Voting Behaviour and the Media Flashcards
(118 cards)
What geographical voting trends can you see with the Conservative Party?
Tend to do well in areas that are predominantly white, rural or suburban or socially conservative
What geographical voting trends can you see with the Labour Party?
Since 2005, Labour has contracted support to industrial areas in south Wales, the industrial north of England and London. Urban areas are increasingly becoming Labour strongholds and are less inclined to vote Conservative.
What are the Scottish voting preferences?
Left wing, traditionally Labour but since 2015 there has been SNP dominance with the Conservative Party emerging as the main, though limited, opposition. Scots seen as more ‘caring’ about what they vote for, more politically aware and politically minded.
What is the reasoning behind Scottish voting preferences?
They hold opposition to London-centred policies and New Right policies. There are specific social and economic problems in Scotland. Different impact of devolution and Brexit.
How did Brexit affect the status quo for voting behaviour?
- Traditional Labour areas turned Conservative
- Tories gained 48% of the working class vote in 2019.
How have voting preferences in Scotland changed, will they change any further?
- Traditionally Labour, now SNP
- SNP likely to lose seats at next GE (scandals, leadership changes)
- Labour may regain power as strongest opposition to Sunak’s govt
- Growing calls for independence and devolution
What are the Welsh voting preferences?
Heavy Labour bias, but with strong support for Conservatives in rural areas.
What is the reasoning for Welsh voter preferences?
Industrial areas favour Labour. Rural areas for Conservative or Liberal Democrat. The far west is more likely to vote nationalist.
How have Welsh voter preferences changed, will they change any further in the future?
Rural areas may fall to Liberal Democrats as most likely party to oust Conservatives, especially amongst agricultural community. Labour strongholds likely to remain.
What are the voter preferences in Northern Ireland?
Has its own party system, with a split between unionist and nationalist parties.
What is the reasoning for northern Irish voter preferences?
Party votes reflect religious and cultural divisions in the region with 2019 reflecting a shift towards nationalist parties.
How may voter preferences change in Northern Ireland in the future?
May see a further shift towards nationalist parties due to disillusionment with the UK government.
What are the voter preferences in London?
Majority Labour
What is the reasoning for voter preferences in London?
- Increasing ethnic diversity
- Greater economic disparity across the city
- Reliance on public services
- More socially liberal than other regions
Will there be any chances to voter preferences in London?
Labour likely to remain strong - use of tactical voting.
What are the voter preferences in rural England?
Overwhelmingly Conservative
What is the reasoning for voter preferences in rural England?
Mostly white, economically conservative, socially conservative
Will the voter preferences in rural England change?
Unlikely to see much change
What are the voter preferences in industrial northern England?
Mostly Labour until 2019 when the ‘red wall’ turned Conservative in many areas.
What is the reasoning for voter preferences in industrial northern England?
- Traditionally higher unemployment than other areas
- Greater poverty and urban decay
- Greater ethnic diversity
- Increasing focus on socially conservative issues
- Rise in nationalism/anti-EU sentiments
- Many industrial areas shifting from Labour to Conservatives
Are the voter preferences in industrial northern England going to change?
Red walls may return due to tactical voting. Socially conservative voters may even turn to Reform.
What are the voter preferences of the Home Counties?
Predominantly Conservative
What is the reasoning behind the voter preferences in the Home Counties?
London commuter belt is made up of C1, B and A classes. Mostly white, more conservative than London and economically prosperous.
Will the voter preferences in the Home Counties change?
Likely to remain as Tory seats. May see a few Reform votes but not necessarily seats.