Formulas Flashcards

1
Q

MGF

A

E(e^tx) = Mx(t)

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2
Q

Franchise deductible in terms of regular deductible

A

E((X-d)+) +dS(d)

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3
Q

TVaR

A

E(X | X > VaRp(X)) =

VaRp(X) + (E(X) - E(X min VaRp(X))/(1-p)

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4
Q

Tail Weight Measures

A
  1. more positive moments -> lower tail weight
  2. if lim S1(x)/S2(x) > 1 or lim f1(x)/f2(x) > 1 then numerator has higher tail weight
  3. increasing h(x) -> lighter tail
  4. increasing ex(d) -> heavier tail
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5
Q

Consistency

A

theta hat is consistent if:

  1. lim pr( | theta hat - theta| < delta ) = 1 for all delta > 0, or
  2. bias -> 0 and Var (theta hat) -> 0
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6
Q

Cov (Fx, Fy - Fx)

A

= -Fx(Fy-Fx)/n, x< y

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7
Q

variance of exact exposure

A

var(qj) = (1-qj)^2 * dj/ej^2

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8
Q

var of actuarial exposure

A

qj(1-qj)/(ej/n)

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9
Q

percentile matching with incomplete data: censored/truncated

A

censored -> select percentiles within the range of uncensored observations

truncated -> match percentiles of the conditional distribution

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10
Q

MLE of grouped data btw d and cj and left-truncated from below at d:

A

(F(cj)-F(d))/S(d)

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11
Q

MLE = MOM

A
Poisson
Binomial
NB (r known)
Gamma (a known)
Normal mean/SD
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12
Q

Hypothesis tests - fitted distribution with deductible

A

F*(x) = 1- S(x)/S(d)

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13
Q

5 points about K-S

A
  1. only for individual data
  2. lower critical value if u < infinity
  3. If params are fitted, critical value should be lowered
  4. Larger sample size has lower critical value
  5. Uniform weight on all parts of distribution
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14
Q

5 points about Chi-Sq

A
  1. May be used for individual or grouped data
  2. No adjustments on critical value if u < infinity
  3. If parameters are fitted, critical value is automatically adjusted
  4. Critical value is independent of sample size
  5. Higher weight on intervals with low fitted probability
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15
Q

Loss functions

A

Type of loss/bayesian estimate
squared error/mean
absolute/median
zero-one/mode

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16
Q

lambda k

A

sk = -ln(1-uk)/lambda k

poisson = lambda
binomial = -mln(1-q) + k ln(1-q)
NB = r ln(1+B) + k ln (1+B)

sum from 0 - n until sum > 1, result is n.

‘time between’ type questions.

17
Q

Polar method

A
v = 2u - 1
s = v1^2 + v2^2 <= 1 then T = sqrt(-2ln(S)/S)