Lecture 8 - Benefit Cost Analysis and Discounting Flashcards

(34 cards)

1
Q

Social Cost Benefit Analysis for the Environment

A

Social Cost-Benefit Analysis: Needed when economic actors do not automatically fix problems themselves.
–> It is used for costs where responsibility for problems is shared or misallocated, where costs and benefits poorly matched in terms of who pays and who gets benefits

Externalities have ‘socialized’ costs rather than ‘privatized’

We pollute air here and air takes the pollution somewhere else who pays the costs but would be nice if we paid the costs

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Social Cost Benefit Analysis Nuances

A

Nuance is whose situation you’re thinking of, when, how and strength of the policy in mind

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

Pareto Efficiency

A

No loser policy’
Defintion: Scenario where no one can be made better off without someone else worse off
- Completely neutral to inequality (so does not guarantee social optimum, maxxed societal utility)
- Many allocations can be Pareto efficient

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

Pareto Improvement

A

A scenario where some policy X makes no one worse off, but at least one person has been made better off (can itself be an objective)
- Markets are typically great at this due to mutual benefit of trading

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Kaldor Hicks Criterion

A

Defintion: A scenario where those made better off by some action A could theoretically give some of their ‘winnings’ to those made worse off by the policy so the losers would break even and the winners would still have some left.

This is a potential Pareto improvement, but only if winners want to compensate and will still have some left over

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Rawlsian ‘Maximin’

A

Definition: A scenario in which the utility or position of the worst-off in society is maximized relative to some objective (used more in non-redistributive policy)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Minimax

A

Definition: Scenario in which the probability of the worst possible outcome (relative to some objective) is minimized.

Minimax regret: Scenario in which the probability of the worst possible regret is maximized (regret being the diff between utility in the best case and worst case scenario)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Social Costs and Benefits Examples

A
  • Human health (asthma, death rate, etc.)
  • Existence rate (grand canyon, exotic birds, etc.)
  • Costs in economic productivity of other goods
  • Recreation and employment (bird watching, fishing, etc.)
  • Environmental stability (climate regulation, etc.)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

The Gap between Social and Private Supply Costs and result on surplus’

A

SEE SLIDES FOR GRAPHS

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Valuing the Gap between Social and Private Supply Costs Methods

A
  • Stated Preference (CV, Choice experiments, dichotomous choice method)
  • Revealed preference (reverse auction, TCM)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Dichotomous Choice Method

A

Pairs good semi-randomly and then respondent says yes or no I support/oppose and then repeat again and can derive the WTP, WTA

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

(Reverse) Auction Method

A

RP method
- WTP and WTA is elicited by auction. In WTA, prices are slowly increased until a bid is made and auction ends. In sealed-bid reverse auction, participants write their lowest WTA and send it in. The lowest price is chosen.
- Reverse auction is more common and used to show WTA

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Hedonic Valuation

A

Comparison of two items in the market that are very close to each other. Only difference is environment around them. E.g. one house has nice environment and other doesn’t. Difference in price is value of the non-market good.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Three assumptions of hedonic valuation

A
  1. Independence
  2. Time-invariant preferences
  3. Perfect information
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

Adam Smith’s View of Social Costs

A

Rational and self-interested economic actors so invisible hand means the market will regulate itself because everyone is self-interested

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Jeremy Bentham’s View of Social Costs

A

Utilitarian morality; role of policy and government to balance pleasures nd pains
- Gov’t is third-party maximizing aggregate social utility
- One of the founders of CBA

17
Q

Economic Rationality

A

A group of technical, mathematical, scientifically testable hypotheses about human behavior that were originally agreed by consensus of economists to allow analysis to go forward without data, etc.

BUT These assumptions for most economic theory do not usually hold and many things market does not do so gov’t is needed

18
Q

Economic Assumptions

A

Don’t make your analysis true but they conditionalize it (make it true under certain conditions).

Markets create Pareto efficiency ‘under certain conditions’ which is assumptions which allows economic methods to work at least in part if assumptions are true.

19
Q

Implication behind RP Theory

A

RP theory means that any private utility is maximized by agents so any adjustment in bundl of goods in reaction to being made worse off by a policy can be interpreted as a cost, especially if a policy is not attempting to correct an externality.

20
Q

Difficulty of Calculating Social Costs/Environmental Damages

A

-Real world is messy and correlation not always causation so need to detective work to determine cause of damages
- Connecting occurrence in environment to particular action is more difficult
- Part of CBA is just figuring out what causes what, before costs and benefits come into the picture.

21
Q

Extinction Value

A

Hard to place price on extinction e.g. the vultures are really valuable sometimes culturally but also to clean up dead bodies, but how to put a price on this for extinction prevention policy?

22
Q

Establishing Environmnetal-Causation

A

Found that vulture collapse connected to human deaths but is this correlation or causation? (Vet painkiller posion for vultures = vultures dying = more cows rotting without cleaning = rabid dogs now have more food = increase in rabies = problem for public health

So then used value of human life to estimate value of mortality damages from this drug. Note: Didn’t estiate costs so just a benefit analysis.

23
Q

Risk-Opportunity Analysis (ROA)

A

New developing methodology looking to be alternative to CBA in certain situations; want it to be not just methodology but a framework

24
Q

Risk-Opportunity Analysis——View of convention

A

Unchanging behaviors, leading to stable equilibrium
Marginal changes, and ”shocks” that settle back down into equilibrium eventually (e.g. if a river floods from rainfall, it will eventually go back to stable)

25
Risk-Opportunity Analysis——View of complexity
Constant change, dynamic systems Large changes or small changes, both may lead to large, permanent or semi-permanent changes in the system (e.g. if ice caps melt from warming, could become cyclical feedback loop)
26
3 Challenges to Standard Welfare Assessments
1. Transformative Nature 2. Heterogenous interest (don't like to give more weight to one group v. another) 3. High uncertainty and path dependence Basically we have a framework made for marginal/conventional change and applying it to a system needing transitional change; framework assumes uniformity in stakeholders
27
Basic welfare economics principles is useful when
An intervention does not substantially change the background economic situation or relationships between variables and staekholders aren't super heterogenous
28
Uncertainty of knowledge
1. Systemic risk - economics does not consider causation; behaviors are isolated 2. Heavy-tailed uncertainty isn't considered in optimal decision or can't be 3. Fundamental uncertainty since you can't run a model that's emerging
29
Solution to Uncertainty of Knowledge: Adaptive policy-making
Adaptive policy-making: making a policy seeing something happens when you don't expect, so you change what you're doing and reanalyze while in marignal anlysis and analysis will continue the same. Instead of equilibrium, you're looking at direction of change rather than hte new normal and adaptively change. 1. Divide staekholders into groups 2. Do not use a single money metric to incorporate costs and benefits 3. Look at direction of changes instead of postulating over new norms 4. Adaptively iterate analyses over time and carry out analysis knowing this 5. Try to 'dig up' futures that potentially exist in unknown unknowns
30
Central Problem with Value of a Statistical Life
-Estimates the value of a statistical life across countries result in estimates that vary widely - Rich countries end up with value of statistial life estimates far above those in poor countries - ethical nightmare
31
Transitivity
If someone prefers A>B, and B>C, then they'll prefer A>C (if a rational agent). - Idea that economic agent has consistent preferences
32
Issue with measuring utility directly.
The utility or pleasure gained from something is so personal and can't really be measured uniformly
33
Jeremy Bentham's View of Utility
- Utility Is the pleasure or pain from something (positive utility = pleasure and v.v.) - Utlity is the tendency of an object or action to increase or decrease overall happiness
34
ROA improvements over CBA
-Aims to address deep uncertainty in Dming where incremental changes can have irreversible consequences, where CBA is tailored to marginal changes in an equilibrium system. - Doesn't consider a single optimal pathway but instead trajectories and acconts for uncertainty, heavy-tail catastrophic events, and irreversibility - More about interdependencies and connections