Chapter 1 Flashcards
uncertainty concerning the occurence of loss.
risk
According to the American Academy of Actuaries, the term ____ is used in situations where the probabilities of possible outcomes are known or can be estimated with some degree of accuracy, whereas ____ is used in situations where such probabilities cannot be estimated.
risk; uncertainty
any situation or circumstance in which a loss is possible, regardless of whether a loss actually occurs. Examples include a manufacturing plant suffering damage from natural disaster or defective product that may result in a lawsuit.
loss exposure.
relative variation of actual loss from expected loss. is also referred to as degree of risk. varies inversely with the square root of the number of cases under observation.
objective risk
because objective risk can be ____, it is very useful for an insurer or corporate risk manager.
measured
states that as the number of exposure units increases, the more closely the actual loss experience will approach the expected loss experience.
law of large numbers.
uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition or state of mind. also called perceived risk.
subjective risk
the probability that an event will occur.
chance of loss
refers to the long-run relative frequency of an event based on the assumptions of an infinite number of observations and of no change in the underlying conditions.
objective probability.
objective probabilities can be determined in two ways. first, they can be determined by ___ ____, which is also called a priori probability. uses example of odds of getting heads on a coin, or rolling a 6 with a single die.
deductive reasoning.
second part of objective probabilities, uses ___ ____ rather than by deduction. uses example that you don’t know odds of someone at age 21 will die before age 26, but analyzing past mortality experience to estimate the probability.
inductive reasoning
individual’s personal estimate of the chance of loss.
subjective probability.
defined as the cause of loss. examples include if your house burns because of a fire, the cause of loss is the fire, or if your car is damaged in a collision with another car, collision is the cause of loss.
peril.
condition that creates or increases the frequency or severity of loss.
hazard
4 major types of hazards:
physical, moral, ____ and legal.
attitudinal (morale)
physical condition that increases the frequency or severity of loss. examples include icy roads that increase the chance of auto accident, or a defective lock on a door that increases the chance of theft.
physical hazard
dishonesty of character defects in an individual that increase the frequency or severity of loss. examples include faking an accident to collect benefits from insurer and submitting a fraudulent claim. causes insurance premiums to be higher for everyone.
moral hazard.
carelessness or indifference to a loss, which increases the frequency or severity of a loss. examples include leaving car keys in an unlocked car or leaving a door unlocked, which increases chances of theft.
attitudinal or morale hazard.
refers to characteristics of the legal system or regulatory environment that increase the frequency or severity of losses. examples include adverse jury verdicts or large damage awards in liability lawsuits
legal hazard.
risk can be classified into several distinct classes. the most important include the following:
- pure and speculative risk
- diversifiable and nondiversifiable risk
- ___ risk
- ____ risk
enterprise, systemic
defined as a situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss. examples include premature death, job-related accidents.
pure risk.
defined as situation in which either profit or loss is possible. example is if you purchase 100 shares of common stock, you would profit if the price of stock increases or lose if the price declines.
speculative risk
risk that affects only individuals or small groups and not the entire economy. risk that can be reduced or eliminated by diversification. example includes a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds is less risky than a portfolio that is 100% invested in common stocks.
diversifiable risk.
because diversifiable risk affects only specific individuals or small groups, it is also called
nonsystematic or particular risk.