READING 60 CREDIT RISK Flashcards
(74 cards)
Which of the following best describes credit risk?
A. The risk that a bond’s price will fluctuate due to changes in interest rates
B. The risk that the borrower will fail to make timely payments of interest or principal
C. The risk of liquidity in the secondary bond market
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Credit risk is the risk that the borrower will fail to meet interest or principal payments, known as “servicing the debt.”
A refers to interest rate risk, not credit risk.
C refers to liquidity risk, which is different from credit risk.
Which of the following most accurately describes a borrower who is insolvent?
A. Unable to convert assets into cash to pay obligations
B. Has total assets that exceed the value of outstanding debt
C. Has total assets that are less than its liabilities
Correct Answer: C
Explanation:
Insolvency occurs when the value of the borrower’s total assets is less than their total debt.
A describes illiquidity, not insolvency.
B describes a solvent condition.
Which of the following is NOT considered one of the “5 Cs” in bottom-up credit analysis?
A. Country
B. Collateral
C. Covenants
Correct Answer: A
Explanation:
Country is a top-down factor, not part of the traditional “5 Cs.”
Collateral and Covenants are both part of the 5 Cs: Capacity, Capital, Collateral, Covenants, and Character.
The “Capacity” component of credit analysis primarily refers to:
A. The borrower’s legal obligations
B. The borrower’s integrity and willingness to pay
C. The borrower’s ability to generate cash flow to make payments
Correct Answer: C
Explanation:
Capacity is about the borrower’s financial ability to make timely payments.
A relates more to covenants.
B refers to Character, another “C.”
Which of the following best describes the Collateral component of credit analysis?
A. The borrower’s overall financial condition
B. Assets pledged to secure a debt
C. The issuer’s reputation for repaying past debts
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Collateral provides lenders with a backup source of repayment in case of default.
A is too general and could describe Capacity or Capital.
C refers to Character.
A borrower is said to be in default when:
A. The market value of its bond falls below par
B. It fails to make a scheduled interest or principal payment
C. It violates a bond covenant without missing a payment
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
A borrower is in default when it fails to service its debt (pay interest or principal).
A is a market reaction, not default.
C may lead to technical default but is not automatically considered payment default.
Which factor is top-down in nature?
A. Character
B. Country
C. Capital
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Country refers to geopolitical and legal systems affecting credit risk—clearly top-down.
Character and Capital are bottom-up borrower-specific factors.
Which of the following best describes a pari passu clause?
A. All bondholders have the same collateral rights
B. A default on one bond results in default on all others
C. Bondholders of the same class are treated equally in the event of default
Correct Answer: C
Explanation:
A pari passu clause ensures equal treatment among bondholders of the same rank.
A is incorrect; not all bonds have collateral.
B refers to a cross-default clause.
Which of the following scenarios illustrates a cross-default clause?
A. A borrower defaults on one bond and this triggers default status on others
B. Two bonds are ranked equally in the liquidation process
C. All assets are pledged as collateral to multiple bondholders
Correct Answer: A
Explanation:
A cross-default clause causes a chain reaction of default across different bond issues.
B refers to pari passu.
C relates more to collateral arrangements.
A government bond’s credit risk primarily stems from:
A. Volatility in the company’s cash flows
B. Excessive competition in the market
C. Fiscal deficits and political uncertainty
Correct Answer: C
Explanation:
Sovereign risk is influenced by fiscal health and political environment.
A and B apply more to corporate issuers.
The “Character” component of credit analysis assesses:
A. The borrower’s ability to generate cash flow
B. The borrower’s past behavior and commitment to repay
C. Legal rights of the lender in case of default
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Character looks at management’s integrity, honesty, and payment history.
A refers to Capacity.
C relates to Covenants.
Which of the following is an example of secondary cash flow for an unsecured corporate bond?
A. Net operating income
B. Sale of a subsidiary
C. Receivables from customers
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Selling a subsidiary is a secondary source of repayment if operating income isn’t enough.
A is a primary source.
C is part of operating income.
Which condition would most likely increase the credit risk of a corporate issuer?
A. Strong profitability and low leverage
B. Declining revenue and rising debt levels
C. High operating margins and stable cash flows
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Poor revenue and high debt increase default risk.
A and C indicate strong financial health.
What distinguishes secured debt from unsecured debt?
A. Secured debt cannot default under normal conditions
B. Secured debt has legal claims on specific pledged assets
C. Unsecured debt always pays a higher coupon
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Secured debt is backed by specific assets as collateral.
A is false—secured debt can default.
C is generally true, but not always and is not a defining feature.
Currency risk is especially relevant when:
A. A firm issues debt in its local currency
B. A sovereign issues debt in foreign currency
C. The bond market is highly liquid
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
A sovereign issuing in foreign currency faces repayment risk due to FX fluctuations.
A avoids currency risk.
C is unrelated.
Which of the following is most likely to be considered capital in credit analysis?
A. Accounts payable
B. Shareholders’ equity
C. Inventory held for sale
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
Capital includes resources like equity, which reduce dependence on debt.
A is a liability.
C is an asset but not considered capital for creditworthiness.
In the event of a default, which bondholder is most at risk of suffering a credit loss?
A. A secured lender with collateral valued below outstanding debt
B. An unsecured bondholder with cross-default and pari passu clauses
C. A secured lender with full collateral coverage
Correct Answer: A
Explanation:
If collateral is insufficient, secured bondholders can still suffer losses.
B has access to general assets and equal ranking.
C is well protected.
Which of the following is the correct formula for calculating expected loss from credit risk?
A. Expected loss = loss severity × recovery rate
B. Expected loss = probability of default × loss given default
C. Expected loss = credit spread × risk-free rate
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: Expected loss is calculated as the product of probability of default and loss given default.
A is incorrect: Loss severity is 1 – recovery rate, and this formula doesn’t represent expected loss.
C is incorrect: Credit spread is used for pricing, not calculating expected loss.
Which of the following best defines “loss given default” (LGD)?
A. The annualized yield on a risky bond
B. The percentage of claim not recovered in the event of default
C. The price difference between a corporate bond and a government bond
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: LGD represents the portion of the investment that is lost if a borrower defaults.
A is incorrect: This refers to bond yield, not LGD.
C is incorrect: This describes credit spread, not LGD.
What does the recovery rate represent?
A. The rate at which a bond’s price will recover after a downturn
B. The portion of the total exposure an investor recovers after default
C. The amount of coupon received before maturity
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: The recovery rate is the percentage of the claim an investor gets back after a default.
A is incorrect: This misinterprets the recovery rate as a market behavior metric.
C is incorrect: Coupons are unrelated to the recovery rate post-default.
Which of the following metrics is most relevant when assessing probability of default?
A. Recovery rate
B. Interest coverage ratio
C. Bond duration
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: The interest coverage ratio (EBIT/interest expense) helps evaluate the firm’s ability to meet interest payments, affecting default probability.
A is incorrect: Recovery rate affects loss if default occurs, not its probability.
C is incorrect: Duration measures interest rate sensitivity, not credit risk.
A bond is said to have high credit quality if it has:
A. Low interest coverage ratio and high debt/EBITDA
B. High EBIT margin and high cash flow to net debt ratio
C. High duration and low recovery rate
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: High EBIT margin and strong cash flow compared to debt suggest strong ability to repay, indicating high credit quality.
A is incorrect: These are signs of weak credit metrics.
C is incorrect: Duration and recovery rate don’t define credit quality directly.
Loss severity is best defined as:
A. Recovery rate minus the coupon rate
B. The coupon income not received during default
C. One minus the recovery rate
Correct Answer: C
Explanation:
C is correct: Loss severity = 1 – recovery rate; it represents the percentage of loss if default occurs.
A is incorrect: This is not a defined relationship.
B is incorrect: Loss severity refers to principal loss, not coupon income.
Which of the following best explains why secured, senior debt tends to have lower loss given default?
A. It earns higher returns
B. It is the first to be paid in bankruptcy
C. It has shorter maturities
Correct Answer: B
Explanation:
B is correct: Senior and secured creditors are prioritized during liquidation, reducing loss.
A is incorrect: Higher returns are not the reason; they may result from higher risk.
C is incorrect: Maturity doesn’t directly determine LGD.