Critical Reasoning Flashcards
Argument Structure - list all the possible parts of an argument
e.g., The expansion of the runways at the Bay City Airport will allow larger planes to use the airport. These new planes will create a lot of noise, a nuisance for residents who live near the airport. However, many of the residents in this neighbourhood work in construction, and the contract to expand the runways has been awarded to the local construction company. Thus, the expansion of the runways will lead to an increased quality of life for the residents of this neighbourhood.
1) Premise (at least 1) - information to SUPPORT some claim or conclusion (reasons).
> e.g., “However, many of the residents in this neighbourhood work in construction, and the contract to expand the runways has been awarded to the local construction company.”
- (Most will have a) Conclusion - The primarily claim the author is trying to PROVE or the OUTCOME of a plan someone is proposing.
> The “claimed” result (perhaps in the future, “will”).
> NOT a statement of fact.
> e.g., “Thus, the expansion of the runways will lead to an increased quality of life for the residents of this neighbourhood.” - (Most will contain) Background Info - context to understand the basic situation, neither supports nor goes against the conclusion.
> Almost always fact-based (such as descriptions of plans/ideas, historical info, data, definitions of words or concepts).
> e.g., “The expansion of the runways at the Bay City Airport will allow larger planes to use the airport.” - (Some will contain) Counterpoints - info that goes against the author’s conclusion.
> e.g., “These new planes will create a lot of noise, a nuisance for residents who live near the airport.” - (Many will rely on) Assumptions - not stated in the argument, but that the author must BELIEVE TO BE TRUE in order to draw the given conclusion.
- Intermediate conclusion - first conclusion that is supported by other premises and in turn SUPPORTS a FURTHER CONCLUSION
> Premise supports the intermediate conclusion, which then supports the final conclusion.
> therefore, Intermediate conclusions are both a claim and a premise.
Keywords for Conclusion
Thus, therefore, it follows that, hence
Clearly
__shows that__
So
Surely
Conclusion:
> usually an opinion/claim (prediction about the future), not a fact
> This is what the author is trying to prove
Keywords for Premise
Because of
Since
Due to
As a result of
After all
For
Premise:
> Can be a fact
> Premises SUPPORT the author’s conclusion or DEPENDED on
Claims versus Facts
Claims - predictions about the future, not facts. Claims are good candidates to be the conclusion.
How to tell whether a statement is an Intermediate Conclusion or (Final) Conclusion?
Use the Therefore Test
BECAUSE _intermediate conclusion__, THEREFORE __final conclusion.
Or vice versa (switch statement order).
Which order makes sense?
e.g., Because he is likely to get caught, therefore he will probably end up in jail.
Example: Label the parts of the argument
The owner of a small publishing company plans to lease a new office space that has floor-to-ceiling windows and no internal walls, arguing that the new space will enhance worker productivity. The owner cites a recent study showing that workers exposed to natural light throughout the day tended to report, on average, a higher level of job satisfaction than did those who worked in office spaces that used fluorescent lighting. Thus, the owner concluded, exposure to natural light has a positive effect on workers’ job satisfaction.
“The owner of a small publishing company plans to lease a new office space that has floor-to-ceiling windows and no internal walls,” => Background info
“…arguing that the new space will enhance worker productivity” => Conclusion
“The owner cites a recent study showing that workers exposed to natural light throughout the day tended to report, on average, a higher level of job satisfaction than did those who worked in office spaces that used fluorescent lighting. “ => Premise
“Thus, the owner concluded, exposure to natural light has a positive effect on workers’ job satisfaction.” => intermediate conclusion
Intermediate vs Conclusion? Therefore Test
> BECAUSE the new space will enhance worker productivity, THEREFORE exposure to natural light has a positive effect on job satisfaction.
> BECAUSE exposure to natural light has a positive effect on job satisfaction, THEREFORE, the new space will enhance worker productivity. ** makes more sense.
Common argument types
In October, a local news station completed a redesign of its website. In November, the number of articles read on the website increased by 50%. Thus, the redesigned website clearly attracted more users or encouraged users to read more articles per visit.
Anticipate WHAT IFS
Causation
Conclusion: Last sentence –> The redesigned website is the CAUSE for the 50% increase in readership.
Premises:
- Oct - redesign complete
- Nov - readership increase
Anticipate WHAT IF Q’s (do you believe the author’s conclusion?)
- what if there are OTHER CAUSES for the increase?
Test by:
> removing cause and observing whether the effect is the same
Strengthen by:
> Providing more evidence in support of causation
> Providing evidence that reverse causation is not true
Weaken by:
> Providing evidence of OTHER CAUSES or reverse causation
Common argument types
Metropolis has experienced an increase in the amount of trash in its city parks. In order to reduce the amount of litter in the parks, Metropolis plans to double the number of trash cans in each city park.
Anticipate WHAT IFS
Plan
Conclusion: “In order to reduce the amount of litter in the parks” –> GOAL of a plan
(Amount of litter in the park will reduce).
Background: Statement of Fact
- Increase in the amount of trash in city parks
Premise: (Why there will be a reduction in the amount of litter in the parks?)
- Double the number of trash cans in each city park.
Anticipate WHAT IF Q’s (do you believe the author’s conclusion?)
- What if the plan doesn’t work (e.g., missed steps, unexpected hindrances?)
Common argument types
Rainfall totals were higher this year than they were last year in Eastown. Since wheat farmers rely on rain to irrigate their fields, yields of wheat per acre in Eastown will be higher than last year’s yields.
Anticipate WHAT IFS
Prediction (future tense conclusion)
Conclusion: Yields of wheat per acre will be higher than last year’s yields in Eastown.
Premise:
- Rainfall totals were higher this year than they were last year in Eastown
- Wheat farmers rely on rain to irrigate their fields
Anticipate WHAT IF Q’s (do you believe the author’s conclusion?)
- What if the author missed other factors/circumstances that might work against the prediction? (e.g., temperature)
Parts of an argument exercise:
The average level of physical fitness among students at North High School is likely to decline over the next few years. Due to recent changes in the way that the school calculates students’ grades, earning a high grade in a physical education class will no longer improve a student’ s grade point average. Therefore, students who would otherwise have taken optional gym classes will be more likely to choose other electives in which earning a high grade is worth more points.
Conclusion: “The average level of physical fitness among students at North High School is likely to decline over the next few years.”
Premises:
- Due to recent changes in the way that the school calculates students’ grades, earning a high grade in a physical education class will no longer improve a student’ s grade point average.
Intermediate Conclusion:
“Therefore, students who would otherwise have taken optional gym classes will be more likely to choose other electives in which earning a high grade is worth more points.”
THEREFORE TEST:
(1) BECAUSE the average physical fitness level among students is likely to decline, THEREFORE, students will be more likely to choose other non-gym electives to earn a high grade (WRONG)
(2) BECAUSE students will be more likely to choose other non-gym electives to earn a high grade, THEREFORE the average physical fitness level among students is likely to decline.
Parts of an argument exercise:
During the past 30 years, the percentage of the population that smokes cigarettes has consistently declined. During the same time period, however, the number of lung cancer deaths attributed to smoking cigarettes has increased.
Two premises - no conclusion!
What is meant by the following:
“The first is a finding that has been used to support a conclusion that the argument rejects”
Finding supports something that OPPOSES the argument –> counterpremise.
What are common assumptions for Plan arguments
Assumptions that validate every step of the plan will work as expected OR EXCLUDE other factors
What are common assumptions for Prediction arguments
Assumptions that no other future events beyond those mentioned in the argument will intervene.
Strengthen prediction by addressing past challenges (e.g., high cost)
Trap answers for finding the assumption questions
- No tie to the conclusion –> remember, the correct assumption must be true to make the conclusion sound –> if the assumption doesn’t tell you anything about whether the conclusion is true or not, then it is wrong.
**Don’t add your own assumptions - Irrelevant comparison or distinction
- Reverse logic - answer is the OPPOSITE of what you are looking for (b/c it weakens the argument)
Student Advisor: One of our exchange students faced multiple arguments with her parents over the course of the past year. Not surprisingly, her GPA over the same period showed a steep decline. This is just one example of a general truth: Problematic family relationships can cause significant academic difficulties for our students.
Which of the following is required for the student advisor to conclude that problematic family relationships can cause academic difficulties?
A) last year, the exchange student reduced the amount of time spent on academic work, resulting in a lower GPA
B) The decline in the GPA of the exchange student was not the reason for the student’s arguments with her parents.
C) School GPA is an accurate measure of the student’s intellectual ability
D) the student’s GPA is lower than the average GPA for exchange students at the university.
E) Fluctuations in academic performance are typical for many students.
B
- Assumption denying reverse causation
Answer is NOT D – irrelevant distinction
> It isn’t necessary to compare the student’s GPA to others in order to explain WHY her GPA decreased.
Answer is NOT A - Reverse Logic –> suggests a DIFFERENT REASON for the decline in GPA.
CAUSE-EFFECT relationship (ASSUMPTION!!!!!!!!!)
What type of error is this?
Students who earn A and B grades are more likely to participate in sports than are students who earn C grades. Therefore, participation in sports helps students achieve higher grades.
Find the Assumption
- Students who earn A grades participate in sports more frequently than those who earn B grades.
Assumption should support why participation in sports will help C students achieve higher grades.
The assumption is wrong because it is an IRRELEVANT DISTINCTION between A students and B students
> does not matter about the frequency of participation in sports
> also does not matter about the differences between A and B students (they are grouped together).
Strengthen and Weaken the argument question markers and types of answer choices
“If true” or “if feasible” or “effectively achieved” or “successfully accomplished”
Ans choices will typically be:
- Info that strengthens the argument
- Info that weakens the argument
- Info that does nothing to the argument
Strategy for Strengthen the Argument question - what should the correct ans be?
The correct ans should be RELATED TO THE CONCLUSION
e.g., Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the prediction that Donut Chain’s promotion will increase the new store’s profitability?
> Need evidence that upfront cost of attracting new customers will generate greater new business
e.g., the vast majority of new visitors to its stores become regular customers
What are Fill in the Blank question formats?
- They are a different way of presenting the existing question types (e.g., Strengthen the argument, Find the Assumption, or Inference)
“Which of the following most logically COMPLETES the argument below?”
> “since/because” ____ –> Strengthen the argument
“[If some claim is true], it should be expected that” ____ —> Inference (must be true given the info in the argument)
“[In order for some claim to be true], it must be shown that” ____ —> Inference (must be true given the info in the argument)
“[Something is true] assuming that” _____ —> Find the Assumption
The national infrastructure for airport runways and air traffic control requires immediate expansion to accommodate the increase in smaller private planes. To help fund this expansion, the Federal Aviation Authority has proposed a fee for all air travelers. However, this fee would be unfair, as it would impose costs on all travelers to benefit only the few who utilize the new private planes.
Which of the following, if true, would cast the most doubt on the claim that the proposed fee would be unfair?
(A) The existing national airport infrastructure benefits all air travelers
(B) The expansion would reduce the # of delayed flights resulting from small private planes congesting runways
(C) The fee, if imposed, will have a negligible impact on the overall volume of air travel
Weaken the Arg question
B –> this is a benefit to all passengers, which would make it more fair
A is wrong –> “existing” infrastructure doesn’t affect the conclusion at all! (no tie to conclusion trap)
EXCEPT question format
- can show up for Strengthen the Arg or Weaken the Arg (or other question types)
Remember, EXCEPT questions are just a different format of the same material studied!
e.g., “Each of the following, if true, weakens the conclusion, EXCEPT” —> right ans DOES NOT weaken the arg (i.e., strengthen OR does nothing!)
Strategy: Choose the ODD ONE OUT
e.g., Label W, S, Neither
Which of the following best completes the passage below?
A nonprofit organization in Motor City has proposed that local college students be given the option to buy half-price monthly passes for the city’s public transportation system. The nonprofit claims that this plan will reduce air pollution in Motor City while increasing profits for the city’s public transportation system. However, this plan is unlikely to meet its goals, since ___
A) Most college students in Motor City view public transportation as unsafe
B) College students typically do not have the 9-to-5 schedules of most workers, and can thus be expected to ride public transportation at times when there are plenty of empty seats
C) A bus produces more air pollution per mile than does a car
Strengthen the Arg (that offering half-price monthly passes to local college students will NOT reduce air pollution and increase profits)
> Conclusion is “however, this plan is unlikely to meet its goals, since __”
A) Related to conclusion (college students in Motor City, public transportation) –> says that even with the reduced price, most college students won’t use it. CORRECT
B) Sound related to conclusion - says that college students in GENERAL will ride at non-peak times –> may not reduce pollution? What’s the alternative? Vague
> also students would be filing what are currently empty seats (increase profits!)
C) Doesn’t talk about college students in Motor City – trying to say that even if there are more bus riders, air pollution might not go down.
> also, the plan isn’t about increasing the number of buses; it is about putting more people on already-running buses!
Traditionally, public school instructors have been compensated according to seniority. Recently, education experts have criticized the system as one that rewards lackadaisical teaching and reduces motivation to excel. Instead, these experts argue that, to retain exceptional teachers and maintain quality instruction, teachers should receive salaries or bonuses based on performance rather than seniority.
Which of the following, if true, most weakens the argument of the education experts?
A) Some teachers express than financial compensation is not the only factor contributing to job satisfaction and teaching performance
B) A merit-based system that bases compensation on teacher performance reduces collaboration, which is an integral component of quality instruction
Weaken
A - sounds right BUT there are problems
> “Some teachers” does not mean the teachers are right nor does it mean they they represent the majority
> Financial compensation is STILL a factor.
B is right