Topic 7 - Risk Profiling Flashcards
risk
means the possibility of a number of different outcomes resulting from a given action.
Risks Your Clients Face
- Inflation
- Liquidity
- Currency
- Economic factors
- Political factors.
Clients often think of risk
as the prospect of an undesirable outcome, such as a financial loss or not meeting an investment objective.
Volatility
Broad market
Shortfall
Volatility
the fluctuations of investment values over time
Broad market
factors that can lead whole markets, or even most markets, to decline together
Shortfall
the risk of failing to meet a long-term investment goal
What is Risk Profiling?
An important part of the assessment of a client’s objectives, financial situation and needs is the knowledge of the client’s tolerance to risk
The aim of risk profiling
includes obtaining a client’s informed acceptance of their risk profile and the possible investment implications that may arise from the outcome of the risk profiling process
Risk Tolerance
Risk Tolerance measures how much risk an individual is willing to take
Risk Capacity
Risk capacity is the level of financial risk the client can afford to take.
Risk capacity has to do with measurable or predictable factors such as client’s:
- asset base
- savings rates
- job and income security
- withdrawal requirements
- time horizon
Risk Required
Risk required is the risk associated with the return required to achieve the client’s goals from the financial resources available
Separating Risk Tolerance From Risk Capacity
The scores from these risk capacity and tolerance questions are then be merged together into a single ‘score’
This one-dimensional approach attempts to place the client on a single continuum, to calculate a ‘risk score’ to determine ‘optimal’ portfolio for the client
This approach may create a ‘gap’: just because a client can afford to take risk doesn’t necessarily mean they want to or need to
Where risk capacity is constrained
investment risk should be commensurately reduced
Where risk capacity it is high
the investor may comfortably take on more risk
Where risk capacity is neutral,
the appropriate level of risk is determined solely by risk tolerance.
A Four Component Model of Risk Profiling
Risk Tolerance
Risk Perception
Risk Required
Risk Capacity
Risk Tolerance
Risk tolerance is an individual’s stable, reasoned willingness to take risk in the long-term.
Stated differently, it is a measure of an individual’s willingness to risk existing assets in order to achieve higher-priority future goals.
Risk Capacity
Risk capacity is the level of financial risk an individual can afford to take
For most investors, risk capacity is overwhelmingly more important than risk tolerance
The right level of risk for their investments is far more likely to be constrained by their lack of capacity to cope with capital losses than by their psychological aversion to long-term risk
Risk Required
Risk required is the risk associated with the return required to achieve the client’s goals from the financial resources available
Using required returns as inputs to determ ine the investment strategy is often ill-advised
Risk Perceptions
Risk perceptions are the unstable, short-term behavioural risk attitudes and willingness to take risk that are exhibited through an individual’s actions.
Measuring Risk Tolerance
An individual’s risk tolerance should be assessed using psychometric questionnaires that attempt to uncover stable, long term personality traits
Risk tolerance can be loosely described as the willingness to risk existing assets in order to achieve higher-priority future goals
Assessment of risk tolerance should avoid the measurement of unstable, behavioural short-term willingness to take risks
How NOT to Measure Risk Tolerance
- Don’t require finance, investing, or market knowledge
- Don’t require numerical computation or probabilistic reasoning
- Don’t confuse with other risk attitudes, behaviours or investment objectives
- Don’t confuse past behaviours with optimal activities
- Don’t rely on future beliefs or expectation
Number of methods by FSP to risk profile
Risk Profile Questionaire
Line Method
Life Cycle Approach
Sensitivity Analysis