ch 12 - Data-based and statistical Reasoning Flashcards Preview

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Flashcards in ch 12 - Data-based and statistical Reasoning Deck (31)
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1

measures of central tendency

those that describe the middle of a sample; how middle is defined can be different

2

mode

number that appears most often in a set of data

3

normal distribution

mean, median and mode are at center of distribution

4

standard distribution

mean is zero and standard deviation of one

5

skewed distribution

contains a tail on one side or the other of the data set. Negatively skewed is tail to the left with mean lower than median and positively is tail to the right with mean higher than median

6

bimodal

distribution containing two peaks; do not have to have two modes.

7

range

difference between data set's largest and smallest values

8

interquartile range

related to the median, first and third quartiles; gathered by subtracting the value of the first quartile from the value of the third quartile (IQR = Q sub 3 - Q sub 1)

9

quartiles

include median (Q sub 2), divide data when placed in ascending order into groups that comprise one-fourth of the entire set; first quartile is 1/4n (number of data) and mean of number at whatever position that is and the number of the next position.

10

example of using interquartile range to determine outliers

find range which is third quartile - first quartile. Use this range to multiply times 1.5 and add this number to third quartile. Anything above this number is an outlier. Use range to multiply times 1.5 and subtract this number from first quartile - anything falling below this number is an outlier

11

standard deviation

calculated by taking the difference bt each data point and the mean, squaring this value, dividing the sum of all of these squared values by (the number of points in the data set minus one (so divided by n-1)), and taking the square root of the result

12

determining outlier via standard deviation

after standard deviation is determined, if a value falls more than 3 x standard deviations outside of mean, it is an outlier.

13

standard deviation and normal distribution

68% of data points fall within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% fall within two standard deviations, and 99% fall within three standard deviations

14

independent events in probability

events that have no effect on one another

15

dependent events in probability

have an impact on one another, such that the order changes the probability

16

mutually exclusive outcomes

cannot occur at the same time; probability of them occurring together is 0%

17

exhaustive outcomes

a group of outcomes that is all inclusive so that there are no other possible outcomes

18

calculating independent probability

P(A) x P(B) - probability of the first option x probability of the second option equals probability that both will occur

19

probability of at least one of two events occurring

P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

20

hypothesis testing

begins with an idea about what may be different bt two populations

21

null hypothesis

always a hypothesis of equivalence; says that two populations are equal, or that a single pop can be described by the parameter equal to a given value; when able to rejected based on p-value being greater than significance level (alpha), it means results are statistically significant

22

alternative hypothesis

may be nondirectional meaning that the populations are not equal, or directional

23

z- or t-tests

most common hypotheses; rely on standard distribution or the closely related t-distribution

24

test statistic

calculated and compared to a table to determine the likelihood that that statistic was obtained by random chance (under the assumption that our null hypothesis is true)

25

type 1 error

represented by value of alpha which is the level of risk we are willing to accept for incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis, meaning we report a difference between two populations when one does not actually exist

26

type II error

we incorrectly fail to reject the null hypothesis; we determine there is no difference between two populations when one actually does exist; probability of this type of error is sometimes symbolized by beta

27

power

probability of correctly rejecting the null hypothesis and reporting a difference between pops when one does exist; equal to 1-beta (1 - type II error)

28

confidence

probability of correctly not rejecting the null hypothesis and reporting that two pops are equal when they actually are.

29

confidence intervals

the reverse of hypothesis testing; determine a range of values from the sample mean and standard deviation; rather than finding p-value, we begin with a desired confidence level and use a table to find its corresponding z- or t-score. We then create a range based on this score x standard deviation by subtracting and adding it to the mean

30

p-value

test statistic compared to a table