Exam 2 Flashcards

(35 cards)

1
Q

Properties of probabilities

A

1.) Each probability lies between 0 and 1
2.) Sum of all simple-event probabilities equal 1

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2
Q

Conditional Probability

A

is the situation whereby probability of one event is influenced by that of another event

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3
Q

P[A|B]

A

Probability of “event A given that B has occurred.”

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4
Q

If the occurrence of an event B does not alter the occurrence of event A, then A and B are said to be ________

A

Independent
P[ A n B] = P[A] * P[B]

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5
Q

A _______ is a picture of the possible outcomes of a procedure, shown as a line segments emanating from one starting point.

A

Tree Diagrams

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6
Q

Union

A

A set that contains the elements in A, B or both

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7
Q

Intersection

A

A set that contains only the elements that appear in both sets

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8
Q

Complement

A

the opposite

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9
Q

Mutually Exclusive ( or disjoint)

A

They have no elements in common

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10
Q

Mutually Exhaustive

A

They contain all the elements of the universe

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11
Q

What theorem describes the probability of an event, based on conditions that might be related to the event.

A

P(A|B) = P( A n B) / P(B)

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12
Q

A permutation of a set of distinct objects is an ________

A

ordered arrangement of objects

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13
Q

An ordered arrangement of r elements of a set is called an _______

A

r-permutation

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14
Q

0! = ______

A

1

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15
Q

How can the total probability of an event be obtained?

A

The total probability of an event can be obtained by summing the set of MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE and EXHAISTIVE ways of the event occuring

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16
Q

A _____ is an unordered sample (without replacement) from a given finite set

17
Q

An r-combination of elements of a set is an ____________ of r elements from a set

A

Unordered selection

18
Q

True or False:
A combination is a selection of k objects from a group of n object when order does matter

A

FALSE!!!

A combination is a selection of k objects from a group of n object when order DOES NOT matter

19
Q

A______________ is a variable that assumes numerical values associated with the random outcome of an experiment, where one (and only one) numerical values is assigned to each sample point.

A

Random Variable

20
Q

A_______is a probability value that has been revised by using additional information that is later obtained

A

posterior probability

21
Q

What does the PDF measure?

A

The PDF, fx(x), measures how likely a random variable is to lie at a particular value or how fast the CDF is increasing.

  • represents the density of the probability at some point x
22
Q

The CDF, F(x), is defined as F(x) =

A

FX(x) = P[X less than or equal to x]

23
Q

True or False:
The derivative of the CDF is the PDF

24
Q

CDF

A

is a probability and satisfies all the axioms and corollaries of probability

25
mn rule (product rule)
For a sequence of two events in which the first event can occur m ways and the second event can occur n ways, the events together can occur a total of m n ways
26
Discrete random variable
may assume a finite number of numerical values or an infinite sequence of values
27
What are the three criteria to be considered a Bernoulli Distribution
1.) There must be only 2 possible outcomes 2.) Each outcome must have an invariant probability of occurring. i.e., the probability of success is usually denoted by p, and the probability of failure is denoted by q = 1 - p 3.) The outcome of each trial is completely independent of the outcome of any other trials.
28
Binomial Distribution B(n,p)
Also has 2 outcomes- success or failure, True or False It is the probability of exactly k successes in n trials There must be k successes and (n-k) failures in the n trials, but the order in which the successes and failures occur is immaterial. Trials are independent
29
Continuous Random Variable
Is a random variable that has an infinite number of possible values that is not countable
30
Discrete probability distrubtion
provides the possible values of th RV and their corresponding probabilities. It is also called the probability mass function (PMF)
31
PMF
the probability that the RV X is equal to x P[ X=x], is given a numerical value by the probability function
32
Poisson Distribution
is the probability of exactly k successes in a "unit" or continuous time interval. It is used to determine the number of occurrences of an event in a certain time interval,e.g., rate of growth or decay
33
Probability Density Function(PDF)
Measures how likely a random variable is to lie at a particular value or how fast the CDF increasing
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