Voting behaviour Flashcards
(13 cards)
Class 2024
2024 classes all voted similarly for all parties mid-30s for Labour
Though, Reform trend of WC
25% C2 17% DE 9% AB
Age
1992 18-24 35% Con 65+ 48% Con
18-24 38% Lab 65+ 34% Lab
2024 Con 18-24 8% 70+ 46%
Lab vote 18-24 fell by 24% and Greens increased by 16% (Gaza, Corbyn)
Age increased in importance
2017 every 10 years in age, chance of voting Con increased by 9 points
Education
2024 Lab 43% degree+ 28% no qualifications
Con 19% degree+, 39% no qualifications
2010 GCSE and under 38% Con 30%Lab
degree 35% Con 34% Lab
degree- 57% left wing 41% right
Region (not cities)
2019 fall of Red Wall- anomaly
2024 Red Wall gained back
Lab +36 seats in Scotland
1992 Northern vote 33% Con 51% Lab
2024 North West 44% Lab 18.8% Con
Cities
2024 Greater Manchester 25 Labour, 2 Lib Dem
2010 Lab 22 Lib Dem 3 Con 2
Greater London changed
1992 45% Con 37% Lab
2024 20.5% Con 43% Lab
Ethnicity
1997- 70% non white Lab
2024- 46%, 68% black voters
Fall of 18% in overall non-white voters, mainly from muslim voters
Rational Choice theory
idea that individuals make rational choices and achieve outcomes that are aligned with their own best interests
Brexit election
2019 Cons won 74% leave votes
Governing competence
2024- 14 years of tories
many scandals- party gate
Liz Truss crashed economy
Betting Scandal, D-day
Leaders
Blair electoral asset, appealed to wide range of voters, moving towards centre, young- 44
Corbyn enthused young voters with his authentic and relaxed style
Mays awkward and wooden style turned voters off ‘Maybot’ BUT still won
Campaigns and manifestos
2019 clear message ‘get Brexit done’
1997- 5 pledges ‘New Labour’ manifesto made it clear to continue privatisation
2024- 5 pledges/steps ‘change’ 60% support VAT on private schools
unpopular con pledges- national service, leaving ECtHR, scrapping net 0
Class 1997
1997 AB 41% Con 31% Lab
DE 59% Lab 21% Con
Class 2015
under £20k household income
29% Con 36% Lab
£70k+ 51% Con 23% Lab
