Final Flashcards
(21 cards)
What are the general steps for finding a MOM estimator?
- Equate the sample moments to the population moments
- Solve the sytems of equations for pop. in terms of sample
What is an MLE?
The paramater value at which the likelihood function L(Ø|x) is maximized
What is the formula for a continuous likelihood function?
πi =1 f(xi| ø1 … øk)
What is the formula for a discrete likelihood function?
π P( X = xi | ø)
What are the steps for finding an MLE?
- ** Optional: take the log of the function
- Take the first derivative & set equal to 0
- Take the second derivative to check that the max/min is global
What is convergence in distribution?
{Xn}∞ converges to a r.v., X∞ , if and only if
lim Fxn(t) = Fx∞(t)
What is convergence in probability?
{Xn}∞ converges in prob. to X∞ if and only if
lim P( |Xn - X∞| > ɛ) = 0
** Convergence in probability implies convergence in distribution
What is the likelihood for a Bern (p) distribution?
L(p|x) = π pxi (1 - p)1-xi
What is the general form for Bayesian estimators?
(Likelihood * prior) / ∫ (Likelihood * prior) dθ
What is the general form posterior mean in Bayesian estimation?
E(θ|X) = ∫ θ f**θ (θ|X) dθ
where, fθ (θ|X) is the posterior density
What is the general formula for bias?
Bias(W) = E(W) - θ
where, W = estimator
What is the general formula for MSE?
MSE(W) = E [(W - θ)2]
= Var(W) + [E(W) - θ]2
= Variance + Bias2
What is a hypothesis test?
A function mapping the values of the t-stat (Tn = T(x1 … xn)) into {0,1} where:
0 = accept the null
1 = reject the null
What is the general form of the Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT)?
λ(X) = supθ<span>0 </span>L(θ|X) ÷ supθ L(θ|X)
or
restricted (to H0 parameters) ÷ unrestricted
What are the two types of errors we wish to avoid?
Type I error: Reject the null when it is true
Type II error: Accept the null when it is false
What is a power function?
A function of θ that provides the Type I error probability [ß(θ)] for a null hypothesis
What is coverage probability for an interval estimator?
The probability that the random interval includes θ
What is the confidence coefficient of an interval estimator?
Minimum coverage probability where θ is still “covered” by the interval
Do the probability statements associated with interval estimators refer to the CI or the parameter of interest?
The CI
What is the most common way of finding an interval estimator?
Invert the t-stat & solve for the parameter of interest
What is a pivotal quantity?
A random variable [Q(X, θ)] that has the same distribution over all values of θ