food security Flashcards

(81 cards)

1
Q

Global demand projected to rise

A

60%by 2050 (FAO 2011)

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2
Q

Climate change may decrease agricultural productivity by

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2%per decade (IPCC 2014)

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3
Q

“all people at all times have the access…

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access to sufficient, safe, nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life” (UN 1996)
UN regard this as a basic human right

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4
Q

Earth policy institute 2013

A

harvest shortfall graph

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5
Q

828M people are

A

are malnourished (FAO 2024)

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6
Q

Paris agreement

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committed to keeping increase in global temp below 2C

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7
Q

Predicted impact of climate change

A

analysis from oman for lucerene/alalfa (2015)

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8
Q

Drivers of malnourishment in 2024

A

: conflict, weather extremes, economic shocks
e.g. Africa: conflict 37M, weather 26M, economic 10M
WAR IN UKRAINE

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9
Q

FAO state of food security 2014

A
  • 735 million people in 2024 in 55 counties facing crisis level 3
  • 828 M people undernourished
  • Hunger hotspots
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10
Q

FAO risk register

A
  • Directly through war: Yemen 17M
  • Indirectly through natural hazards: El Niño-related drought conditions, eastern + southern Africa
    o Ethiopia: 2023, 9.7M
    o Key drivers: el nino, high prices, pop. Displacement, loss of crop+livestock, lack of employment, large influx of people (Somalia, kenya – extreme weather, S. Sudan – conflict)
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11
Q

FAO policy priorities:
short term

A

: availability (food aid, restocking livestock), access and utilisation (transfers, nutrition intervention programs), stability (reestablishing social safety nets, peace building efforts)

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12
Q

FAO policy priorities:
medium term

A

availability (enhancing food supply to most vulnerable, investing in rural infrastructure, enhancing incomes), access and utilisation (enhancing access to assets, access to land, reviving rural financial systems). Stability (diversifying agriculture and employment, dealing with structural causes, reviving access to credit systems)

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13
Q

FAO policy priorities:
long term

A

ensure FS objectives incorporated into national poverty reduction strategies. Fostering broad-based based sustainable agricultural and rural growth. Addressing the entire rural space (off farm), addressing root cause of insecurity (productivity growth, resource access)

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14
Q

POLICY INTERVENTIONS:

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Stabilise food prices; countercyclical trade policies. Food storage and release

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15
Q

Oceans

A

: 71% of earths surface, habitat, food for 1 bill people (200 mil economic livelihood)

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16
Q

Facts suggesting we are using oceans unsustainably

A

Attenborough & Hughes, 2020):
o current annual extraction of >80 million tonnes of seafood has reduced 30% of fish stocks to a critical level
o almost all of the large oceanic fish have been removed from the world’s oceans
o fifteen of the 17 largest fisheries in the world are close to collapse
o if these trends continue, the world’s fisheries will totally collapse by 2048

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17
Q

Ascension Island

A

in S Atlantic between Brazil and Africa, a UK overseas territory)

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18
Q

Scooty terms:

A

bioindicator, associate with large predatory fish (tuna) that drive small fish to surface (facilitated foraging)

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19
Q

Scooty terms:
Population in crisis

A

Ascension Island up to 50,000 birds breed. Exclusive data set,

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20
Q

Acs island many invasive species

A

(merchant vessels) black rats (2995 killed ½ chicks), domestic cats, common mynas (destroy 10% of eggs laid (Hughes 2017))
Early 2000s cats eradicated (mesopredator release phenomenon, rat predation)

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21
Q

Scooty terns
Determining pop size:

A

nest density

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22
Q

Scooty terns
Dietary shift: relationship with overfishing

A

Tuna fish unsustainable (1990s unregistered ships), surface temp increase (tuna moving)
Fewer fish more squid (saw this by Diertry reconstruction Reynolds 2019)
- poor diet resulted in few chicks surviving
- 1890s – 1940s: majority fish
- 1970s – 2010s: majority squid  low nutritional value

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23
Q

Breeding seabird movement:

A
  • Huge distances (2018 report to govn) 50,000km in 8months
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24
Q

Asc Island: marine protected area

A
  • In aug 2019
  • 100% protection of ascensions exclusive economic zone
  • Prohibits all commercial fishing and mineral extraction within its extent
    Will this result in recovery?
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25
Asc Island: marine protected area Potential emerging problem: ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION:
- Marine plastic - Chemical contaminats - Oils spills - Light and noise pollution Sooty terns travel far beyond MPA (potentially into polluted waters
26
food secure quote
“a person is food secure when he or she as access at all times to enough food for an active healthy life” (smith et al)
27
interdisciplinary angle
covergance of biophysical, social and political stresses
28
Environmental stress and food insecurity in the global south
(livestock much more integrated into lifestyle) - Climatic and environmental changes imposes restrictions on agriculture - Fluctuations in precipitation (less predictable) and evapotranspiration (more heat more evapotranspiration) - Salinization; storm serges bringing in saline seawater, impacts ground - Temperature extremes
29
VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE:
“vulnerability is the extent to which a system or population is susceptible to harm” (adger 2006), closely connected to resilience (capacity of a system or population to adapt to shocks – ecosystem and social)
30
VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE: TWO APPROACHES TO VULNERABILITY (Ribot 2010)
1) Hazard risk approach: vuln. As multiple outcomes of one biophysical event 2) Social constructivist approach: vulnerability due to multiple causes rooted in social structures; capacity to adapt rooted in social relations Class, gender, social position, can affect resources one has access to for coping
31
SOCIAL DRIVERS OF FOOD INSECURITY:
unequal land distribution, gender inequalities, exploitive rural economy, inter-regional disparities, economic liberalisation, market pressures, corruption, conflict, spatial geographies of inequality
32
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS
(fertile region, s. Nepal, NE india, N Bangladesh) Agrarian ecomony (severe disparity in distribution of land and assests), very densely populated.
33
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS Why are farmers food insecure
- Form majority of population, <0.5Ha. many household tenants so portion of cops as rent, minority of larger farmers not food insecure
34
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS Perceptions of climate change
- Significant changes observed, more unpredictability, extended dry spells, late onset rains, more extremes. Rain fed agriculture becoming risky, water storage increasingly important (ground water storage in aquifers most potential)
35
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS Adapting to change:
access to groundwater essential (buffer during droughts), access linked to position in agrarian structure. Less than 10% of pop own groundwater pump sets, have to access via ‘groundwater markets’ (costs)
36
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS Constraints
cost (building on land they don’t own), gov schemes based on land owning, costs of pump, high operating cost (poor electrification, reliance on diesel)
37
CASE STUDY 1: EASTERN GANGETIC PLAINS MIGRATION+ADAPTATION:
unpredictable monsoons, migration essential, can create new stresses for those who stay behind. FOR EXAMPLE: Bihar drought 2012: women are higly vulnerable after men migrated, left in drought conditions, menial labour half pay (labour market flooded)
38
CASE SUDY 2: TIGRAY ETHIOPIA
: used to be highly fertile, combination of stresses since C19th. Feudal system (Halie Selassie) severe inequality, large fragmentation (pop growth), communal land  private holdings. Failed land reforms (communist regime)
39
CASE SUDY 2: TIGRAY ETHIOPIA 1984 famine:
farmers onto steeper slopes, less vegetation cover+water retention increased drought vulnerability, combined with civil war, state neglect, land scarcity. De Vall placed strong emphasis on conflict turning insecurity into starvation. (SIMILAR TO BENGAL FAMINE IN 1940s)
40
CASE SUDY 2: TIGRAY ETHIOPIA 2000s
: significant changes (doubling of yields in some locales), land restoration (failed to have impact in direr lower lying locales)
41
CASE SUDY 2: TIGRAY ETHIOPIA current situation
2020-2022 civil war: return to food insecurity (famine like? Limited info) Severe drought 2023 along with breakdown in state services
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Conclusions: food security and hunger
food security and hunger closely linked to environ. And socio political causes, VULNERABILITY TO FOOD INSECURITY LINKED WITH STRUCTURES OF INEQUALITY (proximate causes push things over the edge) Gains in climate resilience can be easily undone by crisis.
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Conclusions: food security and hunger tech
Technological change: fundamental to adapt to stress, tech only suitable with adequate social measures
44
CROP AND BREED IMPROVEMENT AND GENETIC RESOURCES Food security is
availability, access, utilisation, stability
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CROP AND BREED IMPROVEMENT AND GENETIC RESOURCES argument that food security needs
genetic diversity
46
CROP AND BREED IMPROVEMENT AND GENETIC RESOURCES Genetic diversity on-farm:
: conservation ex situ/in situ; institutions/policy; value addition; crop improvement
47
CROP AND BREED IMPROVEMENT AND GENETIC RESOURCES How do we produce new crop varieties?:
- Breeding: (un)conscious election for desired traits (e.g. milk, larger fruits), conventional breeding in Europe C19th; genomic breeding last 50yrs - Domestication: animals; ~11,000 yrs Palestine, syria, turkey for 15 non-carnivorous mammals and 10 avian species; plants; ~8,000 in fertile crescent for barley, wheat, peas, lentils (7000 crops)
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CROP AND BREED IMPROVEMENT AND GENETIC RESOURCES Agricultural homelands:
for crops (12 centres of diversity in maxted+Vincent 2012); for animals 6 (2007)
49
GENETIC RESOURCES TRADITIONAL BREEDING:
farm based; growers select superior plants or animals (selective seed saving/animal breeding) for next seasons cultivation/production. May exchange seeds/semen (neighbours/local markets). Local variations are maintained and adapted to local conditions
50
GENETIC RESOURCES FORMAL BREEDING
early C19th; law of segregation, law of independent assortment (segregation random). Has increased productivity, improved quality (taste, appearance, nutrition), max. efficiency (shorten time between growing and harvest), improved marketable traits (e.g. sweeter tomatoes
51
GENETIC RESOURCES CONVENTIONAL BREEDING:
hybridisation of parent material, may involve chromosome manipulation and embryo rescue. PGRFA Germplasm – the plants breeder’s raw material to improve or create new crops: cultivars, breeding lines, obsolete types, landraces. Primitive forms, wild relatives
52
GENETIC RESOURCES GRFA UNIQUE RESOURCE:
crucial to sustain food security; human-made over millennia; explicit link between conservation and use; diversity-focused in Vaviov centres of diversity; focused on conserving intraspecific diversity; significant inter-dependence between countries
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GENETIC RESOURCES transfer desired trait?
RECURRENT BACKCROSS
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GENETIC RESOURCES INTERDEPENDANT WORLD:
: No area has enough diversity to make them independent; countries depend on each other and must work together.
55
GENETIC RESOURCES GMO BREEDING
techniques relatively expensive, technically challenging, most breeding intra-specific (inter-specific closely related). Transgenic (not closely related, cisgenic (closely related), subgenic (gene edited). TARGETED AND QUICK , RESOURCE AND TECH EXPENSIVE
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GENETIC RESOURCES Agricultural biodiversity and food resilience
resilient socio-ecological system, genetic diversity increase ability to adapt and transform (global changes+shocks), maintain genetic health, supports farmers to respond (natural disaster, global climate change), landraces produce some yield even in marginal extreme environments.
57
GENETIC RESOURCES quote
“genetic material of animals and plants which is of value as a resource for the present and future generations of people” (IPGRI, 1993) – includes all components of biological diversity (crops, livestock)
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GENETIC RESOURCES PGR at risk:
landrace paradox: breeders require genetic diversity (WTs), improved crop/breeds better performing than landraces/WTs. Farmers switch, WTs threatened + genetic diversity lost. Breeders both need and destroy diversity
59
GENETIC RESOURCES EVIDENCE OF LANDRACE DECLINE
changes in cultivation of maize hybrids and landraces in S.W China (Jingson 2012)
60
GENETIC RESOURCES Agrobiodiversity conservation ex situ
seed storage, cryopreservation, tissue culture); in situ (on farm, wild habitats, home gardens) State of ex situ conservation of plant genetic resources: total no. of germplasm 7.9 million in 1750 gene banks worldwide. >70% of genetic diversity already conserved. (FAO 2011) SEED SAMPLING AND STORAGE: diagram
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GENETIC RESOURCES AnGR
group of domestic livestock with definable and identifiable external characteristics that distinguish it from other groups within the same species (Intermediate Technology, 1996). Homogenous groups, geographical separation from other breeds, recognised separate identity, farming maintains herd so loss of diversity can result in inbreeding depression.
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GENETIC RESOURCES STATUS OF AnGR:
7,616 domesticated animal breeds globally (FAO, 2007)
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GENETIC RESOURCES AnGR at risk:
livestock production increasingly based on a limited no. of breeds, genetic diversity within breeds in decline, roles of multipurpose breeds undervalued, genetic resistance important for control of animal diseases.
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GENETIC RESOURCES CONSERVATION OF AnGR: in situ
in situ: national gov projects/insitutes (e.g. Roslin); private breeding organisations (e.g. Sygen); non-giov organisation (rare breed survival trust); farmers; policy context (UK environ. Stewardship schemes)
65
GENETIC RESOURCES CONSERVATION OF AnGR: in situ Rare breed survival trust
globally one breed of farm animal becomes extinct every month; 1900-1973 UK lost 26 native breeds of livestock, and many varieties of poultry (Goon hilly ponies, somerset sheeted cattle).
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GENETIC RESOURCES CONSERVATION OF AnGR: ex situ
National bank of genetic resources (store semen, embryos and DNA samples from animals); breeds at risk register, conservation projects, charity (Lawrence Alderson
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GENETIC RESOURCES Consultative group for interaction agriculture research and food security:
- Global research partnership, dedicated to reducing poverty, enhancing food and nutrition security improving natural resources and ecosystem services - 15 research centres collaborating with national and regional research institutes - VISION: a world free of poverty, hunger and environmental degradation - MISSION: advance agricultural science, enable poor people to better nourish their families and improve productivity resilience, can share in economic growth and manage natural resources in the face of climate chane and other challenges
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Sustainable
1) able to continue over a period of time 2) causing little or no damage to the environement, therefore able to continue for a long time
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Intensification
become greater more serious/extreme/intense
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION FAO: stats
by 2050 need 60% more food than currently available, most additional production will have to come from sustainable intensification. Means building systems that conserve and enhance natural resources
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Rev. T. Malthus (1766-1834):
at critical thresholds, catastrophes bring pop. Down to more sustainable levels (immoral reasoning), gov should take action to let catastrophe happen, remains prominent for those who believe pop. Is causing most problems.
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Ester Boserup (1910-1999):
Optimistic approach. The population finds ways to intensify production to avoid the Malthusian catastrophe. Sustainable? No guarantee; this is historically what we have been doing, cycles getting faster and narrower. “necessity is the mother of invention”
73
SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Ester Boserup (1910-1999): implications
- Intensification forced by external phenomena (pop growth) - Marshall Sahlins: Stone Age Economics (early societies didn’t have this pressure). Western societies work more to achieve more -> driven by population growth.
74
SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Ester Boserup (1910-1999): graph of diminishing returns
- Highly intensified agrarian systems capable of high productivity per surface unit in exchange fo higher labour input (LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS) - New tech needed to increase production once max output reached
75
SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Population growth
May be super exponential, this combined with law of diminishing returns, even faster cycles of innovation to avoid catastrophe. Myth of the population bomb: adv in medicines, lower mortality rate, increased pop, Responses by societies: India mass sterilization (1976), China's child policy (1979)  INSTEAD: promote investment in crop science
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION Myth of the green revolution: science-based transformation of 3rd world agriculture (1960-1990)
- High yield seed varieties, chemical fertilisers (intensification). OUTCOMES: food production doubled; in asia food supply increased 100% with only 4% increase in cropland. - HOWEVER: in Punjab; diseased soils, pest infected crops, water logged deserts, social unrest (Shiva 1991) - Reduced ecological diversity, damage in social cohesion of community
77
SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION cropping systems
Cropping systems more than crop yields (measurement of output alone, excludes measurements of ecological destruction of future yields) – destruction of soil fertility; soil toxicity; genetic erosion; pesticide contamination of food.
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION 2nd green revolution?:
e.g. better GM crops (disease+drought tolerance), tech enabled advisory (AI, suggest remedies); precision farming through GIS, sensor in soil that track moisture+nitogen levels (RELIANCE ON TECH AS CONSEQUENCE)
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION What makes it sustainable
traditional systems inform us (successful under many circumstances) e.g. moving manipulating soil, diversification of product, highly skilled farmed investing hard labour
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SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION balance
MUST HAVE BALANCE! (if speed up growth, accelerate decay (HOWARD 1943)
81
food insecurity classification
1. none 2. stressed 3. crisis 4. emergency 5. catastrophe / famine