migration Flashcards

(69 cards)

1
Q

Question/Prompt

A

Answer

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2
Q

What is the Replacement Fertility Rate (RFR)?

A

The fertility rate needed to maintain a stable population without migration (~2.1 in developed countries, ~2.5-3.3 in developing countries).

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3
Q

Formula for Doubling Time

A

Doubling Time = 70 / Growth Rate (%)

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4
Q

What is the Hidden Momentum of Population Growth?

A

The tendency for population to keep growing after birth rates decline due to a large base of young people reaching reproductive age.

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5
Q

Stages of the Demographic Transition Model

A

Stage 1: High birth & death rates → slow growth.
Stage 2: High birth, falling death rates → rapid growth.
Stage 3: Declining birth, low death rates → slowing growth.
Stage 4: Low birth & death rates → near-zero growth.

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6
Q

Malthusian Population Trap

A

Theory that population grows exponentially while food supply grows linearly, leading to starvation & crisis.

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7
Q

Criticism of Malthusian Theory

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Fails to account for technological advancements, improved food production, and better healthcare.

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8
Q

Definition of Crude Birth Rate (CBR)

A

The number of live births per 1,000 people per year.

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9
Q

Definition of Crude Death Rate (CDR)

A

The number of deaths per 1,000 people per year.

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10
Q

What is Total Fertility Rate (TFR)?

A

The average number of children a woman is expected to have in her lifetime under current birth rates.

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11
Q

What happens when fertility is below Replacement Level?

A

Population declines, leading to aging population, labor shortages, and economic stagnation (e.g., Japan, South Korea, Italy).

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12
Q

What is Urbanization?

A

The shift of population from rural to urban areas, often due to industrialization and economic opportunities.

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13
Q

What was China’s One-Child Policy?

A

A strict population control measure (1979-2015) that reduced birth rates but led to an aging population and gender imbalance.

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14
Q

Key negative effects of high fertility

A
  • Slower economic growth
  • More poverty & inequality
  • Strain on education & healthcare
  • Environmental degradation
  • Increased food shortages
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15
Q

Key positive effects of high fertility

A
  • Larger workforce
  • More economic activity
  • Potential for innovation & creativity
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16
Q

What does the Neo-Marxist view say about population growth?

A

It argues that developed countries use population control to maintain global economic dominance.

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17
Q

What are the main policy responses to high fertility in developing countries?

A
  • Education (especially for women)
  • Improved healthcare
  • Family planning programs
  • Expanding economic opportunities for women
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18
Q

What policies help countries facing population decline?

A
  • Immigration programs
  • Labor force retraining
  • Pro-natal incentives (subsidies for families to have more children)
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19
Q

What is the Population-Poverty Cycle?

A

The idea that high fertility leads to poverty, which in turn encourages high fertility, creating a self-reinforcing cycle.

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20
Q

Exam Question: What are the major demographic trends projected for 2050 & 2100?

A
  • 2050: ~9.8 billion people, mostly in developing countries.
  • 2100: ~11.2 billion people, with Africa contributing most of the growth.
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21
Q

Why does the Demographic Transition Model matter?

A

It explains how societies evolve from high to low birth/death rates and why developing countries experience rapid population growth.

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22
Q

How does the Hidden Momentum of Population Growth affect future trends?

A

Even if fertility rates decline today, populations will continue to grow for decades due to a large number of young people entering reproductive age.

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23
Q

Why do developing countries have higher fertility rates?

A
  • Economic security (children as labor)
  • Lack of contraception access
  • Cultural/religious factors
  • High infant mortality rates
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24
Q

How does women’s education affect fertility rates?

A

Higher education → Delayed marriage & childbirth, better career opportunities, increased use of contraception → Lower fertility.

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25
How does high fertility impact economic development?
Short-term: More labor force growth. Long-term: Can strain resources, slow economic progress, and increase poverty if unchecked.
26
What happens when a country’s population ages?
- Fewer working-age people → Labor shortages - Higher healthcare & pension costs - Slower economic growth
27
What are the major criticisms of China’s One-Child Policy?
- Created an aging population - Gender imbalance (preference for male children) - Workforce shrinkage impacting economic growth
28
How does migration affect population growth trends?
- Can help offset population decline in aging societies. - Can strain urban infrastructure in fast-growing countries.
29
What are the environmental impacts of rapid population growth?
- Deforestation - Increased water & food demand - Higher carbon emissions - Loss of biodiversity
30
Why does the relationship between population growth & economic development depend on context?
In developed countries, slower growth can cause labor shortages. In developing nations, rapid growth can strain resources.
31
What is a real-world example of a country struggling with high fertility rates?
Nigeria: High fertility → Young population, growing economy, but rising unemployment and infrastructure pressure.
32
What is a real-world example of a country struggling with low fertility rates?
Japan: Aging population → Labor shortages, pension system strain, slow economic growth.
33
Why does urbanization affect fertility rates?
In cities, costs of raising children are higher, women have more career opportunities, and access to contraception is better → Lower fertility.
34
How do pro-natalist policies work?
Governments provide financial incentives (subsidies, tax breaks, childcare benefits) to encourage families to have more children.
35
How does access to healthcare impact fertility?
Better healthcare lowers infant mortality, reducing the need for families to have many children as 'insurance' for survival.
36
How does poverty reinforce high fertility?
Poor families may rely on children for labor or old-age support, leading to more births despite financial hardship.
37
How do education and family planning work together to lower fertility?
Educated women have better knowledge of contraception and economic opportunities, leading to smaller, planned families.
38
Exam Question: What are the long-term economic risks of an aging population?
- Shrinking labor force - Higher healthcare & pension costs - Economic stagnation due to lower productivity
39
Exam Question: Why does Sub-Saharan Africa have high fertility rates despite economic development?
- Cultural norms favor large families - Limited access to contraception - High infant mortality still a factor
40
Exam Question: What are the pros and cons of immigration as a solution to population decline?
Pros: Boosts labor force, supports economic growth, fills skill gaps. Cons: Can strain housing, healthcare, and create social tensions.
41
Define Urbanisation.
Urbanisation is the population shift from rural to urban areas, typically as economies develop.
42
Formula: Expected Urban Income (Harris-Todaro)
(Probability of Formal Job × Urban Wage) + (Probability of Informal Job × Informal Wage)
43
Define Agglomeration Economies.
Cost advantages to producers/consumers from businesses locating close together (in cities).
44
What is a Megacity?
A city with a population of 10 million or more people.
45
Key equation of Harris-Todaro Model (Basic).
WA = (LM / LUS) × WM (WA: Rural wage, LM: Urban formal jobs, LUS: Total urban labour, WM: Urban formal wage)
46
Define Informal Sector.
Unregulated economic activities with no formal contracts, often small, labour-intensive enterprises.
47
What are Push factors in migration?
Factors pushing people away from rural areas: poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation.
48
What are Agglomeration Economies?
Cost advantages arising from geographic concentration of industries and people.
49
List factors causing 'Urban Giantism'.
Import substitution, political incentives ('bread and circuses'), hub-and-spoke transport systems, capital-city dominance.
50
Urban informal sector characteristics?
Low-skilled, low wages, self-employment, no job security or benefits.
51
Why does urbanisation correlate strongly with economic development? (Exam Question)
Cities concentrate resources, knowledge, and skilled labour, boosting efficiency (agglomeration economies), which accelerates economic growth and development. Example: Silicon Valley.
52
Explain the difference between Urbanisation and Localisation Economies.
Urbanisation economies are general agglomeration benefits from overall urban growth (e.g., better infrastructure). Localisation economies benefit specific sectors concentrated in one area (e.g., financial industry in New York).
53
Why can rapid urbanisation cause congestion?
Rapid migration leads to overcrowding, putting stress on infrastructure (housing, transport), increasing costs, and lowering quality of life. Real-world example: Traffic congestion in Lagos, Nigeria.
54
Outline the core idea of the Harris-Todaro migration model.
People migrate based on expected, not actual, wages. If urban expected income (wage times employment probability) exceeds rural income, migration occurs, even risking urban unemployment.
55
What is the Lewis Model’s primary assumption? (Exam Question)
Rural areas have surplus labour ('disguised unemployment'), meaning extra workers don’t significantly increase rural production; thus, moving them to urban industries won't reduce rural output.
56
Explain 'First-City Bias'.
Governments disproportionately invest in the largest city (usually capital), attracting migration and resources, creating inefficiencies, neglecting secondary cities, and increasing inequality.
57
Why do megacities in developing countries face higher congestion?
They grow faster than infrastructure development, leading to overcrowding, high commuting costs, poor sanitation, and increased health risks.
58
What percentage of urban residents globally live in slums? (Hard Fact)
About 30% of urban residents in developing countries live in slums (~1 billion people).
59
What defines a 'Consumption City'?
A city whose growth is driven primarily by consumption rather than productive activities, often leading to increased poverty and slum settlements.
60
Conceptual Exam Question: How does rapid urbanisation both help and harm economic development?
Urbanisation promotes productivity, innovation, and economic growth (agglomeration). However, excessive urbanisation leads to overcrowding, slums, pollution, and social strain (negative externalities).
61
Apply the Harris-Todaro Model: A rural worker earns $2/day, urban formal wage is $5/day with 40% employment probability, or informal sector wage of $0.50/day. Should they migrate?
Calculate expected urban income: (0.5×3)+(0.5×0.25)=1.625; since 1.625 > 1.50, migration occurs. (Application Challenge: Consider real-world implications in a country like India.)
62
Explain urban bias using real-world analogy.
Urban bias is like watering one plant excessively while ignoring others: investments and resources focus heavily on one big city (capital city), stunting growth of smaller cities and rural areas. (E.g., Mexico City vs. smaller Mexican cities.)
63
Why might some countries experience 'urbanisation without growth'?
When cities expand without parallel industrial or employment opportunities, resulting in consumption-driven urban areas (consumption cities), leading to slums, poverty, and limited economic advancement.
64
Real-world scenario: Describe how improving rural infrastructure affects rural-urban migration.
Enhancing rural infrastructure (e.g., internet, electricity, roads) creates local jobs, reducing migration pressures by allowing residents to work where they live, maintaining community stability, and preserving local cultures. (Example: Teleworking hubs in rural Canada.)
65
Why might higher urban wages not eliminate urban unemployment in developing countries?
Higher wages attract more rural migrants, causing overcrowding in job markets and cities, leading to greater unemployment (illustrated by Todaro’s equilibrium migration model).
66
Explain clearly the meaning of disguised unemployment (Lewis model).
Disguised unemployment occurs when extra workers in rural agriculture produce no additional output; removing them doesn’t lower production. (Real-world: Family farming where productivity per person is very low.)
67
Apply Harris-Todaro Model: How would increasing urban minimum wages impact rural-urban migration?
Higher urban wages make urban areas more attractive, raising migration rates, worsening urban unemployment, and increasing pressure on urban infrastructure. (Application Challenge: Think Mexico City.)
68
Describe the impact of informal sectors on urban economies.
Informal sectors provide essential livelihoods and employment for urban poor, but their low productivity and wages limit overall economic growth. Improving this sector enhances incomes and stability. (Application: Street vendors in Nairobi.)
69
Discuss why reducing urban bias is critical for sustainable development.
Reducing urban bias balances economic growth, reducing excessive urbanisation pressure, enhancing rural livelihoods, and decreasing urban unemployment and inequality. (Application: Balanced growth policies in Rwanda.)