Families and households - Demography Flashcards
(52 cards)
Define birth rate and show how it has changed over time.
Birth rate: the number of live births per 1,000 per year
Current birth rate is 1/3 of the 90’s at 11
Define the TFR and show how it has changed over time.
The Total Fertility Rate: the average number of children women will have during their fertile years (15-44)
1964: 3
2024: 1.4
What are the four reasons for the decline in the birth rate?
- Changes in women’s position
- Decline in infant mortality rate
- Children are now an economic liability
- Child centredness
How does change in women’s position affect birth rate? Give a counter argument.
Harper (2012): the increased education of women (GIST/WISE) is the most important reason for the long-term fall in birth rates - educated women are more likely to use family planning and see possibilities aside from mother and wife.
- Reay (1998): W/C girls persist in seeing well-paying masculine jobs as ‘not for us’ so its a generalisation.
How does change in IMR affect birth rate? Give a counterargument.
Harper (2012) argues that families will have lots of children if they are more likely to die so a decreasing IMR will decrease birth rate, and vice-versa.
- Brass Kabir (1978): the trend to smaller families did not start in urban areas, where the IMR first fell, but in rural areas
How has the IMR changed? Give 2 reasons.
Infant mortality rate is 2% of what it was in 1900, at 4/1000
- Improved housing and sanitation reduces infectious diseases that are more likely to harm babies
- Improved welfare services to make sure babies and families are properly taken care of
How have economics affected the birth rate? Give a counterargument.
Pre-the Children and Young Persons Act 1933, children were an economic asset to their family in the short-term, providing a livable wage. Since, they have lost that benefit and have become an economic liability which discourages childbearing.
- IfFS (2024): higher earning women are less likely to have children, which would disagree with the idea that the cost of raising children is the main issue.
How has child centredness decreased the birth rate?
Aries (1960): As childhood is considered more important, there is a shift from quantity to quality to ensure children are adequately socialised and happy
How do changes in fertility affect the family?
Women may be able to go to work due to having less children and create more equal, dual-earning families. However, fertility is not the only factor, better-off couples may be able to have larger familes and hire childcare to supplement.
What is the dependency ratio?
The relationship between the size of the productive and dependant parts of the population, with the earnings of the former needing to support the latter.
How do changes in the TFR affect the dependency ratio
In the short-term, children are dependant so a decrease would appear to lighten the ‘burden of dependance’. However, in the long-term, fewer babies means fewer young adults and a smaller working population, increasing the burden.
What are the 2 possible effect of changes in fertility?
- Psychological: Fewer children may mean less siblings so childhood may become a lonelier experience, negatively affecting children - Childline calls about lonlieness have risen by 75% in 5 years
- Political focus shifts to catering towards the elderly as they become an even larger portion of the voting population, further alienating the young
What is the death rate and how has it changed?
The number of deaths per 1,000 of the population per year
Death rate is less than half of that in 1900, at 9/1000
What is the main biological factor in the decreasing death rate?
Tranter (1966): over 3/4 of the decline since 1850 is due to cures and vaccines for infectious diseases like ditheria and tuberculosis (mainly affecting the young) and their replacement with ‘diseases of affluence’ like heart disease.
What are the 4 main social reasons for the decreasing death rate?
- Improved nutrition
- Medical improvements
- Smoking and diet
- Public Health measures
How does improved nutrition affect the death rate?
McKeown (1972): improved nutrition accounts for up to half of the reduction, particularly in increasing resistance to and survival chances of infectious diseases (specifically TB).
- McKeown fails to explain why females live longer despite receiving a smaller share of food supply. Additionally, he fails to explain why deaths from other infectious diseases like measles rose during times of improved nutrition.
How may medical improvements have led to the decline in the death rate?
Improved medical knowledge has allowed for both preventative measures, like SmokeFreeUK, and improvement in treatment, such as antibiotics and blood transfusion.
How has changes in smoking affected the death rate?
Harper (2012) argues that the fall in death rate is largely due to the fact that roughly 1/7 the number of people smoke now, leading to less afflictions like asthma or cancer. However, this has been replaced by obesity (1/4 of UK adults), but he argues that we now have an ‘American health culture’, where unhealthy lifestyles can be supported by costly medication.
How may public health measures have led to the decline in the death rate?
More hands-on local and central government in the 20th century has led to improvements in the safety of housing, cleaner drinking water, pasteurisation of milk, etc. The Clean Air Act reduced air pollution, which had killed 4,000 people in 5 days in 1952.
How has average life expectancy changed for both genders?
Life expectancy of men and women is 1.8x and 1.6x longer than it was in 1900, though women still live, on average, 3 years longer than men.
Harper and growing life expectancy:
Harper argues that if life expectancy continues to grow, we will soon achieve ‘radical longevity’ with the number of centenarians 100x what it is now, in 2100.
What are the CAGE differences in life expectancy?
- Women still live 3 years longer than men, though this has shrunk from 7 years in 1900
- W/c men in unskilled jobs are 3x more likely to die before 65 than men in professional jobs
- Walker (2011): those living in the poorest parts of England die 7 years earlier, whilst disabled people die 17 years earlier
Give evidence of an ageing population.
- The number aged 65 or over equalled the number of under-15s for the first time ever in 2014.
What three factors lead to an ageing population?
- Increasing life expectancy
- Declining infant mortality rate
- Declining fertility rates