Common Univariate Flashcards
(35 cards)
How to denote prob. of success
P, with value 1
how many outcomes does bernuolli rv has and name them?
2 outcomes, success or failure
how to denoted prob. of failure in bernoulli rv
1-P , with value 0
bernuolli is used for which type of variable?
discrete
Probability Mass Function (PMF)
For a Bernoulli random variable
π
P(X=1)=p
π(π=0)=1βπ
PMF is given by:
f(x)=p^x* (1βp)^1βx
This means:
When x=1: π(1)=π
x=0: π(0)=1βπ
^= power
*= multiplication
Mean (Expected Value) of bernuolli rv
ΞΌx=p
variance of bernuolli rv
Var(X)=p(1βp)
CDF of a Bernoulli random variable
π
X is a step function that increases from 0 to 1 at
x=0:
For
π₯<0: πΉ(π₯)=0
For
0β€x<1: F(x)=1βp
For
xβ₯1: F(x)=1
The CDF is a piecewise function:
Before
x=0, the probability is 0.
Between
x=0 and x=1, the probability jumps to
1βp.
At x=1 and beyond, the probability is 1.
the variance in bernuolli rv
the variance is low for values of p close to 1 or 0, and the maximum variance is at 0.5
example for bernuolli rv
Letβs say we are modeling whether a firm will default on its debt over a year:
Let
X=1 represent the firm defaulting (success).
Let
X=0 represent the firm not defaulting (failure).
Suppose the probability of default (p) is 0.2.
For this example:
P(X=1)=p=0.2
P(X=0)=1βp=0.8
The PMF would be:
For
X=1:
f(1)=0.2
For
X=0:
f(0)=0.8
Mean (Expected Value) and Variance
The mean (expected value)= UX=P
For our example,
ππ=0.2
The variance of
X is: Var(X)=p(1βp)
For our example,
Var(X)=0.2Γ0.8=0.16.
CDF:
For our example:
For π₯<0:F(x)=0
For 0β€x<1: F(x)=0.8
For xβ₯1: F(x)=1
the probability mass function (PMF) for this Bernoulli variable is
defined only for which value
for 0 or 1
cdf for bernoulli defined for which no.
for all real no.
binomial probability function defines
the probability of exactly x
successes in n bernoulli trials with probabiltiy p constant
binomial probabiltiy function
P(X=x)= (
x
n)
βp ^x (1βp) ^nβx
(n
x)= ncx= n!/(n-x)! * x!
expected value of x or expected value of success in binomial
np
variance in binomial
var(X)= np (1-p)
what expected value help and what is expected value is means in binomial
expected value is mean here. also it helps to set epextation for the outcome
what variance in binomial helps to define
fluctuation
why we do ncx in binomial rv?
binomial coefficient is essential for determining the number of ways to arrange
x successes in
n trials, which is a crucial component of the binomial probability formula.
Binomial distributions are used extensively in ?
the investment world where outcomes
are typically seen as successes or failures. In general, if the price of a security goes up, it
is viewed as a success. If the price of a security goes down, it is a failure. In this context,
binomial distributions are often used to create models to aid in the process of asset
valuation
The Poisson distribution is which one discrete or continuous?
discrete probability distribution with a number of real world applications
An interesting feature of the Poisson distribution is that both its mean and variance are
equal to ?
lambda (Ξ»)
Define poisson distribution
The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the likelihood of a given number of events happening within a fixed interval of time or space