Growth Questions Flashcards

(659 cards)

1
Q

What are the main drivers of long-run economic growth?

A

Increases in productive capacity through:
* Improvements in productivity (e.g. better technology)
* Capital accumulation
* Human capital investment (like education)
* Institutional quality

Sustained growth requires innovation, efficient markets, and infrastructure that supports investment.

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2
Q

How does productivity affect economic growth?

A

Productivity — output per worker or per hour — is crucial for sustainable growth. Higher productivity allows for:
* More output with the same input
* Higher GDP per capita
* Rising wages without inflation
* Enhanced competitiveness

Improvements may come from tech advances, better training, or process innovation.

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3
Q

Why is human capital important for growth?

A

Skilled and educated workers boost productivity by being more adaptable and innovative. Economies with strong human capital can:
* Attract investment
* Adjust better to structural changes

Investing in STEM education can support digital and green sector growth.

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4
Q

What role does infrastructure play in supporting growth?

A

Infrastructure improves connectivity, reduces transaction costs, and facilitates trade, supporting business expansion and productivity. Public investment can:
* Crowd in private investment
* Create long-term growth spillovers

Well-functioning transport, energy, and digital systems are essential.

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5
Q

Can government policy stimulate long-term growth?

A

Yes, through policies that enhance:
* Incentives
* Institutions
* Investment in R&D, education, and infrastructure

Stable macroeconomic policy and the rule of law boost investor confidence.

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6
Q

How can human capital investment drive long-run economic growth?

A

Investment in education and training improves workforce skills and productivity, raising output per worker and supporting innovation. A more educated population can efficiently adopt new technologies.

Example: East Asian ‘Tiger Economies’ saw rapid growth by investing heavily in schooling.

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7
Q

What is total factor productivity and why is it important?

A

Total Factor Productivity (TFP) measures output not explained by inputs of labour and capital. Rising TFP is crucial for long-term growth as it indicates efficiency improvements.

Essential when population growth slows.

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8
Q

Can productivity growth be ‘jobless’?

A

Yes — productivity can rise due to automation, leading to increased output while employment falls. This can widen inequality or reduce total employment.

Governments must balance innovation with reskilling policies.

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9
Q

What role do infrastructure investments play in productivity growth?

A

Infrastructure reduces business costs, increases connectivity, and improves market access, thus boosting firm productivity.

Efficient allocation of funds is necessary to avoid waste.

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10
Q

What is diminishing returns to capital, and how does it affect growth strategy?

A

Diminishing returns mean that adding more capital has less impact over time unless matched with improvements in labour or technology.

TFP and human capital are crucial for sustaining long-run growth.

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11
Q

What is the difference between productivity and economic growth?

A

Productivity measures output per unit of input, while economic growth refers to the increase in total output (GDP) over time. Productivity growth is essential for sustainable long-term growth.

Example: Using technology to double goods production with the same workers.

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12
Q

Why is productivity important for living standards?

A

Higher productivity allows for rising wages without inflation, boosts disposable income, and supports better public services through higher tax revenues.

Countries with strong productivity growth tend to have higher real incomes.

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13
Q

What drives productivity growth?

A

Key drivers include:
* Investment in capital
* Technological innovation
* Human capital
* Infrastructure
* Good institutions

Strong R&D environments and a healthy workforce can adapt to changes.

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14
Q

What is total factor productivity (TFP)?

A

TFP captures the efficiency with which inputs are turned into output, reflecting innovation and managerial quality. Rising TFP indicates better resource use.

Differences in output can occur even with the same number of workers and machines.

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15
Q

Why is UK productivity lower than some other G7 countries?

A

Factors include:
* Weaker investment in capital and skills
* Slower technology adoption
* Regional imbalances

The UK’s ‘long tail’ of low-productivity firms drags down the average.

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16
Q

How can government policy raise productivity?

A

Through:
* Education reform
* Infrastructure investment
* Support for R&D
* Reducing regulatory barriers

Simplifying planning laws could help build infrastructure faster.

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17
Q

How does productivity link to inflation?

A

Higher productivity reduces costs, allowing firms to produce more without raising prices, which helps contain inflation.

Wages rising without productivity gains can fuel inflation.

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18
Q

What’s the role of innovation in productivity?

A

Innovation leads to new products, processes, or business models that increase output or reduce costs.

Innovation diffusion is crucial for widespread gains.

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19
Q

What is the productivity puzzle?

A

The term refers to the UK’s unusually slow productivity growth since the 2008 crisis, despite low unemployment and stable inflation.

Explanations include low investment and weak demand.

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20
Q

What is allocative efficiency and how does it relate to productivity?

A

Allocative efficiency means resources are allocated to their most valued uses. Low productivity sectors can suffer if resources are stuck there.

Improving allocative efficiency supports growth.

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21
Q

Can an economy grow without increasing productivity?

A

Yes, in the short run growth can come from using more inputs without improving efficiency.

Long-term growth requires productivity gains.

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22
Q

How does human capital investment contribute to long-run growth?

A

Better education and skills raise worker productivity, enabling effective use of capital and technology.

A skilled workforce adapts faster to innovation.

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23
Q

What role does competition play in driving productivity?

A

Competitive markets force firms to innovate and improve, driving up average productivity by reallocating resources to efficient firms.

Policy that encourages market entry helps raise efficiency.

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24
Q

How does infrastructure investment support growth?

A

Infrastructure reduces transaction costs and connects markets, improving labour mobility and allowing firms to scale.

Faster rail links can expand effective labour markets.

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25
What is endogenous growth theory and why does it matter?
Endogenous growth theory explains technology as a result of investment in knowledge and human capital, suggesting policy can shape growth. ## Footnote Highlights the importance of institutions and incentives.
26
Why is productivity uneven across regions in the UK?
Differences in industrial structure, education, infrastructure, and agglomeration effects lead to regional disparities. ## Footnote Addressing these disparities is key to unlocking growth.
27
How can misallocation slow economic growth?
If capital and labour are trapped in unproductive sectors, the economy underperforms. Removing barriers can raise total factor productivity. ## Footnote Weak insolvency laws and regulatory distortions prevent efficient reallocation.
28
How does the rule of law and governance affect growth?
Secure property rights and good governance reduce uncertainty, encouraging investment and innovation. ## Footnote Weak institutions can lead to rent-seeking and discourage productivity.
29
Can inequality affect growth?
Yes — high inequality may reduce access to education and increase social unrest, harming long-term productivity. ## Footnote Concentrated income may weaken demand in consumption-led economies.
30
How does environmental policy relate to productivity and growth?
Well-designed environmental regulation can spur green innovation and resource efficiency, while poor design can deter investment. ## Footnote Balancing externality correction with economic dynamism is key.
31
How can total factor productivity (TFP) grow even if capital and labour inputs stay constant?
TFP can grow through innovation and better resource allocation. ## Footnote Example: Digital tools allowing workers to produce more without increasing inputs.
32
What explains the UK’s productivity slowdown since 2008?
Factors include underinvestment in capital and skills, low R&D intensity, and regional disparities. ## Footnote Brexit and weak public infrastructure may also contribute.
33
If productivity rises in a sector but employment falls, is that still good for growth?
Yes — productivity gains mean more output per worker and can lead to better resource allocation. ## Footnote Automation may free up labour for high-growth sectors.
34
How does population ageing affect growth prospects?
Ageing reduces the working-age population and can lower investment and innovation. ## Footnote Policies to boost participation and productivity can offset effects.
35
What is the productivity–wage link, and why does it matter?
Rising productivity should lead to higher real wages, but lagging wage growth may indicate weak bargaining power or rising inequality. ## Footnote Understanding this link helps shape inclusive growth policy.
36
Why is investment in R&D often below the socially optimal level?
Firms cannot fully capture spillover benefits of innovation, leading to underinvestment. ## Footnote Public subsidies or tax credits aim to correct this market failure.
37
Is GDP growth a good measure of economic well-being?
Not always — GDP does not account for distribution, environmental damage, or unpaid work. ## Footnote Alternatives like HDI try to address these gaps.
38
How does firm-level productivity relate to national productivity?
National productivity is an average of firm-level outputs. High productivity firms raise the national average. ## Footnote Understanding firm dynamics is crucial for policy.
39
Is GDP growth a good measure of economic well-being?
Not always. GDP measures output, not distribution, environmental damage, or unpaid work. Alternatives like HDI or inclusive wealth try to account for these gaps. Still, GDP remains a useful benchmark. ## Footnote Communication, Making Effective Decisions, Knowledge of Economics
40
How does firm-level productivity relate to national productivity?
National productivity is an average of firm-level outputs. If high-productivity firms grow faster or resources shift toward them, national productivity improves. Barriers like skill shortages or poor finance access can prevent this reallocation. ## Footnote Application of Economics, Making Effective Decisions, Delivering at Pace
41
What’s the link between productivity and innovation diffusion?
New technologies often spread unevenly. Frontier firms adopt them quickly, but laggards may struggle. Strong diffusion through skilled workers, competition, and digital infrastructure helps the whole economy benefit from innovation. ## Footnote Application of Economics, Working Together, Delivering at Pace
42
How can poor infrastructure constrain productivity?
It raises transaction costs, limits market access, and slows logistics. For example, slow internet hampers digital business; congested roads raise delivery times. This reduces output per input. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Delivering at Pace, Making Effective Decisions
43
Could higher productivity ever lead to job losses?
Yes, especially in the short run. If firms automate tasks, they may need fewer workers. Increased efficiency can lower prices, boost demand, and create new industries and jobs over time. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Application of Economics, Making Effective Decisions
44
Can you grow an economy without increasing productivity?
Yes, but only in the short term by using more labour or capital. Without improving efficiency, growth will slow or stall. Long-term sustainable growth depends on rising productivity. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Communication, Making Effective Decisions
45
Is it always good to close the productivity gap between regions?
Not necessarily. Some regions may specialise in lower-productivity but high-employment sectors. Reducing barriers to growth gives all regions the opportunity to raise productivity organically. ## Footnote Making Effective Decisions, Working Together, Application of Economics
46
Can productivity improvements harm the environment?
Yes — if growth is achieved through resource-intensive methods. Policymakers look to decouple growth from environmental damage through green innovation and sustainable infrastructure. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Application of Economics, Making Effective Decisions
47
Can too much growth be a bad thing?
Yes — excessive growth can cause overheating, inflation, environmental degradation, and resource depletion. Balanced growth is often preferable to rapid, unmanaged expansion. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Making Effective Decisions, Communication
48
Should the UK prioritise growth or equality?
There’s a trade-off. High growth may increase inequality if gains aren’t shared, but redistribution without growth can reduce incentives. The best approach is inclusive growth. ## Footnote Application of Economics, Making Effective Decisions, Working Together
49
If productivity is rising but GDP is flat, what might explain that?
Possibly falling labour hours or a shrinking workforce. Productivity = output per worker/hour, so gains in efficiency might be masked by demographic decline or weak demand. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Communication, Making Effective Decisions
50
Could rising interest rates boost productivity?
Possibly. Tighter credit can drive out inefficient firms, reallocating resources to more productive ones. The net effect depends on the structure of the economy. ## Footnote Application of Economics, Knowledge of Economics, Making Effective Decisions
51
Why might a country invest in low-productivity sectors?
To support employment, regional development, or strategic aims. Growth isn’t the only policy goal — sometimes equity or resilience matters more. ## Footnote Making Effective Decisions, Working Together, Communication
52
Can immigration reduce productivity?
In the short run, yes — if migrants enter low-skilled jobs, average productivity may fall. But over time, immigration often increases total output and boosts innovation. ## Footnote Application of Economics, Communication, Making Effective Decisions
53
Could AI cause a productivity paradox?
Yes — initial investment may outpace measured returns. If AI disrupts industries but firms struggle to adapt, productivity might stagnate temporarily. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Delivering at Pace, Making Effective Decisions
54
Is zero growth ever a policy goal?
Rarely, but in 'degrowth' or post-growth models, the aim is sustainability rather than expansion. These models prioritise wellbeing and environmental goals over GDP growth. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Communication, Making Effective Decisions
55
Can GDP growth happen without welfare improvements?
Yes — GDP may rise while living standards stagnate due to inequality, poor public services, or environmental harm. Broader indicators like GNI per capita or HDI offer a fuller picture. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Application of Economics, Communication
56
Why might a productivity surge reduce wages?
If market power allows firms to keep gains, workers may not see benefits. Technology can also displace labour, weakening bargaining power. ## Footnote Knowledge of Economics, Working Together, Making Effective Decisions
57
Can innovation lead to unemployment?
Yes – innovation can lead to 'technological unemployment' as automation or new methods displace workers. ## Footnote In the short term, certain sectors may shrink. However, growth and new industries often generate new jobs over time.
58
What does it indicate if GDP is growing but real wages are falling?
It suggests that the benefits of growth are not reaching workers, possibly due to rising inequality, inflation outpacing nominal wage growth, or productivity gains being captured by capital rather than labour. ## Footnote Real wages give a better picture of living standards than GDP alone.
59
Why might a government target productivity growth over GDP growth?
Productivity growth improves long-run potential output and competitiveness without necessarily increasing resource use. ## Footnote GDP growth can be driven by temporary factors like population increase or fiscal stimulus.
60
Can cutting taxes boost productivity?
Potentially. Lower corporate or income taxes may incentivise investment and effort, but the effect depends on how the tax cut is funded. ## Footnote If it reduces public investment in infrastructure or education, the long-term effect could be negative.
61
Is high growth always inflationary?
Not necessarily. If growth is driven by higher productivity, the economy can expand without creating inflationary pressure. ## Footnote Demand outpacing supply capacity can lead to overheating and inflation.
62
Can a country be highly productive but still have low growth?
Yes – for example, if the workforce is shrinking due to ageing demographics or if demand is weak. ## Footnote High productivity means each worker is efficient, but overall output depends on both productivity and the number of workers.
63
Why is capital deepening important for growth?
Capital deepening raises labour productivity by increasing capital per worker, such as providing better machinery or software. ## Footnote Diminishing returns mean gains eventually taper off unless complemented by innovation or skills.
64
Could foreign investment harm domestic productivity?
It depends. If foreign firms crowd out local businesses or repatriate profits without knowledge transfer, domestic benefits may be limited. ## Footnote However, well-managed FDI can raise productivity through technology spillovers.
65
Why might public sector productivity be harder to measure?
Many public services don’t have market prices, making output hard to quantify. ## Footnote Traditional measures may undervalue outcomes or quality improvements.
66
How does uncertainty affect productivity growth?
High uncertainty can deter investment in innovation or capital, slowing productivity as firms delay decisions or hold excess cash. ## Footnote Stable environments tend to foster long-term productivity gains.
67
Can economic growth be environmentally sustainable?
Yes, through decoupling – where GDP grows while environmental impacts fall. ## Footnote This requires cleaner technologies and strong environmental regulations.
68
What happens if productivity rises but output stays flat?
This could mean the workforce is shrinking or demand is weak. ## Footnote For example, ageing populations can reduce labour supply.
69
How does human capital influence productivity?
Better education and skills raise efficiency and adaptability of workers, allowing them to use new technologies effectively. ## Footnote High human capital is strongly correlated with innovation and long-term growth.
70
Could high growth reduce wellbeing?
Yes – if it causes pollution, inequality, or depletes natural resources. ## Footnote GDP doesn’t measure quality of life.
71
Is productivity growth always good?
Not always. Gains from job cuts or overwork may reduce welfare. ## Footnote Productivity should ideally be broad-based and support real income growth.
72
Why might an economy have low productivity despite high investment?
Poor investment quality, weak institutions, or inefficient allocation of capital can limit returns. ## Footnote For example, investing in roads without maintenance won’t boost output.
73
How does digital infrastructure affect productivity?
Reliable broadband and digital tools can raise productivity by speeding up communication and enabling innovation. ## Footnote Benefits depend on digital skills and adoption rates across sectors.
74
Can inequality harm long-term growth?
Yes. High inequality can reduce social mobility and weaken human capital investment. ## Footnote It may also limit aggregate demand.
75
What role does competition play in productivity?
Competition pressures firms to innovate and adopt better practices. ## Footnote In protected markets, productivity tends to be lower.
76
Could zero growth ever be a policy goal?
Yes, in theories like degrowth, where focus shifts from GDP to wellbeing and sustainability. ## Footnote Managing debt and inequality without growth would be extremely difficult.
77
What’s driving weak productivity growth in the UK in 2025?
Low business investment post-Brexit, skills mismatches, regional disparities, and underperforming infrastructure. ## Footnote Uncertainty and tight financial conditions have discouraged long-term innovation.
78
How are interest rates affecting UK growth in 2025?
Higher interest rates are dampening investment and consumer spending. ## Footnote Mortgage costs are up, affecting household demand.
79
What’s the impact of net migration trends on UK growth in 2025?
Migration has supported labour supply in key sectors but remains under pressure from housing and infrastructure. ## Footnote Public concern about integration could influence future policy direction.
80
How is the UK’s growth strategy responding to the cost of living crisis?
The focus has shifted towards supply-side reforms: energy security and childcare support. ## Footnote These aim to lift productivity and ease long-term inflationary pressures.
81
What role does regional inequality play in UK productivity in 2025?
Large gaps remain between London/southeast and the rest due to poor transport links and skills gaps. ## Footnote Levelling-up policies have had mixed results.
82
How has the UK labour market changed post-COVID?
Participation has fallen, especially among older workers and those with long-term health issues. ## Footnote This reduces labour supply and limits output.
83
What’s the economic impact of public sector strikes in 2025?
Short-term: lost output in education and health; longer-term: lower morale and reduced productivity. ## Footnote Public sector unrest affects investor perceptions.
84
How is AI adoption affecting UK productivity in 2025?
Early gains in professional services and logistics, but uptake is uneven across sectors. ## Footnote Skills shortages in data and tech are a major bottleneck.
85
What are the implications of weak business investment in 2025?
UK firms remain cautious, limiting capital deepening essential for long-term productivity. ## Footnote This also weakens innovation and global competitiveness.
86
Is the UK meeting its growth potential in 2025?
No. Potential output is constrained by weak productivity, low investment, and structural barriers. ## Footnote Targeted reform could help close this output gap.
87
Why does the UK lag behind Germany or the US on productivity?
Lower capital intensity, weaker vocational education, and lower R&D investment compared to Germany. ## Footnote Brexit introduced trade frictions and chronic underinvestment has worsened the gap.
88
What policy levers can improve productivity in the public sector?
Digital transformation, better management practices, and investment in IT infrastructure can help. ## Footnote Reforms must be carefully designed and monitored due to harder outcome measurement.
89
Can economic growth be decoupled from environmental damage?
In theory, yes — through 'green growth' by increasing output while reducing carbon emissions. ## Footnote It requires investment in clean energy and decarbonising industry.
90
What are the weaknesses in how we measure productivity?
GDP doesn’t capture informal activity, well-being, or quality improvements well. ## Footnote Productivity in services is hard to measure due to lack of market pricing.
91
What explains Ireland’s rapid productivity growth?
Attraction of high-value FDI due to low corporate tax and EU market access. ## Footnote Productivity is inflated by profit shifting from multinationals.
92
What’s the risk of focusing too much on GDP growth?
It may ignore distribution, sustainability, and well-being, leading to rising inequality. ## Footnote Broader measures like inclusive wealth can complement growth targets.
93
Why is planning reform key to growth in the UK?
Restrictive planning limits housing supply and infrastructure expansion, raising costs and reducing mobility. ## Footnote Reform could unlock agglomeration benefits.
94
How does population ageing affect economic growth?
It lowers the working-age share and shifts demand towards lower-productivity services. ## Footnote Productivity gains must compensate to maintain growth.
95
What role does political economy play in the UK’s low growth?
Reform is often blocked by short-term political costs and local resistance, reducing effectiveness. ## Footnote Long-term plans require cross-party support and policy stability.
96
How can the UK ensure growth is both resilient and inclusive?
Diversify the economy, invest in skills, and upgrade infrastructure in lagging areas. ## Footnote Strengthening social safety nets ensures growth benefits are widely shared.
97
What drives long-run economic growth in a country like the UK?
Investment in physical capital, human capital, technological progress, and institutional quality. ## Footnote Productivity improvements are central.
98
How does technological progress boost economic growth?
It enables firms to produce more output from the same inputs, increasing total factor productivity. ## Footnote Adoption lags can delay benefits across the economy.
99
What is the Solow growth model?
It explains long-run growth through capital accumulation, labour force growth, and technological progress. ## Footnote It highlights the role of savings and population growth.
100
How do institutions affect growth?
Strong institutions shape incentives to invest and innovate, reducing uncertainty and supporting market efficiency. ## Footnote Poor institutions often face capital flight and low FDI.
101
What is the relationship between human capital and productivity?
Human capital improves worker efficiency and adaptability, leading to higher productivity. ## Footnote Mismatches between skills and jobs can limit gains.
102
What are agglomeration effects?
Agglomeration occurs when firms and workers cluster in one area, raising productivity and innovation. ## Footnote Rising congestion can offset benefits if infrastructure doesn't keep up.
103
How does international trade contribute to growth?
Trade allows countries to specialise and benefit from technology transfer, stimulating investment. ## Footnote If sectors shrink without replacement, benefits may be uneven.
104
Why might growth be uneven across UK regions?
Differences in infrastructure, skills, and access to finance explain regional disparities. ## Footnote London benefits more due to agglomeration and global connectivity.
105
What is the role of capital deepening in growth?
Capital deepening increases the capital-to-labour ratio, raising labour productivity but facing diminishing returns. ## Footnote Sustained growth requires combining it with innovation.
106
Can too much growth be harmful?
Rapid growth can strain natural resources, worsen inequality, and fuel unsustainable debt. ## Footnote Inclusive and sustainable growth is preferred.
107
What are supply-side policies?
Policies aimed to increase the economy’s productive potential by improving efficiency and incentives. ## Footnote These include tax reforms and investment in education.
108
Can too much growth be harmful?
Yes, rapid growth can strain resources, worsen inequality, and fuel unsustainable debt or asset bubbles. Sustainable growth is preferred.
109
What are supply-side policies?
Policies aimed at increasing the economy’s productive potential by improving efficiency and incentives. Examples include tax reforms and deregulation.
110
How do education and training reforms enhance long-term growth?
They improve human capital, increasing workforce productivity and adaptability, which drives innovation and raises output per worker.
111
How does infrastructure investment support the supply side of the economy?
High-quality infrastructure reduces transaction costs, improves connectivity, and increases efficiency of labour and capital.
112
In what ways do tax cuts act as supply-side reforms?
They increase incentives to work, save, and invest, boosting retained earnings and capital investment for firms.
113
How does labour market flexibility affect economic growth?
It allows firms to hire and fire easily, reducing unemployment and inefficiencies, but excessive flexibility can harm job security.
114
What is the role of deregulation in promoting supply-side efficiency?
Deregulation reduces compliance costs and barriers, encouraging entrepreneurship and competition, which drive innovation.
115
How do supply-side policies differ from demand-side ones?
Supply-side policies focus on increasing production capacity, while demand-side policies aim to influence short-term demand.
116
Can supply-side policies help with inflation?
Yes, by increasing productivity and capacity, they can reduce long-term inflationary pressure.
117
What are some limitations of supply-side policies?
They take time to implement, can be expensive, politically unpopular, or poorly designed, leading to inequality or environmental harm.
118
How do innovation and R&D policies fit into supply-side reform?
They boost productivity through government support such as R&D tax credits and partnerships, sustaining long-term growth.
119
What is public sector productivity?
Efficiency of public service delivery, measured by output per unit of input.
120
Why is improving public sector productivity important for economic growth?
It can deliver better services without increasing spending, improving human capital and infrastructure.
121
How can public sector innovation boost productivity?
By streamlining processes and improving outcomes through new technologies and service models.
122
What challenges are there in raising public sector productivity?
Challenges include lack of competition, weak incentives, and resistance to change.
123
How does public investment link to productivity?
Strategic public investment can raise productivity directly or indirectly by enabling private sector efficiency.
124
Can public-private partnerships improve public sector productivity?
Yes, they can bring expertise and innovation, but risks include profit motives distorting priorities.
125
How can incentives be used to improve productivity in the public sector?
Performance-based funding and benchmarking can encourage better outcomes, but care is needed to avoid perverse incentives.
126
How does public sector productivity differ from private sector productivity?
Public sector outputs may be non-market, focusing more on quality and broader goals like equity.
127
What role can digital transformation play in boosting public productivity?
Digital tools can improve efficiency and service quality, although upfront investment and skills are needed.
128
What are environmental constraints on economic growth?
Limits imposed by finite resources, climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss.
129
How does climate change act as a constraint on growth?
It can reduce productivity and create uncertainty that deters investment.
130
Can growth and environmental protection coexist?
Yes, through green growth or sustainable development policies.
131
What is the ‘tragedy of the commons’?
It describes overuse of shared resources leading to depletion without regulation.
132
How can environmental regulation affect productivity and growth?
Stricter regulation may raise costs short-term but can drive long-term innovation and health improvements.
133
What policies can support growth while respecting environmental limits?
Examples include carbon pricing, green investment, and emissions regulation.
134
What is the concept of ‘decoupling’?
Separating economic growth from environmental harm.
135
How do environmental constraints affect developing countries differently?
They face trade-offs between poverty reduction and sustainability, and climate impacts hit them harder.
136
What are the risks of ignoring environmental constraints on growth?
Unchecked degradation can reduce output, increase inequality, and provoke political instability.
137
What is labour productivity?
Output per unit of labour input, measured as GDP per hour worked or per worker.
138
What is multifactor productivity (MFP)?
Measures output growth not explained by inputs, capturing technological progress and efficiency improvements.
139
Why is GDP per capita used to measure growth?
It adjusts for population size, showing average income or output per person.
140
What are the limitations of GDP as a growth measure?
GDP ignores unpaid work, environmental damage, and quality of life factors.
141
How does productivity growth relate to living standards?
Sustained growth enables higher wages and improved goods and services.
142
What are some alternative measures of economic performance?
Human Development Index (HDI), Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI), and wellbeing measures.
143
How is public sector productivity measured?
Using cost-weighted activity indicators, adjusted for quality where possible.
144
Why is productivity harder to measure in services?
Services often lack tangible outputs and quality varies widely.
145
What role does data quality play in productivity measurement?
Poor data can distort productivity statistics; better data collection is crucial.
146
How can productivity be misinterpreted?
Rises might result from job losses or cost-cutting rather than genuine efficiency.
147
What is meant by the political economy of growth?
How political institutions and power structures influence economic growth.
148
How do political institutions affect long-run growth?
Strong institutions promote investment and innovation, while weak ones deter growth.
149
What’s the role of governance in economic performance?
Good governance ensures effective policy implementation and minimizes corruption.
150
Can democracy promote economic growth?
Democracies often support inclusive institutions, but may face short-term pressures.
151
What are growth-reducing political incentives?
Prioritizing short-term projects over long-term investments leads to inefficient allocation.
152
How can inequality affect growth politically?
High inequality can reduce social cohesion and support for pro-growth reforms.
153
Why do some governments fail to invest in growth-enhancing reforms?
Political opposition from vested interests can block beneficial reforms.
154
How does corruption affect growth?
Corruption distorts incentives, reduces trust, and diverts funds from productive uses.
155
What is the resource curse?
Lower growth in resource-rich countries due to rent-seeking and weak institutions.
156
How can politics impact productivity policy?
Political cycles can lead to inconsistent or underfunded productivity plans.
157
What is meant by economic resilience?
The ability to absorb, recover from, and adapt to shocks while maintaining growth.
158
How did COVID-19 affect the UK’s growth and resilience?
It caused contraction and exposed vulnerabilities but accelerated digital adoption.
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How did the UK labour market respond to COVID-19?
Unemployment was cushioned initially, but post-pandemic inactivity rose.
160
What was the impact of the energy price shock from the Ukraine war?
Increased inflation and reduced competitiveness for energy-intensive sectors.
161
How does inflation affect economic resilience?
High inflation erodes purchasing power and undermines investment certainty.
162
What is the role of diversification in building resilience?
Diversification helps spread risk and stabilise growth by reducing reliance on narrow sectors.
163
How does government debt affect resilience?
High debt limits fiscal space to respond to shocks and can raise borrowing costs.
164
What are hysteresis effects?
Long-term damage to potential output following a shock, like prolonged unemployment.
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What does the UK’s recent productivity stagnation suggest about resilience?
It limits the capacity to recover strongly from economic shocks.
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What limits fiscal space to respond to future shocks?
High debt limits fiscal space to respond to future shocks ## Footnote Sustained high debt can raise borrowing costs and crowd out productive investment.
167
What are hysteresis effects?
Hysteresis refers to long-term damage to potential output following a shock ## Footnote Prolonged unemployment can reduce skills and participation, permanently lowering growth capacity unless policy intervenes effectively.
168
Why do hysteresis effects matter?
They can lead to a permanent lowering of growth capacity following a shock ## Footnote Effective policy intervention is necessary to mitigate these effects.
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What does the UK’s recent productivity stagnation suggest about resilience?
It suggests limited capacity to recover strongly from shocks ## Footnote Weak productivity growth since 2008 and underinvestment in infrastructure, skills, and R&D have left the economy less adaptive.
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What policies support economic resilience in the face of shocks?
Strong automatic stabilisers, flexible labour markets, sound public finances, investment in human capital, and robust supply chains ## Footnote These elements help economies withstand and recover from shocks.
171
What was the main idea behind Liz Truss’s economic policy in 2022?
Truss’s approach centred on supply-side economics — using tax cuts and deregulation to stimulate growth.
172
What did the Truss government announce in the 'mini-budget'?
The mini-budget included £45bn of unfunded tax cuts, including the abolition of the 45p income tax rate and cancellation of the corporate tax rise.
173
Why did financial markets react negatively to the mini-budget?
The lack of fiscal credibility triggered a loss of investor confidence, leading to rising gilt yields and a falling pound.
174
What role did the OBR play in the Truss economic crisis?
The Office for Budget Responsibility was sidelined during the mini-budget, undermining trust in the UK’s fiscal framework.
175
What does the Truss episode show about fiscal policy constraints?
It shows that expansionary fiscal policy must be credible and supported by institutions to avoid destabilising markets.
176
What did critics say about Truss’s understanding of economic growth?
Critics argued her approach underestimated demand-side effects and inflationary risks, and overestimated the growth impact of tax cuts.
177
How did monetary policy complicate Truss’s agenda?
The Bank of England was raising rates to combat inflation while the government was injecting a large fiscal stimulus.
178
What economic ideology underpinned Truss’s policies?
Truss drew from free-market economics and Reaganomics, favouring lower taxes and deregulation.
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How did Truss’s economic approach differ from traditional Conservative policy?
Truss’s agenda marked a shift towards high-risk, debt-financed stimulus focused on rapid growth.
180
What lessons were learned from the Truss fiscal experiment?
Fiscal credibility, institutional trust, and coordination with monetary policy are vital for market stability.
181
What triggered the 2008 financial crisis?
The crisis was triggered by the collapse of the US subprime mortgage market.
182
How did the crisis spread globally?
Financial markets were interconnected, leading to a global liquidity crunch when confidence collapsed.
183
What was the impact on UK GDP?
The UK entered a deep recession, with GDP shrinking by over 6% from peak to trough.
184
How did the Bank of England respond?
It slashed interest rates to historic lows and launched quantitative easing.
185
What fiscal response did the UK government take?
The government increased spending to stabilise the economy and bailed out major banks.
186
What long-term effects did the crisis have on productivity?
Productivity growth stagnated, with many economists believing the crisis caused 'scarring'.
187
How did the crisis affect financial regulation?
It led to major reforms including higher capital requirements and more oversight of systemic risks.
188
What is meant by a ‘credit crunch’?
A credit crunch occurs when banks sharply reduce lending due to fears about borrowers’ solvency.
189
How did the crisis affect unemployment?
Unemployment rose significantly, peaking at around 8% in the UK in 2011.
190
What lessons did economists learn from the crisis?
Financial markets are prone to failure, and proactive regulation is crucial during downturns.
191
What is quantitative easing (QE)?
QE is a form of unconventional monetary policy where a central bank buys long-term government bonds to inject money into the economy.
192
Why did the Bank of England use QE after 2008?
With interest rates close to zero, QE was used to support spending and investment.
193
How does QE work in theory?
QE raises demand for bonds, pushing up prices and lowering yields, which reduces borrowing costs.
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What is the transmission mechanism of QE?
The main channels are lower long-term interest rates, higher asset prices, and increased bank lending.
195
Did QE raise inflation?
Inflation effects were limited in most advanced economies, including the UK.
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What is the difference between QE and printing money?
QE creates central bank reserves and is reversible, while 'printing money' often implies permanent monetary expansion.
197
How large was the QE programme in the UK?
The Bank of England bought over £875 billion in UK government bonds and some corporate bonds.
198
What are criticisms of QE?
Critics argue QE inflated asset prices and distorted financial markets.
199
How might QE affect the exchange rate?
QE can lead to currency depreciation, boosting exports but also importing inflation.
200
What were the limits of QE’s effectiveness?
QE is more effective in crisis periods; its impact may be modest in normal conditions.
201
How does QE impact government borrowing costs?
By purchasing government bonds, QE lowers yields, reducing the cost of government borrowing.
202
What is the 'reversal' of QE and how does it work?
Reversing QE is called quantitative tightening (QT), involving the central bank reducing its balance sheet.
203
How does QE affect bank lending?
QE increases bank reserves, but this doesn’t automatically increase lending.
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Did QE boost economic growth in the UK?
Evidence suggests QE helped avoid a deeper recession, but its impact on real GDP growth was modest.
205
How might QE influence inequality?
QE boosts asset prices, benefiting wealthier households and widening wealth gaps.
206
What is the risk of fiscal dominance with QE?
Fiscal dominance occurs when monetary policy is constrained by the need to support government borrowing.
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What’s the role of expectations in QE?
Expectations are crucial; if firms believe QE will succeed, they’re more likely to invest.
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How does QE differ from forward guidance?
QE involves actual asset purchases, while forward guidance is a communication tool about future interest rates.
209
How might QE affect pension funds and savers?
Lower interest rates reduce returns on annuities and fixed-income investments.
210
How does QE affect inflation targeting?
QE supports inflation targeting when interest rates are at the lower bound, aiming to keep inflation close to the 2% target.
211
What is regional productivity divergence?
It refers to the growing gap in output per worker between different geographic areas within a country.
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Why does regional productivity divergence matter for economic growth?
It limits national growth potential and can lead to inequality and political discontent.
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What are the main causes of regional productivity divergence in the UK?
Poor transport infrastructure, underinvestment in skills, and weak innovation outside core cities are key contributors.
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How do agglomeration economies influence regional productivity?
In high-productivity regions, businesses benefit from dense networks and knowledge spillovers.
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What is the role of transport in regional productivity?
Efficient transport links reduce travel time and boost business connectivity.
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How might education and skills contribute to regional divergence?
Regions with lower educational attainment struggle to attract high-productivity firms.
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Can fiscal policy help address regional divergence?
Yes, targeted public investment and support for local skills can help stimulate lagging regions.
218
What is the Levelling Up agenda and how does it relate?
It's the UK government's initiative aimed at reducing regional inequalities.
219
How do regional housing markets affect productivity divergence?
High housing costs in productive regions can deter in-migration, limiting labour market flexibility.
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What would success look like in reducing regional productivity gaps?
Convergence in output per hour across regions and improved local innovation ecosystems would signal success.
221
What are demographic challenges to economic growth in the UK?
An ageing population reduces the labour force participation rate and increases dependency ratios.
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How does an ageing population affect productivity?
Older workers may have lower adaptability to new technologies, though experience can offset this.
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What’s the economic impact of declining birth rates?
Lower birth rates shrink the future labour force, limiting long-run growth.
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Can immigration offset demographic drag?
Yes, younger migrants can boost labour supply and support tax revenues.
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How does education policy interact with demographics?
Investing in education and upskilling can raise average productivity to offset demographic slowdown.
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What are the fiscal consequences of ageing?
Public spending on pensions and health increases, while tax revenue growth may slow.
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How can labour force participation be increased?
Policies to support older workers and childcare support can boost participation.
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Are demographic trends uniform across the UK?
No, rural areas tend to have older populations while cities attract younger workers.
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What role do fertility policies play?
Measures like paid parental leave may encourage higher birth rates.
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How should the UK respond to demographic pressures to sustain growth?
A mix of policies: raise productivity, boost labour force participation, and manage immigration effectively.
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What is Total Factor Productivity (TFP)?
TFP measures the efficiency with which labour and capital are used together to produce output.
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Why has UK TFP growth slowed since 2008?
The UK has seen weak investment and low diffusion of innovation beyond frontier firms.
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What is Total Factor Productivity (TFP)?
TFP measures the efficiency with which labour and capital are used together to produce output. It captures improvements in technology, innovation, management, and institutions beyond inputs alone.
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Why has UK TFP growth slowed since 2008?
The UK has seen weak investment, low diffusion of innovation beyond frontier firms, reduced competition in some sectors, and uncertainty post-financial crisis and Brexit—all of which dampen TFP.
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How does TFP relate to long-run economic growth?
Long-run growth depends heavily on TFP improvements. While capital deepening boosts growth temporarily, only TFP can sustain growth without continual increases in input use.
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How can government policy improve TFP?
Through investment in R&D, support for firm innovation, improved education and skills, better infrastructure, regulatory reform, and competition policy to encourage productive dynamism.
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What is the UK’s productivity puzzle?
It refers to the stagnation in labour productivity post-2008, where output per hour grew far more slowly than expected despite relatively high employment—partly due to low TFP growth.
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What role does technology diffusion play in TFP?
TFP rises when new technologies spread from frontier to laggard firms. Barriers include skills gaps, lack of investment, and poor management practices in less productive firms.
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How is TFP measured?
It's calculated as the residual from a production function after accounting for labour and capital. It’s sensitive to measurement errors and assumptions about returns to scale and input quality.
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Can low TFP coexist with high GDP growth?
Yes—if growth is driven by increases in labour or capital inputs. However, this is not sustainable without TFP gains, as diminishing returns eventually set in.
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Why might productivity vary across sectors?
Some sectors (like IT) experience rapid innovation, while others (like care or hospitality) are labour-intensive with limited scope for automation, keeping productivity low.
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How important is management quality to TFP?
Very. Studies show large gaps in productivity between firms due to management practices. Improving decision-making, incentives, and operational efficiency can significantly raise TFP.
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What is allocative efficiency and how does it relate to productivity?
Allocative efficiency occurs when resources are distributed in a way that maximises welfare—i.e. goods and services are produced according to consumer preferences. Even if productivity is high, a misallocation reduces economic efficiency.
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How do skills mismatches affect productivity?
When workers’ skills don’t align with job requirements, it leads to lower output per worker. This mismatch also reduces innovation diffusion and limits the productivity potential of firms and sectors.
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What is the productivity gap between frontier and laggard firms?
Frontier firms lead in adopting innovations, processes, and technologies, while laggards fall behind. The gap reflects how poorly knowledge and efficiency gains are shared, especially in the UK, where diffusion is weak.
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What does capital shallowing mean, and how does it affect productivity?
Capital shallowing refers to a decline in capital per worker, often due to underinvestment. It leads to stagnating labour productivity, as each worker has less access to productivity-enhancing tools.
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How does market competition affect productivity growth?
Healthy competition forces firms to innovate and improve efficiency. If market power increases (e.g. monopolies), firms may underinvest in productivity improvements, knowing they face little threat from rivals.
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Can overregulation reduce productivity?
Yes. Excessive or poorly designed regulations can impose high compliance costs, discourage innovation, and reduce entry and exit in markets—slowing down reallocation and dynamism essential to productivity.
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What is x-inefficiency?
X-inefficiency occurs when firms are not operating at maximum efficiency due to lack of competitive pressure or poor internal organisation—leading to lower output for a given set of inputs.
250
How does access to finance influence productivity?
Access to finance enables firms to invest in capital, training, and innovation. Credit constraints especially hurt SMEs, delaying investment in productivity-enhancing activities and technology.
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What is productivity-enhancing reallocation?
It refers to the movement of resources (e.g. labour and capital) from less productive to more productive firms or sectors. Inflexible labour markets, barriers to entry/exit, or policy distortions can inhibit this process.
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Why might productivity be lower in small firms?
Smaller firms often face resource constraints, have limited management capacity, and may not benefit from economies of scale. However, they can still be innovative—policy support needs to target high-growth potential SMEs.
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What is intangible capital?
Intangible capital includes non-physical assets like software, data, branding, design, R&D, and organisational knowledge. It’s increasingly important in modern economies where services and digital firms dominate.
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How does investment in intangible assets drive productivity?
Intangible investment enhances firm capabilities and innovation. For example, R&D leads to new products, and software improves efficiency. These raise total factor productivity (TFP), a key driver of long-run growth.
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Why is measuring intangible capital difficult?
Many intangibles (like internal training or organisational processes) aren’t recorded in national accounts or firm balance sheets, so their value is often underestimated in GDP and productivity data.
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How does the UK compare internationally in intangible investment?
The UK performs well in some areas (e.g. design, finance-related intangibles) but lags in others like R&D and management quality compared to the US. This affects innovation diffusion and productivity.
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What policy supports can raise intangible investment?
Tax incentives for R&D, better access to growth finance, skills development, and support for data infrastructure can boost intangible investment. Institutions like the British Business Bank can help SMEs scale.
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Why is intangible capital less scalable than physical capital?
Actually, many intangibles are highly scalable (e.g. software can be used by millions at low marginal cost), but they often require complementary assets (like skilled labour or strong IP regimes) to be effective.
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What’s the difference between intangible-rich and intangible-poor firms?
Intangible-rich firms typically have higher productivity, innovation, and growth potential. They invest in knowledge assets and can scale rapidly. Intangible-poor firms struggle to compete in modern, digital economies.
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Can intangible capital help reduce regional productivity gaps?
Potentially. Digital tools and knowledge assets can allow firms in remote areas to compete globally. But this depends on infrastructure (e.g. broadband), skills, and support for innovation outside urban hubs.
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What role do institutions play in supporting intangibles?
Strong IP protection, legal frameworks, data standards, and innovation ecosystems are essential for intangible capital to flourish. Without institutional support, returns on intangible investment may be too uncertain.
262
How does intangible capital relate to economic growth theory?
Endogenous growth theory highlights how knowledge accumulation and innovation (key intangibles) drive long-term growth. Intangibles have increasing returns and spillovers, reinforcing the importance of policy support.
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What is human capital?
Human capital refers to the skills, knowledge, and health that individuals possess, which contribute to their productivity. It's built through education, training, and experience.
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How does education contribute to economic growth?
Education raises labour productivity by improving skills. It also boosts innovation, enables adoption of new technologies, and supports occupational mobility—key drivers of sustained economic growth.
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What's the difference between general and specific human capital?
General human capital (e.g. literacy, numeracy) is transferable across jobs. Specific human capital is job- or firm-specific (e.g. software systems training). General human capital tends to have wider economic benefits.
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How do you measure human capital?
Common metrics include years of schooling, educational attainment levels, cognitive test scores, and skill-adjusted labour input. However, these may not fully capture on-the-job learning or soft skills.
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What is the link between human capital and productivity?
Higher human capital raises productivity by improving decision-making, problem-solving, and the effective use of technology. It also complements physical and intangible capital, amplifying their impact.
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Why might returns to education vary?
Returns depend on education quality, labour market conditions, and whether skills match employer needs. Mismatches can reduce wage returns and weaken the link between education and growth.
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How can education policy support productivity?
Improving quality and accessibility of schooling, expanding vocational training, and aligning curricula with employer needs can build a skilled workforce and boost national productivity.
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What are the growth effects of early years education?
Early education supports cognitive and social development, improving long-term outcomes. Studies show high returns to early intervention, especially for disadvantaged children, via improved attainment and later productivity.
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How does lifelong learning affect growth?
In a fast-changing economy, adult education and upskilling are vital to maintain employability and productivity. Lifelong learning supports adaptability, innovation, and inclusive growth.
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What are the limits of human capital investment?
If labour demand doesn’t match the supply of skills, returns may be low. Education must be accompanied by job creation, innovation, and infrastructure to realise full growth benefits.
273
What is the productivity-pay gap?
It refers to the growing divergence between labour productivity and median real wages. While productivity has risen over time, wage growth—especially for lower earners—has lagged behind.
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Why might productivity rise but wages stagnate?
Explanations include a declining labour share of income, weakened union power, globalisation pressures, automation replacing mid-wage jobs, and monopsony power limiting wage bargaining.
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What role does the labour share of income play?
If a smaller share of output goes to workers, even rising productivity may not translate into wage growth. This can occur if capital captures more of the gains from growth.
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How can market power affect wage growth?
Employers with monopsony power (few firms hiring) can suppress wages below worker productivity. This weakens the link between pay and productivity, especially in concentrated labour markets.
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What’s the impact of automation on pay?
Automation can raise productivity but replace middle-income jobs, polarising the wage distribution. It may increase returns to high-skilled labour while reducing demand for routine work.
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How does sectoral composition affect the productivity-pay link?
High-productivity gains in capital-intensive sectors (e.g. finance, tech) may not lift pay broadly if most workers are in lower-productivity sectors like care or hospitality.
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What is ‘inclusive growth’ and why is it relevant here?
Inclusive growth ensures productivity gains are widely shared. Addressing the pay-productivity gap is crucial to reduce inequality and ensure the benefits of growth reach more people.
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How does underemployment affect the pay-productivity relationship?
If workers are in roles below their skill level or working fewer hours than desired, aggregate productivity may rise while individual wages remain depressed.
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What policy measures can narrow the gap?
Measures include stronger collective bargaining, minimum wage rises, skills development, encouraging high-value sectors, and corporate governance reform to link pay more to firm performance.
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Why does the productivity-pay gap matter?
It can erode living standards, reduce public support for growth-focused policies, and fuel inequality. If workers don’t feel they benefit from growth, it weakens social cohesion and trust.
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What do we mean by 'frontier' vs 'lagging' firms?
Frontier firms are the most productive and innovative in the economy, typically global leaders. Lagging firms are less productive and slower to adopt new technologies or practices.
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Why is the productivity gap between frontier and lagging firms growing?
Digital technologies are often scale-biased, benefiting frontier firms more. Lagging firms may lack the skills, capital, or incentives to adopt them. Weak competition and barriers to diffusion also play a role.
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How does this divergence affect aggregate productivity?
If productivity growth is concentrated in a small set of firms, the broader economy may not experience strong productivity gains. This dampens average productivity and limits wage growth.
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What role does diffusion play in closing the gap?
Productivity gains at the top need to spread via knowledge transfer, competition, and worker mobility. Weak diffusion limits the benefits of innovation and reinforces productivity divergence.
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How do management practices affect the gap?
Studies show that frontier firms often have superior management. Lagging firms may struggle with poor practices, weak incentives, and low adoption of data-driven decision-making.
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What barriers prevent lagging firms from catching up?
Barriers include limited access to finance, skills shortages, lack of awareness of new technologies, and risk aversion. Regulation and market structure can also entrench inefficiencies.
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How does firm age and size relate to productivity?
Older and smaller firms often lag behind in productivity. Younger, high-growth firms (scale-ups) tend to be more dynamic, but may face challenges scaling up without the right ecosystem.
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Can competition policy help reduce the gap?
Yes. Stronger competition can encourage lagging firms to innovate or exit, reallocating resources to more productive uses. It also prevents frontier firms from abusing market power.
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What role can industrial policy play?
Support for technology adoption, training, and digital infrastructure can help lagging firms upgrade. Targeted support needs to avoid propping up unviable firms and focus on capability-building.
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Why does this gap matter for inequality?
If only workers in frontier firms see wage and career growth, it increases inequality. Addressing the gap supports more inclusive economic growth and a healthier business ecosystem.
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Why is UK productivity lower than many advanced economies?
The UK has persistent weaknesses in investment, skills, infrastructure, and management practices. Regional disparities and institutional inefficiencies also constrain productivity.
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What role does underinvestment play in UK productivity?
The UK has historically underinvested in physical and digital infrastructure, R&D, and machinery. This limits capital deepening and slows technological diffusion across firms.
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How do skills shortages affect UK growth?
Mismatches between employer needs and workforce skills reduce labour productivity. This is especially acute in sectors like manufacturing, construction, and tech.
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Why is the UK’s business investment weak?
Uncertainty (e.g. Brexit, COVID, policy volatility), low expected returns, and short-termism in corporate governance reduce incentives for long-term investment.
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What impact does regional inequality have on UK growth?
Concentration of high-productivity activity in London and the South East limits the full utilisation of national talent and infrastructure, lowering aggregate growth potential.
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How does housing affect productivity in the UK?
High housing costs and constrained supply restrict geographic mobility. This prevents workers from moving to high-productivity areas, limiting allocative efficiency.
299
What are the institutional barriers to UK productivity?
Complex and slow planning systems, fragmented industrial policy, and inconsistent skills funding reduce the effectiveness of growth-enhancing initiatives.
300
How does transport infrastructure constrain UK growth?
Poor connectivity, especially in the North and rural areas, limits access to jobs, markets, and innovation hubs, holding back regional economic integration.
301
What’s the role of financial frictions in UK productivity?
SMEs often struggle to access finance to grow or invest in productivity-enhancing technologies, especially outside London, leading to underperformance.
302
How do UK tax policies affect investment and growth?
Complex, volatile tax systems and capital allowances may distort investment decisions. Inconsistent incentives can deter long-term, productivity-boosting investments.
303
How do UK tax policies affect investment and growth?
Complex, volatile tax systems and capital allowances may distort investment decisions. Inconsistent incentives can deter long-term, productivity-boosting investment.
304
Why is it difficult to measure productivity in modern economies?
As economies shift towards services and intangibles, outputs become harder to quantify. Many services (e.g. education, health) lack clear market prices, complicating GDP measurement.
305
How does digital activity affect productivity measurement?
Free digital services like Google or Wikipedia provide value not captured in GDP. This underestimates output and productivity growth, especially in tech-heavy economies.
306
Why is measuring public sector productivity challenging?
Outputs like healthcare quality or policing effectiveness are hard to define and quantify. Often, inputs are used as proxies, which may obscure true productivity changes.
307
How do quality improvements affect growth measurement?
GDP may not fully account for rising quality (e.g. smartphones becoming more powerful for the same price), which means real output and productivity may be understated.
308
What is the problem with using GDP per hour worked?
It ignores differences in labour intensity, part-time work, and underemployment. Two economies with similar GDP/hour may have very different working patterns and output structures.
309
How does the informal economy distort productivity figures?
Unrecorded activity (cash-in-hand jobs, home production) isn't captured in official statistics, especially in lower-income or gig economy contexts. This leads to underestimates of true output.
310
Why might innovation be underestimated in growth stats?
Many innovations create consumer surplus or disrupt existing sectors without raising measured GDP much (e.g. better logistics or platform services). This masks underlying dynamism.
311
How does firm heterogeneity complicate aggregate productivity stats?
High-productivity firms can be offset by a long tail of lagging firms. Aggregates may hide important dispersion and misrepresent the overall innovation landscape.
312
What’s the time lag issue in productivity measurement?
Technological change may take years to translate into measured productivity. Early stages of adoption involve costs or learning curves, delaying visible gains in data.
313
Why is cross-country comparison of productivity problematic?
Different statistical methods, price indices, and sector compositions make it hard to compare accurately. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) helps but doesn't eliminate all bias.
314
How does time use affect measured productivity?
Productivity is typically output per hour worked, so inefficient use of time (e.g. long meetings, admin tasks) reduces measured productivity even if total output is unchanged.
315
Why is measuring knowledge work productivity difficult?
Knowledge work often produces intangible outputs (e.g. ideas, analysis) with unclear links to time spent. Output is hard to quantify, so time use doesn’t translate neatly into productivity.
316
How can flexible working affect productivity?
Flexibility may increase productivity by reducing commuting time and allowing workers to optimise their schedules. But it can also blur work-life boundaries, leading to burnout or inefficiencies.
317
What role does multitasking play in time use and productivity?
Multitasking can reduce focus and quality, lowering effective productivity. Time spent switching tasks may not contribute directly to output, distorting measured efficiency.
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How does unpaid labour affect productivity stats?
Time spent on unpaid care, housework, or volunteering isn’t captured in GDP or productivity figures, despite contributing to overall societal welfare and output.
319
Why is break time relevant to productivity?
Strategic breaks can improve focus and prevent fatigue, boosting per-hour output. Ignoring rest periods in time-use analysis risks underestimating their value to productivity.
320
How does the shift to remote work change time-use patterns?
It can cut unproductive time (e.g. commuting), but may introduce distractions or communication delays. The net effect depends on job type, individual habits, and management.
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What’s the relationship between hours worked and productivity per hour?
More hours do not always mean more output. Diminishing returns set in, so productivity per hour may fall if people work too long without rest.
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How can time-use data improve economic policy?
Understanding how people allocate time (e.g. care work, commuting, leisure) helps policymakers design interventions that support well-being and labour market efficiency.
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Why is measuring productivity by time use more relevant now?
As services and hybrid work become more common, traditional output measures may miss key dynamics. Time-use data offers insight into where inefficiencies or improvements could lie.
324
How might AI affect productivity growth?
AI can boost productivity by automating routine tasks, enhancing decision-making, and enabling new products. However, adoption lags, costs, and skills mismatches may delay large-scale gains.
325
Why might AI lead to a productivity paradox?
Despite high investment, measured productivity may not rise immediately due to implementation delays, adjustment costs, or mismeasurement of AI’s intangible benefits.
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How could AI affect labour markets in terms of productivity?
AI may displace some jobs while augmenting others. Productivity rises if AI complements human work effectively, but disruption or skills gaps may slow the transition.
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What’s the risk of AI widening the productivity gap between firms?
Frontier firms with resources to adopt AI may leap ahead, while lagging firms struggle. This divergence could exacerbate inequality and reduce overall productivity diffusion.
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How does AI impact the measurement of productivity?
AI-driven improvements (e.g. better search, automated tasks) may not be fully reflected in GDP or output metrics, making it hard to capture real productivity gains.
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Could AI create false signals of productivity improvement?
If AI replaces jobs without increasing output significantly, measured output per worker may rise, but this could mask underemployment or quality issues.
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How should policymakers support AI-driven productivity?
Invest in digital infrastructure, education, and regulation to ensure AI is used inclusively and efficiently. Focus on retraining and diffusion beyond leading firms.
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What role does intangible capital play in realising AI’s productivity potential?
AI’s benefits rely on complementary investments in data, software, and organisational change. Without these, productivity gains from AI may not materialise.
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How might AI affect public sector productivity?
AI could streamline administrative tasks, improve forecasting, and enhance service delivery, but also raises challenges around ethics, data quality, and user trust.
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Can AI solve the UK’s productivity puzzle?
It might help, especially in services and public administration, but barriers like low investment, regional disparities, and poor diffusion need addressing to unlock its full impact.
334
Can cryptocurrencies drive productivity growth?
Not directly. While crypto infrastructure (like blockchain) may improve efficiency in finance and logistics, most crypto trading is speculative and doesn't boost real productivity.
335
How could blockchain technology impact economic productivity?
Blockchain can enhance productivity by reducing transaction costs, increasing transparency, and enabling faster contract enforcement in sectors like supply chains and finance.
336
Is cryptocurrency a productive investment?
No, in economic terms. Unlike capital investment in machinery or skills, most crypto assets don’t generate productive output, so they have limited impact on long-term growth.
337
Could crypto undermine economic stability?
Yes. High volatility and speculative bubbles can create financial instability. Widespread adoption without regulation could disrupt monetary policy and tax systems.
338
What’s the link between crypto and total factor productivity (TFP)?
If blockchain tech improves how existing inputs are used (e.g. faster settlements, better data), it could raise TFP. But most current crypto use doesn’t achieve this.
339
Could crypto adoption reduce transaction costs in the economy?
Potentially, especially for international payments. But volatility, energy use, and slow processing times in some blockchains limit their current efficiency benefits.
340
How does crypto compare to traditional investment in productivity terms?
Investment in education, infrastructure, or digitalisation yields clearer productivity benefits. Crypto speculation doesn’t enhance output or skills, so the productivity case is weaker.
341
Could central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) improve productivity?
Yes, by making payments faster and cheaper, reducing costs in the financial system. But design and implementation matter—poorly designed CBDCs could crowd out private finance.
342
How might crypto mining affect productivity?
Mining uses vast energy and computing resources without producing output beyond coins. This diverts resources from more productive sectors, potentially reducing net productivity.
343
Could crypto improve productivity in developing economies?
Possibly, by increasing access to finance or reducing remittance costs. But challenges like digital infrastructure, regulation, and consumer protection must be addressed.
344
What is the relationship between economic growth and income inequality?
Growth can raise average incomes, but the distribution of gains matters. If growth is concentrated among higher earners, inequality may worsen.
345
What is the equity-efficiency trade-off?
It's the idea that policies aiming to reduce inequality (equity) may reduce incentives to work, invest, or innovate (efficiency).
346
How does inequality affect long-run growth?
High inequality can reduce growth by limiting access to education, stifling demand, and increasing social unrest.
347
What is inclusive growth?
Growth that is broad-based across sectors and populations, ensuring that the benefits of rising GDP are widely shared.
348
How can economic growth reduce poverty but increase inequality?
If the bottom of the income distribution sees absolute gains but the top gains much more, poverty can fall while inequality rises.
349
What is the difference between vertical and horizontal equity?
Vertical equity is the idea that people with higher incomes should pay more tax or contribute more. Horizontal equity is about treating similar individuals equally.
350
What role does education policy play in addressing inequality in growth?
Education improves social mobility and productivity, making it a key lever for inclusive growth.
351
Why might high inequality reduce aggregate demand?
Lower-income households tend to spend a higher share of their income. If more income flows to the top, aggregate consumption may fall.
352
How does intergenerational inequality affect long-term growth?
If wealth and opportunity are concentrated within families, talent and potential may be wasted.
353
What policies promote both growth and equality?
Policies that enhance productive capacity and reduce barriers — like early years investment, universal healthcare, skills training, childcare support, and infrastructure in deprived areas.
354
Which UK sectors have the highest productivity?
Finance, ICT (Information and Communications Technology), and professional services tend to have the highest productivity levels due to capital intensity, high-skilled labour, and economies of scale.
355
Why is productivity low in some UK service sectors?
Sectors like hospitality, retail, and social care face low productivity due to labour intensity, limited scope for automation, low capital investment, and low wages.
356
What explains the productivity gap between manufacturing and services?
Manufacturing benefits from greater capital intensity, standardisation, and technological adoption. Services have limited scope for scale or automation.
357
Why has construction productivity been stagnant?
The UK construction sector suffers from fragmented supply chains, low adoption of digital tools, poor project management, and variable workforce skills.
358
How has ICT influenced productivity in different sectors?
ICT boosts productivity through automation, data use, and improved communication. It’s transformed sectors like finance, logistics, and retail.
359
What is the role of healthcare in productivity analysis?
Healthcare is a large public sector employer with complex output measurement. Productivity is harder to define because quality matters.
360
Why do productivity levels vary between firms in the same sector?
Firm-level differences in management, skills, innovation, and technology adoption create large within-sector productivity gaps.
361
How does regional variation affect sector productivity?
Sectors concentrated in London and the South East benefit from agglomeration effects and higher skills.
362
What are productivity challenges in education?
Measuring education output is complex — quantity (hours taught) and quality (learning outcomes) both matter.
363
What sector-specific reforms could raise UK productivity?
Digitising construction, improving public sector performance via better data use, scaling successful tech adoption in retail and logistics, and boosting skills and management in lagging SMEs.
364
How did the Solow model influence growth theory?
It showed capital accumulation drives early growth, but long-term growth relies on exogenous technological progress. It highlighted diminishing returns to capital.
365
What distinguishes endogenous growth theory?
It internalises technological progress, linking it to factors like R&D and human capital. Unlike Solow, it explains how policy can affect long-run growth.
366
What’s a criticism of neoclassical growth models?
They assume convergence without explaining persistent divergence across countries. Endogenous models address this.
367
What role did the Harrod-Domar model play?
It emphasised savings and investment in driving growth, foundational for early development economics but too simplistic in assumptions.
368
How has institutional economics contributed to growth theory?
It stresses the role of legal systems, property rights, and governance in sustaining investment and innovation.
369
Can culture influence economic growth?
Yes. Norms around trust, hard work, and long-termism affect entrepreneurship, investment, and productivity.
370
How does risk aversion affect growth?
High risk aversion may suppress entrepreneurship and innovation, leading to slower growth.
371
What is long-termism and how does it matter?
It’s a cultural trait where societies prioritise future outcomes. It supports education, R&D, and infrastructure investment.
372
How can behavioural economics explain slow tech adoption?
Loss aversion and status quo bias make firms and workers reluctant to adopt new technologies despite efficiency gains.
373
Can societal attitudes to education affect growth?
Yes, valuing education fosters human capital accumulation and innovation—core drivers of long-run growth.
374
Why does tech adoption lag behind innovation?
Firms may lack capital, skills, or incentives to implement new tech. Institutional and cultural barriers can slow diffusion.
375
What role does management play in tech productivity?
Good management ensures efficient integration of tech. UK’s weak management in some sectors slows productivity.
376
Why might AI not yet boost measured productivity?
Benefits are uneven, adoption is slow, and output measures may not fully capture value created.
377
How does regional inequality affect tech diffusion?
Tech clusters tend to emerge in high-skill regions, leaving lagging areas with lower adoption and stagnating productivity.
378
What’s the role of skills in tech diffusion?
High-skilled labour complements tech adoption. Skills gaps act as a bottleneck for productivity-enhancing innovation.
379
Why does GDP miss parts of real economic activity?
It excludes unpaid work (like childcare), environmental degradation, and wellbeing-related factors.
380
What is a wellbeing-adjusted growth approach?
It factors in health, education, environment, and subjective wellbeing alongside GDP to assess progress.
381
Why is non-market activity economically significant?
It contributes to social welfare and economic stability, even if not monetised.
382
What’s a limitation of GDP for measuring prosperity?
It measures quantity not quality of growth, and ignores distributional outcomes or sustainability.
383
What are satellite accounts in national statistics?
Supplementary metrics (like unpaid work or natural capital) designed to complement GDP.
384
Why might productivity be underestimated in the digital economy?
Free services (like Google) create consumer surplus that GDP doesn’t capture.
385
What is the 'productivity paradox'?
Despite digital innovation, measured productivity has stagnated—possibly due to measurement lags or misallocation.
386
How do intangible assets affect GDP stats?
Many intangibles (like software, brand value) are hard to value, causing underreporting.
387
Why is output hard to measure in digital services?
Zero-priced products, network effects, and data-driven business models distort traditional output indicators.
388
How could digital platforms inflate productivity gaps?
Platforms scale quickly, benefiting frontier firms while others lag behind—widening productivity dispersion.
389
What is endogenous growth theory?
Endogenous growth theory posits that growth is primarily driven by internal factors, particularly investment in human capital, innovation, and knowledge spillovers.
390
How do spillovers relate to economic growth?
Spillovers occur when the benefits of an activity, like innovation, extend beyond the firm or individual undertaking it.
391
How can tax policy affect productivity?
Tax incentives for R&D or capital investment can stimulate innovation and firm efficiency.
392
What is capital deepening?
Capital deepening refers to increases in capital per worker, boosting labour productivity.
393
How does trade openness influence growth?
Trade promotes specialisation, technology diffusion, and competitive pressure.
394
What are the potential risks of automation for productivity?
While automation boosts efficiency, it may lead to job displacement and reduce aggregate demand.
395
What role do agglomeration effects play in growth?
Agglomeration occurs when firms and workers cluster geographically, leading to productivity gains.
396
How does firm churn affect productivity?
A dynamic economy with high firm entry and exit can reallocate resources toward more productive firms.
397
How can regulation hinder or support productivity?
Excessive or poorly designed regulation may stifle innovation, while clear rules can enhance productivity.
398
How does entrepreneurship contribute to growth?
Entrepreneurs drive innovation, create new markets, and increase competitive pressure.
399
Why might GDP growth overstate welfare improvements?
GDP doesn’t account for inequality, environmental degradation, or non-market activities.
400
How does inequality affect long-run growth?
Excessive inequality can reduce aggregate demand and limit investment in human capital.
401
What is rent-seeking, and how does it affect growth?
Rent-seeking occurs when individuals or firms gain income through manipulation rather than value creation.
402
How can skills mismatch limit productivity?
If workers lack the skills demanded by firms, productivity suffers.
403
What is growth accounting?
Growth accounting breaks GDP growth into contributions from labour, capital, and total factor productivity.
404
What’s the difference between intensive and extensive growth?
Intensive growth comes from higher productivity per unit of input; extensive growth results from using more inputs.
405
How can inflation distort growth measurement?
If inflation is underestimated, real GDP growth appears stronger than it is.
406
What role does competition play in productivity?
Competitive pressure forces firms to innovate and use resources efficiently.
407
How does infrastructure support growth?
Good infrastructure reduces transaction costs and improves connectivity.
408
What are zombie firms, and why do they matter?
Zombie firms are unproductive businesses kept alive through cheap credit, dragging down productivity.
409
Why is capital allocation important for growth?
Growth is faster when capital flows to its most productive uses.
410
What is the Solow residual?
It’s the portion of output growth not explained by changes in capital or labour.
411
How do demographics affect growth prospects?
Ageing populations may reduce labour supply and increase dependency ratios.
412
What is convergence theory?
Convergence suggests poorer countries will grow faster than richer ones by adopting existing technology.
413
How can better management improve productivity?
Firms with strong management practices tend to allocate resources more effectively.
414
What were Trump’s tariffs mainly aimed at?
The tariffs, especially on Chinese imports, aimed to reduce the US trade deficit, protect domestic industries, and address alleged unfair trade practices.
415
How do tariffs affect consumer prices?
Tariffs raise the cost of imported goods, leading to higher prices and potential welfare losses.
416
What is a trade war?
A trade war is when countries impose tariffs or other trade barriers against each other in retaliation.
417
How did Trump’s tariffs affect US manufacturing?
Some protected industries saw temporary job gains, but many downstream manufacturers faced higher input costs.
418
What is the deadweight loss from tariffs?
Tariffs distort prices and reduce trade efficiency, leading to welfare losses.
419
Did Trump’s tariffs reduce the trade deficit?
No. Despite the tariffs, the overall US trade deficit widened.
420
What is trade diversion?
Trade diversion occurs when tariffs shift imports from a targeted country to others.
421
How did China respond to US tariffs?
China retaliated with tariffs on US goods, especially agricultural products.
422
What is the long-run impact of protectionism on productivity?
Sustained protectionism can reduce competitive pressure, discourage innovation, and slow productivity growth.
423
Were there any global spillovers from Trump’s tariffs?
Yes. The tariffs created uncertainty in global markets and disrupted supply chains.
424
How did Trump’s tariffs affect US economic growth?
They created short-term growth in protected sectors but imposed costs on downstream industries.
425
How do tariffs impact GDP components?
Tariffs reduce net exports, dampen investment due to uncertainty, and reduce consumption via higher prices.
426
What was the effect of Trump’s tariffs on business investment?
Policy uncertainty and higher input costs discouraged capital investment.
427
How did Trump’s tariffs affect global growth?
They disrupted global trade flows and supply chains, contributing to a slowdown in global trade growth.
428
What is the growth impact of a retaliatory trade war?
Retaliatory tariffs shrink export markets and raise domestic costs, reducing firm profits.
429
Could Trump’s tariffs have long-term growth effects?
Yes — by reducing openness and competition, they risk slower productivity growth.
430
Did tariffs affect US productivity growth?
Indirectly. They reduced competitive pressure and increased input costs for many firms.
431
How did tariffs affect emerging market growth?
Many EMs suffered from reduced global demand and supply chain re-routing.
432
How does trade policy uncertainty affect growth?
Uncertainty delays investment and hiring, especially in trade-exposed sectors.
433
How might tariffs influence total factor productivity (TFP)?
Tariffs can reduce TFP by encouraging firms to substitute towards less efficient domestic inputs.
434
How can financial sector inefficiency affect productivity growth?
If the financial sector misallocates capital, this distorts investment, reducing overall productivity.
435
How does productivity differ across sectors like manufacturing vs. services?
Manufacturing often sees faster productivity growth due to scale, while services are more labour-intensive.
436
Why might healthcare productivity appear stagnant despite better outcomes?
Output in healthcare is hard to measure—it's not just about volume but quality-adjusted outcomes.
437
What drives productivity growth in the professional services sector?
Drivers include digitalisation, skill upgrading, and efficient business processes.
438
How can productivity improvements in transport benefit wider economic growth?
Better transport reduces time and cost for moving people and goods, increasing effective labour supply.
439
What’s the link between innovation policy and long-term growth?
Well-designed innovation policy supports R&D and can enhance long-term economic growth.
440
What are the drivers of productivity improvements in the sector?
Drivers include digitalisation, skill upgrading, and efficient business processes. Cloud computing, AI, and data analytics help reduce time on repetitive tasks, allowing for higher-value advisory and creative work.
441
How can productivity improvements in transport benefit wider economic growth?
Better transport reduces time and cost for moving people and goods, increasing effective labour supply, enabling agglomeration, and improving access to jobs. This raises both productivity and employment potential across regions.
442
What’s the link between innovation policy and long-term growth?
Well-designed innovation policy (R&D tax credits, university spin-out support, tech clusters) boosts knowledge creation and diffusion. These innovations raise TFP, improve competitiveness, and sustain long-term economic growth.
443
How can regulation impact productivity growth?
Overly restrictive regulation may stifle innovation and market entry. But smart regulation (e.g., sandbox environments for fintech) can promote competition and reduce uncertainty, encouraging investment and experimentation.
444
Why is skills mismatch a barrier to productivity?
When workers' skills don’t match job requirements, firms can’t operate at full efficiency. This lowers output per hour and limits technology adoption, especially in sectors with high digital requirements.
445
How do business rates and property taxes affect firm productivity?
High fixed costs from business rates can discourage expansion or investment in premises. If poorly targeted, they distort firm location choices and penalise capital-intensive or growing businesses, dampening productivity.
446
What are the growth risks of relying too heavily on consumer spending?
Growth driven by consumption may lack durability if not underpinned by productivity gains. It risks inflation, external imbalances, and weak investment. Long-term growth is more sustainable when built on productivity and exports.
447
What is the crowding out effect and how might it limit growth?
When the government borrows heavily, it can push up interest rates, making it more expensive for private firms to borrow and invest. This can reduce private sector investment, particularly in capital-intensive sectors, limiting long-term growth potential.
448
Can infrastructure spending still be growth-positive despite crowding out?
Yes, if the returns on public investment (e.g. infrastructure) are higher than the cost of borrowing, it can raise productivity and crowd in private investment by reducing costs (e.g. better transport, faster logistics).
449
Why might crowding out be less of a concern in a low-interest environment?
When interest rates are near zero and private demand is weak, government borrowing may not raise rates. In fact, it can stimulate demand and encourage investment, supporting growth.
450
How can government borrowing support long-term growth?
If borrowing is used for productive investment (like R&D, transport, or education), it boosts the economy’s productive capacity, increasing potential output and long-run growth.
451
When does crowding out become more likely?
During periods of full employment or tight monetary policy, where government borrowing competes with private sector demand for funds, driving up interest rates.
452
What is growth accounting?
Growth accounting breaks GDP growth into components: labour input, capital input, and total factor productivity (TFP), which captures efficiency gains or technological progress.
453
Why is TFP important in growth accounting?
TFP represents the portion of growth not explained by capital or labour. It reflects improvements in efficiency, innovation, and institutional quality. Sustained growth needs strong TFP.
454
How does growth accounting explain slower UK growth?
The UK’s slowdown since 2008 reflects weak TFP growth, stagnant real wages, and low investment, suggesting efficiency and innovation are key bottlenecks.
455
What role does human capital play in growth accounting?
Higher education and training improve labour quality, which can either be captured in TFP or as a quality-adjusted labour input in decompositions.
456
Why might TFP measurement be imperfect?
TFP is often a residual — it captures what’s left after accounting for labour and capital, so measurement errors or misattributions in inputs can distort it.
457
What is capital deepening?
It refers to increasing capital per worker (e.g. more machines or better tools), which can raise output per worker, but only up to a point due to diminishing returns.
458
Why does capital deepening alone not ensure long-run growth?
Because of diminishing marginal returns to capital. Beyond a certain point, each extra unit of capital adds less to output. Sustainable growth needs TFP improvement.
459
How can capital deepening temporarily boost productivity?
In the short term, more or better capital boosts labour productivity. For example, equipping workers with modern IT systems can raise output per hour.
460
How can governments encourage both capital deepening and TFP?
Through investment incentives, stable macroeconomic policy, support for R&D, and improving education to enable effective use of capital.
461
What distinguishes capital widening from capital deepening?
Capital widening increases capital to match labour growth, keeping capital per worker constant. Deepening increases capital per worker, improving productivity.
462
What is export-led growth?
It’s a strategy where external demand (exports) drives economic expansion. Often seen in East Asian economies, it can support productivity through scale and specialisation.
463
Why might the UK struggle with export-led growth?
The UK faces trade frictions post-Brexit, a large services sector that’s harder to export, and limited industrial base compared to export-heavy economies.
464
What are the risks of consumption-led growth?
It can lead to unsustainable debt, trade imbalances, and limited productivity growth if spending isn’t directed towards investment or innovation.
465
How does export growth support productivity?
Exporting firms often face intense competition, driving innovation. Exposure to global markets incentivises efficiency and investment in skills and technology.
466
Could rebalancing towards exports raise UK growth?
Potentially, if paired with industrial strategy, trade facilitation, and skills investment. But structural challenges and global conditions would also matter.
467
What is hysteresis in economic growth?
It’s when temporary shocks (like a recession) cause permanent damage to growth, such as through long-term unemployment or lost investment.
468
How did the 2008 crisis cause hysteresis?
The crisis led to underinvestment, skill erosion from unemployment, and weak productivity, which lowered the long-run growth path in many economies.
469
Can policy reverse hysteresis?
Yes, active labour market policies, public investment, and education can restore lost capacity and raise the economy’s potential output.
470
How does path dependence affect growth policy?
Early policy choices (e.g. focus on services or manufacturing) shape the structure of the economy, locking in advantages or disadvantages over time.
471
Why is resilience important for long-run growth?
Resilient economies recover faster from shocks, preserving productive capacity. This reduces scarring and supports more stable long-term growth.
472
How can the civil service influence economic growth?
Through policy design, regulation, public investment management, and efficient delivery of public services. A well-functioning civil service can remove barriers to growth, improve the business environment, and ensure resources are allocated effectively.
473
Why does civil service productivity matter for the wider economy?
If civil servants work efficiently, public services like planning, health, and education improve. These have spillover effects on private sector productivity by reducing delays, improving human capital, and boosting investor confidence.
474
What are some barriers to productivity within the civil service?
Siloed departments, legacy IT systems, risk-averse culture, complex bureaucracy, and slow decision-making processes can all hinder efficiency and innovation in public service delivery.
475
How can digital transformation improve civil service productivity?
Automating repetitive tasks, improving data sharing, and streamlining processes reduces admin burdens, frees up staff time, and enables faster, evidence-based policymaking.
476
What role does civil service reform play in supporting growth?
Reform can improve service quality, reduce waste, and enable better allocation of public resources. This builds trust in institutions and delivers more effective growth-oriented policies.
477
How can the civil service support regional growth?
By designing and implementing targeted place-based policies, coordinating infrastructure investment, supporting local skills initiatives, and ensuring regional voices inform national strategy.
478
What is the role of civil service economists in productivity policy?
Civil service economists analyse data, evaluate policy impact, and design interventions that improve allocative efficiency, human capital, or innovation — all core to productivity growth.
479
Can poor public service delivery slow economic growth?
Yes. Delays in infrastructure approvals, slow planning systems, inefficient legal processes, or poor education outcomes reduce economic efficiency and deter investment.
480
How might civil service culture affect its growth impact?
A risk-averse, overly hierarchical culture may prevent experimentation or rapid policy adjustment. A learning, collaborative culture can better adapt to emerging growth challenges.
481
What are the challenges in measuring civil service productivity?
Unlike in the private sector, outputs can be intangible or difficult to quantify (e.g. advice, regulation, casework). Output measures often rely on proxies, making assessment complex.
482
What is the role of the GES in promoting economic growth?
GES economists inform government decisions by applying economic theory and evidence. They analyse policies affecting productivity, labour markets, infrastructure, education, innovation, and regional development — all key drivers of growth.
483
How do GES economists contribute to productivity analysis?
They use models and data to understand trends in total factor productivity, sector performance, and skills gaps. Their insights guide investment decisions and policy reforms aimed at improving UK productivity.
484
Why is impartiality important in the GES?
Impartial analysis ensures that economic advice is evidence-based, not politically motivated. This supports better decision-making and builds trust in the civil service’s ability to guide growth policy effectively.
485
How might a GES economist approach evaluating a growth policy?
By defining the policy objective, identifying relevant indicators (e.g. GDP, employment, TFP), building a counterfactual, and using cost-benefit analysis to assess trade-offs and long-term impact.
486
What does working at pace mean in a GES context?
It means delivering rigorous economic analysis under time pressure — for example, responding to ministerial requests or budget deadlines — while still ensuring accuracy and policy relevance.
487
How does the GES support cross-government growth priorities?
GES members work across departments like HMT, BEIS, DfE, and DLUHC, enabling coordinated economic strategies on levelling up, green growth, digital transformation, and supply-side reforms.
488
What is the value of microeconomic analysis in the GES?
Microeconomic tools help assess how individuals and firms respond to policy, allowing better targeting of interventions. This is key for designing effective, growth-enhancing policies with minimal distortion.
489
How might the GES influence regional growth strategy?
By analysing spatial disparities, GES economists can advise on investment allocation, transport connectivity, local skills policies, and place-based incentives to support lagging regions.
490
What are the GES values, and how do they support growth work?
The GES values — integrity, impartiality, professionalism, and respect — ensure that economists provide trusted, objective advice on complex growth challenges facing the UK.
491
How do GES economists support inclusive growth?
By examining the distributional impact of policies and proposing measures that address inequality while maintaining efficiency — ensuring growth benefits are broadly shared.
492
How does the Civil Service drive productivity across government?
Through digital transformation, streamlined processes, and data-driven decision-making. Civil servants help design efficient public services, reducing waste and improving outputs per resource used.
493
Why is economic growth a central focus for the GES?
Growth underpins tax revenues, living standards, and public service funding. The GES supports sustainable and inclusive growth by analysing productivity drivers, labour markets, and macroeconomic trends.
494
How can GES economists help deliver Levelling Up?
By identifying productivity gaps between regions and recommending place-based policies — such as targeted infrastructure investment, skills funding, and support for innovation in underperforming areas.
495
What is the GES's role in post-pandemic recovery?
GES economists evaluate the effectiveness of recovery measures like furlough, business grants, and investment incentives. They advise on how to rebuild sustainably while boosting long-term productivity.
496
How does the Civil Service influence private sector productivity?
Through policy on tax, regulation, education, and infrastructure — all shaped by economic analysis. Clear, stable policies reduce uncertainty and support business investment in capital and skills.
497
In what ways do GES economists work across disciplines?
They collaborate with policy, operational, and analytical teams (e.g. statisticians, social researchers) to ensure growth policies are feasible, evidence-based, and aligned with departmental goals.
498
How does cost-benefit analysis aid productivity policy?
It helps prioritise interventions with the highest returns — for example, comparing the long-term impact of early years education vs. tax incentives on human capital development.
499
Why is long-run thinking important in the GES?
Because many productivity policies — like skills training or infrastructure — have delayed effects. GES economists must assess dynamic impacts, externalities, and sustainability when advising ministers.
500
How do GES values support growth policymaking?
Impartiality and rigour ensure that growth strategies are based on sound evidence, not short-term political goals. This leads to more credible and stable policymaking environments.
501
What makes growth and productivity analysis in the Civil Service unique?
It’s applied in real time, under pressure, and often with incomplete data. GES economists must balance theory with pragmatism, making complex trade-offs to support national welfare.
502
What is Labour’s central approach to economic growth under Starmer and Reeves?
A strategy centred on “securonomics” — combining economic stability, industrial policy, and state-led investment to create sustained and inclusive growth.
503
How does Rachel Reeves plan to use fiscal policy to drive growth?
Through targeted public investment in green energy, infrastructure, and skills. She advocates fiscal responsibility alongside a new National Wealth Fund to crowd in private investment.
504
What role does industrial strategy play in Labour’s growth plan?
A revived industrial strategy would target sectors like green tech, life sciences, and advanced manufacturing to boost productivity and regional development.
505
How does Labour propose to increase business investment?
By offering policy certainty, planning reform, and stable public-private partnerships, aiming to reduce uncertainty that discourages long-term private sector investment.
506
What are the regional growth implications of Labour’s plan?
Labour’s approach includes devolving more power to local and regional authorities to support place-based growth and tackle persistent productivity gaps.
507
How would Labour address skills and human capital?
Through proposed reforms to the apprenticeship levy, expansion of training opportunities, and a new “Skills England” body to better match training to local economic needs.
508
How does the green economy factor into Starmer’s growth agenda?
It’s central. The “Green Prosperity Plan” pledges to invest in clean energy and infrastructure, aiming to create jobs, reduce energy bills, and decarbonise growth.
509
How does Reeves’ emphasis on ‘economic security’ shape Labour’s growth vision?
It prioritises macroeconomic stability and resilience to shocks, believing growth depends on strong institutions, sound finances, and long-term policymaking.
510
How might Labour’s strategy differ from the Conservatives’ on growth?
Labour emphasises active government, public investment, and industrial policy, while Conservatives have generally prioritised deregulation, tax cuts, and private sector-led growth.
511
What challenges could Starmer and Reeves face in delivering growth?
Fiscal constraints, global headwinds, and institutional capacity may limit ambition. Balancing short-term pressures with long-term investment will test the credibility of their strategy.
512
How did the Solow model influence growth theory?
It showed capital accumulation drives early growth, but long-term growth relies on exogenous technological progress. It highlighted diminishing returns to capital.
513
What distinguishes endogenous growth theory?
It internalises technological progress, linking it to factors like R&D and human capital. Unlike Solow, it explains how policy can affect long-run growth.
514
What’s a criticism of neoclassical growth models?
They assume convergence without explaining persistent divergence across countries. Endogenous models address this.
515
What role did the Harrod-Domar model play?
It emphasised savings and investment in driving growth, foundational for early development economics but too simplistic in assumptions.
516
How has institutional economics contributed to growth theory?
It stresses the role of legal systems, property rights, and governance in sustaining investment and innovation.
517
Can culture influence economic growth?
Yes. Norms around trust, hard work, and long-termism affect entrepreneurship, investment, and productivity.
518
How does risk aversion affect growth?
High risk aversion may suppress entrepreneurship and innovation, leading to slower growth.
519
What is long-termism and how does it matter?
It’s a cultural trait where societies prioritise future outcomes. It supports education, R&D, and infrastructure investment.
520
How can behavioural economics explain slow tech adoption?
Loss aversion and status quo bias make firms and workers reluctant to adopt new technologies despite efficiency gains.
521
Can societal attitudes to education affect growth?
Yes, valuing education fosters human capital accumulation and innovation—core drivers of long-run growth.
522
Why does tech adoption lag behind innovation?
Firms may lack capital, skills, or incentives to implement new tech. Institutional and cultural barriers can slow diffusion.
523
What role does management play in tech productivity?
Good management ensures efficient integration of tech. UK’s weak management in some sectors slows productivity.
524
Why might AI not yet boost measured productivity?
Benefits are uneven, adoption is slow, and output measures may not fully capture value created.
525
How does regional inequality affect tech diffusion?
Tech clusters tend to emerge in high-skill regions, leaving lagging areas with lower adoption and stagnating productivity.
526
What’s the role of skills in tech diffusion?
High-skilled labour complements tech adoption. Skills gaps act as a bottleneck for productivity-enhancing innovation.
527
Why does GDP miss parts of real economic activity?
It excludes unpaid work (like childcare), environmental degradation, and wellbeing-related factors.
528
What is a wellbeing-adjusted growth approach?
It factors in health, education, environment, and subjective wellbeing alongside GDP to assess progress.
529
Why is non-market activity economically significant?
It contributes to social welfare and economic stability, even if not monetised.
530
What’s a limitation of GDP for measuring prosperity?
It measures quantity not quality of growth, and ignores distributional outcomes or sustainability.
531
What are satellite accounts in national statistics?
Supplementary metrics (like unpaid work or natural capital) designed to complement GDP.
532
Why might productivity be underestimated in the digital economy?
Free services (like Google) create consumer surplus that GDP doesn’t capture.
533
What is the 'productivity paradox'?
Despite digital innovation, measured productivity has stagnated—possibly due to measurement lags or misallocation.
534
How do intangible assets affect GDP stats?
Many intangibles (like software, brand value) are hard to value, causing underreporting.
535
Why is output hard to measure in digital services?
Zero-priced products, network effects, and data-driven business models distort traditional output indicators.
536
How could digital platforms inflate productivity gaps?
Platforms scale quickly, benefiting frontier firms while others lag behind—widening productivity dispersion.
537
What is endogenous growth theory?
Endogenous growth theory posits that growth is primarily driven by internal factors, particularly investment in human capital, innovation, and knowledge spillovers.
538
How do spillovers relate to economic growth?
Spillovers occur when the benefits of an activity, like innovation, extend beyond the firm or individual undertaking it.
539
How can tax policy affect productivity?
Tax incentives for R&D or capital investment can stimulate innovation and firm efficiency.
540
What is capital deepening?
Capital deepening refers to increases in capital per worker, boosting labour productivity.
541
How does trade openness influence growth?
Trade promotes specialisation, technology diffusion, and competitive pressure.
542
What are the potential risks of automation for productivity?
While automation boosts efficiency, it may lead to job displacement and reduce aggregate demand.
543
What role do agglomeration effects play in growth?
Agglomeration occurs when firms and workers cluster geographically, leading to productivity gains.
544
How does firm churn affect productivity?
A dynamic economy with high firm entry and exit can reallocate resources toward more productive firms.
545
How can regulation hinder or support productivity?
Excessive or poorly designed regulation may stifle innovation, while clear rules can enhance productivity.
546
How does entrepreneurship contribute to growth?
Entrepreneurs drive innovation, create new markets, and increase competitive pressure.
547
Why might GDP growth overstate welfare improvements?
GDP doesn’t account for inequality, environmental degradation, or non-market activities.
548
How does inequality affect long-run growth?
Excessive inequality can reduce aggregate demand and limit investment in human capital.
549
What is rent-seeking, and how does it affect growth?
Rent-seeking occurs when individuals or firms gain income through manipulation rather than value creation.
550
How can skills mismatch limit productivity?
If workers lack the skills demanded by firms, productivity suffers.
551
What is growth accounting?
Growth accounting breaks GDP growth into contributions from labour, capital, and total factor productivity.
552
What’s the difference between intensive and extensive growth?
Intensive growth comes from higher productivity per unit of input; extensive growth results from using more inputs.
553
How can inflation distort growth measurement?
If inflation is underestimated, real GDP growth appears stronger than it is.
554
What role does competition play in productivity?
Competitive pressure forces firms to innovate and use resources efficiently.
555
How does infrastructure support growth?
Good infrastructure reduces transaction costs and improves connectivity.
556
What are zombie firms, and why do they matter?
Zombie firms are unproductive businesses kept alive through cheap credit, dragging down productivity.
557
Why is capital allocation important for growth?
Growth is faster when capital flows to its most productive uses.
558
What is the Solow residual?
It’s the portion of output growth not explained by changes in capital or labour.
559
How do demographics affect growth prospects?
Ageing populations may reduce labour supply and increase dependency ratios.
560
What is convergence theory?
Convergence suggests poorer countries will grow faster than richer ones by adopting existing technology.
561
How can better management improve productivity?
Firms with strong management practices tend to allocate resources more effectively.
562
What were Trump’s tariffs mainly aimed at?
The tariffs, especially on Chinese imports, aimed to reduce the US trade deficit, protect domestic industries, and address alleged unfair trade practices.
563
How do tariffs affect consumer prices?
Tariffs raise the cost of imported goods, leading to higher prices and potential welfare losses.
564
What is a trade war?
A trade war is when countries impose tariffs or other trade barriers against each other in retaliation.
565
How did Trump’s tariffs affect US manufacturing?
Some protected industries saw temporary job gains, but many downstream manufacturers faced higher input costs.
566
What is the deadweight loss from tariffs?
Tariffs distort prices and reduce trade efficiency, leading to welfare losses.
567
Did Trump’s tariffs reduce the trade deficit?
No. Despite the tariffs, the overall US trade deficit widened.
568
What is trade diversion?
Trade diversion occurs when tariffs shift imports from a targeted country to others.
569
How did China respond to US tariffs?
China retaliated with tariffs on US goods, especially agricultural products.
570
What is the long-run impact of protectionism on productivity?
Sustained protectionism can reduce competitive pressure, discourage innovation, and slow productivity growth.
571
Were there any global spillovers from Trump’s tariffs?
Yes. The tariffs created uncertainty in global markets and disrupted supply chains.
572
How did Trump’s tariffs affect US economic growth?
They created short-term growth in protected sectors but imposed costs on downstream industries.
573
How do tariffs impact GDP components?
Tariffs reduce net exports, dampen investment due to uncertainty, and reduce consumption via higher prices.
574
What was the effect of Trump’s tariffs on business investment?
Policy uncertainty and higher input costs discouraged capital investment.
575
How did Trump’s tariffs affect global growth?
They disrupted global trade flows and supply chains, contributing to a slowdown in global trade growth.
576
What is the growth impact of a retaliatory trade war?
Retaliatory tariffs shrink export markets and raise domestic costs, reducing firm profits.
577
Could Trump’s tariffs have long-term growth effects?
Yes — by reducing openness and competition, they risk slower productivity growth.
578
Did tariffs affect US productivity growth?
Indirectly. They reduced competitive pressure and increased input costs for many firms.
579
How did tariffs affect emerging market growth?
Many EMs suffered from reduced global demand and supply chain re-routing.
580
How does trade policy uncertainty affect growth?
Uncertainty delays investment and hiring, especially in trade-exposed sectors.
581
How might tariffs influence total factor productivity (TFP)?
Tariffs can reduce TFP by encouraging firms to substitute towards less efficient domestic inputs.
582
How can financial sector inefficiency affect productivity growth?
If the financial sector misallocates capital, this distorts investment, reducing overall productivity.
583
How does productivity differ across sectors like manufacturing vs. services?
Manufacturing often sees faster productivity growth due to scale, while services are more labour-intensive.
584
Why might healthcare productivity appear stagnant despite better outcomes?
Output in healthcare is hard to measure—it's not just about volume but quality-adjusted outcomes.
585
What drives productivity growth in the professional services sector?
Drivers include digitalisation, skill upgrading, and efficient business processes.
586
How can productivity improvements in transport benefit wider economic growth?
Better transport reduces time and cost for moving people and goods, increasing effective labour supply.
587
What’s the link between innovation policy and long-term growth?
Well-designed innovation policy supports R&D and can enhance long-term economic growth.
588
What are the drivers of productivity improvements in the sector?
Drivers include digitalisation, skill upgrading, and efficient business processes. Cloud computing, AI, and data analytics help reduce time on repetitive tasks, allowing for higher-value advisory and creative work.
589
How can productivity improvements in transport benefit wider economic growth?
Better transport reduces time and cost for moving people and goods, increasing effective labour supply, enabling agglomeration, and improving access to jobs. This raises both productivity and employment potential across regions.
590
What’s the link between innovation policy and long-term growth?
Well-designed innovation policy (R&D tax credits, university spin-out support, tech clusters) boosts knowledge creation and diffusion. These innovations raise TFP, improve competitiveness, and sustain long-term economic growth.
591
How can regulation impact productivity growth?
Overly restrictive regulation may stifle innovation and market entry. But smart regulation (e.g., sandbox environments for fintech) can promote competition and reduce uncertainty, encouraging investment and experimentation.
592
Why is skills mismatch a barrier to productivity?
When workers' skills don’t match job requirements, firms can’t operate at full efficiency. This lowers output per hour and limits technology adoption, especially in sectors with high digital requirements.
593
How do business rates and property taxes affect firm productivity?
High fixed costs from business rates can discourage expansion or investment in premises. If poorly targeted, they distort firm location choices and penalise capital-intensive or growing businesses, dampening productivity.
594
What are the growth risks of relying too heavily on consumer spending?
Growth driven by consumption may lack durability if not underpinned by productivity gains. It risks inflation, external imbalances, and weak investment. Long-term growth is more sustainable when built on productivity and exports.
595
What is the crowding out effect and how might it limit growth?
When the government borrows heavily, it can push up interest rates, making it more expensive for private firms to borrow and invest. This can reduce private sector investment, particularly in capital-intensive sectors, limiting long-term growth potential.
596
Can infrastructure spending still be growth-positive despite crowding out?
Yes, if the returns on public investment (e.g. infrastructure) are higher than the cost of borrowing, it can raise productivity and crowd in private investment by reducing costs (e.g. better transport, faster logistics).
597
Why might crowding out be less of a concern in a low-interest environment?
When interest rates are near zero and private demand is weak, government borrowing may not raise rates. In fact, it can stimulate demand and encourage investment, supporting growth.
598
How can government borrowing support long-term growth?
If borrowing is used for productive investment (like R&D, transport, or education), it boosts the economy’s productive capacity, increasing potential output and long-run growth.
599
When does crowding out become more likely?
During periods of full employment or tight monetary policy, where government borrowing competes with private sector demand for funds, driving up interest rates.
600
What is growth accounting?
Growth accounting breaks GDP growth into components: labour input, capital input, and total factor productivity (TFP), which captures efficiency gains or technological progress.
601
Why is TFP important in growth accounting?
TFP represents the portion of growth not explained by capital or labour. It reflects improvements in efficiency, innovation, and institutional quality. Sustained growth needs strong TFP.
602
How does growth accounting explain slower UK growth?
The UK’s slowdown since 2008 reflects weak TFP growth, stagnant real wages, and low investment, suggesting efficiency and innovation are key bottlenecks.
603
What role does human capital play in growth accounting?
Higher education and training improve labour quality, which can either be captured in TFP or as a quality-adjusted labour input in decompositions.
604
Why might TFP measurement be imperfect?
TFP is often a residual — it captures what’s left after accounting for labour and capital, so measurement errors or misattributions in inputs can distort it.
605
What is capital deepening?
It refers to increasing capital per worker (e.g. more machines or better tools), which can raise output per worker, but only up to a point due to diminishing returns.
606
Why does capital deepening alone not ensure long-run growth?
Because of diminishing marginal returns to capital. Beyond a certain point, each extra unit of capital adds less to output. Sustainable growth needs TFP improvement.
607
How can capital deepening temporarily boost productivity?
In the short term, more or better capital boosts labour productivity. For example, equipping workers with modern IT systems can raise output per hour.
608
How can governments encourage both capital deepening and TFP?
Through investment incentives, stable macroeconomic policy, support for R&D, and improving education to enable effective use of capital.
609
What distinguishes capital widening from capital deepening?
Capital widening increases capital to match labour growth, keeping capital per worker constant. Deepening increases capital per worker, improving productivity.
610
What is export-led growth?
It’s a strategy where external demand (exports) drives economic expansion. Often seen in East Asian economies, it can support productivity through scale and specialisation.
611
Why might the UK struggle with export-led growth?
The UK faces trade frictions post-Brexit, a large services sector that’s harder to export, and limited industrial base compared to export-heavy economies.
612
What are the risks of consumption-led growth?
It can lead to unsustainable debt, trade imbalances, and limited productivity growth if spending isn’t directed towards investment or innovation.
613
How does export growth support productivity?
Exporting firms often face intense competition, driving innovation. Exposure to global markets incentivises efficiency and investment in skills and technology.
614
Could rebalancing towards exports raise UK growth?
Potentially, if paired with industrial strategy, trade facilitation, and skills investment. But structural challenges and global conditions would also matter.
615
What is hysteresis in economic growth?
It’s when temporary shocks (like a recession) cause permanent damage to growth, such as through long-term unemployment or lost investment.
616
How did the 2008 crisis cause hysteresis?
The crisis led to underinvestment, skill erosion from unemployment, and weak productivity, which lowered the long-run growth path in many economies.
617
Can policy reverse hysteresis?
Yes, active labour market policies, public investment, and education can restore lost capacity and raise the economy’s potential output.
618
How does path dependence affect growth policy?
Early policy choices (e.g. focus on services or manufacturing) shape the structure of the economy, locking in advantages or disadvantages over time.
619
Why is resilience important for long-run growth?
Resilient economies recover faster from shocks, preserving productive capacity. This reduces scarring and supports more stable long-term growth.
620
How can the civil service influence economic growth?
Through policy design, regulation, public investment management, and efficient delivery of public services. A well-functioning civil service can remove barriers to growth, improve the business environment, and ensure resources are allocated effectively.
621
Why does civil service productivity matter for the wider economy?
If civil servants work efficiently, public services like planning, health, and education improve. These have spillover effects on private sector productivity by reducing delays, improving human capital, and boosting investor confidence.
622
What are some barriers to productivity within the civil service?
Siloed departments, legacy IT systems, risk-averse culture, complex bureaucracy, and slow decision-making processes can all hinder efficiency and innovation in public service delivery.
623
How can digital transformation improve civil service productivity?
Automating repetitive tasks, improving data sharing, and streamlining processes reduces admin burdens, frees up staff time, and enables faster, evidence-based policymaking.
624
What role does civil service reform play in supporting growth?
Reform can improve service quality, reduce waste, and enable better allocation of public resources. This builds trust in institutions and delivers more effective growth-oriented policies.
625
How can the civil service support regional growth?
By designing and implementing targeted place-based policies, coordinating infrastructure investment, supporting local skills initiatives, and ensuring regional voices inform national strategy.
626
What is the role of civil service economists in productivity policy?
Civil service economists analyse data, evaluate policy impact, and design interventions that improve allocative efficiency, human capital, or innovation — all core to productivity growth.
627
Can poor public service delivery slow economic growth?
Yes. Delays in infrastructure approvals, slow planning systems, inefficient legal processes, or poor education outcomes reduce economic efficiency and deter investment.
628
How might civil service culture affect its growth impact?
A risk-averse, overly hierarchical culture may prevent experimentation or rapid policy adjustment. A learning, collaborative culture can better adapt to emerging growth challenges.
629
What are the challenges in measuring civil service productivity?
Unlike in the private sector, outputs can be intangible or difficult to quantify (e.g. advice, regulation, casework). Output measures often rely on proxies, making assessment complex.
630
What is the role of the GES in promoting economic growth?
GES economists inform government decisions by applying economic theory and evidence. They analyse policies affecting productivity, labour markets, infrastructure, education, innovation, and regional development — all key drivers of growth.
631
How do GES economists contribute to productivity analysis?
They use models and data to understand trends in total factor productivity, sector performance, and skills gaps. Their insights guide investment decisions and policy reforms aimed at improving UK productivity.
632
Why is impartiality important in the GES?
Impartial analysis ensures that economic advice is evidence-based, not politically motivated. This supports better decision-making and builds trust in the civil service’s ability to guide growth policy effectively.
633
How might a GES economist approach evaluating a growth policy?
By defining the policy objective, identifying relevant indicators (e.g. GDP, employment, TFP), building a counterfactual, and using cost-benefit analysis to assess trade-offs and long-term impact.
634
What does working at pace mean in a GES context?
It means delivering rigorous economic analysis under time pressure — for example, responding to ministerial requests or budget deadlines — while still ensuring accuracy and policy relevance.
635
How does the GES support cross-government growth priorities?
GES members work across departments like HMT, BEIS, DfE, and DLUHC, enabling coordinated economic strategies on levelling up, green growth, digital transformation, and supply-side reforms.
636
What is the value of microeconomic analysis in the GES?
Microeconomic tools help assess how individuals and firms respond to policy, allowing better targeting of interventions. This is key for designing effective, growth-enhancing policies with minimal distortion.
637
How might the GES influence regional growth strategy?
By analysing spatial disparities, GES economists can advise on investment allocation, transport connectivity, local skills policies, and place-based incentives to support lagging regions.
638
What are the GES values, and how do they support growth work?
The GES values — integrity, impartiality, professionalism, and respect — ensure that economists provide trusted, objective advice on complex growth challenges facing the UK.
639
How do GES economists support inclusive growth?
By examining the distributional impact of policies and proposing measures that address inequality while maintaining efficiency — ensuring growth benefits are broadly shared.
640
How does the Civil Service drive productivity across government?
Through digital transformation, streamlined processes, and data-driven decision-making. Civil servants help design efficient public services, reducing waste and improving outputs per resource used.
641
Why is economic growth a central focus for the GES?
Growth underpins tax revenues, living standards, and public service funding. The GES supports sustainable and inclusive growth by analysing productivity drivers, labour markets, and macroeconomic trends.
642
How can GES economists help deliver Levelling Up?
By identifying productivity gaps between regions and recommending place-based policies — such as targeted infrastructure investment, skills funding, and support for innovation in underperforming areas.
643
What is the GES's role in post-pandemic recovery?
GES economists evaluate the effectiveness of recovery measures like furlough, business grants, and investment incentives. They advise on how to rebuild sustainably while boosting long-term productivity.
644
How does the Civil Service influence private sector productivity?
Through policy on tax, regulation, education, and infrastructure — all shaped by economic analysis. Clear, stable policies reduce uncertainty and support business investment in capital and skills.
645
In what ways do GES economists work across disciplines?
They collaborate with policy, operational, and analytical teams (e.g. statisticians, social researchers) to ensure growth policies are feasible, evidence-based, and aligned with departmental goals.
646
How does cost-benefit analysis aid productivity policy?
It helps prioritise interventions with the highest returns — for example, comparing the long-term impact of early years education vs. tax incentives on human capital development.
647
Why is long-run thinking important in the GES?
Because many productivity policies — like skills training or infrastructure — have delayed effects. GES economists must assess dynamic impacts, externalities, and sustainability when advising ministers.
648
How do GES values support growth policymaking?
Impartiality and rigour ensure that growth strategies are based on sound evidence, not short-term political goals. This leads to more credible and stable policymaking environments.
649
What makes growth and productivity analysis in the Civil Service unique?
It’s applied in real time, under pressure, and often with incomplete data. GES economists must balance theory with pragmatism, making complex trade-offs to support national welfare.
650
What is Labour’s central approach to economic growth under Starmer and Reeves?
A strategy centred on “securonomics” — combining economic stability, industrial policy, and state-led investment to create sustained and inclusive growth.
651
How does Rachel Reeves plan to use fiscal policy to drive growth?
Through targeted public investment in green energy, infrastructure, and skills. She advocates fiscal responsibility alongside a new National Wealth Fund to crowd in private investment.
652
What role does industrial strategy play in Labour’s growth plan?
A revived industrial strategy would target sectors like green tech, life sciences, and advanced manufacturing to boost productivity and regional development.
653
How does Labour propose to increase business investment?
By offering policy certainty, planning reform, and stable public-private partnerships, aiming to reduce uncertainty that discourages long-term private sector investment.
654
What are the regional growth implications of Labour’s plan?
Labour’s approach includes devolving more power to local and regional authorities to support place-based growth and tackle persistent productivity gaps.
655
How would Labour address skills and human capital?
Through proposed reforms to the apprenticeship levy, expansion of training opportunities, and a new “Skills England” body to better match training to local economic needs.
656
How does the green economy factor into Starmer’s growth agenda?
It’s central. The “Green Prosperity Plan” pledges to invest in clean energy and infrastructure, aiming to create jobs, reduce energy bills, and decarbonise growth.
657
How does Reeves’ emphasis on ‘economic security’ shape Labour’s growth vision?
It prioritises macroeconomic stability and resilience to shocks, believing growth depends on strong institutions, sound finances, and long-term policymaking.
658
How might Labour’s strategy differ from the Conservatives’ on growth?
Labour emphasises active government, public investment, and industrial policy, while Conservatives have generally prioritised deregulation, tax cuts, and private sector-led growth.
659
What challenges could Starmer and Reeves face in delivering growth?
Fiscal constraints, global headwinds, and institutional capacity may limit ambition. Balancing short-term pressures with long-term investment will test the credibility of their strategy.