Final Exam- Hypotheses Testing & T-Test Flashcards
(39 cards)
Statistics
A branch of mathematics that involves the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data
Descriptive Statistics
Procedures used to summarize a set of data
Inferential Statistics
Are used to analyze data after you have conducted an experiment to determine whether your independent variable had a significant effect
What is Significant?
An inferential statistical test can tell us whether the results of an experiment can occur frequency or rarely by chance.
- Inferential statistics with small values occur frequently by chance.
- Inferential statistics with large values occur rarely by chance.
Null Hypothesis
A hypothesis that says that all difference between groups are due to chance. (i.e., not the operation of the IV)
- If a result occurs often by chance, we say that it is not significant and conclude that our IV did not affect the DV.
- If the result of our inferential statistical test occurs rarely by chance (i.e., it is significant), then we conclude that some factor other than chance is operative.
Directional hypothesis
Specifies exactly how (i.e., the direction) the results will turn out.
Nondirectional hypothesis
Does not specify exactly how the results will turn out.
One-tail t test
Evaluates the probability of only one type of outcome (based on directional hypothesis)
Two-tail t test
Evaluates the probability of both possible outcomes (based on nondirectional hypothesis)
Basic Experiments
- Define IV and DV
- Set Null and Alternative Experimental Hypotheses
- Take a random sample from population
- The sample will represent your population (they have a characteristic in common) - The administration of the IV causes the samples to differ significantly
- The experimenter generalizes the results of the experiment to the general population
Overview of Six Steps of Experiment
- Null Hypothesis
- Alternative Hypothesis
- Level of significance
- Data collection and analysis
- Criterion for evaluating data
- Decision about rejecting/retaining null hypothesis
Null Hypothesis (H0)
- The assumption that there is no difference between groups
- The hypothesis you are trying to disprove in your study
- More generally, that phenomena in your theory are not operating as you predict
Alternative Hypothesis (Ha or H1)
Deals with a specific value or specific difference
- Typically this means testing to see if there are statistically significant differences between groups
- Can be set up as directional or non-directional
- Directional (one-tailed test): Males are expected to be smarter than females on math subsection
- Non-directional (two-tailed test): Males and females will differ, but direction is not known
- -Direction typically guided by theory
- -Direction must be determined prior to data testing/analysis
P-Value
A numerical measure of the statistical significance of a hypothesis test
- Tell us how likely it is that we could have gotten our sample data even if the null hypothesis is true
- Probability
- 0.05 or 0.01
Type I Error
Rejecting the null when the null is actually true
- Evidence suggests that females are smarter than males (but this is correct)
- Accepting the experimental hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true.
- The experimenter directly controls the probability of making a Type I error by setting the significance level (i.e. p-value)
- The p-value is a measure of how likely you are to get this data if no real difference existed (i.e. if the null is true)
- You are less likely to make a Type-I error with a significance level of 0.01 than with a significance level of 0.05
- -However, the more extreme or critical you make the significance level to avoid a Type I error, the more likely you are to make a Type II (beta) error.
Type II (beta) Error
Not rejecting the null when the null is actually false
- Evidence suggests that females and males are equally intelligent (but females are in fact smarter)
- A Type II error involves accepting the null hypothesis and rejecting a true experimental hypothesis
- -Type II errors are not under the direct control of the experimenter
- -We can indirectly cut down on Type II errors by implementing techniques that will cause our groups to differ as much as possible
- -For example, the use of a strong IV and larger groups of participants.
Four potential outcomes
- The null hypothesis is actually true and the test correctly fails to reject the null (there are no difference)
- The null hypothesis is actually false, and the hypothesis test confirms the null is false (there are difference)
- The null hypothesis is actually true, but the hypothesis test incorrectly rejects it (Type I error)
- The null hypothesis is actually false, but the hypothesis test incorrectly fails to reject the null (Type II error)
Lower alpha
Lower chance of Type I error
-Ex: 0.05 alpha means that the chances of rejecting a true null hypothesis equals 5 out of 100
Calculated Value (Test statistic)
Summary of data leads to single numerical value (e.g., Pearson’s correlation r)
P value
Indicates how likely it would be, assuming the null is true, to end up with a sample correlation as large or larger than the computed r.
Critical Value
Value needed to be significant
- Set prior to data analyses
- Determined by alpha level (will be greater if alpha level is lower)
- Sample data statistics will be compared against the critical value
- Allows research to decide whether or not to reject the null
Level of significance
Selecting a preset point on which the p-value must fall
- Standard in psychology is at the 0.05 level
- If p value is smaller than the criterion, the sample is viewed as inconsistent with null
Failing to reject the null (or accepting the null)
Accepting the assumption that the null is true
- Intelligence scores for males and females were not significantly different
- Or…“No significant main effects were found”
Rejecting the Null
Saying that the null is false
- Something is occurring
- Typically indicated by statistically significant differences (e.g. p<0.05)
- Ex: Females scored significantly higher than males