Voting behaviour Flashcards

(64 cards)

1
Q

What was the context to the 1979 general election?

A

A period of economic struggle, high inflation, and widespread strikes leading to national dissatisfaction with the Labour government.

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2
Q

Who led the Labour party at the time of the 1979 general election?

A

James Callaghan

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3
Q

What was the state of the economy in the build-up to the 1979 general election?

A

Stagnant growth, high inflation (26%), and unemployment had trebled due to global oil crisis and poor economic performance.

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4
Q

What caused the 1973 oil crisis?

A

Arab-controlled OPEC’s protest against Western support for Israel during the Yom Kippur War.

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5
Q

What was the ‘Winter of Discontent’?

A

A wave of strikes (1978-79) by lorry drivers, health workers, refuse collectors, and others over pay caps, creating national paralysis.

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6
Q

Why was the ‘Winter of Discontent’ significant?

A

It contradicted Labour’s image as the party for the working class and showed a loss of control over trade unions.

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7
Q

What damaged James Callaghan’s reputation before the 1979 election?

A

The Sun falsely attributed the phrase “Crisis? What crisis?” to him, portraying him as out of touch.

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8
Q

How did the media affect the 1979 general election?

A

It emphasised national crisis, strikes, and portrayed Callaghan as detached, boosting the Conservative narrative for change.

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9
Q

What happened in March 1979 that weakened Labour?

A

Labour lost a vote of no confidence after being abandoned by the Liberals.

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10
Q

Who was the opposition in the 1979 general election and their leader?

A

The Conservative Party, led by Margaret Thatcher.

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11
Q

What was the salient issue for the 1979 general election?

A

The economy

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12
Q

Why did Labour make the 1979 election campaign long?

A

To give Thatcher more time to potentially make mistakes.

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13
Q

What were Labour’s main policies in the 1979 general election?

A

Reduce inflation by 5% in 3 years, reduce prices, improve union relations, return to full employment, increase public spending, nationalise industries, leave EEC, end world poverty, strengthen peace.

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14
Q

What was Labour’s position on the European Economic Community?

A

They wanted to withdraw from the EEC and not be part of the common market.

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15
Q

What was the Conservative campaign strategy in the 1979 general election?

A

Focus on curbing inflation, reducing taxes, strong media use (ads, photos), present Thatcher as relatable, use professional ad agency (Saatchi & Saatchi).

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16
Q

What was the significance of the ‘Labour Isn’t Working’ poster?

A

It visually represented unemployment under Labour and was a powerful campaign tool for the Conservatives.

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17
Q

What was the presentation of Margaret Thatcher in the 1979 general election?

A

Presented as “Our Maggie” to appeal to housewives, discussed household economics to appear relatable, softened appearance and voice, “Iron Lady” image spun positively as strong leadership.

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18
Q

Why was Margaret Thatcher’s image important in the 1979 election?

A

It helped attract female voters and portrayed her as both relatable and a strong leader.

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19
Q

How did the Conservatives frame the “Iron Lady” label in 1979?

A

They turned it into a positive, portraying Thatcher as strong and capable.

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20
Q

What was a key demographic the Conservatives targeted with Thatcher’s image?

A

Housewives and female voters (especially swing voters).

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21
Q

What was the Conservative policy on inflation in the 1979 general election?

A

Control inflation through reduced government intervention and fiscal restraint.

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22
Q

How did the Conservatives plan to reduce government intervention in 1979?

A

By limiting the role of the National Enterprise Board and promoting privatisation.

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23
Q

What was the Conservative policy on trade unions in 1979?

A

Reform trade unions by limiting picketing rights and reducing strike frequency.

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24
Q

What did the Conservatives aim to do about income tax in 1979?

A

Cut income tax to incentivise hard work and enterprise.

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25
What was the Conservative approach to crime in the 1979 election?
Tackle crime by increasing police funding and taking a tougher stance on youth offenders.
26
How did the Conservatives plan to improve productivity in 1979?
By offering incentives and reducing state interference in industry.
27
How did the Conservatives propose to address unemployment in 1979?
Increase productivity, reduce regulation, and return industries to private ownership.
28
What was the Conservative position on state-owned industries in 1979?
They proposed selling back aerospace and shipbuilding industries to private ownership.
29
How did the Conservatives aim to support families in 1979?
Support family life through improved welfare services and raising education standards.
30
How can newspaper headlines influence public trust in a party?
E.g. 1979 Sun headline 'Crisis? What Crisis?' during Winter of Discontent suggested Labour's James Callaghan was out of touch, shifting opinion against him.
31
How do newspapers influence readers' political opinions?
E.g. YOUGOV found 74% of Daily Mail readers voted Tory in 2017, showing the impact of the paper's right-wing stance.
32
How can newspaper endorsements affect elections?
E.g. The Sun switched from Conservatives to Labour in 1997, and in 1992 ran 'If Kinnock wins today will the last person to leave Britain please turn out the lights'.
33
What is the significance of newspaper support switching in recent elections?
E.g. In 2010 Sun backed the Conservatives again, but by 2024 both The Sun and The Times endorsed Labour, showing Murdoch-owned media are no longer guaranteed Tory supporters.
34
Why is traditional print media's influence overstated?
Print media circulation is falling: The Sun dropped from 3m (2010) to 1.2m (2020). In 2017, 41% of Sun readers didn't vote Tory. In 2024, Labour led (by 6 points)among Daily Express readers.
35
Does press hostility always harm parties?
No. In 2017, despite negative headlines like the Sun’s ‘Don’t chuck Britain in the Corbyn’ and Daily Mail’s anti-Labour spread, Labour saw its largest vote share increase since 1945.
36
Was the Sun’s influence in 1979 overstated?
Yes. Despite the 'Crisis? What Crisis?' headline, polls showed Callaghan remained more popular than Thatcher throughout the campaign.
37
Do newspapers shape or reflect public opinion?
Often reflect. E.g. in 1997, press backed Labour only after public opinion had already shifted. Same in 2024 with late Murdoch support for Starmer.
38
How does BBC neutrality offset press bias?
The BBC must give equal airtime during elections, reducing the impact of biased newspapers.
39
Why are valence issues more important than press support?
1979 Labour lost due to failure with unions, not just press. 1997: economic failures and scandal hurt Tories. 2024: Labour won despite hostile headlines (Telgraph - 'Starmer is simply immoral'), due to Tory trust collapse.
40
What conclusion can be drawn about press influence?
The press is not the main driver of election outcomes; voters respond more to valence issues like economy, scandal, and leadership.
41
How does a leader's TV image affect elections?
E.g. Kinnock’s 'We’re all right' at Sheffield Rally seen as arrogant. Miliband stumbling of the stage in 2015 did not enhance his image as a strong leader.
42
How have TV debates influenced UK elections?
E.g. 2010 debates helped deny Tories a majority. Clegg’s strong first debate performance led to ‘Cleggmania’ (rise in approval ratings at the expense of Cameron) and a hung parliament.
43
How do publicity stunts on TV impact campaigns?
E.g. In 2019 Boris Johnson drove a JCB through a wall with ‘Get Brexit Done’ – similar to Thatcher’s 1979 media approach.
44
Why is the impact of TV image overstated?
E.g. Kinnock’s Sheffield rally was only a week before the 1992 election so unlikely it had such an impact to explain difference in opinion polls and actual outcome. Clegg’s 2010 debate only increased LibDem vote share by 1% and they actually lost seats.
45
Do TV debates usually have clear winners?
No. E.g. 2019 Johnson-Corbyn debates ending in stalemate with polls showing neither dealt a knockout blow and a snap poll by YOUGOV found no clear winner of Sunak-Starmer debates
46
What other factors might matter more than TV performance?
E.g. 1992 & 2015 may have been decided by economic voting, voters took a rational choice based on who could handle the economy better. In 2015 Labour was still blamed for the Credit Crunch so Miliband’s fall only reinforced pre-existing views.
47
How can salient issues override poor TV performances?
E.g. 2017: Corbyn and Abbott’s errors were overlooked due to popular policies like abolishing tuition fees resulting in 54% surge in turnout from young voters (60% voting for Labour). 2019: Brexit drove a Tory landslide (of the 58 seats that switched to Conservative 55 voted leave)
48
How did UKIP and Labour use social media effectively?
UKIP spent heavily online in 2015 and got 3.8m votes. Labour ran TikTok ads before 2024 campaign started to bypass spending limits.
49
How does social media reach compare to traditional media?
E.g. Momentum’s ‘Daddy why do you hate me?’ campaign film got 5.4m views in 2 days, much faster than print media reach.
50
How does social media offer an alternative to traditional press?
E.g. Corbyn bypassed negative press in 2017 via social media. Reform UK did similarly in 2024 to target young male voters.
51
How is micro-targeting used in political campaigns?
E.g. 2019 Tories targeted marginal seats such as Milton Keynes with anti-Corbyn ads. In 2024, Reform UK used TikTok and with Farage appearing on podcasts and mouthing Eminem lyrics to attract young male voters.
52
What share of the public gets news from social media?
In 2023, 10% of people aged 16+ got news from TikTok.
53
Why is social media’s influence hard to prove?
Platforms shift quickly – TikTok only rose to prominence between 2019–2024.
54
Has social media always been effective?
No. E.g. 2015: Russell Brand’s interview with Miliband had little electoral impact.
55
What is the echo chamber effect on social media?
Users often see content that reinforces their existing views rather than changes them.
56
How is social media mainly used in campaigns?
Often just a communication tool to reach certain voter groups, e.g. Labour and young voters in 2017.
57
What factors better explain electoral shifts than social media?
E.g. Class dealignment explains Red Wall collapse in 2019 more than social media.
58
Do parties always prioritise social media?
No. In 2019, most parties saved digital ad spend for the final campaign days.
59
Does social media drive change or amplify existing issues?
E.g. Farage’s TikToks only resonated due to pre-existing anger over immigration. Corbyn’s 2017 popularity reflected dissatisfaction with austerity.
60
What was the swing for female voters in 1979 general election
+8%
61
What was the 1979 general election majority
+44
62
What was the 2024 Labour majority
172
63
What was the social media campaign spend for the main two parties
£2.6m for Labour compared to only £1.6 for Conservatives
64
What percentage of young voters voted for Labour in the 2024 general election
41% with a ITV youth tracker poll