chapter 2 Flashcards

(36 cards)

1
Q

random variable

A

formal statistical model for representing the results of an experiment

simply numeric representation of the result on an experiment

its a function x that that associates a unique numerical value with every outcome in the sample space

not lunique, for a given experiment there are infinitely many

each time an experiment is conducted an o observation of the random variables are made

traditional to denote random variable as capital letter and its realisation as lower case equivalent

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2
Q

discrete random variable

A

is a random variable whose sample space only has a countable (finite or countably infinite)) number of outcomes

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3
Q

sample space is countable if

A

outcomes can be written in size order

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4
Q

probability mass function

A

method of specifying the probability of each outcome(
pmf) p(x)

specifies the probability that the random variable X=x(si) for all outcomes r(si) in the sample space
used for discrete random variables

must satisfy:
p(x)>o for al outcomes x - cannot have -ve probability
sum of probabilities for all outcomes must equal 1

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5
Q

expectation

A

E[X]=x1 x p1 + x2 x p2 +…+xn x pn

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6
Q

variance

A

measure of how spread out a set of data is

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7
Q

cumulative distribution function

A

represents the probability of a realisation from a random variable is less than or equal to x

f(X)=P(X is less than or equal to x)

is defined for all real numbers not just element of sample space
the CDF for any other outcome x can be calculated by adding up the probabilities that are less than or equal to X

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8
Q

probability mass function

A

A probability mass function (PMF) p(x) specifies the probability that the random
variable X = x(si) for all outcomes x(si) in the sample space. p(x)=P(X =x(si))=P(X =x).
must satisfy two fundamental properties:
probabilities must be greater than 0 and the sum of all probabilities must equal 1

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9
Q

E(X+Y)=

A

E(X) + E(Y)

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10
Q

E(a)=

A

a

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11
Q

E(aX) =

A

aE(X).

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12
Q

E(aX+b)=

A

aE(X)+b.

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13
Q

if independant E(XY)=

A

E(X)E(Y)

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14
Q

standard deviation

A

square root of the variance

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15
Q

var(a)=

A

0

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16
Q

var(X) =

A

greater than or eequal to 0

17
Q

var(X)=0 only if…

A

Xis a constant

18
Q

var(bX)=

19
Q

var(bX+a)=

20
Q

variance: if X and Y are independent in variance

A

Var(X+Y)=Var)X) + Var(Y)

Var(aX + bY ) = a2Var(X) + b2Var(Y )

21
Q

var(X-Y)=

A

= Var(X) + Var(Y ).

22
Q

discrete distributions

A

probability models for discrete random variables

23
Q

Descrete distributions: Bernoulli

A

simplest descrete districutions
models situations where there are only two possible outcomes referred to as 0 and one and fail or successs respectively
probability of a success is equal to 0<1
denoted by X tilda Bern(thita)

24
Q

Bern: P(success)=

25
Bern: P(fail)
1-thita
26
Bern: pmf can be written as
p(x) = P(X = x) = thita to power of x x(1- thita)to power of1-x here that is a perimeter which is likely unknown but must be between 0 and 1 would estimate the value of that from data
27
Bern: expectation and variance
exp turns out t be that | var turns out to be that(1- that)
28
Binomail distribution
represents the probability of successes in a number of identical and independent Bernoulli trials denoted by X tilda Bin(number of trials, thita) so X= the sum of the n Bernoulli trials X represents the number of successes
29
Bin: pmf
p(x)=P(X=x)= nCx thita to power x (1- thita) to power n-x
30
Bin: coefficients nCx
nCx= n!/(n-x)!x!
31
Bin: three secial cases
p(X=0) = (1- thita) to power n... no successes p(X=n) = thita to power n...successes only p(X greater than or equal to 1) = 1-(1- thita) to power n... at least one success
32
Bin: expectation an variance
``` E(X)= n x thita Var(X)= nthita(1- thita) ```
33
Geometric districution
models the number of Bernoulli trials required to obtain the first success denoted by: X tilda Geo (thita)
34
geometric: pmf
p(x)=P(X=x)=(1- that) to power ofx-1 all times thita forx=1,2,3,... has infinitely many outcomes instead of just 0 and 1 because its thenumber of failures it takes to get a success sum of all probabilities still equals one though
35
geometric: mean and variance
...
36
poisson distibution
denotes the number of events that occur randomly in a fixed point in time or space