Sales Comparison Approach Flashcards
Example: The average per capita income is $11,855, while the average household income is $23,776. This information estimates that there are two income-generating persons in each household, and one child.
Question: Why is the average household income important?
Question: Why is the monthly household allowance important?
.
Answer: The household income predicts the amount of typical monthly household allowance
Answer: The monthly household allowance helps determine if there is a need for the subject property.
Which is a fact?
- Cost
- Price
- Value
Cost and price are facts (or estimates of fact)
Value is a complex concept. It is not a fact to be found. Value is an amorphous concept, created in the mind of an individual or market participant. For instance, the value of a particular item is created based on the item’s use (utility) and whether it can be exchanged for something of worth such as money or compensation. For the valuation of real property, the market participants include sellers who would like to transfer their property in exchange for compensation, and buyers who wish to acquire the property. By analyzing and interpreting the actions of actual buyers and sellers of similar properties, an appraiser may be able to develop an opinion of what he or she believes the value of an identified piece of real property to be.
What is the focal point of a real estate appraisal?
The value of real property rights is the focal point of a real estate appraisal. After all, real property value is created when certain economic and legal characteristics coexist, including utility, scarcity, desire, and transferability (purchasing power).
real estate = the land and everything permanently attached thereto
real property = rights and benefits inherent in the ownership of real estate.
Office buildings range in size from under 10,000 to over a million square feet. These office buildings are placed into three categories: low-rise (XXX to XXX stories), mid-rise (XXX to XXX stories), and high-rise (XXX stories or more).
low-rise -1 to 3 stories
mid-rise - 4 to 15 stories),
high-rise - 16 stories or more).
The average per capita income is $11,855, while the average household income is $23,776. This information estimates that there is/are ___ income-generating person(s) in each household, and one child.
Why is the average household income important? The household income predicts the amount of typical monthly household
Why is the monthly household allowance important? The monthly household allowance helps determine if there is a need for the ___________________.
two income-generating persons
need for the subject property
4 Steps of Scientific Method
- Observation -Define the problem and research objectives
- Formulation - Develop research plan
- Prediction - Implement plan (collect and analyze data)
- Analysis - Interpret & report results
1st Step of Scientific Method:
- Observation: This is a description of a group of phenomena. In appraisal____________
This step defines a problem to be solved and the research objectives. For example, the growth of the condominium housing market next to a college campus might be observed for a market analysis within an appraisal.
2nd Step of Scientific Method:
- Formulation: This theory explains the formulation of a hypothesis. In appraisal______________
The hypothesis within an appraisal is the purpose of the appraisal such as to estimate market value. To estimate value, a research plan is implemented to test supply and demand factors, which are characteristics of a real estate market. For example, a developer may believe converting an apartment building into condominiums is feasible. A plan is then created to verify feasibility.
3rd Step of Scientific Method:
- Prediction: The use of the theory predicts the existence of other phenomena, or to predict quantitatively the results of new observations. In appraisal____________
In an appraisal, this step is the implementation of a plan to collect and analyze data, which determines the approaches necessary. For example, a developer contracts an appraiser to perform an appraisal detailing the feasibility of the condominium conversion. This example, Step 3, executes the plan developed in Step 2.
4th Step of Scientific Method:
- Analysis: Experimental tests of the theories by several independent parties are conducted to ensure validity of the first three steps. In appraisal____________
Interpretation and reporting the results occur in an appraisal after testing various analyses (statistical, analogy, observation, etc). For example, the cash flows of the condominium conversion project might include a variety of parameters resulting in different analyses such as different development times, build-out, sales price per unit, unit sizes, or amenities. As a result, the appraiser and developer can project the feasibility based on the most likely circumstances.
Real Estate Cycle - 4 stages
Expansion
Contraction
Recession
Recovery
Real Estate Cycle - 1 stage explanation
Expansion is the preliminary stage in a life cycle that refers to increased development of an area. During this time, costs are stable, or they may be reduced due to economies of scale achieved by volume increases. As the pool of buyers increases, profits also increase. This stage is characterized by rising occupancy, absorption rates, and increasing prices. An example would be a mixed-use development where financing is available for construction. As a result, many homes are constructed, along with shopping facilities and restaurants. This stage is rapid compared to the other stages since profit is higher and money is typically more readily available.
Real Estate Cycle - 2nd stage explanation
Contraction follows the growth stage, especially when an area grows at a slower rate. In other words, absorption rates, construction, and rental rates begin to decline. At the beginning of this stage, competition among sellers increases causing decreases in profits. At this stage, eventually it becomes less profitable to build, as inventory increases.
Real Estate Cycle - 3rd stage explanation
Recession occurs when an economy or area can no longer compete at a profitable level due to decreases in sales, occupancy, absorption rates, and construction. Other economic factors take place such as increases in unemployment and lack of disposable income. If the recession is national (as opposed to local or regional) in its scope, the government typically responds with lower interest rates to maintain construction, and to promote refinancing of mortgages, which increases disposable income. During this time, however, older improvements may become functionally inadequate due to age and lack of funds for renovation. As a result, maintenance levels decrease causing a loss of market appeal and declining values.
A knowledgeable person would not pay more for a used property than a new property.
Cost and value may be equal under the following circumstances:
- The property is new or proposed
- The improvement represents the highest and best use of the property
- Supply and demand are in balance
Adjustments in the sales comparison approach should be made in this order:
property rights
financing terms
conditions of sale
market conditions
location
physical characteristics
economic characteristics
Appraisers can employ several techniques for extracting adjustments. Some of these include:
Paired sales technique
Rent analysis
Market survey
Cost analysis
Regression analysis
Extracting adjustments - Paired sales technique
- Locate sales of similar properties that can be paired
- Isolate a single factor that influenced value
- Subtract the price of each sale to extract the value of a single factor
- Apply the adjustment in the Sales Comparison Approach
Extracting adjustments - Rent Analysis
Rent Analysis
The Rent Analysis method of extracting adjustments is based on analysis of the additional rent that a feature would command in the market. This type of analysis can be applied to all types of properties, but it is most applicable to income-producing properties.
Simply put, the amount of rent that is attributable to a particular feature or attribute is isolated. These rental amounts can be compared and a percentage adjustment extracted, or the additional rent may be multiplied by a GIM or divided by a capitalization rate to extract a contributory value for that feature. This analysis also can be applied in reverse; the rent loss due to a property’s lack of a particular feature can also be multiplied or capitalized to arrive at an adjustment amount.
Extracting adjustments - Market Survey Method
This method is sometimes also called the contingent valuation method (CVM), or stated preference method.
The market survey method is just what it says: an appraiser will survey market participants, including buyers, sellers, renters, brokers, salespersons, property managers, other appraisers - anyone with market knowledge that could possibly be in a position to help the appraiser come up with an adjustment. After the appraiser surveys a sufficient number of individuals, a pattern should develop, which the appraiser can use as the basis for an adjustment. This type of technique is particularly useful when appraising stigmatized properties, properties that are subject to construction defects, or properties with structural stability issues.
Extracting adjustments - Cost Analysis
Cost Analysis
In a previous chapter, we covered the principle of contribution, which states that the value of a particular feature or attribute of a property is based upon its contribution to the property. We are also aware that cost does not necessarily equal value. However, if an appraiser is somehow able to establish a link between cost and value, this link can sometimes be used to estimate adjustment amounts.
Example: An appraiser is trying to estimate an adjustment for an outdoor all-weather sports court which is part of an agricultural-residential property. This court is new, and was installed at a cost of $80,000. The appraiser has no sales of properties with sports courts in order to extract an adjustment. The appraiser is able to analyze sales of properties with in-ground swimming pools; this analysis indicates that pools contribute 40% of their cost in value to the property. Because both pools and sports courts are recreational amenities with similar seasonal capabilities for use, the appraiser estimates that this 40% ratio of cost to value would likely be applicable. The appraiser applies this 40% factor to the cost of the subject’s sports court (i.e., its contribution to value is 40% of its cost) and makes an adjustment of $32,000 to each of the comparable sales for this amenity.
Extracting adjustments - Linear Regression
Linear Regression
Regression analysis is somewhat similar to paired sales analysis, in that actual sales of properties are analyzed, and adjustments extracted based on the comparisons. What distinguishes regression analysis from paired sales analysis is that regression analysis usually depends on computer-based applications or programs, and requires larger sample sizes. Of course, regression analysis can be accomplished with smaller sample sizes, but like any other statistical application, it becomes more reliable as the sample sizes become larger.
Simple regression utilizes only one independent variable. For example, we can analyze sale prices of commercial lots, using the size as the independent variable and the sale price as the dependent variable. After all, the sale price is dependent upon the lot size. This can easily be done by an appraiser, even without the help of a computer, with just a piece of graph paper.
Multiple regression is more complex, and can be used to estimate adjustment amounts for several variables at once. In order for this analysis to be credible, it requires a computer program and a large amount of reliable data.
In the Sales Comparison Approach, elements of comparison can be placed into two categories: intangible and tangible. Intangible are also sometimes called _____________ and are _______________
transactional adjustments
Property rights conveyed
Financing
Conditions of sale
Market conditions (time)
In the Sales Comparison Approach, elements of comparison can be placed into two categories: intangible and tangible.
Tanglible are also sometimes called ____________ and are _____________
property adjustments
Tangible or property differences between the comparable sales and the subject include:
Location, visibility, traffic patterns, market appeal, size, zoning, age, view, quality, and condition of improvements, or other factors.