Budgeting & Risk and Uncertainty Flashcards

(40 cards)

1
Q

What is budgeting?

A

Budgeting is the process of creating a plan to spend money over a period. Example: A company forecasts next year’s sales and sets expenditure limits accordingly.

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2
Q

What is a master budget?

A

A master budget is a comprehensive summary of all individual budgets. Example: It includes sales, production, and cash budgets for a manufacturing firm.

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3
Q

What is a sales budget?

A

A forecast of expected sales in units and revenue. Example: A retailer projects to sell 10,000 units at $20 each.

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4
Q

What is a production budget?

A

It shows the number of units that must be produced to meet sales and inventory needs. Example: 12,000 sales units + 1,000 ending inventory - 2,000 opening = 11,000 units to produce.

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5
Q

What is a cash budget?

A

It estimates inflows and outflows of cash over a period. Example: Helps a business ensure it has enough cash to pay wages next month.

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6
Q

What is a flexible budget?

A

A budget that adjusts based on actual activity levels. Example: A gym changes its expected costs when 200 more members join.

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7
Q

What is a fixed budget?

A

A budget created for a single level of activity and does not change. Example: Budget made for production of 10,000 units regardless of actual output.

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8
Q

What is zero-based budgeting (ZBB)?

A

ZBB starts from zero and every expense must be justified. Example: A department must explain why it needs $5,000 this year, not rely on last year’s figures.

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9
Q

What is incremental budgeting?

A

It adjusts last year’s budget by a fixed increment. Example: Increase marketing budget by 5% over last year’s spend.

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10
Q

What is rolling budgeting?

A

A continuous budget updated regularly. Example: A 12-month budget updated quarterly to reflect changes.

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11
Q

What is participative budgeting?

A

Employees at all levels contribute to setting budgets. Example: Department heads submit their own budget estimates.

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12
Q

What is imposed budgeting?

A

Top management sets the budget without employee input. Example: Head office assigns budget targets to branches.

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13
Q

Why is budgeting important?

A

It helps with planning, coordination, and control. Example: A business ensures departments don’t overspend.

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14
Q

What are budgetary controls?

A

Processes used to monitor actual performance against the budget. Example: Monthly variance reports.

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15
Q

What is variance analysis?

A

Comparing actual results with budgeted amounts to find differences. Example: Actual sales $8,000 vs budget $10,000 = $2,000 adverse variance.

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16
Q

What is an activity-based budget?

A

Budgeting based on cost drivers of activities. Example: Budget cleaning costs based on floor space.

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17
Q

What are the limitations of budgeting?

A

May become outdated, rigid, or demotivate staff. Example: Budget doesn’t reflect sudden market downturn.

18
Q

What is a behavioral aspect of budgeting?

A

Employee reactions to budgeting, such as motivation or manipulation. Example: Managers may inflate estimates to create budgetary slack.

19
Q

What is budgetary slack?

A

Deliberate underestimation of revenues or overestimation of costs. Example: Manager inflates cost estimates to make targets easier to meet.

20
Q

How does budgeting support decision making?

A

It provides a financial framework for evaluating options. Example: Choose the cheaper supplier to stay within the budget.

21
Q

What is risk in PM context?

A

Risk is the possibility that actual outcomes differ from expected outcomes. Example: A project’s cost may exceed its budget.

22
Q

What is uncertainty?

A

When outcomes are unknown and probabilities can’t be estimated. Example: New market entry with no data history.

23
Q

What are the types of risk?

A

Operational, financial, strategic, compliance. Example: Supply chain disruption (operational risk).

24
Q

What is expected value?

A

Sum of all possible outcomes multiplied by their probabilities. Example: (0.6 x $100) + (0.4 x $50) = $80.

25
What is standard deviation used for?
To measure the dispersion or variability of possible outcomes. Example: A project with a high SD has unpredictable returns.
26
What is sensitivity analysis?
Assessing how changes in variables affect outcomes. Example: What happens if sales drop by 10%?
27
What is scenario analysis?
Evaluation of outcomes under different situations. Example: Best case, most likely, and worst-case profit scenarios.
28
What is simulation?
A computer-generated model using random values to test risks. Example: Monte Carlo simulation for project costs.
29
What is maximin decision rule?
Choose the option with the best worst-case outcome. Example: A conservative investor selects the least risky option.
30
What is maximax decision rule?
Choose the option with the best possible outcome. Example: An entrepreneur picks the project with highest potential return.
31
What is minimax regret?
Choose the option that minimizes the maximum regret. Example: Avoids biggest 'what if' loss.
32
What is risk appetite?
The level of risk an organization is willing to accept. Example: A start-up may accept higher risks than a bank.
33
What is diversification?
Spreading investments to reduce risk. Example: A company launches 3 different product lines.
34
What is a decision tree?
A diagram showing different decision paths and outcomes. Example: Used in investment project appraisal.
35
What is a payoff table?
Shows possible profits for different decisions under various states. Example: Decision A yields $100 in good economy, $30 in bad.
36
How does risk impact budgeting?
Leads to buffer or contingency budgets. Example: Add 10% reserve for material price fluctuations.
37
What is real option analysis?
Valuing flexibility in investment decisions. Example: Option to expand or abandon a project later.
38
How can risk be reduced?
Diversification, insurance, contingency plans. Example: Outsource to multiple suppliers.
39
What is the role of risk analysis in decision-making?
Helps quantify risk to choose better options. Example: Choose the project with highest expected value and acceptable risk.
40
How can uncertainty be managed?
Use flexible budgets, rolling forecasts, and stress testing. Example: Adjust financial plan as new data emerges.