class 3: Investment process and the IPS Flashcards
(42 cards)
asset allocation
the process used to determine what proportion of money we should put in each asset class
asset class
group of securities that exhibit similar characteristics
behave similarly in market place
subject to same laws
investable
steps to do asset allocation
- determine strategic asset allocation
- choose benchmark
- rebalance portfolio
- tactical asset allocation (optional)
the difference between strategic asset allocation and tactical asset allocation
strategic asset allocation is long term
tactical asset allocation is temporary
–> when we spot exceptional opportunities in the market
determining the asset allocation (steps)
- client’s investment objectives and constraints
2. capital expectations (like assignment #1)
IPS (investment policy statement) (components)
- objectives
2. constraints
IPS objectives
Risk
–> willingness to assume risk
–> ability to assume risk
Return
–> difficult to articulate (never give a certain amount)
VaR (value at risk)
an estimate of the minimum loss with a given probability over a specified period
–> expressed as a $ amount or a % of portfolio value
VaR components
- amount of loss
- probability
- period of time
IPS constraints
- time horizon
- taxes
- liquidity
- legal and regulation
- unique circumstances
investment horizon (time horizon) constraint
the planned liquidation date
affects portfolio risk and security maturity dates
taxes constraint
income tax
tax on interest
tax on dividends
capital gains tax
estate tax (not in canada)
gift tax (not in canada)
wealth tax (not in canada)
liquidity constraint
speed and easy with which an asset can be converted into cash
need for cash in short notice increases liquidity requirement
liquidity
how easy we can convert asset into cash without needing to drastically reduce price
legal and regulations constraints
specific regulations that may apply to institutional investors
prudent investor rule
prudent investor rule
the fiduciary responsibility of a professional investor
a legal principle that is used to restrict the choices of the financial manager of an account to the types of investments that a person seeking reasonable income and preservation of capital might buy for his or her own portfolio
unique needs constant
special considerations related to the underlying investors
capital market expectations sub categories
expected return
risk
correlation
how do we forecast the fixed income market?
we look at interest rates
theory of the term structure
- liquidity preference theory
- the expectations theory
- market segmentation theory
liquidity preference theory
yield curve should be upper sloping
a model that suggests that an investor should demand a higher interest rate or premium on securities with long-term maturities that carry greater risk because, all other factors being equal, investors prefer cash or other highly liquid holdings
Liquidity Preference Theory refers to money demand as measured through liquidity
the expectations theory
attempts to predict what short-term interest rates will be in the future based on current long-term interest rates
The theory suggests that an investor earns the same interest by investing in two consecutive one-year bond investments versus investing in one two-year bond today
market segmentation theory
long and short-term interest rates are not related to each other
the prevailing interest rates for short, intermediate, and long-term bonds should be viewed separately like items in different markets for debt securities
what drives the stock market?
the GDP
all capital markets driven by miacroeconomic factors