Open science Flashcards
(20 cards)
Bem (2011)- “Feeling the Future”
-Task: 100 pps, 36 trials (positive, negative, romantic, erotic images)
-Key findings: hit rate above chance only for erotic images (53.1%, p= .01)
-Issues: suggests precognition, which is implausible
-Problem: used standardised statistical methods and was published- raises concerns about research practices
Statistical power
Likelihood of detecting true effect
Alpha level
Acceptable risk of false positive (typically 5%)
Types of results
-True positives
-False positives
-True negatives
-False negatives
Publishing bias
-Preference for significant novel, or surprising results
-Non-significant findings often unpublished
- Replications undervalued
The ‘file drawer problem’
Non-significant findings often unpublished
Importance of null results
Provide valuable insights from well-designed studies
Questionable research practices
-HARKING
-Data manipulation
HARKING
Hypothesising after results are known
Data manipulation
Exploiting data analysis flexibility to find significance
Researcher degrees of freedom
-Flexibility in:
*Stats tests
*Variable selection
*Outlier handling
P-Hacking
-Performing multiple analyses to achieve p< .05
-Reporting only significant outcomes
Consequence of P-Hacking
Increases false positives -> undermines trust in results
Muñoz & Young (2018) multiverse analysis
-Less than 5% significant results from 1152 regressions
-Demonstrates how easy it is to find false positives flexible analysis
2 major problems identified in research
-Publication favours significant results
-Studies often underpowered
Reproducibility crisis
-Many studies fail to replicate
-Even experienced researchers struggle to reproduce published findings (Baker, 2016)
3 solutions via open science
-Open materials
-Open data
-Preregistration
Open materials
-Share study materials, instructions and stimuli
-Facilitates replication
Open data
-Make raw data accessible
-Allows reanalysis and transparency
Preregistration
-Outline study design and analysis plans before conducting the study
-Helps prevent p-hacking and HARKING