference curve
Indifference curve
Consider preferences such that A~B.
Graphically represent the set of all bundles that one is indifferent to by the indifference curve
Equally prefer all the bundles on this curve.
Indifference curves and preferences
Because of monotonicity, you strictly prefer points (bundles) above the IC. So, you can draw IC’s next to each other. And you know that you’ll prefer the IC’s further to the top right, as more of a good is better, and more goods to the top right.
Budget constraint
Can’t have unlimited goods, even though we want to, because of a budget constraint.
Budget set is the set of feasible (affordable) bundles given price and income. Set of all bundles that lie on and below the budget line.
Budget line
Suppose we have two goods, x and y. With corresponding prices p1 and p2. And income I
Budget line is p1x+p2y = I
Get it in terms of Y and graph. Bundles below and on it are those that are affordable.
Which bundle do we choose?
Need to be able to afford the bundle, and remember that by monotonicity, more of something is better.
So, we want to be on the highest indifference curve that is still affordable.
So this will be the indifference curve that is tangent to the budget line.
It has to be tangent as if we chose one that intersected, there’d be some point that is still affordable on a higher IC.
Utility function
Utility function is an easier way to show which we prefer.
If (x,y) > (x’,y’), then u(x,y) = U > U’ = u(x’,y’)
Value of the utility function doesn’t matter, it’s an ordinal function.
Just matters relative, ie that you prefer this bundle to another bundle.
Partial derivative
For example take partial deriv WRT x and then WRT y for
2(x-2)^2 -4xy +3y^2
Need partial derivatives for maximization problems with multiple variables.
Partial deriv WRT x —> treat y as a constant
4(x-2) -4y
And for WRT y—> treat x as a constant
-4x +6y
If we want the minimum of this function, equate the partial deriv to 0 and then to each other.
Relationship between IC and utility function
Assign a number, U1 = u(x1,y1) and another U2=u(x2,y2)
We prefer the bundle on the higher IC.
Always will prefer bundle on higher IC, and we represent the IC with the utility function. So the top IC is U2 and bottom is U1 and we strictly prefer bundles on U2
Utility maximization problem in words
Predicting which bundle is chosen (most preferred affordable bundle)is equivalent to finding (x,y) such that:
- u(x,y) = U is the largest AND
- (x,y) satisfies the budget constraint
Utility maximization problem in math
Objective:
Choose bundle (x,y) to maximize utility.
u(x,y)
Subject to budget constraint:
Chosen bundle (x,y)should be affordable
px X + pyY <= I
X and Y are always greater than or equal to 0, as can’t have negative quantity of a good.
Utility maximization graphical solution
The optimal solution is the point where the IC is tangent to the budget line, as if the IC hits the budget line twice, then there’s some point on a higher IC that we would prefer.
Mathematically, this point is captured by equality of slopes of budget line and the IC at the optimal bundle.
Budget line slope is -px/py because we have the EQ px x + py y =I
See next card for slope of IC
Slope of indifference curve
Consider an increase in x given by delta x. To be on the same IC, y must decrease by delta y.
The ratio delta y / delta x tells us how much we need to give up in terms of y if we want to have an incremental increase in x and have utility remain constant.
For a very small increase in x, the ratio delta y /delta x is the first deririvate dy/dx, which is the slope of the IC at (x,y)
This slope, dy/dx measures the trade off between y and x and has a special name, marginal rate of substitution or MRS
So, slope of ic is the deririvite of y / dx