Friday Flashcards
Context, Objectives, and Risk Assessment (82 cards)
PESTLE classificatipn system
PESTLE risk classification system is often seen as most relevant for external risks
should be used in conjunction with SWOT
Advantages of PESTLE
simple framework
facilitates an understanding of the wider business enviornment
encourages external and strategic thinking
anticipates future business threats
helps ID actions to avoid or minimise impacts of threats
facilitates ID of business opportunities
Disadvantages of PESLE
1.over simply amount of data used for decisions
2.needs to be undertaken regularly to be useful
3. requires different people being ivnvoled with different perspective
4. access to quality external data sources can be time consuming and costly
5.difficult to anticipate development that may effect an org in the future
6.risk of capturing too much data = difficult to ID priorities
7. can be based on assumptions that subsqeuently prove to be unfounded
Horizon Scan
An organised and formal process of gathering, analysing and disseminating value added information to support decision making
A systematc examination of info to identify potetial threats, risks, emerging issues and opportunities - allowing for better prepardness and mitigation
exploration of what the future looks like
IRM :
Good technique for people to look at complexity, challenge assumptions
and
Review multiple ways that events could unfurl in order to increase resilience and reliability of their organisations
examination of what the future might look like to understand uncertainties
annd
to analyse wether the org is adequately prepared for potential opportunties and threats
Uses of a horizon scan process
1.deepen understanding of driving forces affecting future development of policy or strategy area
2. ID gaps in understanding bring focus into new areas of research to understand driving forces better
3. to build a consensus amongst a range of stakeholders about issues and how to tackle them
4. to ID and make explicit some of the difficult policy choice and trade offs that may need to happen in future
5. to create a new stategy that is resilience and adaptable to changing ecternal conditions
6. to mobilise stakeholders to action
steps for horizon scan
1.ID key stakeholders
2. Kick off Explain what horizon scan means, how its conducted, how results will be utilised.
3. Research - working to timeframe assigne single isssues to stakeholders to research - (proffessional journals, online content) to id potential riss
4.output - stakeholders to document their research
5. collab/ combine - collate report and present that back to group for discussion. Visualise the risks where possible.
6. monitor and reviiew - decide which key risks you wish to look into further. conduct in depth analysis using future tools.
risk criteria
ISO31000 states orgs should define risk criteria to evaluate the significance of risk and to support decision making
risk criteria measures how much risks matter to an org in relation to its ability to achieve objectives
KPIS
critical indicators of progress toward an intended result
provide focus for strategic and operational improvement
analytical basis for deicsion making
RISK articulation
Cause - is an element which alone or combination has the potential to give risk to a risk
An event - occurance or change or set of circumstances. Can be something expected which does not happen or sometihng that is unexpected which does not happen. Events can have multiple causes and conse
Risk Identification
- Risk identification -What are they
identifying risk - Risk analysis - How important are they
deciding on the severity of the risk - Risk evaluation - So what now - do we need to take action. Wether risks need treatment
Risk assessment techniques
(1) checklists and questionaires
(2) workshops and brainstorming
(3) inspections and audits
(4) flowcharts and dependency analysis
(5) crowd sourcing technology
Risk asssessment techniques - description
(1) checklists and questionaires
structured questionnaire checklist to collect information
assists with the recognition of significant risks
(2) workshops and brainstorming
collection and sharing of ideas at workshops to discuss events that could impact objectives, core processes or key dependencies
(3) inspections and audits
phyiscal inspections of premises and activties and audits of compliance with established systems and procedures
(4) flowcharts and dependency analysis
analysis of the processes and operations within the org to identify critical components which hare key to success
(5) crowd sourcing technology
use of mobile applications to enable individuals to upload their views on risks to a data platform
Risk assessment techniques - Ad/Disadvantages
- checklist and questionnaire
+ADVANTAGES
1.Consistent structure - provides consistency
2.greater INVOLVEMENT than in a workshop
- DISASDVANTAGES
1.RIGID approach may result in risks being missed
2.questions will be based on historical KNOWLEDGE - workshops and brainstorming
+ ADVANTAGES
1.consolidated opinions from all interested parties - greater INTERACTION produces more ideas
- DISASDVANTAGES - Senior management tend to dominate
- Issues missed if incorrect people involved
- inspections and audit
+ADVANTAGES - physical evidence forms the basis of opinion
- audit approach results in good structure
- DISASDVANTAGES
1.inspections are more suitable for hazard risks - audit approach tends to focus on historical EXPERIENCE
- flow chart and dependency analysis
+ADVANTAGES
1.useful outputs that can be used elsewhere
2.analysis produces better understanding of the processes
– DISASDVANTAGES
1.difficult to use for strategic risks
2.may be very detailed and time consuming - Crowdsurf technology
+ADVANTAGES - SPEED of collection of data
- analysis of responses enables a DASHBOARD approach
- diverse inputs enabled
- encourages visual representation
– DISASDVANTAGES - individuals may abuse system maliciously OR
- find other ways to affect the system to produce incorrect outcomes
Risk assessment workshop - brainstorming, SWOT and PESTLE
to have a structured decision at a risk workshop brainstorming structures are commonly used
most commonly - SWOT
benefit of SWOT - considers the upside of risk by evaluating opportunities in the external enviornment
Stregnth of SWOT - it can be linked to strategic decisions
Weakeness of SWOT - because it is not structured risk classification system its possible not all risks will be indentified
PESTLE another common approach
PESTLE is a well established risk classification system
qualitative approach
well established structure with proved results for undertaking brainstorming sessions during risk assessment workshops
Risks can be classified in 3 ways
Short term risks - immediate impact. primarily operational impact
OPERATIONAL
medium term - risks that become apparent between a few months and a year
TACTICS
long term - impacting between one and 5 years after the event
STRATEGY
FIRM scorecard classifies risks as
Model can be used as a tool to determine the organisations objectives, consequences of risks and sources of risk
Financial
Infrastructure
Reputational
Marketplace
Second dimension of FIRM is to classify risks that are derived:
Internally - from within the business - staff fraud (financial, infastructure risks) internal context
Externally from outside the business (for example exchange rate variability) which can be seen as repuational and market place risks. external context
FIRM risk scorecard info
builds on aspects of risk - timescales of impact, nature of impact, wether risk is hazard, control opportunity and overall exposure of risk capacity
headings on FIRM scorecard provide classification of risk as financial, infastructure, reputational, marketplace
FIRM scorecard can also be used as a template for the ID of corperate objectives, stakeholder expectatinos, key dependencies.
Qualitative evaluation of the possiblity of a risk event occuring
HAZOP and FMEA
both structured approaches to ensure few risks are omitted
downside - investment of a wide range of experts required
HAZOP most easily applied to manufacturing operations.
ISO 31000:2018 defines a control as
a “measure that maintains and/or modifies risk,” with two additional notes:
Note 1 to entry: Controls include, but are not limited to, any process, policy, device, practice, or other conditions and/or actions which maintain and/or modify risk.
Note 2 to entry: Controls may not always exert the intended or assumed modifying effect.
Hopkin and Thompson consider the treatment of threats using loss control which has three parts:
Loss prevention – controls designed to stop a risk from occurring (managing the causes).
Damage limitation – controls designed to reduce the size of the risk as soon as it has occurred (managing the impacts)
Cost containment – controls designed to reduce the long-term effect of the risk, such as business continuity managemen
Control effectivness checklist
- easy to design
2 easy to implemenent - easy to maintain
4.reduces or increases likelihood of risk (threat or op) - reduced or increases impact of risk
- cost of control
ISO 31000 (2018) combines monitoring and reviewing of risks, stating tha
“the purpose of monitoring and review is to assure and improve the quality and effectiveness of process design, implementation and outcomes
Key risk indicatiors
key risk indicators provide information on the changes in risks,
Key control indicators
key control indicators measure the effectiveness and, therefore, changes in controls.
Reviewing a control
When we review a control, we need to answer two questions:
Is the control we chose to implement really the best control for the risk?
Is that control effective in practice?
We could add a third question:
Does the control provide good value for money?
The Financial Reporting Council (FRC), in their ‘Guidance on Risk Management, Internal Control and Related Financial and Business Reporting’ goes further in expecting a number of disclosures relating to risk management in annual reports and accounts:
The principal risks
Whether directors have a reasonable expectation that the company will be able to continue and operate to meet its liabilities
The going concern basis of accounting
A review of and the main features of the risk management and the internal control system