Probability & Statistics Flashcards
Definition 1.1 (Sample Space)
The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes for the experiment. It is denoted by S
Definition 1.2 (Event)
An event is a subset of the sample space. The even occurs if the actual outcome is an element of this subset.
Definition 1.3 (Simple Event)
An event is a simple event if it consists of a single element of the sample space S
Meaning of Disjoint events
We say two sets A and B are disjoint if they have no element in common, i.e, A ∩ B = {}
De Morgan’s laws
(A ∪ B)c = Ac ∩ Bc
(A ∩ B)c = Ac ∪ Bc
Definition 2.1 (Kolgromov’s axioms for probability)
a) For every event A we have P(A) >= 0,
b) P(S) = 1,
c) If A1, A2, …, An are n pairwise disjoint events
then
P(A1 U A2 U … U An) = P(A1) + P(A2) + … + P(An)
Proposition 2.2
If A is an event then
P(Ac) = 1 - P(A)
Corollary 2.3
P(∅) = 0
Corollary 2.4
If A is an event then P(A) <= 1
Proposition 2.5
If A and B are events and A ⊆ B then
P(A) <= P(B)
Proposition 2.6
The probability of a finite set is the sum of the probabilities of the corresponding simple events.
Proposition 2.7 (inclusion-exclusion for two events)
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Proposition 2.8 (Inclusion-exclusion for three events)
P(A∪B∪C) = P(A)+P(B)+P(C)−P(A∩B)−P(A∩C)−P(B∩C)+P(A∩B∩C)
Theorem 3.1(a) Ordered with replacement (repetition allowed)
n^r
Theorem 3.1 (b) Ordered without replacement (no repetition)
n!
(n−r)!
Defenition 4.1 (Conditional Probability)
If E1 and E2 are events and P(E1) 6= 0 then the conditional probability of E2 given E1, usually denoted by P(E2|E1), is
P(E2|E1) = P(E1 ∩ E2)
P(E1)
Theorem 3.1 (c) Unordered without replacement (no repetition)
nCr (n)
(r)
Defenition 4.2(independence)
We say that the events E1 and E2 are (pairwise) independent if
P(E1 ∩ E2) = P(E1)P(E2)
Definition 4.4 a). Three events E1, E2, and E3 are called pairwise independent
if:
P(E1 ∩ E2) = P(E1)P(E2),
P(E1 ∩ E3) = P(E1)P(E3),
P(E2 ∩ E3) = P(E2)P(E3).
Definition 4.4 b) Three events E1, E2, and E3 are called mutually independent
if:
P(E1 ∩ E2 ∩ E3) = P(E1)P(E2)P(E3)
Definition 4.6. Two events E1 and E2 are said to be conditionally independent given an event E3 if:
P(E1 ∩ E2|E3) = P(E1|E3)P(E2|E3)
Defenition 5.1 (Random Variable)
A random variable is a function from S to R
Definition 5.2 (Discrete Random Variables)
A random variable X is discrete if the set of values that X takes
is either finite or countably infinite.
Definition 5.3 (Probability Mass Function)
The probability mass function (p.m.f.) of a discrete random
variable X is the function which given input x has output P(X = x)
Proposition 5.4 If X is a discrete random variable which takes values x1, x2, x3, . . ., then
The sum of the Outputs must equal 1