Technical knowledge Flashcards
(67 cards)
- Can you explain what bedrijfswaardering entails?
Bedrijfswaardering is the process of determining the economic value of a company. It involves analyzing the company’s financial performance, market position, and potential for future growth to arrive at an estimate of its worth. This valuation can serve various purposes, such as mergers and acquisitions, attracting investors, resolving disputes, or succession planning. The ultimate goal is to provide a reliable and fair assessment of the company’s value, tailored to the specific context of the transaction or need. There are different ways to find the valuation or the valuation range, including DCF, CCA, VC method, LBO method, and Dividend method. Due to it subjectiveness and assumptions it’s considered more an art than a science.
- Which valuation methods do you know, and when would you use each one?
a. DCF (Discounted Cash Flow):
This method estimates the present value of a company based on its expected future cash flows.
Revenue Forecast
-Cogs
=Gross income
-Operating expenses (marketing/sales)
=EBITDA
-Depreciation/amortization
=EBIT
-Taks
=Unlevered Net income
+ Depreciation
=Operating CF
-Changes in NWC
-Capex
=FCF including terminal value (Has te be discounted with the Wacc)
Use Case: It is best used for companies with predictable and stable cash flows, such as mature businesses or those in industries with consistent revenue.
Disadvantages : Sensitive to assumptions, growth rates difficulty, finding right discount rate, terminal value calculation (Perpetuity/multiple?), and overlook qualitative factors.
b. Multiples (EBITDA, Revenue):
This method involves comparing a company’s financial metrics, like EBITDA or revenue, with those of similar companies in the same industry.
1. Identify comparables companies (size, industry, growth, profitability..)
2. Collect financial data (Financial statements, market data, and forecasted data)
3. Calculate key multiples
- EV multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue)
- Equity value Multiples (P/E, P/B)
- Industry specific multiples (EV/subscribers)
4. Analyze multiples (mean, min, max, outliers, make a range)
5. Apply multiple to target company (EV/EBITDA*EBITDA(target’s) and adjust for non-operating assets like cash)
6. Interpret results and compare with other methods
Disadvantages: Dependency on Comparables, Availability of data, Market-driven (temporary trends and bubbles), based on historical data, type of multiples..
Use Case: It is ideal for quick valuations or benchmarking, especially when detailed financial data or projections are unavailable. It works well in industries with standard valuation benchmarks, like tech or retail.
c. Comparable Transactions:
1. Identify target company’s characteristics (Industry, size, type of transaction)
2. Identify precedent transactions
3. Collect data (Purchase price, type of buyer, revenue, ebitda, EV/revenue, EV/Ebitda)
4. Analyze and normalize multiples (EV = Equityv+ Debt – Cash, adjust for ouliers)
5. Use normalized multiples on target company
6. Interpret results (provide range, give context)
7. Adjust for premium etc
Disadvantages: Dependency on (accurate) historical data, difficulty finding comparable transactions, Limited transparency on synergies etc, market driven (trends and bubbles)
This approach values a company by looking at the transaction prices of similar companies that have been sold recently.
Use Case: This is particularly useful in M&A situations to assess market trends and ensure that the valuation aligns with prevailing deal terms in the industry.
- What are the key components of a DCF analysis?
- Free Cash Flow (forecasted)
- Forecasted period (5-10y)
- Terminal Value (perpetuity or multiple)
- Discount rate (COE, COD, Capital structure, WACC)
- Present value of FFCF
- Sensitivity and Scenario analysis
- What financial metrics would you analyze when assessing the health of a company?
Profitability
- Gross profit margin: Gross profit/ Revenue
- EBIT margin: Ebit/Revenue
- Return on Equity (ROE): Net Income/Equity
Liquidity Metrics
- Current Ratio: Current assets/ Current Liabilities
- Quick Ratio: (Current Assets – Inventory)/Current Liabilities
- Cash Conversion Cycle: CCC = DIO + DSO - DPO
Efficiency Metrics
- Inventory Turnover Ratio: COGS/Average Inventory
- Receivable Turnover ratio: Revenue/ Average Account receivable
Solvency Metrics
- D/E ratio: Total Debt/Equity
- Interest coverage ratio: EBIT/Interest Expenses
Growth Metrics
- Revenue Growth
- Earning Growth
- How would you approach financial modeling for a potential acquisition?
- Understand the Target Company: Collect information on the target’s financial performance, business model, industry dynamics, and growth drivers.
- Build Historical and Projected Financials: Incorporate the target’s historical financials into the model, and create realistic projections based on market trends and company insights.
- Calculate Synergies: Estimate potential cost savings or revenue enhancements from the acquisition.
- Valuation: Perform a DCF analysis, apply multiples, and analyze comparable transactions to determine the target’s value.
- Financing Structure: Model various financing scenarios (debt, equity, or cash) to assess the impact on the acquiring company’s financials.
- Sensitivity Analysis: Test the model under different assumptions, such as changes in revenue growth, margins, or discount rates, to understand the risks involved.
- Investment Case: Use the outputs to evaluate whether the acquisition creates value, measured by metrics like ROI or accretion/dilution in earnings per share.
This structured approach ensures that the model is comprehensive and supports sound decision-making in the acquisition process.
- Can you explain what synergies are and how they play a role in M&A?
Revenue synergies occur when the combined company can generate more revenue than the two separate companies could achieve on their own. This is typically driven by cross-selling opportunities, expanding customer bases, or accessing new markets.
Example: Disney and Pixar (2006):
Disney’s acquisition of Pixar enabled both companies to leverage their content libraries across a broader audience base, increasing the potential for movie sales, theme park tie-ins, merchandise, and video games. Disney also enhanced its ability to cross-promote Pixar’s characters and stories across its other properties.
- Cost Synergies
Cost synergies are savings or efficiencies that arise when two companies combine, typically by eliminating redundancies or achieving economies of scale in their operations. This can include cutting duplicative roles, consolidating operations, or leveraging greater bargaining power for purchasing.
Example: United Airlines and Continental Airlines (2010):
When United Airlines acquired Continental, one of the major synergies was the reduction of operating costs through consolidation of flight routes, aircraft fleet optimization, and sharing of airport facilities. This was expected to result in savings from reduced maintenance costs and better utilization of aircraft.
- Financial Synergies
Financial synergies occur when the combination of two companies results in a lower cost of capital or more favorable financial terms than the individual companies could achieve alone. These synergies might arise from tax benefits, better credit ratings, or the ability to use combined financial resources more efficiently.
Example: Pfizer and Warner-Lambert (2000):
When Pfizer acquired Warner-Lambert, one of the significant financial synergies came from the ability to optimize tax liabilities. Warner-Lambert had a large number of tax-loss carryforwards, which Pfizer could utilize to reduce its tax liabilities in the future. This was a classic case of financial synergy from tax planning.
- Technological Synergies
When companies combine their technological capabilities to improve their product or service offerings.
Example: Microsoft and LinkedIn (2016): Microsoft gained access to LinkedIn’s professional networking platform and data, which enhanced its enterprise software offerings, including its Dynamics CRM product.
- Operational synergies
Operational synergy refers to the efficiencies and benefits that arise from combining the operational aspects of two companies, allowing the merged entity to reduce costs, improve processes, streamline workflows, and maximize resource utilization. It typically focuses on operational aspects such as production, logistics, supply chain management, and other day-to-day business activities.
Example: Kraft and Heinz (2015):
The merger of Kraft Foods and Heinz led to the consolidation of their supply chain functions. By combining their procurement processes, leveraging a shared network of suppliers, and negotiating bulk purchases, they were able to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency.
- What are the main risks involved in an acquisition, and how would you mitigate them?
- Valuation risk ( Over/under estimating growth, discountfactor,…)
Oplossing: Due Dilligence, Earn-out, sensitivity/scenario analysis - Cultural misalignment (Different ways of operating leading to management conflicts)
Oplossing: Cultural assessment, Engage with employees, retain talent - Integration challenges (Different softwares making integration tricky)
Oplossing: Create detailed implementation plan - Financial risk (Payed by issuing debt, expected revenues fall short to pay debt)
Oplossing: Analyze cashflows, avoid overleveraging and maintain reserves - Market/Industry risks (Changes in industry eg. Technological advantages)
Oplossing: Monitor trends and diversify risk - Regulatory risks (Antitrust authorities delay deal)
Oplossing: Engage with experts, secure approvals and ensure compliance - Synergy Realization Risk (Expected cost savings lower due unforeseen inefficiencies)
Oplossing: Set realistic goals, monitor milestones and support employees - Talent Retention Risk (Key engineers leave the company due uncertainty about roles)
Oplossing: offer incentives, communicate clearly and support employees
- How do you approach due diligence for a potential transaction?
Objectives and Scope: Identify red flags, validate valuation assumptions, and confirm strategic rationale by reviewing financial, legal, operational, market, tax, and IT aspects.
Key Financial Review: Assess profitability, liquidity, solvency, revenue streams, margins, projections, and liabilities.
Operational Assessment: Review operations, supply chains, scalability, and HR risks.
Legal and Regulatory Review: Examine contracts, disputes, compliance, and IP rights.
Tax Review: Identify liabilities, assess tax strategies, and analyze acquisition tax implications.
Technology and IT: Evaluate IT systems, cybersecurity, compatibility, and scalability.
Market and Competitive Analysis: Assess market share, growth potential, competitive position, and risks.
ESG Review: Investigate environmental compliance, governance, and social practices.
Synergy Validation: Quantify revenue, cost synergies, and alignment with strategic goals.
Risk and Red Flags: Summarize deal-breakers, liabilities, and areas for further investigation.
Final Report: Provide findings, risks, and recommendations to inform decision-making.
- Have you ever worked with financial statements (income statement, balance sheet, cash flow statement) could you explain?
Kijk pg 10
- What is the role of working capital in an M&A transaction?
Ensuring Liquidity:
Working capital ensures the target can cover operating expenses without external funding. Insufficient working capital may require additional post-acquisition funds, increasing deal costs.
Impact on Valuation:
Working capital affects purchase price through adjustment mechanisms:
Excess: Seller gets more if working capital exceeds the agreed level.
Deficient: Buyer lowers the price if it falls short.
Operational Efficiency Indicator:
High Levels: May indicate inefficiencies like excess inventory.
Low Levels: Could signal cash flow issues or over-reliance on credit.
Post-Deal Integration:
Optimizing working capital post-acquisition drives synergies, including better receivables/payables management, inventory reduction, and improved cash cycles.
Risk Mitigation:
Thorough working capital due diligence avoids risks like liquidity issues, overstated earnings, or disputes.
Adjustment Mechanisms:
Deals typically include a working capital adjustment clause to align the purchase price with actual working capital at closing.
- What does a typical M&A process look like?
Strategy Development:
Define goals and target profile, assemble the M&A team.
* Target Identification:
Research and shortlist companies aligned with strategic objectives.
* Preliminary Evaluation:
Assess financials, strategic fit, and potential synergies.
* NDA and Initial Discussions:
Sign a non-disclosure agreement, share preliminary data, and meet management.
* Letter of Intent (LOI):
Outline key deal terms and agree on a non-binding framework.
* Due Diligence:
Conduct a detailed review of financials, legal, operations, IT, and tax matters.
* Valuation and Deal Structuring:
Finalize valuation, payment terms, and deal structure (cash, stock, etc.).
* Negotiation:
Resolve disputes and finalize the definitive agreement.
* Approvals:
Obtain regulatory, shareholder, and other required clearances.
* Closing:
Transfer ownership, execute the agreement, and announce the deal.
* Post-Merger Integration (PMI):
Align operations, systems, and cultures to realize synergies.
- Can you explain the concept of goodwill in an acquisition?
Goodwill is an intangible asset that arises when one company acquires another for a price higher than the fair market value of its net identifiable assets. It reflects the premium paid for factors that are not individually valued but contribute to the overall worth of the acquired business.
Goodwill= Purchase price – Fair value of Net Identifiable Assets
With Net identifiable assets = Fair value assets - Fair value liabilities
- What are earn-outs, and when would they be used in a deal structure?
An earn-out is a contractual provision in an M&A deal where the seller can receive additional compensation based on the future performance of the business after the acquisition. The earn-out is usually tied to specific financial metrics (such as revenue, EBITDA, or net income) that the target company must achieve over a defined period post-closing.
When Earn-Outs Are Used:
Valuation Disagreement: If buyer and seller can’t agree on price, earn-outs link part of the payment to future performance, allowing the seller to earn more if the business performs well.
Risk Mitigation: Earn-outs protect buyers by deferring some payment until performance is confirmed.
Seller Incentive: Encourages the seller (usually key management) to stay involved and drive success post-acquisition.
Smooth Integration: Aligns incentives for both parties, ensuring a smoother post-acquisition transition.
Advantages:
Buyers: Reduces risk and helps manage cash flow.
Sellers: Potentially higher price if performance targets are met, bridges valuation gaps.
Challenges:
Performance Disagreements: Disputes may arise over how performance is measured.
Management Control: Friction can occur if the seller wants influence over decisions affecting earn-out targets.
Integration Issues: Changes made by the buyer may make earn-out targets harder to achieve.
How do you calculate a company’s enterprise value (EV)?
EV = Market Cap + Debt – Cash & Equivalents + preferred equity
What is the difference between enterprise value and equity value?
Enterprise Value (EV) represents the total value of a business, including both equity and debt (adjusted for cash and equivalents). It is used to assess the full cost of acquiring a company.
Equity Value is the market value of a company’s equity (shares), calculated as share price multiplied by shares outstanding. It only reflects the value of shareholders’ equity.
- How would you handle a company with negative EBITDA in a valuation?
Adjust EBITDA: In cases of negative EBITDA, you may adjust the financial model by using other valuation metrics, like revenue multiples, or project future profitability.
Use other methods: Rely on relative valuation (multiples) or a discounted cash flow model (DCF) with forecasted improvements.
Consider industry context: For early-stage or turnaround businesses, negative EBITDA may be acceptable, but future projections must be realistic.
- What are some advantages and disadvantages of using multiples for valuation?
Advantages:
Quick and Simple: Provides a fast and straightforward valuation.
Comparable: Useful when comparing companies in the same industry or with similar characteristics.
Market-based: Reflects market sentiment and industry trends.
Disadvantages:
Ignores Specifics: Does not account for the unique circumstances of the target.
Market Fluctuations: Multiples can be distorted by market trends or temporary conditions.
Limited Insight: Doesn’t provide detailed analysis like a DCF model.
- How do you calculate the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), and why is it important?
Wacc = COEE/(D+E)+CODD/(E+D)*(1-T)
- What factors influence the discount rate in a DCF model?
WACC: The weighted average cost of capital, which incorporates the cost of debt and equity.
Risk-free rate: The return on risk-free investments (e.g., government bonds).
Market risk premium: The return expected from the overall market over the risk-free rate.
Company-specific risk factors: The company’s risk profile, including volatility, operational risks, and debt levels.
Growth rate: Revenue forecasts based on growth rates as well as terminal value
- What is the difference between levered and unlevered free cash flow?
- Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF): Cash flow available to all capital providers (debt and equity holders). It’s calculated before considering interest payments.
- Levered Free Cash Flow (LFCF): Cash flow available only to equity holders, after deducting interest payments on debt.
Key difference: UFCF shows the company’s ability to generate cash regardless of its capital structure, while LFCF reflects the cash left for equity holders after debt obligations.
- How would you adjust the valuation of a company operating in a highly cyclical industry?
- Use a normalized approach: Adjust financials by smoothing out the effects of cycles (e.g., using an average of historical earnings or cash flow over several years).
- Consider cyclicality in projections: Forecast financials with awareness of economic cycles, adjusting for peaks and troughs.
- Adjust multiples: Use lower multiples during peak economic periods and higher multiples during downturns, depending on the cycle stage.
- Discount for risk: Apply a higher discount rate (higher WACC) to reflect increased risk due to the cyclical nature.
- Can you explain the concept of terminal value in a DCF? How is it calculated?
The Terminal Value (TV) in a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model represents the value of a business beyond the explicit forecast period (e.g., 5-10 years). It is important because it accounts for the ongoing value of the company’s future cash flows beyond the forecast period. There are two main methods to calculate terminal value:
- Perpetuity Growth Method (Gordon Growth Model):
This method assumes the company will continue to grow at a constant rate forever. - Exit Multiple Method:
This method calculates the terminal value by applying a multiple (e.g., EV/EBITDA or EV/EBIT) to the company’s projected financial metric in the final forecast year. The formula looks like this:
Use Case: The exit multiple is often derived from comparable companies or precedent transactions. This method is commonly used when the business is expected to be sold or if there is no clear perpetual growth.
- Key Differences:
Perpetuity Growth Method is used when expecting steady, long-term growth, while the Exit Multiple Method is better suited when estimating the company’s sale price based on industry benchmarks.
- What are common adjustments made during a normalized EBITDA calculation?
One-time expenses/income: Adjust for non-recurring costs or revenues, such as restructuring charges, legal settlements, or asset sales.
Non-operating income/expenses: Remove any income or expenses not related to core operations, like gains/losses from investments or foreign currency adjustments.
Owner’s compensation adjustments: If the business is privately owned, adjust for salaries or perks that may be above or below market value for key individuals.
Capitalized expenses: Adjust for capitalized expenses (e.g., R&D or lease expenses) that might distort operating profitability.
- How do you calculate and interpret the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio?
P/E= Market price per share/Earnings per share
High P/E: Indicates the market expects high future growth, but could also mean the stock is overvalued.
Low P/E: May suggest the company is undervalued or experiencing challenges, but can also imply lower growth expectations.
Industry comparison: Comparing a company’s P/E ratio with industry peers provides insight into whether it’s undervalued or overvalued.