Exam 2 Flashcards

(37 cards)

1
Q

Hypothesis

A

a theory about how the world works

    • proposed as an explanation for data
    • posed as statement about population parameters
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2
Q

Hypothesis testing

A

a method that used inferential statistics which of two hypothesis data support

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3
Q

likelihood

A

probability distribution of a statistic, according to each hypothesis
–if result is likely according to a hypothesis, we say data “support” or “are consistent with” the hypothesis

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4
Q

binary data

A

a set of two-choice outcomes

yes/no

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5
Q

binomial variable

A

a statistic for binary samples

– frequency of “yes” or “no”

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6
Q

binomial distribution

A

probability distribution for a binomial variables

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7
Q

null hypothesis

A

nothing interesting going on, blind chance

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8
Q

alternative hypothesis

A

one outcome more likely than expexed by chance

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9
Q

critical value

A

value or statistic must exceed to reject null hypothesis (luck)

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10
Q

sign test

A

ignore magnitude of change; just direction

–same logic as other binomial tests

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11
Q

Type 1 error

A

null hypothesis is true, but we reject it

– conclude a useless treatment is effective

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12
Q

Type II error

A

null hypothesis is false, but we don’t reject it

– don’t recognize when a treatment is effective

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13
Q

Type I error rate

A

proportion of times, when null hypothesis is true, that we mistakenly reject it
—Fraction of bogus treatments that we conclude are effective

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14
Q

Alpha Level

A

Chosen type I error rate

  • -Usually .05 in Psychology
  • -Determines critical value
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15
Q

Replication

A
  • -doing exactly the same experiment but with a new sample

- -sampling variability means each replication will result in different value of statistic

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16
Q

Sampliing distribution

A

the probability distribution of some statistic over repeated replication of an experiment

17
Q

distribution of sample means

A

the probability distribution for M

18
Q

Standard Error

A

Typical distance from M to MEW

19
Q

Law of Large Numbers

A

The larger the sample the closer M will be to MEW

Formally : as n goes to infinity, SE goes to 0

20
Q

Central Limit Theorum

A

Characterized distribution of sample mean

–works for any population distribution

21
Q

Distribution of sample variances

A

Probability distribution for s over repeated replication

22
Q

Chi-Square

A

probability distribution for sampel variance

–positive skew; variance sensitive to outliers

23
Q

t statistic

A

deviation of sample means divided by estimated standard error

24
Q

t distribution

A

sampling distribution of t statistic

–derived from ration of Normal and modified x (squared)

25
t-test
Steps of t-test 1. State clearly the two hypotheses 2. Determine null and alternative hypotheses H0: µ = µ0 H1: µ ≠ µ0 3. Compute the test statistic t from the data t = M −µ0 s n 4. Determine likelihood function for test statistic according to H0 t distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom 5. Find critical value R: qt(alpha,n-1,lower.tail=FALSE) 6. Compare actual result to critical value t < tcrit: Retain null hypothesis, µ = µ0 t > tcrit: Reject null hypothesis, µ ≠ µ0
26
degrees of freedom
df = n -1
27
test statistic
statistic computed from sample to decide between hypotheses | --relevant to hypotheses being tested
28
critical region
Range of value that will lead to rejecting null hypothesis | -- all values beyond critical value
29
Type II error rate
If the null is false, probability of failing to reject it | --depends on how false the null is
30
p-value
probability of getting a value equal to or more extreme than what you actually --cumulative distribution or quantile within sampling distribution
31
Independent samples t-test
often interested in whether two groups have same mean
32
Mean Squares
Average of squared deviations | --Used for estimating variance population
33
Paired-Samples T-test
Data are pairs of scores (Xa, Xb) --Form two samples, Xa and Xb --Samples are not independent Same null hypothesis as with independent samples Approach --Compute difference scores, Xdiff = Xa-Xb
34
Difference score (For paired samples t test)
Xdiff = Xa - Xb
35
Effect Size
if there is an effect, how big is it? | ---How different is mew from mew not or mew A from mew b etc
36
Point Estimate
We don't know exact effect size; samples just provide an estimate
37
Standardized Effect Size
Interpreting effect size depends on variable being measured ---Improving digit span by 2 more important than IQ Solution: measure effect size relative to variability in raw scores