Midterm Flashcards
(29 cards)
Deterrence
The use of threats and promises to keep someone from doing something they would do otherwise; stopping something before it starts.
Threats vs promises
Promise implies an improvement in one’s baseline of expectations
immediate deterrence
deterrence for the homeland; deterring someone from attacking your country
extended deterrence
deterring for an ally
Compellance
the use of threats and punishment to get someone to stop doing what they’re doing
coercion
Involving cooperation (ugly but still cooperating); focuses on enemy interests; tools of coercion: fear, pain, and suffering.You’re using your enemies interests against them by inflicting harm on things they care about, usually people.
Brute force
About destruction, not persuasion; focused on capabilities rather than interest
Rational
using the best means to a given end, stable hierarchical preferences, cost/benefit calculation, governed by logic
strategy
when your best move depends on my best move
dispositional explanation
uses someone’s character, values, beliefs, personality, preferences, perceptions, to account for that person’s behavior—something internal to that person
situational explanation
attributing behavior to environment/situation—anyone in this situation would do the same thing
Hawks
someone who favors threats over promises (sticks over carrots); think their adversaries tend to be revisionists; surest road to peace is to have lots of weapons
doves
Promises over threats (carrots over sticks); adversaries tend to be status quo (means you can reason with them); be able to defend yourself with defensive weapons, but also be willing to negotiate
cognitive bias
a systematic bias generated from how people process information; a mistake; it’s unintended and interferes with accurate judgment
motivated bias
a bias that serves a purpose other than reality appraisal; Ex: wishful thinking/wanting something to be true
egocentric bias
we are the center of other peoples’ concerns and everybody thinks like us (naive realism or objectivity illusion)
confirmatory attributions
expected behavior → dispositional explanations, and unexpected behavior → situational explanations
necessary is possible
A policy becomes possible, not based on an honest assessment of its feasibility but because it’s necessary to pursue that policy; you persuade yourself that this policy is possible because it has to succeed.
belief system
a set of interconnected hypotheses about the way the world works, or about the way parts of the world works
bias
deviation from some standard
security dilemma
Pertains to status quo states when increasing the security of one diminishes the security of the other; when 2 status quo states view each other as threats
military doctrine
the way your forces are organized for war
prisoner’s dilemma
A situation where everyone has an incentive to be selfish, but all would be worse off if everyone acted on that incentive
norms
provide a shared expectation about behavior that involves a standard of right or wrong, or appropriate/inappropriate