Revision Flashcards
(52 cards)
Discovery of greenhouse gas
John Tyndall in the 1800s. Made a machine which measured how much different gasses could absorb radiant heat.
Contributions to GHG emissions
Fossil fuels and industry, then land use change and forestry, then non-co2
The growth rate is slowing
How much radiative forcing do different gasses drive
Methane 25% (0.4c)
Nitrous oxide 5% (0.1C)
CO2 69% (1.1*C)
Other greenhouse gasses
Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
PFC-14 (CF4)
HFC-152a(CH3CHF2)
Global warming potential (GWP)
Ratio of time-integrated forcing from instantaneous release of 1KG of gas to that of 1KG CO2
How much energy the missions of 1ton of a gas will absorb over a given period relative to emissions of 1 ton of CO2
Allows comparisons of warming impacts of different gasses
Methane atmospheric lifetime
12 years.
Very dynamic- reacts with other things
GWP*
GWP100 treats short lived methane like long lived CO2. Indicates warming until methane reaches 0 rather than when emission rate is below sink.
GWP* links temperature impacts of short lived climate pollutants a pulse emission of CO2
One cow producing 100kg of co2 (Tons)
GWP20: 8.4 GWP100:2.8 GWP*:0.7
Temperature extreme, precipitation risk and drought
Confident that almost everywhere will see increased temperature extremes: unsure where limited data or hard tk reach
Less certainty with precipitation: harder to model changes in patterns. Areas of projected increase have low confidence
Similar to precipitation.
Global fire risk
Increases with drought.
Fire seasons have increased by 25%
IPCC
Inter governmental panel on climate change- international authority.
Organised COP, releases assessments and methodologies (synthesised from research)
Organises commitments to climate change
Paris agreement
COP21
International legally binding agreement to:
Limit global warming to below 2c, preferably 1.5c
5 years cycle of increasingly ambitious national climate action (ratchet mechanism)
By 2020 submit plans for climate action known as nationally determined contributions (NDC’s) e.g. uk will reduce economy wide GHG emissions by 68% by 2030 compared to 1990 or Guatemala reducing 1500ha of mangroves by 2025
Adaptation definition
Adjustments in ecological, social or economic systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli and their effects
UKs national adaptation programme
Risks associated with 2 scenarios: 2 and 4
Gear exhaustion, colder winters, water stress in agriculture, help internationally: food chains
Mitigation definition
Human intervention to reduce sources or enhance sinks of greenhouse gases
How can we limit global warming
Net zero anthropogenic CO2 emissions
How much warming does 1000 giga tons of CO2 produce
Best IPCC estimate is 0.45*C
Carbon budget
How much carbon we an release and not exceed X amount of warning
1.5*C is 500Gt
2*C is 1.150Gt
Total anthropogenic emissions were 40.7Gt in 2022
Growth of global emissions
Slowly declining- reached +0.5% per year over 2013-2022
Current carbon budget
We are currently at 1.1*c
Current targets and pledges will see around 2.6*c
Current policies will see around 2.9*C
Who contributes to climate warming
Poorest 50%- 7%
Middle 40%- 41%
Richest 10%- 37%
Richest 1%- 15%
The top 11% contribute 52%
They need to be targeted the most
Climate change equity
Issues of equality, justice and fair ESS arise with respect to mitigation and adaptation.
Many areas of climate change policy-making involve value judgements and ethical considerations
Co-benefits of climate change mitigation
It intersects with other society goals creating the possibility of co-benefits or adverse side effects
Planetary boundaries
A safe operating space for humanity- how to use natural resources without reducing future generations ability to do so too
We are exceeding:
Novel entities (pollutants)
Biogeochemical flows (P and N)
Freshwater change
Land system change
Biosphere integrity (functional and genetic)
Climate change