Chapter 4 Prove Bottom-Up Assumptions Flashcards
(49 cards)
What percentage of entrepreneurs will not get VC or will fail with VC?
99.98 percent
What do the remaining 0.02 percent of entrepreneurs do regarding VC?
They control their venture and the wealth they create by delaying VC
What is one of the most difficult aspects of business?
Raising money for a new business or a growing venture
What is the perspective of financiers compared to entrepreneurs regarding potential?
Financiers see risk where entrepreneurs see potential
What do billion-dollar entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley typically do with VC?
They use VC to build capital-intensive ventures but delay it until there is proof of potential
What do billion-dollar entrepreneurs outside Silicon Valley tend to be?
Capital efficient and mainly grow without VC
What do early-stage VC funds do?
They raise money from institutional investors to invest in high-potential ventures
What return do institutional investors want from VC funds?
High annual returns of more than 20 percent
Why is it difficult for VCs to achieve desired portfolio returns?
Due to the large proportion of failing ventures in a VC portfolio
What type of investment do Silicon Valley VCs typically use?
High-risk equity instruments such as preferred stock
What is a consequence of VCs investing large amounts per venture?
Significant dilution to the entrepreneurs
What do finance-smart entrepreneurs do?
They grow with control and manage their wealth
What is the first strategy finance-smart entrepreneurs use?
Prove bottom-up assumptions
What is a critical aspect for entrepreneurs to manage their business?
Knowing their numbers
What are the two key areas where new businesses usually fail to project accurately?
- Level and timing of revenues
- Investment required to achieve sales targets
What does developing reasonable projections for sales focus on?
Sales and how to achieve them
What are the two ways entrepreneurs can develop their financial projections?
- Top-down projections
- Bottom-up projections
What is the primary flaw in top-down projections for new ventures?
New ventures lack historical data for accurate market share estimates
What do bottom-up projections start with?
Evaluating alternate sales drivers based on industry practices
Why are bottom-up projections better for entrepreneurs?
They help better estimate cost, revenues, and time to revenues
What can affect how long it takes customers to switch to a new product?
- Attractiveness of the value proposition
- Knowledge about the product
- Cost to switch
- Complexity of understanding and using the product
What did Lloyd Sigel test before developing his final projections?
Various options for packaging, pricing, and stores
What is a common sales growth pattern in high-growth companies?
Hockey stick shape: slow at the start, faster growth after learning to sell
What did Jill Blashack Strahan do to maintain positive cash flow?
Kept costs low and inventory under control