Impact of Climate Change Flashcards
(46 cards)
Are the impacts of climate change difficult to predict?
YES…
- Could be catastrophic ‘unlivable earth’
- Even reduced scenarios involve major changes.
- Increased temps.
- Increase storm intensity and frequency.
- More intense droughts followed by intense rainfall.
Increased pressure of water resources.
Plant selection will need to take account of all extremes.
Emerging pest and disease threats and these will move into traditionally cooler areas as they warm.
Increased fire danger.
How is climate change damaging for hort.?
Heavy rains (soil erosion)
Extreme heat/drought soil cracked and soil erosion from wind.
How do trees help with climate change?
- Canopy (shade)
- Transpiration cools atmosphere.
- Carbon sequestration.
- Soil protected
- Deciduous trees better in fire as more moisture in leaves.
- Changes in phenology. Plants are blooming earlier.
Platanus species (London Plane Tree) for urban landscapes.
Why to not use cultivars?
As pests and disease move they will affect plants. Use diverse varieties of trees rather than cultivar so some will adapt and not get diseasee.
DUTCH ELM
ASH
Define phenology
the study of cyclic and seasonal natural phenomena, especially in relation to climate and plant and animal life.
WHEN FLOWERS BLOOM ETC.
What is the issue with plants flowering earlier?
As plants bloom earlier, insects may be out of sync which will prevent pollination.
Issues with plant selection
- Survive drought.
- Survive higher temps and solar radiation. (may be okay in sun now but no so in the future).
- Temp extremes - plants need to survive colder temps too.
- Plants need to survive extreme rainfall.
- Some plants still need watering even when drought tolerant.
DRought tolerant vs. low water demand.
- Don’t always match up - plants can be tolerant but need watering.
How to determine what plants?
Look at provenance - where does it come from?
Is it resilient in that climate?
Does that plant survive high temps in summer, low temps in winter and periodic drought.
Central Asia good place to look.
EX: Salvia yangii (able to cope with climate extremes).
Issue with invasive species
As temps warm plants that have been OK in the UK may become invasive.
Ex:
Pampas grass and Mimosa (Cortaderia
selloana and Acacia dealbata
What causes Cortaderia and Acacia to possibly become invasive?
Most invasive plant problems are not about invading good quality native abitats such as woodland, they’re about disturbed habitats where there has been human impact
understanding of how invasive plants relate to different habitats will be an important
part of future landscape planning. For anybody with a responsibility for land, this
awareness in the future of helping reate strong plant communities that will be resistant to
invasives will be very important.
What is the impact of fire?
Woodlands
will recover well from one fire, but not from a second one.
Diff plants have diff vulnerabilities.
EX: Conifers are far
more fire prone than deciduous trees.
Think firewise info…
HOw has threat of fire changed?
- Increasing threat to areas not previously affected.
- Now a wide range of susceptibility of plants.
- Conifers worse than deciduous.
- Proximity of vulnerable plants to buildings.
How does climate change affect pests/diseases?
As it gets warmer, pests will migrate to new areas.
how to mitigate pests/diseases?
t increased phytosanitary controls at borders will
help. So many of the pests and disease problems that have afflicted particularly tree
species over the last few years can be put down to imported plants or imported plant
products.
Genetic diversity (not cultivars)
ex: Ash dieback and Dutch Elm.
e diversity, there’s a small percentage of ash
trees that seems to be completely invulnerable. They will produce the seed that will allow a
future disease resistant population to develop.
What are the implications for planting?
Multiplicity of impacts.
- GENETIC DIVERSITY (Urban, don’t plant just cultivars.
- RESILIENCE. plants that can cope with many different extremes.
- WATER USE. Sustainable is important. Use water butts, green roof, rain gardens etc to conserve water.
palm trees, hibiscus, lavender, grapes and hardy succulents, corn and squash.
gravel garden with plants won’t need as much water.
What are the basic things to remember for climate change and hort.
Need to understand range of impacts.
Choose plants for resilience.
Sustainable use of water.
Planting for climate change mitigation (carbon sequestration)
Monitoring new pests, diseases and invasive species.
Why are plants so important?
- More plants, more sequestration.
- More effectively cool down and shade urban areas.
- Transpiration cools atmosphere; Trees shade us;
What is climate change?
Climate is warming at unprecedented rate because of human activity.
- Addition of C02 thru fossil fuel burning, which acts as greenhouse gas trapping heat.
Methane from agricultural geared to intensive meat production.
Heat absorbing surfaces such as building and roads.
High altitudes and latitudes are warming more than others.
Prolonged droughts, increased flooding and more extreme weather.
Sea level rising.
Climates changing more rapidly than species can adapt and high risk of extinctions in biodiversity as planet warms.
Issues with population and climate change?
Massive population shifts.
Natural habitats forced to live on more marginal land.
How will climate change affect plants?
Increased C02 not a problem as will encourage faster growth, however, may be short term BUT limited factors: Drought.
Physical changes may occur in plants: less stomata which impacts growth process and productivity.
Less water flow, less transpiration therefore less cooling impact which limits growth. This will leave more water in the soil which could cause more flooding.
Inc. temp increased growth but limiting factors photosynthetic efficiency declines at a certain point, plants are damaged by heat and solar radiation to the point of dying.
Inc. temps cause resp rates to increase relative to photosynthesis, resulting in no net gain in production of biomass. Plants effectively could then ‘starve’. IF temp increases too much, faster respiration may also tip the balance towards plants becoming a C02 source!
EX: 2003 Europe high temps reduce plant growth by 30%.
Plant events such as buds opening, leaf fall and flowering times are changing. 2.5 days per decade in spring and 2 days delay in autumn.
increased temperatures may slow down dormancy – autumn leaf displays might become duller, but crucially many herbaceous species may not experience cold enough temperatures to trigger dormancy, or they may be triggered into growth early and then suffer a setback with a frost.
Species which need cold to initiate flower bud formation may not be able to do so. A good example is with blackcurrants, which need consistent cold temperatures. steep decline in blackcurrant harvests, fruit quality and juice yields and two traditional varieties are expected to die out within 10 years due to climate change.
Different cultivars of apple require different amounts of cold in winter to
produce to initiate flower buds – so milder winters will change the
geographical range for successful cropping of some traditional apple
cultivars
HOw does water stress affect plants?
plants will limit leaf production and leaf
surface area In order to reduce water loss or and/or close its stomata.
decreases the ability of the plant to carry out photosynthesis, with
clear implications for growth and carbon storage, and in extreme cases
normal functioning is impeded so much that death occurs.
short-lived plants like annuals becoming even more short-lived
as they flower and set seed more quickly, greater susceptibility to pests and greater proportion of biomass developed in the roots in order to search for
water
Torrential rainfall increases the risk of flooding or periods of waterlogging.
How will high humidity affect plants?
Prolonged periods of high humidity can reduce a plant’s ability to transpire, and there affect the ability of the plant to pull nutrients out of the soil.
Humidity will increase susceptibility to fungal problems.
Will climate change affect pests and disease and how?
range of species of both plants and animals becomes more extensive the warmer the climate.
pests/disease and weeds will increase and will have more time to have multiple breeding per year.
Drought will increase plant stress making them more susceptible to fungal and bacterila pathogens.