GENERIC + STATS Flashcards
What is a risk ratio?
Aka relative risk
The risk of developing a disease associated with an exposure compared to the risk of developing the disease in the abscence of an exposure
Risk of disease in exposed/ risk in unexposed
How do you interpret risk ratios?
Risk ratio of 1 = identical risk among the 2 groups
Risk ratio >1 indicates an increased risk of the group
Risk ratio <1 indicates a decreased risk for the group
What is a rate ratio?
It compares the incidence rates, person-time rates, or mortality rates of two groups
Rate for group of primary interest / rate for comparison group
How do you interpret rate ratios?
The interpretation of the value of a rate ratio is similar to that of the risk ratio. That is, a rate ratio of 1.0 indicates equal rates in the two groups, a rate ratio greater than 1.0 indicates an increased risk for the group in the numerator, and a rate ratio less than 1.0 indicates a decreased risk for the group in the numerator.
E.g. if rate ratio was 2.2 then people who smoke are 2.2 times more likely to get lung cancer than nonsmokers
Whats the difference between risk and rate?
Risk is the number of new cases that occur during a specified time period divided by a population at risk of becoming a case.
Rate is the number of new cases that occur per the total amount of time a person is at risk of becoming a case.
What is an odds ratio?
a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B.
The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of A in the presence of B and the odds of A in the absence of B, or equivalently, the ratio of the odds of B in the presence of A and the odds of B in the absence of A. Two events are independent if and only if the OR equals 1, i.e., the odds of one event are the same in either the presence or absence of the other event. If the OR is greater than 1, then A and B are associated (correlated) in the sense that, compared to the absence of B, the presence of B raises the odds of A, and symmetrically the presence of A raises the odds of B. Conversely, if the OR is less than 1, then A and B are negatively correlated, and the presence of one event reduces the odds of the other event.
How do you calculate odds ratio?
Odds that a case was exposed / odds that a control was exposed
E,.g. Odds of lung cancer in smokers / odds of lung cancer in non-smokers
What is risk difference?
Aka attributable risk
The difference between the risk of an outcome in the exposed group and the unexposed group.
Incidence in exposed - incidence in unexposed
How do you calculate absolute risk?
the number of events (good or bad) in a treated (exposed) or control (non-exposed) group, divided by the number of people in that group
What is the inverse of absolute risk reduction?
Number needed to treat
What is the inverse of absolute risk increase
Number needed to harm
What is number needed to treat?
The number of people with a specified condition who need to be treated for a specified period of time in order to prevent one adverse or beneficial outcome (depending on if its NNT to harm or to benefit)
(Remember this is always a whole number!!)
How do you calculate absolute risk reduction?
The AR of events in the control group rate of disease in unexposed group - the rate of disease in the exposed group
Whats the difference between relative and absolute risk?
Absolute risk refers to the actual probability of an outcome occurring in a specific group regardless of any other factors. I.e. the risk of disease among the population. Being studies
Relative risk on the other hand, compares the risk of an outcome between exposed and unexposed groups.
what is primary prevention?
intervening before health effects occur, through. measures such as vaccinations, altering risky behaviors (poor eating. habits, tobacco use), and banning substances known to be associated. with a disease or health condition
I.e. identifying modifiable risk factors
what is secondary prevention?
Systematically detecting the early stages of disease and intervening before full symptoms develop – for example, prescribing statins to reduce cholesterol and taking measures to reduce high blood pressure.
What is screening?
The systematic application of a test to identify individuals at sufficient risk of a specific disorder to warrant further investigation or direct preventive action, amongst persons who have not sought medical attention on account of symptoms of that disorder.
What are the principles of screening?
the condition should be an important health problem
there should be a recognisable latent or early symptomatic stage
the natural history of the condition, including development from latent to declared disease, should be adequately understood
there should be an accepted treatment for patients with recognised disease
there should be a suitable test or examination that has a high level of accuracy
the test should be acceptable to the population
there should be an agreed policy on whom to treat as patients
facilities for diagnosis and treatment should be available
the cost of screening (including diagnosis and treatment of patients diagnosed) should be economically balanced in relation to possible expenditure on medical care as a whole
screening should be a continuing process and not a ‘once and for all’ project.
What are the pros and cons of screening?
Pros - better prognosis, reassurance of a normal test, cost effective, may require less long term therapy
Cons - discomfort of tests, false reassurance of a false negatives, true positives and negatives, overdiagnosis (waste of resources, iatrogenic harm and stress), ethical issues, opportunity cost
What is opportunistic screening>
Opportunistic screening happens when someone asks their doctor or health professional for a check or test, or a check or test is offered by a doctor or health professional. Unlike organised screening which is managed by a national health service to ensure everyone has an equal opportunity to participate and ensure that if the test results are abnormal, the pt receives the correct further testing/management/support.
What is population screening?
A nationally delivered, proactive screening programme which aims to improve health outcomes in people with the condition being screened for, and/or offer information to enable informed choices. It is offered to a group of people identified from the whole population, and defined demographically such as by age or sex.
What is targeted screening?
A nationally delivered proactive screening programme which aims to improve health outcomes in people with the condition being screened for, among groups of people identified as being at elevated/above average risk of a specific condition. Compared to the general population, the target population may be at higher risk because of lifestyle factors, genetic variants or having another health condition.
Targeted screening differs from population screening as it aims to systematically offer screening to more specific groups of people with a higher risk of a condition. For example, age and sex are factors in the risk of lung cancer, but individuals who smoke are at even higher risk.
What is stratified screening?
A nationally delivered, proactive screening programme, offering testing which varies in frequency and modality, according to the level of individual risk. This is designed to achieve a more favourable balance of benefits and harms at individual as well as population level.
Stratification is used in both targeted and population screening programmes, at the point of invitation as well as along the pathway. For example:
people with a family history of breast cancer can be identified and screened more often depending on their level of risk
What is sensitivity and how do you calculate it?
The proportion of patients with disease who get a positive test
True positives / all with disease
TP / (TP+FN)