Macro Flashcards

(50 cards)

1
Q

What did China do to interest rates?

A

Lowered them following disappointing economic performance in 2024

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2
Q

What are interest rates in Japan?

A

0.25% to promote consumption

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3
Q

Give some examples of countries with very high interest rates

A

Turkey (over 40% through 2023/24)
Brazil (over 12% in 2024)
Argentina (over 100% in 2023)
USA
UK (5.25% in 2023/24)

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4
Q

Give some examples of economies with high consumer confidence

A

India
Oil exporting gulf nations such as UAE + Qatar
Indonesia

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5
Q

Give some examples of economies with low consumer confidence

A

Eurozone
UK
China

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6
Q

What is the UK’s national debt?

A

95.9% of GDP

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7
Q

Which economies have high real disposable incomes?

A

India
indonesia

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8
Q

Which economies have low real disposable incomes?

A

Turkey
Argentina
Venezuela
Eurozone

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9
Q

What is USA government debt as a % of GDP?

A

123%

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10
Q

Uk inflation rate (CPI)

A

2.6%. Peaked at 11.1% in October 2022. Inflation no longer main macroeconomics focus

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11
Q

UK GDP/capita

A

£36,000

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12
Q

Average annual wage growth

A

5.9% - positive wage growth in real terms, keeping inflation high

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13
Q

UK NRU

A

3.5%

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14
Q

Current UK unemployment rate

A

4.4% - above NRU, suggesting that cyclical unemployment is occurring

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15
Q

Interest rates

A

4.25% now down from a very recent cut of 4.5% a peak of 5.25%. Should Governments reduce it further to promote AD and international competitiveness, since inflation does not seem to be the major focus anymore

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16
Q

How is our economy split up into different sectors?

A

79% services, 14% manufacturing, 6% construction, 1% agriculture (services dominated, not diverse)

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17
Q

What is our gini coefficient?

A

0.357 - increased over past few year due to reduced government spending on welfare benefits, increased taxes, reduced spending on healthcare + infrastructure in real terms

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18
Q

Youth unemployment rate UK?

A

13.3% - increased by about 2% in the last year

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19
Q

Employment rate UK

A

75.1% - Lower than the government target of 80%, suggesting high economic inactivity

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20
Q

What is the cause of high economic inactivity in the UK?

A

Disease, illness, and mental health issues

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21
Q

Inflation expectations

A

3.9% - drives wage bargaining power

22
Q

UK trade deficit

A

2.6% down from last 10-year average of 4% due to reduced AD

23
Q

Worker productivity UK

24
Q

productivity and investment UK

A

Very weak since cost of living crisis

25
2024/2025 annual growth rate
1.1% - very low
26
Forecast growth rate
Bank of England forecast 0.75% - very poor for such a large and developed economy like the UK
27
Total GDP of UK
£2.851 trillion. UK makes up approx 25% of that GDP alone
28
UK output gap for 2024/25
-0.6% deflationary/negative output gap
29
What are some demand-side reasons for the UK's poor growth right now?
Low Government spending Weak consumer and business confidence High interest rates High levels of taxation Trump's tarriffs and global trade war
30
What are some Supply-side reasons for the UK's poor growth right now?
Short run: High energy prices, High food prices Long run: Very poor productivity, very weak investment since Brexit, poorly performing public services, aging infrastructure
31
What is the potential growth rate for an economy?
The maximum growth an economy can experience without it being inflationary
32
What is the UK's potential growth rate?
Around 1%. Very poor considering it was about 2.5% before financial crisis (healthy) and about 1.5% (not great) between financial crisis and covid. An economy as developed as the UK should have a much better potential growth rate
33
What's wrong with recent unemployment figures
ONS have massively struggled to get people to take part in the survey, resulting in a small survey size of just 10000-15000 instead of the usual 100,000. Small sample size - unrepresentative
34
Economic inactivity rate
21.4% higher than it was before covid - driven by illness, mental health, anxiety etc.
35
Core inflation rate (CPI without price volatile items)
3.4%
36
Producer price inflation
0.3% - very low. It is a future indicator of inflation
37
UK minimum wage
£12.21 driven up as of April 2025 - one of the highest in the world. About 66% of median earnings
38
Pound exchange rate
Very weak to the dollar and the euro. Was much higher before Brexit
39
Forecast budget deficit in UK for 2024/25
4.8% of GDP = £137bn Increased due to covid. Was 15% in 2021/22
40
Income tax has risen in 2 ways. What are they?
1. 45% tax bracket reduced form £150,000 to £125,000 2. Tax brackets frozen till 2028 - forecast to earn the government an extra $45bn/year by 2028 through fiscal drag
41
Corporation tax
25%
42
VAT
20%
43
Average lending rate
4.75%
44
Banks willingness to lend
Good
45
Savings ratio
12% increased dramatically due to lower consumer confidence
46
Quantitative easing during covid
£450bn pumped into UK economy during COVID-19 - no wonder we saw inflation skyrocket after covid
47
How did petrol prices change during 2022 due to Russia Ukraine
Went up from 1.46 pounds per liter in January 2022 to 1.94 pounds per liter in July 2022
48
How did average household utility bills change from 2021 to 2023
went from 1309 pounds in 2021 to 2621 pounds in 2023 due to energy prices because of Russia Ukraine War
49
How have some basic grocery prices changed due to Russia-Ukrain war?
Bread up 220% Eggs up 29% Milk up 39% contributed to cost of living crisis
50
Why did grocery prices rise in UK
Russia and Ukrain are large exporters of wheat and grain, so increases in prices of wheat and grain lead to increased costs for farmers, increasing costs of groceries