naive definition of probability (week 1) Flashcards

1
Q

sample space (S)

A

set of all possible outcomes

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2
Q

intersect ?

A

n

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3
Q

disjoint ?

A

AnC = no result

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4
Q

Probability naive formula

A

num of elements in A / num of elements in sample space

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5
Q

naive because

A

assume its finite

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6
Q

P(AnB) formula

A

P(A)-P(B)

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7
Q

P(AuB) formula

A

P(A)+P(B)-P(AnB)

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8
Q

what is an event?

A

Subset of a sample

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9
Q

union symbol?

A

u

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10
Q

empty set symbol

A

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11
Q

A u A^c =

A

S

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12
Q

A n A^c

A

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13
Q

mutually exclusive is when

A

the instersection is empty

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14
Q

distributive rule

A

A n (B u C) = (A n B) u (A n C)

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15
Q

De morgans law

A

(A n B) ^ c = A^c u B^c

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16
Q

Cardinality is

A

denotes by |A| means the number of elements in A

17
Q

At least formula

A

– the complement

18
Q

permutations, order matter

A

pake !
misal, how many configurations of 13 hearts? 13!

19
Q

permutations, choose k times from n with replacement , order matters

A

n^k

20
Q

permutations, choose k from n, with NO replacement, order matters

A

nPk = n! / (n-k)!

21
Q

permutations choose k times from n, NO replacement, order does not matter

A

n! / ((n-k)! k!)

22
Q

permutations in MISSISSIPPI?

A

11! / 4!4!2!

23
Q

2 strangers get into an empty elevator at the first floor of a building that has 4 floor. Assume that they are equally likely to want to to to floors 2 through 4. Each presses the button for their desired floor. The pressed button or buttons light up. How many light configurations are possible? Are they equally likely?

A

floor 2, 3,4 <- 9 possibilities
bisa brg” mau ke laintai 2, 3, 4 or mau ke lantai (2,3), (2,4), (3,4)
make the table
2 3 4
2 (2,2) (3,2) (4,2)
3 (2,3) (3,3) (4,3)
4 (2,4) (3,4) (4,4)

24
Q

3 strangers get into an empty elevator at the first floor of a building that has 10 floor. Assume that they are equally likely to want to to to floors 2 through 10. Each presses the button for their desired floor. The pressed button or buttons light up. How many light configurations are possible if consecutive floor?

A

9 floors, 3 passenger is 9^3 = 727
possibilities: (2,3,4), (3,4,5),(4,5,6),(7,8,9), (8,9,10)
so 7 consecutive possible ways. the order does not matter, so use the formula when other doest not matter with no replacement!