Unit 2 Exam Study Guide Flashcards
What is correlation?
Correlation is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables.
What is causal?
When one variable causes the other variable to change, that is a causal relationship.
True or false: some correlations are obviously meaningless.
True. Ex. Divorce rates in Main declined at a similar rate as the consumption of margarine per capita.
Scientists established a correlation between what two things?
Smoking and cancer
Lung cancer was rare in 1900, but by 1940, it was becoming…
the most common cancer diagnosed in American men.
From 1920-1940, scientists tested four different hypotheses for what was causing lung cancer:
- More Pollution
- Street pavement products like asphalt
- Chemicals used in WW1
- Tobacco use
What two types of studies were conducted to establish a causal relationship between cigarettes and lung cancer?
- Observational studies
- Experimental studies
By the _____ the evidence was clear that cigarette smoking was causing cancer.
1950s
Several _____________ issued ___________ about the risk of cancer from smoking.
professional associations (ex. American Heart Association, American Cancer Society), consensus statements
What is consensus?
Consensus in science is a position held by most scientists in a particular field and at a particular time. Based on best available evidence.
What was the purpose of the Tobacco Industry Research Committee (1954)?
They hired scientists who said the results (tobacco causing lung cancer) were controversial.
What were four of the Tobacco Industry Research Committee’s claims?
- Not all scientists agreed
- Not everyone who smokes develops lung cancer
- Scientists don’t know how smoking causes lung cancer.
- Scientists have not proven that smoking causes lung cancer.
Some areas of science, _____________, have a lot of scientific debate.
particularly emerging science
Over time some areas of emerging science…
can become more settled, and consensus builds.
A few areas in science where there is little debate among scientists (ex. strong consensus)…
have generated a lot of controversy in society.
What are three ways to find the scientific consensus?
- Reliable news sources will show broad general agreements in science.
- Scientific journals publish peer-reviewed papers discussing the level of consensus on an issue.
- Professional societies will publish “consensus statements” on their discipline’s topic.
_____________ can make recommendations.
Government agencies
In _____, the ___________ put out a report based on a summary of all available evidence between smoking and lung cancer.
1964, US Surgeon General
What two factors did the US Surgeon General’s report conclude?
- The main cause of the increase in lung cancer was smoking tobacco.
- Smokers were 10 to 20 times more likely to get lung cancer than nonsmokers.
What are three ways in which the US Surgeon General’s recommendations affect society?
- Restrictions on smoking in public spaces.
- Labels on cigarette packages.
- Restrictions on advertising.
In _____, about ___ adults smoked cigarettes.
2020, 12.5%
What are case-control studies?
Case-control studies are observational studies. Compare groups of people who have a condition to people without; looking for risk factors.
What is an experimental study?
Hypothesis-driven controlled experiments that allow scientists to change variables.
What is a prospective cohort study?
Is a type of observational study. Prospective means that they follow individuals to see what happens to them in the future.