food security Flashcards
(81 cards)
Global demand projected to rise
60%by 2050 (FAO 2011)
Climate change may decrease agricultural productivity by
2%per decade (IPCC 2014)
“all people at all times have the access…
access to sufficient, safe, nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life” (UN 1996)
UN regard this as a basic human right
Earth policy institute 2013
harvest shortfall graph
828M people are
are malnourished (FAO 2024)
Paris agreement
committed to keeping increase in global temp below 2C
Predicted impact of climate change
analysis from oman for lucerene/alalfa (2015)
Drivers of malnourishment in 2024
: conflict, weather extremes, economic shocks
e.g. Africa: conflict 37M, weather 26M, economic 10M
WAR IN UKRAINE
FAO state of food security 2014
- 735 million people in 2024 in 55 counties facing crisis level 3
- 828 M people undernourished
- Hunger hotspots
FAO risk register
- Directly through war: Yemen 17M
- Indirectly through natural hazards: El Niño-related drought conditions, eastern + southern Africa
o Ethiopia: 2023, 9.7M
o Key drivers: el nino, high prices, pop. Displacement, loss of crop+livestock, lack of employment, large influx of people (Somalia, kenya – extreme weather, S. Sudan – conflict)
FAO policy priorities:
short term
: availability (food aid, restocking livestock), access and utilisation (transfers, nutrition intervention programs), stability (reestablishing social safety nets, peace building efforts)
FAO policy priorities:
medium term
availability (enhancing food supply to most vulnerable, investing in rural infrastructure, enhancing incomes), access and utilisation (enhancing access to assets, access to land, reviving rural financial systems). Stability (diversifying agriculture and employment, dealing with structural causes, reviving access to credit systems)
FAO policy priorities:
long term
ensure FS objectives incorporated into national poverty reduction strategies. Fostering broad-based based sustainable agricultural and rural growth. Addressing the entire rural space (off farm), addressing root cause of insecurity (productivity growth, resource access)
POLICY INTERVENTIONS:
Stabilise food prices; countercyclical trade policies. Food storage and release
Oceans
: 71% of earths surface, habitat, food for 1 bill people (200 mil economic livelihood)
Facts suggesting we are using oceans unsustainably
Attenborough & Hughes, 2020):
o current annual extraction of >80 million tonnes of seafood has reduced 30% of fish stocks to a critical level
o almost all of the large oceanic fish have been removed from the world’s oceans
o fifteen of the 17 largest fisheries in the world are close to collapse
o if these trends continue, the world’s fisheries will totally collapse by 2048
Ascension Island
in S Atlantic between Brazil and Africa, a UK overseas territory)
Scooty terms:
bioindicator, associate with large predatory fish (tuna) that drive small fish to surface (facilitated foraging)
Scooty terms:
Population in crisis
Ascension Island up to 50,000 birds breed. Exclusive data set,
Acs island many invasive species
(merchant vessels) black rats (2995 killed ½ chicks), domestic cats, common mynas (destroy 10% of eggs laid (Hughes 2017))
Early 2000s cats eradicated (mesopredator release phenomenon, rat predation)
Scooty terns
Determining pop size:
nest density
Scooty terns
Dietary shift: relationship with overfishing
Tuna fish unsustainable (1990s unregistered ships), surface temp increase (tuna moving)
Fewer fish more squid (saw this by Diertry reconstruction Reynolds 2019)
- poor diet resulted in few chicks surviving
- 1890s – 1940s: majority fish
- 1970s – 2010s: majority squid low nutritional value
Breeding seabird movement:
- Huge distances (2018 report to govn) 50,000km in 8months
Asc Island: marine protected area
- In aug 2019
- 100% protection of ascensions exclusive economic zone
- Prohibits all commercial fishing and mineral extraction within its extent
Will this result in recovery?