Lecture 18: Literature Flashcards
(19 cards)
Familewise Type 1 Error rate
at least one Type 1 error in a set of tests
The more hypotheses in the family, the more the familywise Type 1 error rate may be _______
inflated
The exact amount of inflation of the familywise Type 1 error rate depends on the amount of _______/________ between the tests
dependence/correlation
Multiplicity 2 other names
- Multiple comparisons
- Multiple testing
Multiplicity
The problem of Type 1 errors being more frequent when there are multiple tests conducted
How to counteract the problem of multiplicity
The Bonferroni procedure
The Bonferroni procedure is implemented in 2 ways:
- Adjusted alpha level: divide a-level by no. of tests
- Adjusted p-value: multiply p-value by no. of tests
Bonferroni procedure controls the _______ _____ _ _____ ____ but also reduces _______ _____ so testing multple hypotheses requires ______ ______ _____ to compensate
- familywise Type 1 error rate
- statistical power (increases type 2 error rate)
- large sample size
Because adjustment for multiplicity reduces statistical power, some researchers try to get out of adjusting by (2)
- making excuses for not adjusting
- Covering up how many tests were conducted! (p-hacking, data snooping)
p-hacking
dishonest practice of conducting as many tests as necessary in order to get statistical significance without reporting all the tests that were conducted
Data snooping
dishonest practice where the researcher looks at the data before deciding which test looks most promising (informal testing)
How to handle multiplicity responsibly (4)
- State hypotheses before the study begins
- Report al tests conducted
- Adjust for multiplicity and report method used
It’s ok to come up with a hypotheses after looking at the data but they should be tested in a ___ ____ and with a ____ ___
new study new sample
Can CIs be adjusted using the Bonferroni procedure? If so, how?
Yes!
You compute each CI at a confidence level equal to 1 minus the Bonferroni adjusted alpha level
eg, for 2 CIs each CI is computed at the 1 - 0.05/2 = 97.5% level
Will we ever know what proportion of studies have a true null hypotheses?
No
If all studies in a paper you read had true null hypotheses what does that mean?
100% of the statisticlly significant results are type 1 errors
if none of the studies in a paper you read had true null hypotheses what does that mean?
then 0% of the statistically significant results are Type I errors
File drawer problem
studies that didn’t produce statistically significant results don’t get reported in the literature