Theme 10: Communism and its Collapse Flashcards

1
Q

Arguments supporting 1989 as a Global Revolution

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The collapse of communism as a worldwide phenomenon

The spread of democratic movements

Economic and institutional change

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2
Q

Arguments against 1989 as a global revolution

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Limited geographical scope

Return of authoritarianism in many former communist states

Economic problems and social discontent

The western model of democracy did not triumph everywhere

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3
Q

The collapse of communism as a worldwide phenomenon

A
  • The revolutions of 1989 ended Soviet dominance in Eastern Europe, leading to the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact (1991) and, ultimately, the Soviet Union itself (1991).
  • The fall of the Berlin Wall (November 9, 1989) became the defining moment of the year, symbolizing the collapse of communist regimes across Central and Eastern Europe.
  • Czechoslovakia’s Velvet Revolution (Nov–Dec 1989) saw the nonviolent removal of the Communist Party, leading to Václav Havel becoming president.
  • In Romania, the revolution was violent: Nicolae Ceaușescu was overthrown and executed on December 25, 1989.
  • Bulgaria (Nov 1989): Long-time dictator Todor Zhivkov was removed by Communist Party members who sought reform.
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4
Q

The global impact of the collapse of communism

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  • The collapse of the Eastern Bloc encouraged democratic movements in Latin America and Africa, where many military regimes were transitioning to democracy.
  • The end of the Cold War shifted global power dynamics, leading to a unipolar world order dominated by the United States and Western liberalism.
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5
Q

The spread of democratic movements

A
  • The events of 1989 influenced regime changes beyond Europe:
    • South Africa (1990–1994): The fall of communism reduced Soviet support for the African National Congress (ANC) and Nelson Mandela was released in 1990, leading to the end of apartheid.
    • Latin America: Countries like Chile (1988 referendum against Pinochet), Brazil (1989 first direct presidential elections), and Argentina (transition after military rule in 1983) saw democratization, partly inspired by global democratic momentum.
    • Taiwan (1987–1992): The ruling Kuomintang (KMT) ended martial law in 1987, and Taiwan transitioned into a multi-party democracy by 1992.
  • The revolutions provided a model of peaceful resistance, influencing later movements like the Arab Spring (2011) and Ukraine’s Orange Revolution (2004).
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6
Q

Economic and institutional change

A
  • The revolutions of 1989 led to global economic integration:
    • Former Eastern Bloc countries joined the European Union (EU) (e.g., Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic in 2004).
    • NATO expanded eastward, incorporating Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic in 1999, and later Baltic states (2004).
    • Privatization and capitalism replaced state-controlled economies, with Poland’s shock therapy reforms (1990s) being an example.
  • United Nations and Global Order Changes:
    • The UN saw an increase in humanitarian interventions in places like Iraq (1991 Gulf War) and Bosnia (1995 NATO intervention).
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7
Q

Limited geographical scope of the move towards democracy

A
  • The revolutions were mostly confined to the Eastern Bloc.
  • China (Tiananmen Square, June 4, 1989):
    • Pro-democracy protests were brutally crushed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), showing that not all authoritarian regimes collapsed.
    • Instead of democratizing, China doubled down on economic liberalization without political freedom, creating the “Chinese model” of governance.
  • Cuba, North Korea, and Vietnam remained one-party communist states, unaffected by the wave of revolutions.
    Middle Eastern authoritarian regimes (Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia) remained stable, with no democratic reforms.
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8
Q

Return of authoritarianism in many former communist states

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  • Russia (1999–present):
    • The collapse of communism initially led to economic instability, corruption, and the rise of oligarchs.
    • Vladimir Putin (1999–present) reversed many democratic gains, leading to an authoritarian resurgence.
  • Hungary (2010–present):
    • Viktor Orbán (Prime Minister) introduced “illiberal democracy”, undermining judicial independence and media freedom.
  • Poland (2015–present):
    • The ruling Law and Justice Party (PiS) has weakened democratic institutions, reversing some post-1989 reforms.
  • Belarus (1994–present):
    • Alexander Lukashenko established an authoritarian regime after the fall of communism.
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9
Q

Economic problems and social discontent

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  • The economic transition from communism to capitalism was painful:
    • Russia’s shock therapy (1992): Hyperinflation, mass poverty, and oligarch-controlled wealth.
    • East Germany (1990s): Many East Germans felt “second-class citizens” after reunification.
    • Yugoslavia’s collapse (1991–1995): Ethnic tensions led to violent wars, culminating in genocide in Bosnia (1995, Srebrenica massacre).
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10
Q

Evidence that the western model of democracy did not triumph everywhere

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  • Francis Fukuyama’s ‘End of History’ Theory (1992) predicted global liberal democracy, but this proved overly optimistic.
  • Middle Eastern authoritarianism remained intact:
    • Iraq (Saddam Hussein), Syria (Hafez al-Assad), and Saudi Arabia remained autocratic.
    • The Arab Spring (2011), inspired partly by 1989, led to civil wars (Syria, Libya, Yemen) rather than stable democracies.
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11
Q

Was 1989 a global revolution?

A

YES – Global Effects

  • 1989 was a turning point in world history, ending the Cold War, spreading democratic movements, and reshaping global politics.
  • The collapse of communism led to EU expansion, NATO enlargement, and economic liberalization.
  • The fall of the Berlin Wall remains one of the most globally recognized symbols of freedom.

NO – A Regional, Not Global, Revolution

  • The revolutions were mostly confined to Eastern Europe.
  • China, North Korea, Cuba, and much of the Middle East remained authoritarian.
  • Many post-communist states returned to authoritarian rule (Russia, Belarus, Hungary, Poland).
  • Economic struggles, nationalism, and inequality created disillusionment rather than universal democratic success.
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12
Q

How did Khrushchev change the party?

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drastically changed the party (e.g. ‘secret speech’ @ 20th party congress in Feb 1956) - reflected Khrushchev’s acknowledgement that reciprocity was vital for successful governance of the USSR

Allowed greater ethnic expression - e.g. in 1958, Khrushchev enacted an education reform that gave parents the right to decide in which language their children would study

^ limitation - when Kremlin leaders feared the rise of Ukrainian national consciousness, they installed Volodymyr Shcherbytsky to intensify the teaching and promotion of the Russian language

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13
Q

Systemic weaknesses of the USSR

A

Inflexible Command Economy:

  • Centrally planned production targeted numerical quotas over quality or consumer needs.
  • This “economy of shortage” created chronic scarcities, inefficiencies, and fostered widespread informal exchange (via networks such as “blat”) that bypassed official channels.
  • Excessive state investment in defense (up to 20% of state budgets) strained resources that could otherwise have supported economic innovation.

– Ideological Rigidity and Legacy of Autocracy:

  • Communist regimes inherited and retained elements of Tsarist autocracy, with long-held traditions of centralization and top–down rule.
  • Over time, these structures became increasingly mismatched to the needs of a modern, rapidly urbanizing, and increasingly educated society.
  • The rigidity of the ideological framework made it difficult for the system to adapt to changing economic and political realities.
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14
Q

Gorbachev’s reform initiatives

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Perestroika (“restructuring”) sought to modernize the economy by introducing market elements into the state-run system.

  • Rapid attempts to decentralize economic decision-making led to disintegration of the old planning mechanisms before a robust market infrastructure could emerge.
  • The resulting disarray exacerbated shortages, production inefficiencies, and deepened fiscal crises.
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15
Q

Impact of external economic factors

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Falling oil prices during the reform period significantly reduced state revenue, undermining the funding for both the military-industrial complex and essential consumer goods.

  • The economic slump underscored the unsustainable nature of decades-long state commitments to defense over domestic welfare.
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16
Q

Political liberalisation and openness

A

Gorbachev’s policy of glasnost permitted unprecedented freedom of expression and debate.

  • This openness led to public exposure of long-hidden past abuses—such as the brutal repressions of the Stalinist era—and contradicted the official narrative of socialist perfection.
  • The unmasking of systemic failures undermined the regime’s ideological legitimacy and eroded public trust.
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17
Q

Institutional changes and democratization in the USSR

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The creation of new political bodies (e.g., the Congress of People’s Deputies) broke the longstanding monopoly of the Communist Party.

  • Increased political pluralism and contested elections allowed dissident voices, regional leaders, and former opposition figures to emerge, challenging central authority.
  • These reforms, while intended to modernize the state, inadvertently decentralized power and accelerated the erosion of totalitarian control.
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18
Q

Emergence of nationalist movements

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Liberalization of public debate provided space for nationalist and regional identities to reassert themselves.

  • In regions such as the Baltic states, Ukraine, and other Soviet republics, long-suppressed ethnic and historical grievances flared up as demands for sovereignty and independence.
  • This resurgence of nationalism directly challenged the notion of a unified communist state, contributing to the breakdown of central authority.
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19
Q

Critical moments leading to collapse

A

The 1991 Coup Attempt (GKChP):

  • Hardline elements within the communist establishment, alarmed by the pace of reforms, attempted a coup to reverse decentralization.
  • The coup’s failure—particularly highlighted by Boris Yeltsin’s defiant stand and mass popular protests—demonstrated the irreversible loss of state legitimacy.
  • Instead of restoring order, the coup accelerated the disintegration of communism, as republics and regions seized the opportunity to assert independence.

The Final Unraveling:

  • With central authority weakened and nationalist movements emboldened, the Soviet Union dissolved into multiple independent states.
  • The collapse of communism marked not only the end of the Soviet political system but also ushered in a period of profound economic and social upheaval as societies struggled to transition from a centrally planned economy to market-based systems.
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20
Q

Long-term implications of the collapse of communism

A

Transition Challenges:

  • The sudden vacuum of power and the transformation of economic institutions led to widespread hardship and transitional instability in the former communist states.
  • Legacy issues—such as corruption, entrenched bureaucratic networks, and the persistence of informal economic practices—continued to shape post-communist transformations.

– Shifts in Global Order:

  • The collapse of communism significantly contributed to the end of the Cold War and a reordering of international relations, leading to greater integration of former communist countries into a globalized economy.
  • The ideological victory of liberal democracy and market capitalism over communism reshaped global political discourse and set the stage for the challenges of the 21st century.
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21
Q

Examples of inefficiencies in the Soviet economic system

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Centrally planned production and numerical targets

‘Storming’ and last-minute rushes

Systemic hoarding and resource misallocation

Reliance on informal and semi-legal markets

Misplaced investment priorities

Disruption from reform attempts

Defence spending

Party membership as an indicator of institutional inertia

Production targets over quality

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22
Q

Centrally planned production and numerical targets

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The Soviet economy was structured around centralized planning rather than market signals. Production targets were set by bureaucrats who primarily focused on quantitative metrics—such as the number of square meters of housing built—rather than on quality or consumer satisfaction. This led to an “economy of shortage,” where products were frequently delivered in deficient quality despite meeting numerical quotas.

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23
Q

“Storming” and last-minute rushes

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Enterprises engaged in a practice known as “storming”—a frantic last-minute effort to reach production targets as deadlines approached. This process often resulted in wastage and disorganized production schedules, demonstrating a fundamental misalignment between the planning process and efficient resource utilization. The need to meet bureaucratic benchmarks, instead of addressing market demand, contributed to chronic inefficiencies in production.

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24
Q

Systemic hoarding and resource misallocation

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To cope with the unpredictable delivery of planned goods and to prepare for future “storming” periods, managers and enterprises routinely hoarded materials regardless of cost or immediate need. This hoarding distorted incentives: rather than using resources to improve production quality and responsiveness, materials were stockpiled and exchanged through informal channels, delaying their effective use and creating widespread shortages.

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Reliance on informal and semi-legal markets
The widespread emergence of black markets, flea-markets, and informal exchange networks (often referred to as “blat”) was a direct response to state inefficiency. When official channels failed to supply adequate consumer goods—often due to mismanagement within the planned economy—citizens and enterprises turned to alternative, unofficial methods to access and distribute resources. This “shadow economy” is strong evidence of the inefficiency and inflexibility inherent in the state-run system.
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Misplaced investment priorities
A significant proportion of state revenue was allocated to defense spending—up to 16–20% of the budget—rather than to consumer sectors. This imbalance meant that while formidable resources were channelled into military and industrial production, everyday consumer needs (such as quality housing, effective healthcare, and reliable consumer goods) were neglected, further illustrating the inefficiency in the management of the Soviet economy.
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Disruption from reform attempts
Initiatives like Gorbachev’s anti-alcohol campaign and early attempts at economic “acceleration” were designed to reform and modernize the system. However, these reforms inadvertently disrupted existing informal networks for resource distribution and further exacerbated shortages, revealing not only existing inefficiencies but also the difficulties in transitioning to a more dynamic economic model. Together, these points provide strong evidence of systemic economic inefficiency in the Soviet Union. The persistent focus on meeting bureaucratic quotas over satisfying actual market or citizen needs, combined with misallocation of resources and a reliance on informal networks, underlines how deeply the inefficiencies of a command economy were woven into the fabric of Soviet economic life.
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Defence spending
One of the most specific statistics cited is that defense spending in the Soviet system accounted for an estimated 16–20% of the state budget or about 7% of its GDP. This disproportionate emphasis on military expenditure came at the expense of consumer goods and public services, illustrating a significant misallocation of resources.
29
Production targets over quality
While the text explains that production was driven by meeting numerical quotas (for example, counting the square meters of housing built), it does not always provide exact figures for what these targets were. However, the emphasis on hitting these numbers instead of ensuring quality or efficiency is itself a pointed critique of the system. This focus on numbers led to practices such as “storming” (rushing production at the end of planning cycles), which resulted in wastage and inefficiency.
30
Key European events
- Poland (June 1989): The first semi-free elections led to the victory of the Solidarity movement, ending communist rule. - Hungary (May–November 1989): Reformist communists opened the border with Austria, helping trigger the fall of the Berlin Wall. - East Germany (November 9, 1989): The Berlin Wall fell, symbolizing the Cold War’s end. - Czechoslovakia (November–December 1989): The Velvet Revolution, led by Václav Havel, peacefully overthrew communism. - Romania (December 1989): A violent revolution led to the execution of Nicolae Ceaușescu.
31
The spread of democratization beyond Europe
Latin America: - Chile (1988–89): A referendum ended Augusto Pinochet’s military dictatorship. - Brazil (1989): The first democratic presidential elections since 1960 were held. - Argentina (1983): Transitioned from military rule to democracy, following the Falklands War (1982). - Nicaragua (1990): The socialist Sandinistas lost elections, ending communist rule. 2. Africa: - South Africa (1990–1994): The Cold War’s end weakened Soviet support for the African National Congress (ANC). This led to Nelson Mandela’s release (1990) and the end of apartheid. - Angola and Mozambique: The withdrawal of Soviet and Cuban support forced peace talks, ending decades-long conflicts. - Benin, Zambia, Madagascar: Abandoned one-party Marxist rule, embracing multi-party democracy. 3. Asia: - South Korea and Taiwan (late 1980s–1990s): Shifted from military rule to democratic governance. - Philippines (1986): The People Power Revolution overthrew dictator Ferdinand Marcos, influenced by global democratization trends.
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The expansion of economic globalisation
- The revolutions of 1989 accelerated the integration of Eastern Europe into global capitalism. - Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia embraced neoliberal "shock therapy" economic reforms under Western guidance. - The IMF and World Bank imposed structural adjustments, similar to those used in Africa and Latin America. - China’s response to 1989: The CCP avoided collapse by rejecting democracy but accelerated market reforms, leading to its rise as a global economic superpower.
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Neoliberalism's global expansion
- Eastern Europe: Rapid privatization and free markets replaced state-controlled economies. - Latin America (1990s): Countries like Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil followed similar economic models. - India (1991): Began liberalizing its economy, moving away from state socialism.
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The end of the Cold War and its global impact
- U.S. emerged as the sole superpower, leading to unipolar dominance. - Middle East: - The Cold War’s end enabled the Gulf War (1991), as Iraq lost Soviet backing. - The Oslo Accords (1993) were influenced by shifting geopolitics. - Asia: The fall of communism shaped China’s strategy, leading to state-controlled capitalism rather than democratization.
35
Economic problems and social disillusionment
- GDP declined by 25-30% across Eastern Europe (1990–1993). - Privatization led to mass unemployment, corruption, and inequality. - Many Eastern Europeans felt betrayed, as democracy did not immediately improve living standards.
36
Structural and ideological decay
Mazower argues that the collapse of communism was not a sudden shock, but a long, slow erosion of legitimacy and functionality in the Eastern Bloc: - Ideological exhaustion: By the 1970s and 1980s, communism no longer held the utopian appeal it had after WWII. It had become bureaucratic, repressive, and disconnected from the lives of ordinary citizens. - Loss of belief: Mazower emphasizes that the elites in communist regimes increasingly stopped believing in Marxism as a transformative ideology—they administered the system but no longer sought to revolutionize it. - Stagnant economies: Soviet-style economies failed to innovate. They could not compete with Western consumer capitalism. Shortages, inefficiency, and black markets became the norm. - Legitimacy crisis: The regimes promised modernity and equality but delivered neither by the late 1980s. The social contract had broken down. > Key point: Communism failed not only because of economic inefficiency but because it lost its moral and ideological credibility.
37
International pressures and the end of the Cold War
Mazower situates the collapse in a broader geopolitical framework: - Détente and Western influence: Increased contact with the West, including media, trade, and travel, exposed Eastern Europeans to alternatives. Western Europe became a benchmark for what a better life might look like. - Technology and communication: The spread of information made it harder for regimes to maintain control over narratives and suppress dissent. - The Helsinki Accords (1975): Though intended as a diplomatic agreement, they gave Eastern dissidents a tool for demanding human rights, helping legitimize internal opposition.
38
Rise of civil society and opposition movements
- Poland’s Solidarity movement (Solidarność) was a pivotal moment. Founded in 1980, it became the first major independent trade union in the Eastern Bloc. - Mazower sees this as a turning point—a sign that organized, mass resistance was possible without immediate violent suppression. - These movements were often nationalist, religious, or simply pragmatic, rather than ideologically liberal. They sought freedom from Soviet control, not necessarily Western-style democracy. > “Communism did not collapse because it was reformed from above, but because people ceased to fear or believe in it from below.”
39
Gorbachev's reforms
- Perestroika (economic restructuring) and glasnost (openness) were intended to save Soviet communism. - Instead, they exposed its failings and accelerated its collapse: - Glasnost revealed the extent of past crimes (e.g., Stalinist terror), breaking what little trust remained. - Perestroika led to economic chaos and inflation. - Most fatally, Gorbachev refused to use violence to suppress revolutions in the satellite states—a break from Soviet tradition. Mazower sees Gorbachev as a well-intentioned reformer who misread the moment. His reluctance to crack down allowed Eastern Europe to unravel rapidly.
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The domino effect after the fall of the Berlin Wall
- Once the Berlin Wall fell (November 1989), the entire Eastern Bloc unraveled with astonishing speed. - Mazower emphasizes how nationalism, not liberalism, often filled the vacuum. - The transitions were not always clean or democratic: - Romania’s revolution was violent. - Yugoslavia collapsed into brutal civil war, showing that communism had often suppressed deep ethnic tensions. - Some post-communist leaders were former communists in new suits.
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Issues with centrally planned economies
Mazower details how central planning—the hallmark of communist economic systems—became a drag on innovation and productivity. - The system was built to meet production targets, not real consumer needs. - Five-Year Plans rewarded quantity, not quality: factories produced huge numbers of goods, but often useless or poorly made items. - Innovation was discouraged. Managers were afraid to experiment, fearing punishment for missing quotas. - There was no real market mechanism to signal demand or adapt to change. > Result: A bloated, top-heavy system incapable of adjusting to shortages, overproduction, or consumer trends.
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The USSR's technological backwardness
By the 1970s and 1980s, the technological gap between East and West was glaring. - Communist states lagged in key sectors: computers, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods. - The Soviet Union continued to invest heavily in heavy industry and military hardware, neglecting the emerging information and service economies that defined the West's growth. - Bureaucracies in charge of science and tech were slow, risk-averse, and politicized. - Lack of competition meant little incentive to modernize. Mazower emphasizes that communist economies were not evolving; they were stuck in an industrial-age model while the West entered the post-industrial era.
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Chronic shortages and shadow economies
One of the starkest signs of economic failure was the pervasive shortage economy: - Basic goods—meat, toilet paper, clothing—were often scarce or rationed. - Long lines became part of daily life in Eastern Europe and the USSR. - These shortages weren’t due to lack of resources but due to misallocation and inefficiency. This led to: - Black markets and informal bartering networks - A “second economy” where things got done through connections (blat) and bribes - Corruption became systemic, not incidental Mazower shows that these informal systems were tolerated by the state because they kept things functioning—but they also hollowed out official authority.
44
Declining productivity and stagnation
In the postwar decades, Eastern Bloc economies initially saw growth. But by the late 1960s and especially the 1970s, productivity began to stagnate: - Western Europe surged ahead due to market-driven innovation, consumer demand, and foreign investment. - Communist states, by contrast, faced: - Outdated infrastructure - Energy inefficiencies - Poor labor morale Mazower points to the 1973 oil crisis as a turning point: - It hit communist economies hard, exposing their dependency on Soviet oil exports and lack of diversification. - The West used the crisis to restructure, but communist states lacked the tools or political will to adapt.
45
Foreign debt and financial crisis
Eastern Bloc countries, especially Poland, Hungary, and Yugoslavia, turned to Western banks for loans in the 1970s to try to modernize. - This led to crippling foreign debt by the 1980s. - These regimes had to impose austerity, raise prices, and cut imports—sparking unrest, as seen in: - Poland’s economic crisis (leading to the rise of Solidarity) - Romania’s extreme rationing under Ceaușescu - Mazower notes how economic reforms often backfired—partial liberalization created confusion and resentment, not growth.
46
Lack of accountability and incentives
A recurring theme in Mazower’s analysis is that the communist economic model removed the key incentives that drive healthy economies: - No rewards for efficiency or innovation - No consequences for failure - No feedback loop from consumers or markets - Managers and workers did the minimum to meet targets, then clocked out This created a culture of passivity and minimal compliance, what he calls a “bureaucratic treadmill” where no one believed in the system but everyone had to keep playing along.
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How does Mazower argue that Stalinism continued?
The ideology of Stalinism fell into decline after his death, but Mazower argues ‘the political economy’ of Stalinism was scarcely changed: the USSR continued to follow the model of a centralised party and state apparatus which promoted economic growth through heavy industry. ^ ‘The economy was run according to the Plan not the market’ By the mid-1980s, the East was lagging far behind the West - life expectancy fell, income inequality was rife etc… Welfare benefits failed to equalise real incomes (and had become Party privileges rather than universal social rights)
48
The crisis of heavy industry in the East
- had more serious implications in the East than in the West - great iron and steelworks (which followed the Soviet model of the 1930s) had become economically irrational - Eastern Europe had also become ‘an ecological disaster’ (according to Mazower) - created double the sulphur dioxide emissions than the European Community The USSR’s reliance on heavy industry could not be easily changed - it had created a large working class, meaning that communist regimes could not adjust their economic systems due to the political issues that would have arisen from moving towards a system that might have been disadvantageous to the working class
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Hungary as a case study of economic reform
- NEM (New Economic Mechanism) had been introduced in 1968, making slow steps towards marketisation - Trading with other nations was decentralised and firms were encouraged to make profits rather than simply meeting production targets - The West looked at this with interest, believing that this showed that communism was able to reform - however, the reforms didn’t work - Hungary ended up with the highest per capita hard-currency debt and growth rates lagged behind its more Stalinist counterparts (e.g. the Czechs, East Germans and Romanians) ^ the reforms did have the political implication of distancing Hungary from Soviet influence Economies such as those of Portugal, Spain and Greece had achieved considerable growth by escaping dictatorship and accessing EC markets
50
The role of Gorbachev
- Mikhail Gorbachev, who came to power in 1985, introduced reforms like glasnost (openness) and perestroika (restructuring) aiming to revitalize the Soviet Union. - Gorbachev's unwillingness to use military force to uphold communist regimes in Eastern Europe marked a turning point. - He made it clear the Brezhnev Doctrine (which justified Soviet intervention) was no longer in effect. This gave Eastern European nations space to challenge their governments.
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Causes of the collapse of communism
Economic decay and systemic failure Loss of legitimacy Gorbachev's reforms and the end of the Brezhnev Doctrine The role of civil society and popular protest Communication and cross-border influence Internal reformers and elite defections
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Economic decay and systemic failure
- The economies of Eastern Bloc countries were deeply inefficient. - The central planning system led to chronic shortages, low productivity, outdated technology, and poor-quality goods. - Eastern European countries had mounting foreign debts, especially Poland and Hungary, which relied heavily on Western loans. - By the 1980s, stagnation was visible: food queues, energy shortages, inflation, and collapsing infrastructure. - Communist regimes promised prosperity but failed to deliver, leading to growing public anger and disillusionment. > 📌 Quote from the text: "What had once seemed like iron discipline in the Soviet bloc now looked like rust."
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Loss of legitimacy
- Communist parties claimed to represent the working class but had become corrupt, repressive elites. - People no longer believed in Marxist-Leninist ideology—especially the younger generations raised in relative peace but economic hardship. - The regimes relied on censorship, secret police, and staged elections. Over time, the contrast between official propaganda and daily life bred deep cynicism. - The absence of democratic mechanisms made it impossible for people to voice grievances legally. > 📌 The text emphasizes: “By the late 1980s, most Eastern Europeans had ceased to believe in the myth of their regimes’ moral superiority.”
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Gorbachev's reforms and the end of the Brezhnev doctrine
- Mikhail Gorbachev introduced glasnost (openness) and perestroika (restructuring), unintentionally encouraging dissent across the bloc. - Most crucially, he ended the Brezhnev Doctrine, meaning the USSR would not intervene militarily to prop up allied regimes. - Eastern European leaders could no longer rely on Soviet tanks to crush opposition movements, as in Hungary (1956) and Czechoslovakia (1968). - This change “opened the floodgates” for internal reform and rebellion. > 📌 From the text: “The knowledge that the Soviet tanks would stay in their barracks emboldened the protesters—and paralyzed the elites.”
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The role of civil society and popular protest
- Independent groups like Solidarity in Poland showed that organized resistance was possible. - Churches, particularly the Catholic Church in Poland, played a key role in sustaining opposition. - Underground publications, samizdat literature, and student movements maintained intellectual resistance even in dark times. - In 1989, protests exploded—especially in Leipzig, Berlin, Prague, and Timișoara. > 📌 Noted in the text: “People found their voice in the streets. What began with whispers ended in roars.”
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Communication and cross-border influence
- Once Hungary opened its border with Austria, East Germans began fleeing west, triggering a crisis in the GDR. - Satellite television, smuggled Western music and books, and cross-border travel allowed Eastern Europeans to see how the West lived. - The success of each uprising encouraged the next: Poland inspired Hungary, Hungary’s reforms fueled unrest in East Germany, and so on. > 📌 From the text: “1989 was not just a year of revolution—it was a chain reaction.” Examples - - the Hungarian-Austrian border opening - the East German exodus - western media and cultural influence - samizdat and underground communication - reform as a contagion
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Internal reformers and elite defections
- In Hungary and Poland, factions within the Communist Party recognized change was inevitable and initiated reforms. - Some party members began negotiating with opposition figures to ensure a peaceful transition. - In Bulgaria, the party removed leader Todor Zhivkov themselves to save face. - These elite defections undermined regime unity and hastened the collapse. > 📌 Quoted sentiment: “In the end, it was not just the people who abandoned the party. The party abandoned itself.”
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Trigger events
- The Round Table Talks in Poland - The funeral of reformer Imre Nagy in Hungary - The mass exodus of East Germans - The brutal crackdown in Timișoara, Romania - The Velvet Revolution in Czechoslovakia
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The Hungarian-Austrian border opening
- Hungary's decision to open a small section of its border with Austria in May 1989 became a tipping point for East Germany. - It was initially symbolic but soon became a mass escape route. - Thousands of East Germans vacationed in Hungary, then fled west through Austria—bypassing the Berlin Wall entirely. - The Hungarian government, already pursuing reform, refused to block these departures despite GDR pressure.
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The East German exodus
- As the border stayed open, more East Germans left via Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and even embassies (like the West German embassy in Prague). - These refugees were greeted by cheering crowds in West Germany, broadcast on television and radio. - This created an enormous internal legitimacy crisis for the East German regime.
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Western media and cultural influence
- Despite censorship, Western television and radio broadcasts were widely consumed: - Radio Free Europe - Deutsche Welle - BBC World Service - In East Germany, many people near the western border could watch West German TV, which showed higher living standards, consumer goods, and political freedom. - The contrast between official propaganda and what citizens could see with their own eyes was stark and devastating to the regime’s narrative.
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Samizdat and underground communication
- Dissident literature, leaflets, illegal newspapers, and cassette recordings helped circulate alternative political ideas. - In Poland and Czechoslovakia, samizdat networks kept intellectual resistance alive during the darkest years. - After glasnost, Soviet publications critical of Stalinism also reached Eastern Europe and fueled local debates.
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Reform as a contagion
- The document argues that 1989 unfolded as a chain reaction, not isolated uprisings. - People in each country watched their neighbors revolt successfully, which showed that change was possible. - Poland's semi-free elections (June 1989) inspired Hungary’s reforms → which led to the East German border crisis → which fueled protests in Prague → etc.
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Specific internal shifts: Hungary
- The Communist Party itself initiated reforms. - Moderate reformers like Imre Pozsgay and Miklós Németh pushed for multi-party democracy. - They even reburied Imre Nagy, the 1956 martyr, in a massive public ceremony — a symbolic break with Stalinism. > 📌 “Hungary’s revolution was negotiated in committee rooms as much as it was demanded in the streets.”
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Specific internal shifts: Poland
- After years of resistance from Solidarity, parts of the ruling Polish United Workers' Party entered into Round Table talks in early 1989. - The party agreed to semi-free elections, thinking it would preserve power — but Solidarity’s landslide exposed just how little legitimacy the regime had left.
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Specific internal shifts: Bulgaria
- The Communist Party removed its own leader, Todor Zhivkov, after over 30 years in power. - Reformist factions within the party pushed him out to prevent a Romanian-style explosion of unrest.
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Specific internal shifts: Czechoslovakia
- Though resistance came more from outside the party, some elites quickly defected to the reform side during the Velvet Revolution. - State security forces and army generals refused to crack down, hastening the regime’s collapse.
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Specific internal shifts: GDR
- There was a failed attempt at internal reform. Erich Honecker was replaced by Egon Krenz, who promised change — but it was too little, too late. - The public wasn’t buying it anymore. > 📌 “The revolution came not only from below—but from within the very halls of power.”
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The role of the USSR in the collapse of communism
Gorbachev's reforms - glasnost and perestroika > The document notes: “When Gorbachev allowed Soviet citizens to ask questions, Eastern Europeans began demanding answers.” - Gorbachev did not promote revolutions, but his tone — less confrontational, more reformist — created political space. Abandoning the Brezhnev doctrine - - From the late 1960s, the USSR had reserved the right to intervene militarily if socialism was threatened in a satellite state (as it did in Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968). - In *High Tide*, Gorbachev’s explicit refusal to use force in 1989 is described as a watershed moment: > 📌 “Moscow’s silence was louder than any gunshot. Protesters marched knowing the tanks would not roll.” - This emboldened reformers and protesters in Eastern Europe. Without the fear of Soviet troops, regimes were left to face their people alone — many crumbled quickly. The USSR's declining control - - The USSR was economically weakened, unable to provide the kind of material or military support it once did. - Even hardliners in the Kremlin had to accept that the Eastern Bloc had become too expensive to sustain — it was seen increasingly as a burden, not a buffer. > 📌 From the text: “The empire could no longer afford its empire.”
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The revolutions in Eastern Europe
- Poland (June 1989): The first semi-free elections resulted in Solidarity's victory, leading to a peaceful transition to democracy. - Hungary (1989): The ruling Communist Party voluntarily dissolved itself and allowed multi-party elections. - Czechoslovakia (November 1989): The Velvet Revolution removed the Communist Party without violence, bringing Václav Havel to power. - Romania (December 1989): Unlike its neighbors, the transition was violent, ending with the execution of Nicolae Ceaușescu.
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How did the collapse of communism inspire movements in Africa?
- The fall of the USSR ended Soviet support for authoritarian regimes. - South Africa (1990–1994): Nelson Mandela was released, and apartheid was dismantled partly due to the loss of Cold War ideological struggles. - Benin, Zambia, Madagascar (1990s): Former Marxist regimes transitioned to democracy.
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How did the collapse of communism inspire movements in Asia?
- South Korea and Taiwan democratized in the late 1980s, influenced by global shifts. - China (Tiananmen Square, 1989): The democratic movement was crushed, but the Communist Party adopted economic reforms to prevent collapse. - India (1991): Economic liberalization accelerated, abandoning socialist-style policies.
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The economic impact: the global spread of neoliberalism
- Former Eastern Bloc countries transitioned to capitalism, influenced by Western economic models: - Poland (1990s): Rapid privatization, known as "shock therapy", led to economic hardship but eventual growth. - Russia (1991–1999): The transition led to economic collapse and the rise of oligarchs, undermining democracy. - China (Post-1989): The Chinese Communist Party, learning from the USSR’s failure, kept political control but embraced capitalist reforms. - Western-led institutions (IMF, World Bank) promoted neoliberal reforms worldwide, just as they had in Latin America and Africa.
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Evidence that 1989 did not lead to a universal liberal order
- Francis Fukuyama’s ‘End of History’ theory (1992) was overly optimistic: - While democracy expanded, authoritarianism made a comeback in many regions. - The Arab Spring (2011) was inspired by 1989, but failed to create stable democracies: - Libya, Syria, and Egypt saw revolutions turn into chaos and war. - Unlike Eastern Europe, where democracy mostly took hold, the Middle East descended into conflict. - Many post-communist countries experienced severe economic crises: - Russia (1990s): Hyperinflation and mass unemployment fueled disillusionment with democracy. - Eastern Germany (Post-1990): Many East Germans felt like second-class citizens after reunification. - Yugoslavia (1991–1995): The transition led to wars, ethnic cleansing, and genocide (Srebrenica, 1995). - Economic inequality widened, leading to populism and nationalism in former communist states.
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Impact of 1989 on Africa
- The Soviet collapse led to the withdrawal of Soviet support for African socialist regimes. - Countries like Angola, Mozambique, and Ethiopia, which had received Soviet aid, were forced to shift toward market-based reforms. - South Africa, where the Communist Party was deeply tied to the anti-apartheid movement, saw the unbanning of the African National Congress (ANC) and South African Communist Party (SACP) in 1990, paving the way for democracy. - Algeria, which had a significant socialist influence, saw a democratic uprising in 1988, leading to the first multiparty elections. However, the military intervened, leading to a decade of civil war.
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Social and economic context of the Gorbachev era
Urbanization and Education: - Massive shift from rural to urban living: From 13% urban in early 20th century to over 70% by 1989. - Increase in literacy, secondary, and higher education rates among the population. - Economic Structure – Central Planning and Shortages: - Command economy based on centralized planning rather than market signals. - “Economy of shortage”: * Production aimed at meeting numeric targets (e.g., square meters of housing) rather than quality or consumer needs. * “Storming” practices: a mad rush to meet targets; led to hoarding and stockpiling. * Emergence of informal networks (blat) and parallel, sometimes illegal, markets to access scarce goods. - Defense spending (16–20% of the budget) prioritized over consumer welfare, contributing to chronic shortages.
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The start the reform process
Initial Reform Efforts – Acceleration and Anti-Alcohol Campaign: - “Acceleration” aimed to boost production via massive capital investments amid declining state revenues (especially as oil prices fell). - Anti-alcohol campaign: Intended to reduce alcohol abuse but ended up damaging a key revenue source and contributing to consumer shortages (as people switched to cheaper or unsafe substitutes). - Economic Liberalization Measures: - Introduction of major legal reforms (1987 enterprise law, 1988 law on cooperatives) to decentralize economic control and promote self-financing of enterprises. - Reforms dismantled centralized planning without an established market system to replace it, leading enterprises into disarray and deepening economic instability. - Consequences of Reform: - Further deepening of systemic shortages due to the collapse of established informal exchange networks. - Enterprises, previously reliant on political connections and targets, struggled to adapt to self-regulation and market-based decision-making. - The reform trajectory led toward economic insolvency rather than revitalization.
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Political transformation
Policy of Openness (Glasnost): - Implementation of glasnost allowed unprecedented public debate and exposure of past repressions (e.g., Great Patriotic War myths, terror, and economic failures). - Breakdown of longstanding myths that had provided ideological cohesion. - Political Transformation: - Formation of the Congress of People’s Deputies (1989) introduced contested elections and broadened political representation beyond the Communist Party. - Televised sessions and open debate undermined the Communist monopoly and set the stage for political opposition to gain strength.
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Nationalism and the unravelling of the empire
Rise of Nationalist Movements: - Nationalist demands surged, particularly in the Baltic states and other non-Russian republics, as citizens began challenging Soviet legitimacy. - Growing assertions of sovereignty contributed to the weakening of central control. - International Detente and Its Domestic Impact: - Gorbachev’s detente policies (e.g., INF Treaty, withdrawal from Afghanistan) reduced defense spending and eased Cold War tensions. - Reduction of the “protective ring” of satellite states further emboldened independence movements among the USSR’s periphery. - Political and Economic Disintegration: - Economic collapse led to widespread public unrest and strikes (e.g., in Siberia and Ukraine). - The struggle for power within the USSR intensified as republics moved toward declarations of sovereignty, collectively driving the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
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Defining a global revolution
- Widespread impact across multiple regions - Fundamental political, economic, or social transformation - Revolutionary character (rapid and radical change, often led by mass mobilization) While 1989 was a watershed moment for Eastern Europe, its global significance is debated.
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The Soviet Union between 1989-91
While 1989 marked the collapse of Soviet influence in Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union itself did not collapse until 1991. However, signs of disintegration were evident: - Nationalist Movements: - The Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia) pushed for independence. - In Ukraine, protests over the Chernobyl disaster (1986) fueled demands for autonomy. - Economic Collapse: - The Soviet economy was on the verge of insolvency. - The failure of economic reforms (Perestroika) led to worsening shortages and strikes (e.g., the coal miners’ strike of 1989). - Political Crisis: - In March 1989, Gorbachev introduced elections for the Congress of People’s Deputies, the first competitive elections in Soviet history. - These reforms empowered nationalist movements, ultimately leading to the Soviet collapse in December 1991. Thus, while 1989 did not immediately destroy the Soviet Union, it set the stage for its collapse in 1991.
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China: revolution rejected
- Inspired by Eastern European protests, Chinese students demanded democracy and political reform in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square. - The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) violently crushed the protests on June 4, 1989, killing hundreds (or possibly thousands). - Unlike Eastern Europe, China’s leadership survived by doubling down on repression while embracing economic reforms. - This divergence shows that 1989 was not a global revolution but rather a regional wave that China successfully resisted.
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Africa: gradual transitions, not revolutions
- Many African nations had socialist regimes backed by the USSR. With Soviet support fading, some turned to the West. - South Africa: - In 1990, Nelson Mandela was released, and apartheid negotiations began. - The collapse of the USSR weakened communist influence on the African National Congress (ANC), pushing it towards negotiated democracy. - Angola & Mozambique: - Civil wars, fueled by Cold War rivalries, continued despite 1989. - However, Soviet disengagement forced peace talks, leading to ceasefires in the early 1990s. - Ethiopia: - The Soviet-backed Derg regime fell in 1991, largely due to economic collapse and internal insurgencies, rather than 1989 events. Thus, while Africa felt the Cold War’s end, it did not experience revolutions like Eastern Europe.
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Latin America: slow democratic shift
- By 1989, Latin America was already transitioning from military dictatorships to democracy. - Chile: Dictator Augusto Pinochet lost a referendum in 1988, leading to free elections in 1989. - Brazil, Argentina, and others had democratized earlier in the 1980s. - Cuba remained communist, despite Soviet collapse. Unlike Eastern Europe, Latin America’s changes were gradual and unrelated to 1989’s revolutions.
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The Middle East: little immediate change
- Many regimes in the Middle East were authoritarian but not communist, so the USSR’s collapse had limited direct impact. - However, the Gulf War (1990–1991) reshaped regional power dynamics. Thus, the Middle East did not experience revolutionary change in 1989.
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Radicalization and the decline of Western Maoism
- By the 1970s, Maoist groups became highly sectarian, with different factions competing over who was the most ideologically pure. - Many Western Maoist parties followed Chinese foreign policy changes rigidly, often leading to internal divisions. - Some groups, such as the Red Army Faction (Germany) and the Red Brigades (Italy), embraced terrorism, using Maoist justifications for violence. - By the 1980s, most Maoist movements in the West had collapsed due to internal conflicts, state repression, and loss of public support.
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Long-term impact of the cultural revolution: the rise of right-wing politics
Ironically, the radical leftism inspired by Maoism contributed to the rise of right-wing politics in the 1980s: - The failures and excesses of radical Maoist groups discredited the left, helping conservatives (e.g., Ronald Reagan, Margaret Thatcher) gain power. - State crackdowns on leftist radicalism (e.g., counterterrorism policies in Germany and Italy) strengthened the state’s ability to suppress leftist activism. - In Singapore, the left-wing opposition party Barisan Sosialis collapsed due to internal Maoist-inspired factional struggles, giving the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP) unchallenged dominance for decades.
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Was the cultural revolution a global revolution?
Yes, in terms of ideological influence. - Maoism shaped radical movements worldwide, influencing students, anti-imperialists, and leftist intellectuals. - It inspired political violence in Europe (e.g., Red Army Faction, Red Brigades) and racial liberation struggles in the U.S. No, in terms of actual global transformation. - Maoist movements declined by the late 1970s, and China itself abandoned Maoism in the 1980s under Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms. - Instead of leading to global communist revolution, the Cultural Revolution ultimately fractured the left and helped conservative forces rise in the 1980s.
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Goals of perestroika
- Democratization: Move from a monolithic political structure to one with pluralism and legal norms. - Glasnost (openness): Allow greater freedom of expression and transparency in governance. - Legal reform: Establish rule of law in place of party control over all institutions. - Decentralization: Transfer decision-making powers from central ministries to enterprises and local governments. - Economic restructuring: Introduce elements of market mechanisms while retaining socialist ownership. Gorbachev repeatedly emphasizes that these goals were meant to *renew* socialism, not abolish it. He sought a "reform from within" rather than a Western-style neoliberal transformation.
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Achievements of perestroika
- End of the Cold War: A major highlight. Gorbachev takes credit for reducing nuclear tensions, withdrawing from Afghanistan, and promoting diplomacy and disarmament. - Freedom of speech and press: Media was liberalized. Citizens were no longer afraid to speak out. - Political pluralism: Opposition parties began to emerge, and contested elections were introduced—historic firsts in Soviet politics. - Breakup of the command economy: Enterprises received more autonomy, and private cooperatives were allowed for the first time since Lenin’s NEP.
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Obstacles and opposition to perestroika
- Conservative resistance: Party and state elites were threatened by the loss of control and sabotaged reforms. - Public impatience: Citizens wanted quick improvements in living standards, but economic reforms initially made things worse. - Lack of reform culture: The Soviet system lacked mechanisms for peaceful transformation. - Rising nationalism: Glasnost inadvertently unleashed ethnic grievances, leading to the fragmentation of the USSR. - Weak institutions: The lack of checks and balances meant that reforms were often inconsistent and poorly implemented.
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Archie Brown's argument about perestroika
Brown argues perestroika was not a failure. It: - Opened the path to democracy. - Ended the Cold War. - Inspired reform movements in Eastern Europe. - Made the world safer. However, he expresses regret at underestimating the depth of the systemic crisis and failing to build a new constitutional framework in time.