Challenges for the planet Flashcards
What is weather?
the state of atmosphere at any given time and place
What is climate?
the average weather conditions over a long period of time
How has the climate changed since the last ice age (8000BC)?
- after the last ice age there was a warmer period which caused the climate to fluctuate to a warmer temperature (6800 BC - 5 degreesC change)
- there was then a cool period causing a dip before it warmed up again in a warmer period (5000 BC - 1 degreesC decrease to 4000 BC - 2 degreesC increase)
- afterwards there was another cooler period before the medieval warm period at 0 AD (1500 BC - 2 degreesC to 0 AD - 1 degreesC approx increase)
- there was a little ice age from 1200 to 1800 AD with about a 1 degreesC decrease in temperature
How much is the temperature projected to increase?
projected to increase to a 7 degreesC temperature change which is 2 more degreesC than currently (2000 AD to 2300 AD)
What are the external and internal factors affecting the world’s climate?
External)
- solar output
- orbital geometry (shape and tilt)
Internal)
- volcanic activity
- surface reflection
- change in atmospheric gases
- tectonic activity
Explain how solar output affects the world’s climate:
- this is the energy that comes from the sun which changes over time
- in the 1980s, the total amount reaching earth had decreased by 0.1%
- if the trend continue then it could greatly influence global climate
- a 1% change in solar output could make the temperature rise or fall by 0.5-1 degreesC
- it is thought to be influenced by activity of sunspots on the sun’s surface
- there was a period of drastically reduced sunspot activity between 1645 to 1715 which may have been the cause of the little ice age
Explain how orbital geometry affects the world’s climate:
1) Shape
- the shape of the earth’s orbit around the sun varies from circular to elliptical and back every 95000 years
- cold glacial periods occur when the earth’s orbit is circular and warmer periods when it is more elliptical
2) Tilt
- the tilt of the earth’s axis varies over time from 21.5 to 24.5 degreesC
- this variation occurs over a 41000 year time span
- the greater the tilt, the hotter the summers are and the colder the winters are
- when the angle is greater the earth usually experiences warmer peiods
Explain how volcanic activity affects the world’s climate:
- volcanic eruptions release large amounts of sulfur dioxide and ash into the atmosphere
- these act like a cloak reducing the amount of solar radiation energy reaching the earth’s surface
- in 1815, mt. Tambora erupted - the following year it was unusually cold and 1816 was known as the year without summer
Explain how surface reflection affects the world’s climate:
- during cooler periods when there is a larger amount of snow and ice on earth, global temperature will drop due to it reflecting sunlight back to space
- if the planet warms up, snow and ice will diminish and the earth will continue to get warmer
Explain how change in atmospheric gas affects the world’s climate:
- there is a clear relationship between amount of CO2 and temperature variations in the atmosphere
- CO2 is primarily responsible for the greenhouse effect which keeps heat within the earth’s atmosphere by absorbing long-wave radiation
- without it, the average global temperature would be -18 degreesC rather than 15 degreesC
Explain how tectonic activity affects the world’s climate:
- movement of continents caused by plate tectonics affects the global pattern of atmospheric and ocean circulation
- the changing shape of the earth’s surface causes wind and ocean currents to change
- this process is too slow to have much effect on climate over the relatively short geological time span of 10000
What are the causes of current climate change (on a local and global scale)?
- burning of fossil fuels
- increase of methane in the atmosphere
How does the burning of fossil fuels affect climate change?
- produced from coal, oil and natural gas
- used to produce energy in power stations and to supply fuel to vehicles
- in China, 75% of energy is produced from coal
- when fossil fuels are burnt they release gases such as CO2 that build up in the atmosphere
- CO2 contributes to the greenhouse effect and the generation of power accounts for 25% of global CO2 emissions
How does the increase of methane in the atmosphere affect climate change?
- methane is a greenhouse gas so it can trap heat in the earth’s atmosphere
- makes up 20% of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and is 20x more potent than CO2
- comes from organisms that were alive many years ago, recently dead rotting organisms and those which are alive today
- 30% released into atmosphere was formed underground many years ago and comes to the surface when fossil fuels are mined
What are examples of modern methan sources?
- wetlands (including marshes and swamps)
- the growing of rice
- landfills containing rotting vegetable matter
- burning vegetation
- the bowels of animals
Why have the levels of methane in the atmosphere been rising by 1.5% a year for the past decade?
- an increase in the mining of fossil fuels
- rising temperature, which causes an increase in bacteria emissions from wetlands
- an increase in rice production due to growing populations in rice growing countries
- an increase in the number of cattle and sheep for meat reflecting an increase in western-style diets
Explain the greenhouse effect?
1 heat energy from the sun beams down onto the earth- some of it passes through a blanket of gases in our atmosphere
2 some of the heat energy escapes back into space
3 greenhouse gases form a blanket around the earth which traps the heat energy in the atmosphere
4 the energy which does not escape back into space is reflected back to earth
5 the main greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide
What are the 3 main negative effects of climate change?
- changing patterns of crop yields
- rising sea levels
- retreating glaciers
What is the impact of climate change on changing patterns of crop yields?
- countires closest to the equator will have crop yields dcrease
- e.g. Africa, in countires such as Tanzania and Mozambique, there will be longer droughts and shorter growing seasons (could lose 1/3 of maize crop)
- e.g. India, there will be a 50% decrease in the amount of land available to grow wheat due to hotter and drier weather
What is the impact of climate change on rising sea levels?
- between 1993 and 2006, sea levels rose by 3.3mm a year (research published 2007 by The Hadley Centre for Climate Change at Exeter)
- this will lead to an 88mm rise in sea levels by the end of the century
- e.g. this will threaten areas of low-lying coastal land including major world cities like London, New York and Tokyo
- e.g. islands in the pacific ocean are already affected, 2 of the kiribati islands are now covered with sea water causing people to evacuate from other low-lying coral atolls
What is the impact of climate change on retreating glaciers?
- vast majority of world glaciers are retreating/melting (some more quickly) but this is due to the increase in temperatures caused by climate change
- e.g. 90% of glaciers in Antarctica are retreating (also causes ocean water movements at poles and melting ice in the arctic could cause the gulf stream to be diverted further south which would lead to colder temperatures in western Europe- mathcing temperatures found across Atlantic- below 0 winter and 8-10 in summer 10 degreesC lower than average in Uk)
Give examples of how climate change is affecting specific locations:
- Australia) rising temperatures means the Great Barrier Reef could be dead in 30 years with warmer sea
- Bangladesh) coastal flooding if sea levels rise by 1m then they will lose 17.5% of their land
- Kenya) droughts occur every 3 years instead of 10 and in 2006 there was the worst one for 80 years where many farmers lost all their cattle
- Peru) in the Colca region the lack of snow means there is no water supply so many villages have been abandoned
- UK) storms and floods will increase and damage costs will increase if houses continue to be built on flood plains
- Russia) Wrangel island nature reserve has a loss of sea ice
- USA) Glacier National park Montana has most of its glaciers retreating
- Tuvalu) islands are suffering from rising sea levels
What have been the global scale responses to climate change between nations?
- 1988) the United Nations (UN) set up the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the first report shows the earth has warmed by 0.5 degreesC in the past century, recommending strong measures…
- 1922) UN held meeting in Rio de Janeiro June known as ‘The Earth Summit’ in response to climate change which was the first environmental treaty aiming to stabilize greenhouse emissions and the UN framework convention on climate change was signed by 154 countries and also set targets for the reduction of these emissions
- 1997) the Kyoto Protocal was agreed (December) which went into action February 2005 and agreed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 5.2% from 1990 global levels, in addition placed national limits on emissions as a carbon allowance (countries could either cut emissions or trade carbon credits) 178 countries signed and by 2008 this was 181
- 2007) Bali conference on climate change in Indonesia- the IPCC confirms that there is a greater than 90% chance that global warming in the past 50 years is caused by human activity and they agreed to negotiate a deal to tackle climate change by 2009 which did not happen
What is the current information on the Kyoto Protocal (update)?
- very complicated
- some countries that initially signed up to it now no longer do e.g. Canada and others never fully signed up to it e.g. USA
- proved very difficult to get countries to commit to legally binding targets and the future of global agreement is uncertain
- next major event will be December 2015 when representatives from more than 190 countries will meet in Paris to discuss the next steps
- the following is likely to be agreed: Eu will cut emissions by 40% compared to 1990 levels by 2030, US will cut emissions by 28% compared with 2005 levels by 2025 and China will agree that its emissions will peak by 2030