Series 65 wk 4 Flashcards
(188 cards)
What is economics?
The study of shortages: supply vs. demand
What does a country’s gross domestic product (GDP) measure? What things does GDP include (4)?
The overall health of a nation’s economy.
Defined as the value of all goods and services produced in a country including consumption, investments, government spending and exports minus imports during a given year.
What are the 4 stages of the business cycle?
- Expansion
- Peak
- Contraction
- Trough
What is expansion?
During an expansionary phase, an economy will see an increase in overall business activity and output.
Corporate sales, manufacturing output, wages, and savings will all increase while the economy is expanding or growing.
What is an economic expansion characterized by (5)?
- Increasing GDP
- Rising consumer demand
- Rising stock market
- Rising production
- Rising real estate prices
What is the peak of the business cycle?
As the economy tops out, the GDP reaches its maximum output for this cycle as wages, manufacturing and savings all peak.
What is contraction?
GDP falls, along with productivity, wages, and savings. Unemployment begins to rise, the stock market begins to fall, and corporate profits decline as inventories rise.
What is a trough?
The economy bottoms out in the trough as GDP hits its lowest level for the cycle. As GDP bottoms out, unemployment reaches its highest level, wages bottom out, and savings bottom out.
The economy is now poised to enter a new expansionary phase and start the cycle all over again.
How is a recession defined?
Defined as a period of declining GDP, which last at least six months or two quarters.
Recessions may vary in degree of severity and in duration.
Extended recessions may last up to 18 months and may be accompanied by steep downturns in economic output.
In the most severe recessions, what do falling prices erode? (3)
Businesses’ pricing power, margins and profits erode as deflation takes hold.
What are recessions generally triggered by?
An overall decrease in spending by businesses and consumers. If this happens, demand falls.
Businesses and consumers will often reduce spending as a cautionary measure in response to an economic event or shock, such as a financial crisis or a busting of a bubble in an inflated asset class.
What is a depression?
Characterized by a decline in GDP, which lasts at least 18 months or 6 consecutive quarters. GDP often falls 10% or more during a depression.
A depression is the most severe type of recession and is accompanied by extremely high levels of unemployment and frozen credit markets.
Steep fall in demand is more likely to lead to deflation during a depression.
What are the economic indicators to determine where we are in business cycle?
- Leading indicators
- Coincident indicators
- Lagging indicators
What are leading indicators? What do they include (9)?
Business conditions that change prior to a change in the overall economy (can be used as gauge for the future direction of the economy).
Leading indicators include:
1. Building permits
2. Stock market prices
3. Money supply (M2)
4. New orders for consumer goods
5. Average weekly initial claims in unemployment
6. Changes in raw material prices
7. Changes in consumer or business borrowing
8. Average work week for manufacturing
9. Changes in inventories of durable goods
What are coincident indicators? What do they include (7)?
Coincident indicators are changes in the economy that cause an immediate change in the activity level of coincident indicators. As the business cycle changes, the level of activity in coincident indicators can confirm where the economy is. Coincident indicators include: 1. GDP 2. Industrial production 3. Personal income 4. Employment 5. Average number of house worked 6. Manufacturing and trade sales 7. Nonagricultural employment
What are lagging indicators? What do these include (6)?
Lagging indicators will only change after the state of the economy has changed direction (can be used to confirm new direction of economy). Lagging indicators include: 1. Average duration of unemployment 2. Corporate profits 3. Labor costs 4. Consumer debt levels 5. Commercial and industrial loans 6. Business loans
What are the schools of economic thought (3)?
- Classical economics
- Keynesian economics
- The monetarists
What is classical economics? What is it also known as?
Also called supply side economics
Classical economic theory believes that lower taxes, and less government regulation will stimulate growth and increase demand through higher employment. Less regulation of business creates lower barriers to entry for employers and allows employers to produce goods at lower prices and to create more jobs.
As a result of the lower prices, lower taxes, and higher employment, aggregate demand in the economy will increase, positively impacting the nation’s GDP
What is Keynesian economics?
The Keynesian economic model believes that a mixed economy based on private and public sector efforts will produce desired economic conditions.
Keynesians believe that the decisions made in the private sector can lead to supply and demand imbalances and that an active policy response from the public sector in the form of government spending (fiscal policy) and adjustments to the money supply (monetary policy) is required.
What is monetary economics?
Believe that the supply of money in the economy can influence the direction of the economy and prices as a whole.
During times of low demand and high unemployment the economy can be stimulated by increasing the money supply. As more money enters the system interest rates fall increasing demand. As more money enters the system the value of the currency tends to decline and during times of expansionary monetary policy inflation may increase.
What two tools does the government have that it can use to try to influence the direction of the economy?
Monetary policy - controlled by Federal Reserve Board - determines the nation’s money supply
Fiscal Policy - controlled by the president and Congress - determines government spending and taxation.
How does the Federal Reserve Board try to steer the economy? What actions can it take (6)?
Tries to adjust the level of money supply and interest rates.
The Fed may:
1. Change the reserve requirement for member banks
2. Change the discount rate charged to member banks
3. Set target rates for federal fund loans
4. Buy and sell US government securities through open-market operations
5. Change the amount of money in circulation
6. Use moral suasion
What are interest rates? What are the 4 types?
“the cost of money”; Overall interest rates are determined by the supply and demand for money, along with any price movement in the cost of goods and services, known as inflation.
The key interest rates which all other rates depend:
1. Discount rate
2. Federal funds rate
3. Broker call loan rate
4. Prime rate
What is the discount rate? What is bank free to do?
The interest rate that the Federal Reserve Bank charges on loans to member banks. A bank may borrow money directly from the Federal Reserve by going to the discount window, and the bank will be charged the discount rate.
Bank is free to lend out this money at a higher rate and earn a profit, or it may use these funds to meet a reserve requirement shortfall. Although a bank may borrow money directly from the Federal Reserve, this is discouraged, and the discount rate has become largely symbolic.