Unit 4: AOS 1 - Population Dynamics Flashcards

1
Q

Population Density/ Distribution

A
  • The average number of people per km2 = total pop divided by total land area in km2
  • Statistics
    • % of population
      • Oceania - 0.56%
      • North America - 4.73%
      • Latin America and the Caribbean - 8.37%
      • Europe - 9.77%
      • Africa - 17.51%
      • Asia - 59.33%
    • Less than 10% live in the Southern Hemisphere
    • 4 bill live within 200 km of the coastline
    • Antarctica is the only continent without a permanent pop
    • 56% of the pop live in towns and cities - increasing
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2
Q

Population Growth

A
  • Current pop 7.9 bill
  • Pop growth peaked in 1968 at 2.1%
  • 2021 - pop growth was 1.03%
  • Top 3 countries by pop growth
    • Syria - 5.32%
    • South Sudan
    • Burundi
  • Bottom 3 Countries - by pop growth
    • Bulgaria - -0.63%
    • Latvia
    • Ukraine
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3
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Natural Increase

A
  • Total amount of births - total amount of deaths in a pop (if negative= natural decrease)
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4
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Crude Birth Rate (CBR)

A
  • Defined as the number of births per 1000 people per year in a given pop
  • Interconnected with economic conditions - eg. LEDC’s have higher CBR’s
  • World average 18.1 - decreasing globally
  • Lowest - Japan 7.3
  • Highest - Niger 47.5
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5
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Total Fertility Rate (TFR)

A
  • The amount of births per woman of child bearing age (15-49)
  • World average - 2.42 - decreasing globally
  • 2.1 TFR is the replacement level ie. pop neither shrinks nor increases
  • Pop momentum
    • Where places with TFR < 2.1 has a high pop due to large numbers of young people becoming of a child bearing age
  • Lowest - South Korea 0.81
  • Highest - Niger 7
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6
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Crude Death Rate (CDR)

A
  • Number of deaths per 1000 people
  • World average - 7.7
  • Highest - Lesotho (Western Africa) 15.4
  • High pop of young immigrant workers leads to low CDR
    • Emirates - 1.6
  • Ageing pop leads to high death rate
    • Japan - 10.8
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7
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)

A
  • Average number of deaths of persons less than one year of age per 1000 live birth
  • World average - 26.7
  • Highest - Sierra Leone - 80.10
  • Lowest - Iceland - 0.7%
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8
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Child Mortality Rate (CMR)

A
  • Average number of death of children under the age of five (including infants) per 1000 live births
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9
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR)

A
  • Number of mothers who die of pregnancy-related conditions or within 42 days of termination of a pregnancy
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10
Q

Factors Influencing the Population Growth

Life Expectancy (LE)

A
  • Defined as the average number of years a person can be expected to live from birth
  • World average - 72.7
  • Highest - Hong Kong - 85.3
  • Lowest - Central African Republic - 53
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11
Q

Population Pyramids

A
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12
Q

Malthusian Theory

A
  • 2 principes;
    • Pop increases at an exponential rate
  • Food production increases at an arithmetic (linear) rate
  • Further growth would continue until a ‘Malthusian Crisis’ (food exceeds pop growth) was reached, resulting in;
    • Misery ie. famine, epidemic and war
    • Vice ie. perverted, sexual behaviour and infanticide
    • Moral restraint ie. late marriage and celibacy
    • These are known as malthusian crisis
  • Malthus has been proven wrong due to;
    • Food production is not linear
      • Large increase in food production caused by;
        • Green revolution - fertilisers, irrigation etc.
        • Gene revolution - GMO’s
        • The blue revolution - commercial fishing
    • Pop growth is not exponential
      • Pop growth - 1968 pop growth - 2.1% but now is 1.03%
      • However new malthusian theory could be applied to Bangladesh with limited resources
  • Neo-malthusian theory
    • Pop will outstrip resources
    • Restricting the number of children will reduce strain on resources
    • Able to make a modern day connection with finite resources leading to environmental degradation and resource depletion
    • Climate change will further negatively impact food production
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13
Q

Demographic Transition Model (DTM)

A
  • Examples
    • 1: High Stationary - no countries (pre-industrialisation)
    • 2: Early Expanding- Egypt
    • 3: Late Expanding - Brazil
    • 4: Low Stationary - Japan
    • 5: Declining? - Germany
  • Advantages
    • Describes pop over time
    • Although general can be applied to MEDC’s
    • Allows simple statements to be made about characteristics
  • Disadvantages
    • It does not forecast changes or explain progress from one stage to another
    • It does not claim universality
    • Just because a country is in stage 3 does not mean that it will progress to stage 4
    • Natural increase not migration
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14
Q

Population Movement

Types of Migrants

A
  • Migrant - a person who moves from one place to another, especially in order to find work or better living conditions
  • Naturalised citizens - a person who gains citizenship either naturally or by applying
  • Refugees - a person fleeing their country as a result of war, conflict or persecution - have crossed a border - usually persecuted due to religion, race, gender etc.
  • Asylum seekers - a person who has applied for registered protection, but has not been processed
  • Unauthorised immigrants - a foreign person who is living in a country without having official permission to live there
  • International student
  • Internally displaced person - a refugee that has not crossed a border
  • Stateless person - a person without a nationality
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15
Q

Population Movement

International Migrant Definition

A
  • UNESCO - Any person who lives temporarily or permanently in a country where he or she was not born, and has acquired some significant social ties to this country.
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16
Q

Population Movement

Host Country

A
  • Advantages
    • Boost supply of low cost labour
    • Thus reducing costs of production and maintain economic growth
    • Filling skills vacancies (eg current global nurse shortage)
  • Disadvantages
    • Language difficulties can cause social difficulties/isolation/alienation
    • Pressure on housing and services
    • Trapped in unskilled job – little career prospects
    • Locals may fear losing jobs and discriminate against migrants
17
Q

Case Study: European Migration Crisis

Overview

A
  • 2015 ~ 1.3 mill refugees and migrants entered Europe
  • Source Countries by application to EU
    • Syria ~360 000
    • Afghanistan ~ 175 000
    • Iraq ~ 125 000
  • Host countries by application
    • Germany - 476 000
    • Hungary - 177 130
    • Austria
  • Fatalities
    • ↑ 3 077 migrants died crossing the Agean sea
  • Routes taken
    • 1 mill by sea and 34 900 by land
      • Not including those entering undetected!
    • Western Mediterranean route
      • Many west African peninsular countries (Morocco, Algeria, Ivory Coast) → Northern African Countries → Spain
      • Small amount
    • Central Mediterranean route
      • Many Sub-Saharan African countries (Libya, Eritrea, Nigeria) → take off from Libya → Italy
      • 15% took this route
    • Eastern Mediterranean route (main route)
      • Middle eastern countries (Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan) → Turkey → Istanbul →Bulgaria or Greece → Austria, Slovenia or Hungary
      • 85% sea arrivals were in Greece (via Turkey)
  • Factors causing migration
    • Push - Pull
      • War/ conflict/ persecution - peace/ safety
        • Syrian Civil War
          • Iraqi Conflict
          • War in Afghanistan
          • Somali civil war
      • Mandatory recruitment into armed forces - Eritrea and Nigeria
        • Males 18-35 flee
      • Poverty - job opportunities
        • Kosovo and Serbia
      • Transport links
      • Living conditions - facilities
      • Natural disasters
      • Family location
      • Food supply
  • General effects on host countries
    • Build facilities
    • Expenses - medication and facilities
    • Cultural mismatch
      • Different values and language barriers → increase tensions and pro-nationalist sentiment
    • Could lead to border closures
    • Increase violence towards migrants
      • Protests, riots, religious persecution (attack on mosques)
      • Any crime committed by migrants dramatically increases anti-immigration sentiment
18
Q

Case Study: European Migration Crisis

Host Country: Germany

Overview

A
  • Overview
    • Total pop - 83 mill
    • Young pop - 14%
    • Working pop - 64%
    • Elderly pop - 22% - increasing
    • The elderly pop - 30.43% by 2050
  • August 21, 2015 suspend the Dublin Regulation for Syrian asylum seekers in Germany
19
Q

Case Study: European Migration Crisis

Host Country: Germany

Impacts

A
  • Advantages
    • Refugees ↑ working age → slightly lifting ageing pop burden
      • 75% refugees ↓ 40 - ½ have a job
    • 2015 - 1% had knowledge of language → 2018 ↑ to 44%
    • 2018 - 17% asylum applications pending → couldn’t work
    • 2018 - 1.8 mill people with a refugee background in Germany
    • 2020 - over 1/2 of refugees found a job
  • Disadvantages
    • Germany not able to deal with influx of applications → people started integration before their application was accepted
    • Lack facilities
    • 2019 - only 31% of Germans believed that most refugees could successfully integrate in the society
    • ↑ far right anti-immigration party
    • Barriers for foreign qualification recognition
    • Women have poorer prospects, especially those with young children
    • Healthcare access remained low for recently arrived refugees
    • COVID 19 - refugee’s lower paying jobs hit hardest
    • Training and certification is low
  • Evaluation
    • ↑ healthcare especially due to trauma
    • Skills certification needs to increase and recognition of foreign qualifications
    • Women into workforce especially those with children
20
Q

Case Study: European Migration Crisis

Source County: Eritrea

Overview

A
  • Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia in 1991 after 30 years of war
  • Further conflict over border disputes
  • → justification of indefinite national service - frozen state of emergency
  • 2015 - frozen conflict with Ethiopia
  • Drivers for leaving
    • Indefinite national service program - 18-50
    • Human rights abuse
    • Expectations and aspirations of self-development
    • →Sense of no hope for the future
      • → link with external economic pull factors
    • 3/100 freedom house index
    • Strictest regimes in the world - one-man dictatorship
  • How they leave
    • Ethiopia - north - refugee camps
    • Sudan → Mediterranean sea
    • Across the sea to Yemen
21
Q

Case Study: European Migration Crisis

Source County: Eritrea

Impacts

A
  • More than 30,000 Eritreans are estimated to have arrived in Europe in 2015
    • 3rd largest group of people crossing the Mediterranean into Europe.
  • Could lose 50 000 - 500 000 people over next 10 years
  • More than 95% of cases submitted from Eritrea were accepted in 2017 - 4th highest % acceptance
    • Due to UNHCR guidelines regarding Eritrea, many non-Eritreans claim to be Eritrean so that they are granted entry into Europe
  • Emigrated to Germany, Switzerland and Italy
    • Have positive impact on economy in future
  • Response - gov. 2% income tax for those working abroad - refusal to pay results in denied reentry