Finance x Mgmt x Network 넘사벽 강자 🥷🏻 Flashcards
전문가라고 말하려면 이정도는 알아야지 (240 cards)
Cash on Cash return?
= Annual before tax retun cash flow / total cash invested
What is Free Cash Flow to Firm?
A company generates cash flows from its operations by selling goods or services. Some of its cash goes back into the business to renew fixed assets and for the working capital requirements.
Free cash flow to the firm is the excess cash generated over and above these expenses. The firm’s free cash flow goes to the debt holders and the equity holders. FCFF or Free cash flow to the firm is used in DCF financial modeling.
Free Cash Flow to Firm or FCFF Calculation = EBIT x (1-tax rate) + Non Cash Charges + Changes in Working capital – Capital Expenditure
What is Free Cash Flow to Equity? FCFE
And FCFE’s limitations?
FCFE Formula = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization + Changes in WC - Capex + Net Borrowings
Limitations: can be used only when the company’s leverage is not volatile and the company’s debt leverage is not changing.
What is Dividend Discount Model?
Based on the understanding that the fair value of a stock is the present value of all its future dividends.
CF = Dividends
Dividend yield?
Dividend yield = Dividend per share / Price per share
What is difference between Enterprise value and equity value?
Enterprise value = market value of operating assets
Equity value = market value of shareholders’ equity
Equity value = Enterprise value - net debt.
What are methodologies of valuation?
Smaller discipline SMLR DCPL
Discounted cash flow analysis
Comparable comp analysis
Precedent transactions
LBO analysis
Sum of the parts
Liquidation valuation
M&A premiums analysis
Replacement value
What are common multiples of valuation?
P4, E3
EV to EBIT
Price to cash flow
Enterprise value to sales
EV to EBITDA
PEG Ratio
Price to Book value
PE Ratio
TTM
Trailing twelve months: past 12 consecutive months
Comparable comp analysis vs. Precedent transactions?
Precedent transactions are higher. A controlling premium is built into it. (Willingness to pay to secure the majority stake)
LBO analysis
Leveraged Buyout: maximum value that buyer could pay for the target company, given the future value from operations and debt.
EV to EBIT ?
얼마나 성공적으로 비즈니스를 했나 평가지표: to see if the stock is highly priced and earning yield.
PCF ?
Price to Cash Flow = share price / cash flow per share
영업활동으로부터의 현금흐름 관점에서 가격이 몇퍼센트를 차지하나.
낮을수록 투자자에겐 좋다. undervalued 되었다는 거니까.
EV?
the sum of market capitalization, preferred shares, minority shares, debt minus cash
PEG ratio?
The Price/Earnings to Growth ratio, or PEG ratio, is a tool that helps assess how appropriate the valuation of a company’s stock is, given its current market value and future potential. This ratio lets investors figure out if stocks of a company are overly priced or undervalued.
It is a ratio within a ratio as the price/earnings ratio is first calculated, then the result is divided by the company’s expected growth rate.
It states that to be fairly valued or priced, the price/ earning-to-growth ratio should either be equal to the growth rate of earnings per share or should be 1.
PB ratio?
Price to Book Value Ratio or P/B Ratio = market price per share / book value per share.
A good price to book value ratio according to value investors is less than 1.0. On the other hand, a high ratio implies that the company’s market value is significantly higher than its accounting value.
PE ratio?
Price Per Share/ Earnings Per Share
The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is based on past earnings, while the forward price-to-earnings ratio depends on the forecast of future earnings.
The analysts correlate a company’s PE multiple with the PE multiples of competition within the industry. This way, the appropriate valuation of a share is ascertained.
the Price-to-earnings ratio has an advantage of discounted cash flow valuation (DCF) technique; it is not sensitive to assumptions. In DCF, changes in WACC or growth rate assumptions can dramatically change the valuations. Therefore price-to-earnings ratio is extensively used for comparing companies within a sector.
Payback multiple?
The price-to-earnings ratio is primarily derived from the payback multiple.
Initial investment made / net annual cash inflow
Similarly, the PE ratio is the number of yearly share earnings it will take an investor to recover the price paid for the share.
For instance, if the PE multiple is 10x. It implies that for each $1 of earning, the investor has paid $10. Hence, it will take ten years of earnings for the investor to recover the price paid.
How do you value a bank?
Banks are primarily valued using PB multiple.
1) banks have assets & liabilities that are periodically marked to market. So, the balance sheet represents the market value, unlike other industries where the balance sheet represents the historical cost of the assets and liabilities.
2) bank assets include investment in government bonds, high-grade corporate bonds or multiple bonds, along with commercial mortgage, or personal loans that are generally expected to be collectible.
Industry-specific multiples
- Real estate:
REITs (real estate investment trusts) = price / funds from operations (FFO)
Price/ adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) - Retail or airlines:
EV / EBITDAR (rent) - Tech:
EV/ unique visitors; EV / page views - Energy:
Price / Net Asset Value (NAV)
Price / 1 MCFE (million cubic foot equivalent)
Price / 1 MCFED (million cubic foot equivalent per day)
Sum of the parts 예시로, automobile, O&G, software, bank, E-commerce segment 의 대표적인 valuation methodologies 소개하삼
Automobile Segment Valuation – EV/EBITDA or PE ratios.
Oil and Gas Segment Valuation – EV/EBITDA or P/CF or EV/boe (EV/barrels of oil equivalent)
Software Segment Valuation – PE or EV/EBIT multiple
Bank Segment Valuation – P/BV or Residual Income Method
E-commerce Segment – EV/Sales (if the segment is not profitable) or EV/Subscriber or PE multiple
Which is better valuation methodology - PE or EV to EBITDA?
EV to EBITDA is better because of following reasons:
1) PE doesn’t consider balance sheet risk. Earnings are subject to different accounting policies. It can be easily manipulated by management.
2) PE cannot be used when earnings are negative. One must use normalized earnings or forward multiples in such cases. But if EBITDA as well as FCFF are negative, EV to Sales can be used.
Can Terminal Value be negative?
Terminal Value is the value of a business or a project beyond the explicit forecast period wherein its present value cannot be calculated. It includes the value of all cash flows, regardless of duration, and is an important component of the discounted cash flow model (DCF).
Theoretically yes but practically no.
Terminal value = (FCFF * (1+ Growth rate)) / (WACC - Growth rate)
In the above calculation, if we assume WACC < growth rate, then the value derived from the formula will be Negative. This is very difficult to digest as a high-growth company is now showing a negative terminal value because of the formula used. However, this high growth rate assumption is incorrect. We cannot assume that a company will grow at a very high rate until it is infinite. If this is the case, this company will attract all the capital available in the world.
Capacity mechanism in 2028?
Kraftwerkstrategie
Germany’s ruling coalition has agreed to speedily set up state support auctions for 10GW of new gas-fired power plants which will then be converted to run on hydrogen between 2035 and 2040. It also agreed to develop a capacity mechanism to be operational by 2028.
+ Opex subsidy for the difference between hydrogen and gas prices. That is fuel subsidy, that leads to decreased fuel switch costs. Therefore, electricity price forecast of mid term shows decreased.
Chancellor Olaf Scholz, economy and climate minister Robert Habeck and finance minister Christian Lindner agreed “that new power plant capacities of up to 4 x 2.5 GW will be put out to tender as H2-ready gas-fired power plants soon as part of the power plant strategy, which are to switch to hydrogen between 2035 and 2040,” the economy ministry said in a press release. The government did not provide any details on the volume of support, or a timeline for the auctions, but emphasised the need for speed.