Forms of Autocracy Flashcards
what are coups?
there is some disagreement over the exact definition but all agree that they involve the illegal seizure of power, in which the level of the deposed leader must be the highest, and the operation should be sudden, covert or conspiratorial and thus not involve many
must be some linkage to military (threat of or actual violence), as violence is the ultimate determinant of coups
where do definitions of military coups differ?
they disagree on the identity of the perpetrator
- ‘military officers’ (Thomson, 1973)
- ‘organised factions’ (Janowitz, 1977)
- ‘any elite who is part of the state apparatus’ (Powell & Thyme, 2011)
give McGowan’s 2003 definition of a coup d’etat.
a coup d’etat involves the sudden, often violent overthrow of an existing government by a small group (McGowan, 2003)
give First’s, 1970 definition of a coup.
a “coup is a lightning action at the top, in which violence is the ultimate determinant, even if it is not used” (First, 1970)
give Souare’s, 2014 definition of a coup.
three definitions imply:
- unanimous on the illegality of the seizure of power
- the level of power of the deposed leader has to be the highest
- the operation should be sudden and covert, or conspiratorial, which entails that the number of those involved should be very limited
(Souare, 2014)
give Powell & Thyme’s, 2011 definition of a successful coup.
“a successful coup is an illegal and covert act by the military or other elites within the state apparatus to unseat the sitting executive, in which the perpetrators seize and hold power for at least seven days” (Powell & Thyme, 2011)
how many SSA states have experienced at least one successful coup and how many have suffered multiple coups?
30 SSA states (62. 5%) have experienced at least one successful coup and 18 (37. 5%) have suffered multiple coups
what percentage of SSA states have experienced at least one successful coup and what percentage have suffered multiple coups?
30 SSA states (62. 5%) have experienced at least one successful coup and 18 (37. 5%) have suffered multiple coups
how many SSA states have had either coups or failed coups attempts?
41/ 48 SSA states (85%) have had either coups or failed coup attempts (McGowan, 2003)
what percentage of SSA states have had either coups or failed coup attempts?
41/ 48 SSA states (85%) have had either coups or failed coup attempts
which region is most prone to political instability?
West Africa is region most prone to political instability (nearly 1/2 of all failed & successful coups, yet only ⅓ of independent states) (McGowan, 2003)
prior to which year were military coups the main mode of leadership change in the majority of African states?
prior to 1990, military coups were the main mode of leadership change in the majority of African states (First, 1970)
what was the main mode of leadership change in the majority of African states prior to 1990, according to First, 1970?
prior to 1990, military coups were the main mode of leadership change in the majority of African states (First, 1970)
what dimensions play into why coups occur?
structural dimension
- military rule
ethnic dimension (Harkness, 2018)
class dimension (Kandeh, 2004)
idiosyncratic features & personal ambitions of coup leaders (Decalo)
ideological dimension (Tendi, 2020)
how does the structural dimension of military rule play into why coups occur?
government failure
military rule is by definition authoritarian and is often very corrupt (McGowan, 2003)
- Major-General Ibrahim Babangida, Nigeria (1985 - 1993)
because African militaries in power often fail to create political order, they are part of the problem
how does the ethnic dimension of military rule play into why coups occur?
ethnic structures of militaries
- ethnic makeup of militaries: most militaries have an ethnic group in charge
- coups most likely when change in government try to change ethnic makeup of military generals
result of existing tensions boiling over
give Harkness’s (2018) example of ethnicity playing into coup motivation.
Kenya example (Harkness, 2018)
Kenya has a long history of ethnically stacking both security and civil service institutions
Kenyatta created a new air force and paramilitary units recruited from coethnic Kikuyus to act as counterweights to the regular army
he reconstructed the army’s officer corps, recruiting its ranks almost entirely from the Kikuyu community, whilst also ethnically stacking the powerful provincial administration
same processes occurred under Presidents Daniel arap Moi and Mwai Kibaki who replaced police, military and provincial administration with coethnic Kalenjins and Kikuyus, respectively
these practices contributed substantially to ethnic violence (only coup attempt in Kenya was during the transition from Kenyatta to Moi)
- as Moi attempted to dismantle his predecessor’s ethnically stacked military institutions, initially purging the high command, Luo and Kikuyu junior officers rose up and seized Nairobi airport, the Voice of Kenya radio station, and other public buildings
which country does Harkness offer as an example of ethnicity playing a role in coup motivation?
Kenya & the actions of Presidents Kenyatta, arap Moi and Kibaki
what are the traditional schools of thought on why ethnic groups rebel?
three schools of thought: institutionalisation of ethnic cleavages, horizontal inequalities, and ethnic political exclusion
- the mere institutionalisation of ethnic categories, boundary drawing between groups by the state, generates emotional dynamics that lead to increased risk of violent conflict
- horizontal inequalities generate grievances that motivate the relatively deprived to rebel
- exclusion of ethnic groups from political power constitutes a grave risk for organised rebellion
explain why the institutionalisation of ethnic cleavages may cause ethnic rebellion.
the mere institutionalisation of ethnic categories, boundary drawing between groups by the state, generates emotional dynamics that lead to increased risk of violent conflict
deep institutionalisation of ethnic categories thus increases the risk of conflict by raising the probability that prejudice and discrimination will be practised and perceived while simultaneously making ethnic mobilisation easier
primes individuals to understand and interpret their world in ethnic terms
explain why horizontal inequalities may cause ethnic rebellion.
horizontal inequalities generate grievances that motivate the relatively deprived to rebel
visible socioeconomic disparities between groups increase the salience of ethnic identity as well as enhance group cohesion and loyalty
group-based inequalities in education, wealth, and life expectancy significantly predict political violence, including insurgency, terrorism, coups, and democratic breakdown
explain why ethnic political exclusion may cause ethnic rebellion.
exclusion of ethnic groups from political power constitutes a grave risk for organised rebellion
political exclusion entails both symbolic and material sacrifices
what problems does Harkness find with the traditional arguments for why ethnic groups rebel?
they highlight fairly static and slow moving variables which do a poor job of explaining the rarity and timing of resistance
they assume that it is the relatively deprived, politically excluded, or discriminated against who rebel
- misses much of the ethnic violence initiated by powerful and advantaged groups
what explanation does Harkness offer as to why ethnic groups rebel?
the processes of creating and dismantling ethnically exclusionary state institutions engenders organised and violent political resistance
- when leaders attempt to build ethnic armies, or dismantle those created by their predecessors, they provoke violent resistance from military officers
ethnic groups currently included but facing future exclusion possess both the strongest motives to rebel and the greatest capabilities to do so
ethnic groups often rebel to preserve that status quo
- helps us understand both the timing and relative rarity of group rebellion