Techinical risks/Techinical risk management Flashcards
(38 cards)
What are technical risks
The risk of balancing risks - the risk that total actual damage from claims will differ from the expectancy value in a period
What causes technical risk
- Randomness
- Change
- Error
Randomness
Higher or lower expected values
Changes
Risks have changed since the were first calculated
Error
The reference value is not correct or there was a miscalculation
Expected reserves =
RB (Financial reserves at the beginning of the year) + P - Lexp
What are the 5 policies for risk management
- Reserves policy
- Premuim policy
- Loss policy
- Rinsurance policy
- Portfolio policy
What does premium policy involve
Saftey loading
What happens if the safety loading is too high
Product is uncompetitive and you cant pool as many risks
What is the gross risk premium/net premium/risk premium
Net risk premium + safety loading premium
What is in the gross premium
risk premium, loading for admin, profit, tax
What are the 4 methods of calculating gross risk premium
- Extended expectancy-value principal
- Variance principal
- Standard deviation principal
- Variation principal
Extended expectancy-value premium
GRP= u + (loading) u
What is the issue with the expectancy-value premium method
Expectancy value is not a great method of measuring spread
Variance principal method
GRP= Exp value + loading (variance = std squared)
What is the issue with using the variance principal
the answer is in €^2
Standard deviation principal
GRP=expectancy value + loading factor(square root of variance)
Variation coefficient
Exp. + (loading*standard deviation)/ exp
What is the issue with the variation coefficient principal
Spread is underrated
What does a safety loading do to the density function of a portfolio
Pushes it to the right
What are the advantages of a safety loading premium (2)
- Orignal expected value of profits increase
- Probability of a loss is reduced
Forms of premium policy (4)
- Safety premium
- Sharing losses with the insured
- Experience creating
- Premium adaptation clause
What is another name for sharing losses with the insured
mutuals
What is the advantage to the insurer in mutuals
No technical risks