IV and DV Flashcards
Hiscox - Factor mobility
IV: variation in return (wages and profits) across sectors
DV: factor mobility
Scheve and Slaughter - Voter attitudes
IV: wage and education
DV: preference of free trade or not
Rho and Tomz - Economic self interest
IV: knowledge about trade interests
DV: preferences in trade
Demand side explanation (increase of PTAs)
IV: bottom-up approach with spillover by firms, group interests and citizens for transaction costs, uncertainty, economic gains and economies of scale
DV: increase of PTAs
Supply side explanation (increase of PTAs)
IV: top-down approach by government and its policymakers who are motivated by political gains and leadership + issue of the day
DV: increase of PTAs
Baldwin - domino theory
IV: Foreign PTA -> affects my trade -> less exports to this country although I have same tariffs! -> don’t want to be discriminated -> mobilization for an own PTA !
DV: increase of PTAs
(linked to the mercantilist trading strategy = fear of exclusion and discrimination)
Baccini and Dür - diffusion of agreement
IV: Agreement in trading network (Dyad)
DV: Trade agreement
This theory is the test of the Domino Mechanism by Baldwin
Baccini and Urpelainen - economic reform
IV: New leader and Democratization
DV: PTA –> compensation tool and give credibility for the future economic reform
Thus
IV: PTA –> compensation for the domestic loosers
DV: economic reform
Büthe and Milner - political risk
IV: PTA (by providing commitment mechanism)
DV: more FDI (foreign direct investment)
Kenyon and Margalit (Investment Climate) = firm-level behavior
IV: Signature of PTA
DV: Investment Decisions of firms PTA increases credibility of an developing country
Lipset and Rostow - modernization development strategy
IV: Economic progress DV: more democracy Causal mechanism: - take off - industrialization - urbanization - education - development and democracy
Przeworski and Limongi - democratic transitions
IV: wealth
DV: probability to become democratic/authoritarian
but this theory shows that a higher GDP does not create democracy but it helps sustain it.
Dreher - politics of IMF loans
IV: UNSC membership
DV: IMF loans
> UNSC members are more likely to get an IMF loan –> IMF not apolitical
Polanyi - the great transformation
IV: confidence or hegemony
DV: stability of a monetary system
CM: democratization > new parties in government + change in beliefs and values > reduced confidences > instability
Hibbs - government ideology
IV: labor/social party in government
DV: unemployment rate and flexible XR
Bearce - ideology and XR stability
IV: left or right governement
DV: monetary autonomy (flexible or stable?)
Stein and Streb - elections and XR stability
IV: elections
DV: change in XR-stability
Bodea - transition countries and credibility
IV: XR-stability thanks to fixed XR
DV: improves reputation
Bearce and Hallerberg - autocracies and XR
IV: political regime
DV: probability of a fixed XR (autocracies)
Frieden - the real reason of EMU integration
IV: exports to the German market in % of GDP
DV: XR depreciation and variation
Mc Namara - convergence of ideas
IV: ideas (neoliberal consensus) and inflation convergence
DV: EMU
Susan Strange - globalisation and the supply side argument
IV: globalisation
DV: undermines autonomy