Risk Analysis Flashcards

(94 cards)

1
Q

What are the three community risks?

A

Unavoidable, In Principle Avoidable, Avoidable

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2
Q

Give an example of an unavoidable risk

A

Falling, Fire

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3
Q

Give an example of an ‘In Principle’ Avoidable risk

A

Transport accident, Poison by medication

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4
Q

Give an example of an avoidable risk

A

Drowning, Rock Climbing

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5
Q

What is the formula for calculating risk?

A

Risk = consequence x frequency

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6
Q

What does ALARP stand for?

A

As Low As Reasonably Practicable

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7
Q

Name the three stages of an ALARP diagram

A

Unacceptable, ALARP or tolerable, acceptable

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8
Q

What does HAZOP stand for?

A

Hazard and Operability Studies

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9
Q

Define HAZOP

A

Applies a set of guidewords to determine consequences (more than, less than)

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10
Q

What does FMEA stand for?

A

Failure Mode Effects Analysis

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11
Q

Define FMEA

A

Step by step procedure for the evaluation of the severity of potential failure modes in a system

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12
Q

Define reliability, R(t)

A

Probability system remains operating from time 0 to time t, given it was operating at time 0

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13
Q

Define unreliability, F(t)

A

Probability system failed once or more from time 0 to time t, given it was operating at time 0

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14
Q

R(t) + F(t) = ?

A

1

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15
Q

Define availability, A(t)

A

Probability the system is operating at time t, given it was operating at time 0

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16
Q

Define unavailability, Q(t)

A

Probability the system is not operating at time t, given it was operating at time 0

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17
Q

A(t) + Q(t) = ?

A

1

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18
Q

For a non repairable component, Q(t) = ?

A

F(t)

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19
Q

On a bathtub curve the burn in period shows what in terms of failure?

A

A decrease in failure

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20
Q

On a bathtub curve the useful life period shows what in terms of failure?

A

A constant failure

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21
Q

On a bathtub curve the wear out period shows what in term of failure?

A

An increase in failure

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22
Q

List the life cycle of a product?

A

Concept > design > manufacturing > operation > retirement

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23
Q

Define risk identification

A

Find and describe risks

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24
Q

Define risk analysis

A

Understand risks

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25
Define risk evaluation
Determine if risk is acceptable or tolerable
26
What are the qualitative risk analysis methods?
Checklists, PHA, PFHA, Rapid Ranking, HAZAN/ID
27
What does PHA stand for?
Preliminary Hazard Analysis
28
What is PHA?
Tabular form and colour coding
29
What does PFHA stand for?
Preliminary Functional Hazard Analysis
30
What is PFHA?
Separates systems into functions
31
What is Rapid Ranking?
List of risks according to severity and functions
32
What does HAZAN/ID stand for?
Hazard Analysis/Identification
33
Define failure
A deviation from normal intent
34
Define hazard
Potential to cause damage
35
Define accident
Unplanned event causing damage
36
Define consequence
Outcome from accident
37
Define severity
Measure of consequence
38
Describe bow tie analysis
Like a spider diagram with tope evet in the middle, two threats on the left, two consequences on the right and a hazard in the top
39
Define Design FMEA
Analysis of product and how failure modes affect the product operation
40
Define Process FMEA
Analysis of process by which product is built, maintained and used. It examines how failures in manufacturing process can affect product operation
41
Give an example of a functional approach (coarse-system breakdown)
Valve control system
42
Give an example of a hardware approach (detailed system breakdown)
Valve, sensor, controller
43
What is the FMEA procedure?
Define system > construct hierarchal breakdown and functional block diagrams > record assumptions > define system failure modes > list component failure modes > complete FMEA sheet > Determine reliability critical components
44
List some failure mode examples
No feed to engines No feed to APU No feed to heat exchanger No fuel transfer
45
List some component failure mode examples
Fails on Fails off Fails open Fails closed Fails high Fails low
46
What does FMECA stand for?
Failure Modes Effects and Criticality Analysis
47
How is a Risk Priority Number (RPN) calculated ?
Severity x Likelihood of occurrence x Likelihood of detection
48
What is on the horizontal axis of a criticality matrix?
Severity
49
What is on the vertical axis of a criticality matrix?
Frequency
50
How many severity levels are there?
4
51
How many frequency/occurrence levels are there?
5
52
What is the formula for criticality?
Criticality = Frequency x Severity
53
What criticality number are deemed unacceptable?
12+
54
What assumption is made for fault trees?
The events are independent
55
List some typical top events
No fuel supply to engines Safety system unavailable Standby system unavailable Explosion Complete brake system failure Landing gear fails
56
List some typical basic events
Pump fails to start Valve fails closed Piston stuck Operator fails to respond
57
Define a cut set
A list of failure events such that if they occur then so does the top event
58
Define a minimal cut set
A list of minimal, necessary and sufficient conditions for the occurrence of the top event
59
Define a path set
A list of components such that if they all work then the system is also in a working state
60
Define a minimal path set
If any item is removed, the system no longer functions
61
Symbol for AND?
.
62
Symbol for OR?
+
63
Use the distributive law : (A+B).(C+D)
A.C + A.D + B.C + B.D
64
Use the idempotent law : A+A
A
65
Use the idempotent law : A.A
A
66
Use the absorption law : A+A.B
A
67
What is order culling?
Produce only those minimal cut sets which have k or less failure events
68
What is probability culling?
Produce only those minimal cut sets which have probability of occurrence greater or equal to a specified cut off value
69
What is frequency culling?
Produce only those minimal cut sets which have a frequency of occurrence greater or equal to a specified cut off value
70
What is the symbol for failure rate?
λ
71
What is the symbol for time of operation?
t
72
What is the symbol for repair rate?
v or µ
73
What is the symbol for inspection interval?
θ
74
What is the symbol for mean time to repair?
T
75
What is the formula for unscheduled maintenance when system is a steady state?
t -> θ Therefore formula: λ/(λ+v)
76
What is a mutually exclusive event?
Events which cannot occur together
77
Using the addition law: P(AuB)
P(A) + P(B) - P(AnB)
78
Using the addition law : P(AuBuC)
P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - P(AnB) + P(AnC) + P(BnC) + P(AnBnC)
79
Using the multiplication law : P(AnB)
P(A) x P(B)
80
Using the multiplication law: P(AnBnC)
P(A) x P(B) x P(C)
81
What are the features of a continuously operating system?
A system that can fail in any order Start point is system operating normally Success/Failure of each component is then considered
82
What are the features of a system where the components are in standby mode?
Components operation can be dependent on success/failure of another component Start point (initiating event) is usually an unsatisfactory event Monitors all possible outcomes following an initiating event
83
What does RBD stand for?
Reliability Block Diagrams
84
What is a farmer curve (X axis?, Y axis?)
A graph with frequency on y axis and consequence on X axis. Above the line is considered unacceptable and below the line is considered acceptable
85
What is the x and y axis of a bathtub curve?
X axis is the time and y axis is the hazard rate
86
Why is the culling method used?
For if there are too many minimal cut sets, by culling, the most significant ones remain
87
What assumption is made for fault trees?
The events are independent
88
What is failure time?
The time between the occurrence of two failures
89
What is lower bound?
First two terms in expression
90
What is upper bound / rare event approximation?
First term in expression
91
What is min cut set upper bound?
1 - (1-first terms)
92
How do you calculate F(t)
number failed / total number
93
How to calculate rate of something when given the mean?
rate = 1/mean
94
Steady state formula for no repair?
1