Volume 3 Flashcards
Describe the factors affecting FIXED-INCOME Portfolio Returns, to a change in Benchmark Yields.
–> factors affecting E(Δprice du to investors view of benchmark yields).
Formulate a Portfolio position strategy given forward interest rates and an interest view that coincides with the MKT view (static yield curve).
1) Buy & Hold + 2) Rolling down the YC –> will add DURATION (can be mimicked with the derivatives: long futures & receive fixed swap)
3) Repos = Add LEVERAGE.
Formulate a Portfolio Position Strategy given Forward Interest Rates and an interest rate view that diverges from the MKT view in terms of rate level, slope, and shape.
RATE LEVEL ?????
Formulate a Portfolio Position Strategy given Forward Interest Rates and an interest rate view that diverges from the MKT view in terms of rate level, slope, and shape.
RATE SLOPE, add or reduce DURATION ???
With that, we can set these PFs to be duration neutral, slightly duration positive, or slightly duration negative.
Formulate a Portfolio Position Strategy given Forward Interest Rates and an interest rate view that diverges from the MKT view in terms of rate level, slope, and shape.
RATE SLOPE, how to Position your PF (neutral, steepener, flattener, bear, bull) ???
Formulate a Portfolio Position Strategy given Forward Interest Rates and an interest rate view that diverges from the MKT view in terms of rate level, slope, and shape.
RATE SHAPE ????
le graph c’est les rates en y, et le temps en x.
Formulate a Portfolio position strategy based upon expected changes in interest rate volatility.
Evaluate a Portfolio Sensitivity using Key Rate Durations of the PF and its benchmark.
Discuss Yield Curve Strategies Across Currencies.
We want country A: upward sloping YC, expected stable YC, low yield to fund.
Country B: flatter, expected stable or increasing YC, high yield to invest.
(stable, or dynamic –> then forecasts for levels+slope+shape ?)
If we hedge out S_p/b, we will earn r_dom.
UIRP says that without hedging, you’re still gonna get r_dom. But it doesn’t hold, and carry trades are possible.
Losa: Describe risk considerations for spread-based (=credit risky) income Portfolios.
Yield Spread ?
Yield (excess) spread = liquidity premium + credit risk = (YTMbid - YTMask) + credit risk.
Credit risk is composed of
- Default risk (POD)
- Loss Severity ( LGD)
Losa: Describe risk considerations for spread-based (=credit risky) income Portfolios.
Proba of Default ?
Losa: Describe risk considerations for spread-based (=credit risky) income Portfolios.
Credit migration & Spread Curves ?
Credit Spread curve:
- lower rated issuers = greater slope & level changes over the cycle
- spread difference between rating categories (IG-HY) narrows during strong economic booms.
- ModDur&EffDur = Overstates %ΔPV_full –> even more so for HY.
Reason: negative correl between rates and credit spreads + empirical duration is a better measure.
Losb: discuss the advantages and disadvantages of credit spread measures for spread-based (=credit risky) Fixed-Income Portfolios; and explain why OAS is considered the most appropriate measure.
CREDIT SPREAD MEASURES ?
1) Yield Spread = Corporate YTM - nearest on-the-run USTreasury YTM.
- slope and maturity mismatch
- not a good measure of carry.
2) G-Spread = Corporate YTM - maturity matching UST YTM.
- interpolated if needed.
3) I-Spread = Corporate YTM - Maturity matching swap rate.
- interpolated if needed.
- more accurately measures carry for a leveraged position.
4) Asset-SWAP-Rate = (Corporate Bond Coupon - SWAP Fixed Rate) * MRR.
- Synthetic FRN (duration ~= 0); swap fixed rate = same maturity as bond & coupon (at or close to PAR) dates are matched.
- Full Duration hedge = low or 0 price volatility.
5) Z-Spread = Constant spread over spot/swap rates, not YTMs.
- More accurate than G or I spread (to measure credit risk of a bond).
6) CBS basis = CDS spread - (Z-spread).
- If CDS Spread < Z-spread; sets up a negative basis trade (buy bond, buy CDS).
7) OAS = constant spread over forward rates in a pricing model (can compare all bonds –> option-free or not).
Negative basis trade ?
If CDS Spread < Z-spread; sets up a negative basis trade (buy bond, buy CDS)
Losb: discuss the advantages and disadvantages of credit spread measures for spread-based (=credit risky) Fixed-Income Portfolios; and explain why OAS is considered the most appropriate measure.
FLOATING RATE NOTES, AND MARGINS ?
1) Quoted Margin = Yield spread over MRR on issuance.
2) Discount Margin = reflects changes in credit risk (spread over MRR discount rate)
3) Zero-Discount Margin = Yield Spread over forward MRRs
Losb: discuss the advantages and disadvantages of credit spread measures for spread-based (=credit risky) Fixed-Income Portfolios; and explain why OAS is considered the most appropriate measure.
SPREADS AT THE PORTFOLIO LEVEL ????
Losb: discuss the advantages and disadvantages of credit spread measures for spread-based (=credit risky) Fixed-Income Portfolios; and explain why OAS is considered the most appropriate measure.
Expected Excess Spread Return ????
Losc: discuss bottom-up approaches to credit strategy.
Losd: Discuss top-down approaches to credit strategy.
Lose: Discuss liquidity Risk in credit markets, and how liquidity risk can be managed in a credit PF.
liquidity risk = risk that you can’t convert your BOND to cash to the modeled price.
Losf: Describe how to assess and manage Tail Risk in Credit Portfolios.
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
The use of CDS allows us to create Synthetic Credit Strategies.
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
UPFRONT PMT TO BUYER ???
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
PRICE OF CDS PER 1$ ????
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
%ΔCDS Price ????
~=
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
PAYER OPTION ? RECEIVER OPTION ?
Losg: Discuss the use of CDS strategies in Active Fixed-income PF management.
CDS CURVE ?
For the slope strategy given slope movements, we want to be DURATION NEUTRAL.
Losh: Discuss various portfolio positioning strategies that managers can use to implement a specific credit spread view.
STATIC CREDIT CURVE ??